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Nasdaq-100 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 19,595.55 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 18,900.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support. Take profit is at 20,343.35 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025 🛑 📈 Strong Bounce – But Watch This Supply Zone! US30 ripped from the 36,700s all the way back above 41,000 🔥 — but now we’re seeing price stall just under a major resistance zone at 41,200–41,300. Bulls have full control for now, but signs of exhaustion are building 🥵. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔹 Price holding above 40,700 (key support) 🔹 41,200–41,300 = local resistance zone 🔹 42,359 = next major upside target 🎯 🔹 EMAs still bullish but starting to curve → 🌀 possible slowdown? ⚠️ Expect a squeeze or rejection play soon — market is winding up for the next breakout or pullback 💣. 🎯 Trade Plan: 🟰 Current range = 40,700 – 41,300 🔻 Lose 40,700 = retrace likely to 39,775, possibly 39,200 🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = upside open toward 42,359–42,787 🧠 Mindset Reminder: 🔁 Don’t chase highs! Wait for clean structure or rejection ⚡ When EMAs compress, expect volatility to explode 💎 Patience + plan = edge
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
NAS100 Rejected at Key Supply Zone | Pullback in Play?The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tapped into a strong supply zone around 20,000 – 20,100 and is showing signs of rejection. Price is currently at 20,007, down -0.45%, and struggling to hold above the demand turned resistance. Chart Highlights: Supply Zone: 20,000 – 20,100 (visible rejection area). Key Support Levels: 19,852 – immediate structure level. 18,846 – breakout origin, potential demand zone. 17,673 – major volume and demand cluster (orange zone). Bearish Bias: If price loses 19,852, we could see a drop toward 18,846. Failure there opens the path for a deeper correction to 17,673, where buyers are likely to step in. Bullish Trigger: A clean break and close above 20,100 would flip the script and suggest continuation of the bullish rally. Volatility Warning: Upcoming U.S. economic data could cause sharp moves (see calendar icon on chart). Be cautious and reactive. Trade Setup: Watch for short opportunities below 19,852 with stops above supply and targets near the marked supports. --- Is NAS100 gearing up for a dip or breaking out soon? Drop your forecast in the comments! #NAS100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #IndicesTrading #USMarket #ForexSignals #SmartMoney
FX:NAS100Short
by FrankFx14
US30 – Key Supply Rejection at 41,000 | Is a Pullback ? The Dow Jones (US30) is currently trading at 41,089, slightly below the critical supply zone between 41,000 - 41,150, as identified by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand Visible Range. Price is showing signs of exhaustion after testing the top of the range, hinting at a potential short-term correction. Chart Breakdown: Supply Zone: 41,000 – 41,150 (visible resistance from recent price reaction). Current Price: 41,089 First Support: 40,971 – the last breakout zone. Next Support: 39,703 – major structure break level. Demand Zone: 38,735 – 38,000 (bullish reversal zone, high volume node). Bearish Scenario: A clean break below 40,971 could confirm short-term bearish momentum. Watch for price to fill the inefficiency gap toward 39,703 and possibly test 38,735 if weakness continues. Red arrows on chart signal likely downside zones if buyers fail to defend higher levels. Bullish Scenario: Reclaim and close above 41,150 on strong volume may invalidate the bearish bias and push price to new highs. Upcoming Volatility Alert: Key U.S. economic news is on the calendar (highlighted on chart) – could cause sharp movement in either direction. Stay alert! Trade Idea: Look for short entries around current levels with stops above the supply zone. Target the 39,703 and 38,735 levels with proper risk management. --- Will Dow stay strong or finally give in to bearish pressure? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! #US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #MarketUpdate
OANDA:US30USDShort
by FrankFx14
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 20,035 (approx. from most recent high-volume node) Value Area Low (VAL): 19,710 Point of Control (POC): High-Volume Nodes: Clustered between 19,850 – 20,050 (heavy volume activity) Low-Volume Gaps: Between 19,700 – 19,800 (could act as fast move zones) b) Liquidity Zones: Liquidity Pools: Order Absorption: Observed near 19,850 (buy side absorption with wicks and CVD reaction) c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High: 20,035 with volume tapering and price exhaustion Swing Low: 19,710 showing high delta rebound and large wick d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Uptrend (price making HH/HL, supported by rising channel) ADX Strength: ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed