Bull Run To New Highs?The Dow got slammed on Wednesday, down 2%, no follow through yesterday.
Despite all the look of this rally being a bounce to sell, notice the uptrend line of support developed, this is the dynamics of markets, morph and twist to shake out weaker hands.
Would not be surprised to see a resumption of this rally to all time highs into June/July, the tariff wobbles are gone for now, any firm close below the trend line changes the trend.
We buy this market now at support in prospect of a larger rally to resume.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading & God Bless you all!
Market indices
USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict
U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting.
Technical Outlook:
Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470.
🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200.
📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely.
Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 21790
• Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200
• Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
US30 Stabilizes Above Key Support Amid Geopolitical TensionsUS30 – Overview
The price reacted modestly to ongoing Middle East tensions, reaching our previously mentioned pivot zone at 42160, then reversed and stabilized within the bullish territory.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 42160, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 42410.
A 1H close above 42410 would confirm further upside toward 42610 and 42810.
🔻 To shift into a bearish trend, the price must close below 42160 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, which could lead to a move down to 41780.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42310
• Resistance: 42410 / 42610 / 42810
• Support: 42160 / 41970 / 41780
FTSE sideways consolidation supported at 8800Trend Overview:
The FTSE100 equity index remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 8800 (primary pivot), followed by 8760 and 8700
Resistance: 8940 (initial), then 8977 and 9010
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 8800 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 8940, 8977, and ultimately 9010.
Conversely, a daily close below 8800 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 8760 and 8700 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
FTSE100 maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 8800 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 8940 area. A breakdown below 8800, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
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Dollar - Coming back into Consolidation (Short Term Bullish)Been following dollar with videos for over a month and we have been in sync from the highs highlited in the video. We hit our target last week and now looking for a short term bullish run on stops at 94.40s
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Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚
Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 .
Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers:
Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤
Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪
Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy!
Final Vibe Check
That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
DXY bullish here, sell XXXUSD! Do miss this trade plsAs per my previous post on dxy, I'm looking for higher prices now. I dont know the news or war or tariff or rate cut that will push it up. I'm just reporting what I'm seeing on the charts, most times, it doesn't lie. Just when everyone was bullish back in Jan, 2025. I turned bearish, now I'm telling you that we go up slowly or range.
This means you have to sell EURUSD, GBPUSD etc
TP1 @ 98.9
TP2 @ 99.4
Enjoy
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Potential Long Setup on Bullish Flag BreakoutThe US30 is currently forming a bullish flag on the 4H chart. A double bottom has developed around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the most recent bullish impulse — providing a strong point of confluence that adds validity to the pattern.
Should price break above the flag's upper boundary, it could trigger a continuation to the upside, offering a potential long entry.
On the higher timeframes, the daily chart continues to respect a long-term ascending wedge, further supporting the bullish outlook and the possibility of a move towards new all-time highs.
NASDAQ Consolidation: Why Sitting Out Is Sometimes the Best PlayI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ (US100) closely, and on the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see that the market is in a phase of consolidation 🔍
Yesterday, I was anticipating a bullish breakout, which could have signaled the start of a structure with higher highs and higher lows — something that would have presented a clean long opportunity 📈. However, during the U.S. session, the NAS100 momentum shifted and we instead saw a bearish breakdown, invalidating the previous setup 🚫
As things stand now, there's no clear directional bias on the 4H — just a sideways range with neither bulls nor bears in full control 🤝. This type of environment calls for patience and discipline.
It's worth noting that knowing when not to trade is just as important as knowing when to pull the trigger. Sitting on the sidelines and allowing the market to make the next move — whether that’s a break above or below this consolidation range — is a valid and often wise decision 🧘♂️📊
At the moment, my preference is to remain neutral and let price show its hand before committing to a position.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management when trading.
SPX500 | Regression Channel Aligned with Bullish Sentiment – 6,1The S&P 500 ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) continues to respect the newly drawn regression channel after breaking above both descending resistance and AI-based mid-zones. Price is now moving in alignment with the prevailing sentiment bias, indicating potential momentum toward the 6,156–6,167 extension range.
🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout from a compressed structure
VWAP reclaims confirm market strength
Regression channel suggests controlled ascent
1.236 Fib projection at 6,062.22 aligns with short-term resistance
Higher confluence targets: 6,156.60 and 6,167.02
📉 Risk Levels:
Breakdown below 6,007 or re-entry into the prior wedge would invalidate this view short term.
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Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.89
1st Support: 98.29
1st Resistance: 99.60
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOW Might Recover From Today's LossesIsrael's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities has unsettled the markets. After a weak start, the indices, such as the DJIA, initially made little headway and were unable to recover their losses.
We do not expect the markets to plunge to their doom now, but to recover soon.
For the Dow, we initially expect new lows in the entry area shown and then a recovery to the target zone in the coming week.
Missiles in the Middle East, Headwinds on Nasdaq: NAS100 onHey There;
The trend line on the NAS100 has been broken to the downside. My target level after this breakout is 21,299.47. If the price moves towards this level, I think it will reach my target in line with fundamental analysis due to the broken trend line and Iran-Israel war tensions.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
What's Nifty Next?With rising tensions between countries, market sentiment is becoming increasingly cautious. This geopolitical uncertainty is likely to weigh heavily on investor confidence in the coming weeks.
Based on the current scenario, a realistic target for Nifty seems to be around 21,000 by July, especially if the negative sentiment continues and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) remain net sellers. Global cues, crude oil prices, and currency fluctuations could further impact the index's performance.
📌 However, if by any chance Nifty manages to close above 25,500, it would indicate an extremely strong bullish breakout, defying current market fundamentals. Given the present conditions, this seems highly unlikely, unless there is a sudden positive catalyst such as:
A major resolution in geopolitical issues
Strong corporate earnings
Aggressive policy support from the government or RBI
🧠 My Take:
For now, it’s wise to remain cautious and watch key support/resistance levels. Volatility may remain high, and short-term traders should manage their positions carefully.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Do you think 21k is coming soon, or can the bulls surprise us all?
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/06/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open with a slight gap down near the 24,850 zone, indicating caution among participants at higher levels.
🔼 If Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone, a positive move may unfold with upside targets at 24,850 → 24,900 → 24,950+. Sustained strength above 24,950 could lead to a further rally.
🔁 On the other hand, if Nifty approaches the 24,950–24,900 zone and shows signs of rejection, it could lead to a reversal. In that case, the downside targets may be 24,850 → 24,800 → 24,750-.
🔽 A decisive move below the 24,700 level would indicate bearish control, opening further downside towards 24,650 → 24,600 → 24,550-.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(18/06/2025)Today, Bank Nifty is expected to open with a slight gap down near the 55,650–55,700 zone, indicating early signs of consolidation within a tight range.
🔼 If Bank Nifty sustains above the 55,550–55,600 levels after opening, it could trigger a bullish move towards the targets of 55,750 → 55,850 → 55,950+.
🔽 However, if Bank Nifty approaches the 55,950–55,990 zone and shows signs of reversal, a corrective fall may follow with potential downside targets at 55,750 → 55,650 → 55,550.
🔻 A clear breakdown below the 55,450 level would indicate bearish strength, and the next downside levels to watch are 55,250 → 55,150 → 55,050-.
🚀 On the upside, if Bank Nifty manages to break out above the key resistance of 56,050, we can expect a strong rally with targets at 56,250 → 56,350 → 56,450+.