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This doesn't look good for SPX500USDHi traders, The price action of SPX500USD last week went exactly as what I've said in my outlook. I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what would be the move after that. But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. Price went corrective up, rejected from the Weekly FVG higher and dropped! So next week we could see more downside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
DXY:It is about to witness a quarterly declineBecause concerns about tariffs causing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth have pushed down U.S. Treasury bond yields, the stock market, and the U.S. dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar is likely to experience a quarterly decline next week, and we can seize the opportunity to short on rebounds. Trading strategy: buy@104.500 TP:103.500 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:DXYShort
by LeoBlackwood
TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR LONGBuying US30 from 42,300 to 42,200 with a target of 43,100 appears to be a bullish strategy. To justify this move, let's break down the fundamental analysis. *Market Trend* The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has been on an upward trend, with a 13.7% increase over the last six months ¹. This suggests a strong bullish momentum. *Technical Indicators* - *MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)*: Although the MACD lines remain in bullish territory, the histogram has started to tick lower, indicating a potential weakening of the bullish momentum ¹. - *RSI (Relative Strength Index)*: The RSI is approaching overbought territory, a level often associated with trend exhaustion ¹. *Economic Factors* - *Strong Labor Market*: The US labor market has shown resilience, with strong payroll data and wages growing at 4% ². - *Interest Rates*: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will impact the US30. A rate cut could boost the index, while a rate hike might lead to a correction ². *Trading Strategy* Given the bullish trend and strong labor market, buying US30 from 42,300 to 42,200 with a target of 43,100 seems reasonable. However, keep a close eye on technical indicators and economic factors, as they can impact the index's movement. *Risk Management* - *Stop-Loss*: Set a stop-loss at 42,000 to limit potential losses. - *Position Sizing*: Manage your position size to maintain a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5. By considering both technical and fundamental analysis, you can make an informed decision about your trading strategy. Keep your best wishes to the Travis 👍
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by Expert_Travis
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Index gapped higher, passing our completed Inner Index Rally of 5712 and setting a Mean Resistance of 5768. This target was accompanied by considerable reversal, ultimately causing a downward movement. On the final trading day of the week, the Index underwent a pronounced decline, resulting in a substantial drop that surpassed the critical target of Mean Support set at 5603. The Index is positioned to retest the completed Outer Index Dip level of 5520. An extended decline is feasible, with the possibility of targeting the subsequent Outer Index Dip at 5403 before resuming an upward rally from either of these Outer Index Dip levels.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Hang Seng Short: Expecting Wave 2 of 3 and 3 of 3Hang Seng had been amazingly resilient on Friday, falling much lesser than the US indices. However, I believe it is just lagging by 1 impulse wave. If you have seen my last few updates on the wave counts, you will know that I counted completion of wave 3 of 3 for the tech stocks and that Nasdaq itself is nearing the target completion of 5 waves of wave 3 (now on wave 4 of 3). Thus, to me, Hang Seng is lagging by 1 impulse wave. Back to this analysis, for the last down wave on Friday, you will see that I've plotted a purple minute wave with the 5th wave further broken down into orange minuette waves. The orange minuette wave is only on it's 4th wave. However, I believe that we might not actually see a proper wave draw by price movement. I propose that the fifth wave will be unseen. How so? Gap down on Monday opening (marking the end of minuette wave 5) and then a shallow retracement up that is likely to happen during the 1st hour of HK trading session to complete purple minute wave 2 before we see Hang Seng crashing for a wave 3. It might be similar to what happened to Nikkei on Friday's Japan trading hours. Good luck!
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by yuchaosng
8
NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-MayHello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index. At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction. ✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed. ✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed. On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week. What’s next? We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely: 🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located. 🔻 The key support zone is 17,300. 🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300. 🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000. Technical factors ⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining. ⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200. ⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase. Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025. Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AUREA_RATIO
$DXY IdeaWhen analyzing the weekly DXY chart, we identify the presence of two CRTs: one bullish and one bearish. However, the bearish CRT has a low probability of success due to the candle formation and the fact that the price is still in a discounted region within the range. Given this, our initial expectation is for the price to drop at the beginning of the week to seek liquidity in the equilibrium region of the daily range, which coincides with the 50% level of the bearish CRT. This movement may act as a correction within the predominant trend, pushing the price up toward the premium region of the weekly range. From that point, we will once again look for selling opportunities, as the market may resume its downward movement. Based on this analysis, we initially seek selling opportunities down to the equilibrium region. Once this level is reached, we will wait for confirmation of a bullish reversal to look for buying opportunities up to the 50% mark of the bullish CRT.
TVC:DXY
by Pilucax
DXY 1H – Potential Sweep Before Uptrend ContinuationThe Dollar Index recently closed above a previous lower high, signaling a possible bullish trend continuation. However, the recent drop has only seen wicks covering the higher low, suggesting this may just be a liquidity sweep rather than a true bearish reversal. 📊 Key Observations: ✔ Higher Low Sweep: Current price action suggests liquidity is being grabbed before a potential move higher. ✔ Daily Structure: This move aligns with a possible sweep on the D1 timeframe, meaning a bullish reaction could be imminent. 🔎 Next Steps: Watching for bullish confirmation before taking long positions. If price reclaims support, a continuation toward higher levels is likely.
TVC:DXYLong
by Marshall-FX
Monthly Chart SPX Cautious Liquidity PositioningThis month, the S&P 500 (SPX) has shown signs of a cautious liquidity shift as investors take a more measured approach to risk. While the index remains near all-time highs, underlying market activity suggests hesitation rather than aggressive buying. I currently have no active positions. Investors are rotating out of high-growth stocks and into more defensive sectors like utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples. This shift signals concerns about potential volatility, possibly due to upcoming Federal Reserve decisions, economic data, or geopolitical risks. At the same time, large tech stocks—key drivers of the market rally—are seeing some profit-taking, further indicating a more defensive stance. In the options market, there has been increased demand for downside protection. A rising put-to-call ratio and higher implied volatility suggest that traders are preparing for potential pullbacks rather than chasing new highs. Retail speculation has also slowed, with lower volumes in leveraged ETFs and call options. Another sign of caution is the increase in money market fund inflows, as investors park cash in short-term instruments offering attractive yields. The U.S. Treasury’s ongoing debt issuance is also pulling liquidity away from equities. While the Federal Reserve has hinted at possible rate cuts later this year, inflation remains a concern, keeping policymakers on hold for now. Market expectations for rate cuts have been pushed further out, tightening financial conditions and limiting excess liquidity that previously fueled stock market gains. Overall, SPX liquidity trends this month suggest the market is at a turning point. While the index remains strong, the cautious stance in underlying market activity raises questions about whether stocks can continue higher without a fresh catalyst.
SP:SPX
by invinoveritas7671