bullish trend CVD Confirmation: 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: Resistance: b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent Swing Low: 19,710 (1/3 retracement zone) Key Retracement Levels: 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish (confirmed by ADX > 20 and CVD rising) b) Notable Patterns: Bullish Ascending Channel clearly forming with higher lows Price pulled back to mid-channel + POC confluence, showing signs of retest and continuation No major bearish reversal patterns yet; healthy pullback structure 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 19,850–19,875 (POC retest + trendline support) Targets: Stop-Loss (SL): 19,700 (below VAL and swing low) RR: ~1:2.5 b) Bearish Entry (Only on breakdown): Entry Zone: Below 19,700 (VAL loss + CVD breakdown) Target: T1: 19,422.18 (previous POC support) Stop-Loss (SL): 19,860 (back above trendline/POC) RR: ~1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade for controlled exposure
FX:NAS100
by ProspireWealth
SPX: trade should not be a weaponPositive sentiment continued on the US equity markets during the previous week, after stronger than expected US jobs data. The Non-farm payrolls posted on Friday reached 177K in April, which was significantly above the 130K expected by the market. The market estimate was significantly lower from March data, as analysts were expecting to see a spill over effect of the imposed trade tariffs. As the jobs market seems still quite strong, the positive market sentiment was intact during the week. However, the recession fears are still holding among investors. The S&P 500 continued its 9-days winning streak, ending the week at the level of 5.686. On a positive side was the news that Chinese authorities are considering starting negotiations with the US Administration regarding trade tariffs. This was another positive boost for investors' sentiment. Berkshire Hathaway was holding shareholders annual meeting on Saturday, where the most attention of both media and investors was on the speech of its founder and famous investor, Warren Buffet. In his address to the shareholders, Buffet strongly criticized the trade tariffs, noting “Trade tariffs are an act of war … trade should not be a weapon’. For the moment, it could be expected that the positive sentiment might continue also in the future period. However, the FOMC meeting and Fed rate decision is scheduled for Wednesday, May 7th. This could be a day of higher volatility, as Fed Chair Powell will address the public at the press conference after the meeting. The markets will closely watch what he has to say regarding the current state of the US economy and potential rate cuts during the course of this year.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX: Short term bearish to touch gap? And fill? Looking like there is apparently “no tariff talks” per China. We’re still in such an uptrend, but looking for a short-term pull back on negative news. Also we have FOMC this week. Does Powell give what Trump and the people want, a rate cut? I’m looking for 5678.33 to - TP1: 5672.46 - TP2: 5635.06 Possible touch or fill gap of below 5603.21? Let me know what you think. Do your DD, not FA. Let’s see what the week brings.
SP:SPXShort
by sweatytrigger
Do Not Be Fooled TVC:DXY is not truly weak. Over the past 2 months the only thing mainstream Fin Media has been talking about is how Dollar value is plummeting and while I do not debate the merits o that I do take contention with the idea that this means the DXY Will KEEP going down significantly from here. From a pure TA perspective DXY is simply in a consolidation phase with a high level volatility which did not begin with the recent drop in March. I began watching DXy like a HAWK in November 2024 and for anyone who has not, the extreme volatility began then with DXY going on a rally from Nov 24 to feb 25. The move from Mach until now has been simply another leg of vol extension. This is important to realize because the volatility now points to higher levels of it eventually returning and when that happens I predict it will take the form of an explosive impulse to the upside based on the long term inverse head and shoulders pattern coupled with the near textbook bull flag pattern
TVC:DXYLong
by TooSuave
SPX Bullish Breakout and Wave 5 TargetSPX has successfully broken out of the rounding bottom pattern, confirming a strong bullish reversal. After completing waves 1 to 4 within the upward channel, the index is now poised to advance into Wave 5. The current momentum supports a rally toward the immediate setup target near 6,690, with an ideal continuation into Wave 5. A decisive breach of this resistance could accelerate the move toward the mid-term target around 7,278, activating a new bullish impulse. The chart highlights key support in the buy zone and emphasizes the importance of a confirmed breakout, offering a high-probability setup aligned with the Wave progression and ongoing trend strength.
