Market indices
SPX : How to play this DPrice has now reached our target as anticipated. The question is, when do we SELL?
Anyway, for those who follow the D, I am sure it has saved you guys a lot of trouble. At least you know where/when to start SELLING. Many others who started selling EARLy had all lost their money.
As we can see, there are 3 D's. Price can still move UP to 6,800. Bear that in mind. Or has already reached the max at 6,291!!!
Price is at where they are, there are 2 choices:
a) SELL now and SL @ 6,300
b) SELL when price touched the lower D @ 6,140 with SL @ 6,291
Whichever way, the R/R is still FANTASTIC.
It is true that MARKET MAKER might still take advantage and try to screw short sellers. But even they would find it hard at the D. For even they need to respect it a bit.
If you know your D, you trade safer.
Good luck.
#NDQ - Weekly Targets 23197.39 or 21886.08 ?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22541.74 Support: 22335.83 Resistance: 22748.58
#NDQ Upside Targets:
Target 1: 22832.49
Target 2: 22916.40
Target 3: 23056.89
Target 4: 23197.39
#NDQ Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22251.45
Target 2: 22167.08
Target 3: 22026.58
Target 4: 21886.08
NAS100 Setup Locked In — Ride the Drop from the Order Block!Hey Guys,
I'm planning a sell trade on the NAS100 index from a designated order block. Once price reaches the sell zone, the position will be activated.
📍 Trade Details:
- 🟢 Entry Level: 22,869
- 🔴 Stop Loss: 22,930
- 🎯 TP1 – First Target: 22,839
- 🎯 TP2 – Second Target: 22,794
- 🎯 TP3 – Final Target: 22,671
📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.24
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
Why Spain's Market Faces a Challenging Horizon?The IBEX 35, Spain's benchmark equity index, navigates a complex landscape. Despite encouraging macroeconomic indicators, including robust GDP growth and declining unemployment, underlying vulnerabilities persist. Political instability forms a significant headwind. A fragmented parliament, ongoing corruption scandals, and the specter of early elections create an environment of legislative gridlock. This uncertainty directly impacts investor confidence and hinders the effective implementation of crucial reforms and budget approvals, contributing to the IBEX 35's underperformance compared to its European counterparts in 2025.
Social tensions further exacerbate the country's domestic challenges. Recent anti-migrant protests, such as those in Torre Pacheco, underscore a societal fragmentation that can deter foreign investment and impact labor dynamics. While immigration is vital for Spain's economic growth, rising anti-immigrant sentiment, potentially exploited by far-right political factions, introduces unpredictability into social cohesion and future policy directions. This confluence of political and social unease creates an unstable backdrop for businesses and investors.
Beyond internal dynamics, global factors add to the pressure. Lingering uncertainties surrounding international trade, including potential US tariffs, pose risks for Spain's export-oriented sectors and its globally exposed corporations. Furthermore, while Spain champions renewable energy, persistently high electricity prices due to domestic policies continue to challenge industrial competitiveness. The historical context of ineffective deployment of significant EU NextGenerationEU funds, hampered by political hurdles, also raises concerns about Spain's long-term growth trajectory and its ability to capitalize on recovery initiatives.
These combined elements suggest a difficult period ahead for the IBEX 35. Sectors sensitive to domestic policy, such as construction, banking, and real estate, face direct exposure to political uncertainty. Moreover, Spain's traditional reliance on tourism and agriculture makes it susceptible to external shocks, including global travel disruptions and climate change impacts like severe droughts. Investors must carefully assess these multifaceted risks, as they are likely to shape the IBEX 35's performance in the near to medium term.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 14th:Current View:
Structurally, there has been strong selling pressure. So, if the market consolidates or breaks the support with a solid candle, we can expect the correction to continue.
Alternate View:
On the other hand, if the market finds support near the immediate support level or if the initial move takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum 38% to 50% pullback in the minor swing.
Even if that happens, the trend may still remain bearish in the lower time frame. So, if the market starts to reject around the 38% Fibonacci level on the upside, we can expect the downtrend to resume.
In simple terms, if a pullback occurs, we may see a range-bound market.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 14th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 14th:
The global market continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also reflecting the same tone.
So, what can we expect today?
Current View:
Structurally, there has been strong selling pressure. So, if the market consolidates or breaks the support with a solid candle, we can expect the correction to continue.
Alternate View:
On the other hand, if the market finds support near the immediate support level or if the initial move takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum 38% to 50% pullback in the minor swing.
Even if that happens, the trend may still remain bearish in the lower time frame. So, if the market starts to reject around the 38% Fibonacci level on the upside, we can expect the downtrend to resume.
In simple terms, if a pullback occurs, we may see a range-bound market.
DE30EUR (German Index) Update – July 14, 2025📊 DE30EUR (German Index) Update – July 14, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:44 PM EST
💵 Current Price: 22,408.7
📍 Key Zone: 1-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) just tapped.
📈 Market Behavior:
Price has reacted strongly after filling the 1H FVG, showing early signs of bullish reversal. This aligns well with smart money concepts — we could be seeing the beginning of a move toward the upside.
🎯 Short-Term Target: 24,218
With confirmation from this FVG reaction, the move toward 24,218 looks promising.
#SENSEX Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/07/2025Sensex is likely to open slightly gap-down, reflecting weakness carried over from the previous session. The index is currently trading near the 82450 zone. A breakdown below the 82400 level may trigger further downside movement, with potential support targets at 82200, 82100, and 82000. This zone should be monitored closely for continuation or reversal.
On the upside, any strong recovery above the 82600–82650 level could push the index higher, with resistance targets at 82800, 82900, and 83000+. Sustaining above this range may indicate buying interest returning in the market.
If Sensex spikes toward the 82950–83000 zone and faces resistance, a reversal from there could create shorting opportunities with targets at 82800, 82700, and 82600. However, a clear breakout above 83000 would negate this short setup and shift the bias to bullish.
The index is currently in a consolidation zone, and price action around 82600–82400 will be critical to determine the day’s direction.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/07/2025Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-down after consistent bearish momentum in the previous sessions. The index is hovering near 25140, and immediate support lies around the 25200 level. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside pressure, with key support targets at 25150, 25100, and 25050.
If the index breaks and sustains below 24950, it may trigger a deeper correction toward the next support levels at 24850, 24800, and 24750. These zones should be watched closely for potential reversals or continuation of bearish momentum.
On the upside, any recovery and sustained move above the 25250 level may lead to a pullback rally. In that scenario, immediate resistance levels to watch would be 25350, 25400, and 25450+.
Intraday structure remains weak unless Nifty reclaims the 25250+ zone with strength. Price action near the 25200–25050 support range will be crucial in deciding the direction of the day.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(14/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-down, continuing the weakness observed in the previous sessions. The index is currently trading around the 56700 level after facing consistent resistance near the 57100 zone. If the index sustains below the 56950–56900 region, it may extend the downside toward 56750, 56650, and further down to 56550.
A break below 56650 could trigger a sharper fall, with the next key support levels placed at 56250, 56150, and 56050. These zones will be critical to watch for potential reversal or further breakdown.
On the upside, any strength and breakout above the 57050–57100 resistance zone may open the path toward higher levels like 57250, 57350, and 57450+. However, unless this zone is breached with strength, upward movement is likely to remain capped.
The overall structure indicates bearish pressure, and the price action near 56900–56650 will decide the intraday trend. Traders should remain cautious and react based on levels with proper risk management.
US Small Caps: Evening star pattern flags reversal riskThe U.S. Small Cap contract often generates reliable reversal signals, meaning the three-candle evening star pattern completed Friday should be of interest to traders, especially with bullish price momentum also showing signs of rolling over.
Should the price push back towards Monday’s opening level, shorts could be established beneath the level with a stop above for protection. 2192 looms as an initial target, having acted as both support and resistance in the recent past, although the 200-day moving average found at 2176.7 screens as a more appealing target given its importance for longer-term directional moves in the past.
If the price were to close beneath the 200DMA, it may act as a catalyst to spark a deeper unwind towards 2133 or 2075.
Good luck!
DS
KLCI BULLISH
This year, 2025, has been another challenging time in Bursa KLCI.
I have been on the sideline most of the time, since August 2024
We initiated our real positions on 14-17/3/2025, following the follow-through day ,
however some of the positions knocked out n some thriving (e.g ecomate, profit taken)
We then resumed our buying on 11/4/2025, as few stocks setting up with low risk
entry point.
Up until now, our portfolio has been growing up to total ROI of around 14-20%,
with the heavy use of Margin. (e.g scgbhd, mnhldg, gamuda, suncon, pekat)
Based on our current analysis of KLCI Index, we concluded that :
1/ Market probably has discounting all the possible worst case scenarios
-Bottoming process is ongoing to complete .
(A complete type 2 #Schematic Accmulation trading range? probably)
-Tradingview does not provide the Volume data for KLCI Index, need to refer other sources
2/ Market is going for the markup phase
3/ Market is still in the hard-ringgit environment
Our Bottom-Top approach, is purely based on the performance of individual stocks.
Meaning, the stock itself dictate our tactics.
And as always, my focus would be on the leaders, which granting me further leverage.
I need to keep reminding myself,
that in bull market, key is not to fight the market but to execute with precision n risk management.
And I need to keep reminding myself again,
that, it is ok to form an opinion.
But always be ready to adapt to the portals of possibility.
As.. I am in the 'responding business' . Not 'Predicting business'
NASDAQ - Bullish BiasHTF Overview: 4H shows strong bullish intent with momentum driving price higher. Clear upside direction supported by sustained breaks in structure.
Liquidity Note: Noticed a key liquidity zone beneath current price (marked in blue). Although deeper mitigation was possible, price remained bullish.
MTF Refinement (30M): Dropped to the 30M for structural clarity and saw an earlier reaction. A bullish OB was formed and respected — now monitoring it for a potential mitigation.
LTF Execution Plan: If the 30M OB is revisited, I’ll be looking to the 1M/5M for confirmation (CHoCH or BOS) before executing long positions.
Mindset: Momentum is with the bulls — just waiting for smart money to confirm their next move.
Bless Trading!
DXY eyes on 97.847 - 97.903 : Exact zone to break the DownTrend The Dollar has not been so mighty since Trump.
But there are signs of a possible bottom forming.
Key is the well known battle zone 97.847-97.905
Break and clean Retest would signal the bottom.
Rejecting here would start next leg southward.
Is the world really going to De-Dollarize? Nope.
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Dollar Index Seems BullishFrom the previous week candle we see that Dollar Index has closed bullish. And in this scenario we can expect Dxy to go further higher. It has hit the previous week high and touched supply zone residing above. The two possibilities have shown in the chart are
1: After touching supply zone we expect to have deeper pullback.
2: It will have short retracement and then continues hgiher.
DXY Previous weeks analysis and July 13 week ahead ideasDXY
July 13
July 7 to 11 DELIVERY NOTES
I suspected that price would gravitate for higher prices in last Sundays analysis, celebrate on
*up closed candle on the weekly, rebalancing SIBI from June 23 week
*Price retraced to close on equilibrium on the current range
*Monday delivered an expansion
*Tuesday retraced to Monday CE of the daily candle
*Wednesday consolidation
*Thursday retraced to a discount then reversed to take Mondays buy stops
*Friday expansion to make the high of the week closing on the CE of the FVG from Wed June 25
July 14 to 18 Ideas
Bear bias
*Since July 2 Price has been seeking higher prices, further example of trending market
*Price reaching equilibrium on the HTF range and buy side taken last week
*I suspect that price will retrace for sell side liquidity this week
*I anticipate for Price to gravitate towards the EV at 97.430 for the low target this week, possibly the noted equal lows from Monday July 7
*Friday's delivery was a in consolidation pattern
*Sundays delivery could gravitate to the noted equal highs and noted FVG
*I suspect that Price will expand to seek lower Prices for Mondays delivery
*Price expand higher in Sundays delivery, we could see Price retrace Fridays in FVG
No News Monday and Friday
DXY HEAD & SHOULDER TARGET INSIGHT? The dollar index has printed a head & shoulder pattern on the hourly chart and while it's in resistance zone of initial target, there is momentum building up to push through to next target of 97.912. This is supported by a golden cross on the 1H timeframe. The target at 97.912 also closes a window that was left open on June 24th, 2025. This trade has a low risk to high reward ratio. Cheers and Best of trading to everyone