SP:SPXLong
by weslad
19
Week ahead analysis May 4th to 11th**Week Ahead Analysis (May 5 – May 11, 2025)** ### **Baseline: Market Expectations** - **Tariffs & Fed Policy:** Trump's tariff announcement has heightened concerns about economic slowing, prompting bond markets to price in up to four Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. - **Trade Talks & Sentiment Shift:** Reports suggest China may restart trade negotiations, boosting risk sentiment. However, China insists the U.S. must first remove all unilateral tariffs, adding uncertainty to the discussions. - **Market Reaction:** Risk assets—equities and high-beta currencies like AUD, NZD, and CAD—are climbing as volatility cools. Meanwhile, safe havens such as JPY, CHF, and gold are facing selling pressure, though overall risk sentiment remains cautious. ### **Potential Surprise Scenarios** - **Trade Deal Secured:** A deal would likely send equities higher, strengthen risk-sensitive currencies, and drive safe havens lower. - **No Deal Reached:** In contrast, safe havens could gain while risk assets retreat. ### **Big Picture Outlook** Regardless of the immediate outcome, the market's medium-term trajectory hinges on the broader effects of trade policy. If tariffs persist, economic uncertainty may sustain the Fed’s dovish stance. A successful trade deal, however, could restore confidence, shifting expectations back toward growth stabili
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Midas_Macro
HKMA's Bold Move: HK$46.5 Billion Purchase Fuels HKD SurgeA spokesman for the HKMA announced that the Hong Kong dollar activated the linked exchange rate mechanism at HK$7.75 to US$1 during New York trading on Friday, 2 May 2025. The HKMA purchased US dollars and sold HK dollars, amounting to HK$46.539 billion. By Wednesday, 7 May 2025, the total balance of the banking system will rise to HK$91.309 billion. The spokesperson noted that the recent strength of the Hong Kong dollar stems from increased demand related to stock investments, which bolsters the exchange rate. Additionally, the appreciation of several regional currencies against the US dollar has contributed to the Hong Kong dollar's strength. The last activation of the strong side redemption guarantee occurred on 28 October 2020. Reuters reported that European equity funds attracted their largest weekly inflow in over a year, totalling $14.64 billion for the week ending 30 April. In contrast, U.S. funds experienced outflows for the third consecutive week due to ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs and their impact on global economic growth. Investments in Asian funds reached $6.68 billion.(source Reuters). Although comparing the report time, they are reporting different fund flow; the inflow of money into Hong Kong is currently modest, at HK$46.539 billion (approximately $5.99 billion), it is comparable to the figures reported by Reuters for Asian funds. In the Hong Kong property market, Sun Hung Kai Properties’ Sierra Sea project has sold all 318 flats in its first sales round last week and the second batch of 288 flats. In total, 606 flats were purchased over two weekends. Property agents report that 20 to 40 per cent of prospective buyers are from mainland China. Prices for these units range from HK$3.27 million to HK$8.99 million (US$422,000 to US$1.16 million), with a price per square foot between HK$9,992 and HK$13,533.(source: SCMP) These cases indicate that money is flowing into Hong Kong, with the HKD strengthening to the strong side of 7.75. This influx will increase bank balances, suggesting that the Hang Seng Index (HSI) is unlikely to weaken in the coming weeks, despite the negative impact of US tariffs on business sentiment. Technically, the HSI has potential for further gains, with targets set between 26,700 and 27,600. It remains within an upward channel, and cycle analysis indicates that this upward trend could continue until June. Why is money flowing into Hong Kong? Is it due to the attractive price-to-earnings ratio, Chinese investors relocating funds from the US, or rumours about the government? These factors need to be validated in the future.
HSI:HSILong
by bruceyam
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉 This week, the DXY was quoted at 100.0471. Technically, the index is in a downward channel. Focus on the resistance level of 100.8500. If it breaks through this level, there is a good chance of an upward movement; otherwise, it may test the recent low point. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to mainly take short positions during rebounds. Trade with a small position size and also pay attention to the changes in economic data and the trade situation. Trading Strategy: sell@100.5000-100.2000 TP:99.5000-99.0000 The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
TVC:DXYShort
by PagAugustine
Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline. 🔍 Likely scenario: If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5. Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance. 🚨 🔺 CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive: A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction. A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond. 🟢 Key Zones: 📌 Demand: 20,025 – 20,000 📌 Critical Resistance: 20,215 📌 Wave V Target: 20,254.5 📌 Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count. 📌 Trade Plan: Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups. Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by JAG_Trader
NASDAQ SELL?This is just a rough idea, I still need to wait and see where the market moves to and rejects from in order for TP and SL placement. But, there is a Asian high, a London high and a NY high sitting closely together, causing what I call a liquidity pool, and we all know that liquidity moves the market. its like a magnet for the market. so I'll be waiting and watching to see which session is swept and how the market reacts. But all in all, this is what i personally think Nasdaq will do what are your thoughts? I would love to hear them. I hope you all have a fantastic week and you rake in those profits. God bless J.D.L
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by JoshDeLucchi
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Macro economic Indicators: Most data came red and few were inline confirming the slowing down of the economy. 2- Inflation data came better than expected. 3- Trump Tariffs: Strong rumors about deals underway from this week. The 90-day pause will become an indeterminate pause. 4- We have the FED this week. Nothing in terms of immediate rate cut, but the conference is very important for the looking forward. 5-ISM Services data is important. From FA perspective, market is focusing on Tariffs deals. If it materializes, the ST outlook will change from Sell to Buy. MT and LT Outlook will stay Sell. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: The weekly close was bullish and price retraced more than 61.8. This could be the end of this wave. The FED and/or the tariff deals will give the signal for either the start of wave 3 or a continuation up. Until then, a consolidation is expected. Daily TF: Same as weekly... a bullish daily close. A consolidation is expected until the FED. Happy and green week to Everyone!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl