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BEARISH DOLLAR AHEADTechnically expecting a bearish dollar, looking at how the pullback was corrective to the 4h supply. The 4h supply zone is currently holding and is at the equilibrium of the fib. Although we also have an opening gap above that is at the discount array, I will observe that in case the 4h supply is violated. I expect the 4h supply to be respect and push prices lower. I will be flexible in case of any shifts. I expect the trend line liquidity to be swept to the origin.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Duchess_K
Learning#02 : Fractals⛰️ Learning#02 : Fractals The Cleanest Clue on a Cluttered Chart If you like clean charts and smart price behaviour, Fractals are one of those tools that give subtle but powerful signals. They’re not magic. They simply reflect what price is telling you—if you’re willing to listen. Let’s unpack the concept and learn how to use Fractals like a pro. 🔍 What Is a Fractal in Trading? In technical analysis, a Fractal is a five-candle pattern that marks a local top or bottom in price. It’s a pure price-action signal that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. There are two types of Fractals: Bearish Fractal (Top): The 3rd candle has the highest high, surrounded by two lower highs on each side. Bullish Fractal (Bottom): The 3rd candle has the lowest low, flanked by two higher lows on each side. These formations are Price's way of saying: *"I tried to go further, but couldn't." 📊 What Do Fractals Indicate? A shift in short-term control (bulls vs. bears) Minor support or resistance zones Useful markers for entries, exits, or trailing stop levels They don't guarantee reversals but are excellent at highlighting where price momentum may pause, reverse, or build structure. 📈 How to Use Fractals – A Practical Guide Let’s be clear: Fractals are not trade signals by themselves. Instead, they work best when used in confluence with your strategy. Think of them as tools that: Help confirm breakout levels Refine pullback entries Guide you in drawing cleaner trendlines, fib zones, and support/resistance levels Assist in identifying swing highs and lows for Dow Theory-style trend analysis 🔗 Fractals + Strategy = Smart Trading Whether you trade breakouts or mean reversion, Fractals help clarify: Which highs or lows matter Where to place stop losses with structure-based logic How to trail SL as the trade progresses They quietly organize your chart into readable, tradeable levels. 🚀 Practical Uses of Fractals Fractals are the first tool I add to any chart—they instantly reveal structure and guide every step of my analysis. 1. Breakout Confirmation Wait for a candle to close above a bullish fractal high or below a bearish fractal low. Useful when the market is trending or forming structures like double bottoms/tops. 2. Pullback with Confirmation Use the fractal zone as a short-term S/R level. If price returns and shows signs of rejection (like an inside bar, wick rejections, or low volume), consider entries based on confirmation. Great in sideways or swing environments. 3. Trend Structure Validation Fractals reveal clear pivot highs/lows, helping: Confirm higher highs/higher lows Mark structure for trendline drawing Validate Fib levels or S/R zones 4. Trailing Stop Loss Update your SL to trail behind the most recent opposite-side fractals. In longs: SL below new bullish fractals In shorts: SL above new bearish fractals This lets you stay in the move while managing risk like a pro. How it’s Look Like on Chart snapshot ⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid Trading every fractal blindly Ignoring price context or trend Relying on fractals in low-volume, choppy markets 📝 Final Thoughts Fractals are like breadcrumbs left by price action. They quietly point to areas where the market faced resistance or found support. Alone, they’re not enough. But in the hands of a price-action trader, they’re incredibly useful. Used alongside market structure, confirmation signals, and clean charting habits, Fractals become: Trend identifiers Entry enhancers Stop loss trail markers ⭐ Bonus Tip Next time you mark a level, Fibonacci or draw a trendline, check if a Fractal confirms it. You’ll be surprised how often it does. Trade simple. Trade clean. — Kiran Zatakia
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 11, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 11, 2025 – Friday 🔴 "Smooth Slide, Silent Pressure – Bulls on the Edge" Nifty opened with a 60-point gap-down, and despite an initial attempt to fill the gap with a 40-point bounce, the index couldn’t sustain. What followed was classic, smooth selling pressure — a slow bleed marked by 16 consecutive 5-minute candles that never broke the previous candle’s high. There was no panic, just a persistent drift downward. The day’s structure was a silent yet firm rejection from higher levels, with 25,150 acting as an anchor for most of the session, eventually closing near 25,140. 📉 This session marks a revisit to the breakout zone of June 26–27. Is this a false breakout or a healthy retest? Only time — and a bounce or breakdown from 25,080–25,060 — will tell. ⚠️ If we close below 25,000, the entire bullish move from late June might be invalidated. But a sharp bounce from the 25080–25060 zone could spark a hopeful reversal setup. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,255.50 High: 25,322.45 Low: 25,129.00 Close: 25,149.85 Change: −205.40 (−0.81%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 105.65 points – clean bearish body Upper Wick: 66.95 points – buyers rejected Lower Wick: 20.85 points – weak defense at bottom 🔍 Interpretation Price opened weak and stayed weak. An intraday push to 25,320 was sharply sold into. Closing near the day’s low shows full bear control. Minimal bounce from day low indicates lack of bullish confidence. 🕯 Candle Type A Bearish Rejection Candle – resembles an inverted hammer in a downtrend; suggests sellers still strong and bulls hesitant 📌 Key Insight The zone of 25,320–25,350 has turned into firm intraday resistance. 25,100–25,130 is the immediate make-or-break support — below that lies 25,000–25,050. For bulls to breathe again, we need a bounce and hold above 25,250–25,300. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 193.17 IB Range: 78.45 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🔴 Imbalanced Trades Triggered 10:21 AM – Short Trade → 🎯 Trailing SL Hit (R:R 1:2.41) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 Support Levels 25,125 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 💭 Final Thoughts "It wasn’t a crash, it was a quiet rejection — and that makes it more dangerous. If bulls don’t show up now, bears might get bolder from here." ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
US500 Is Bullish! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 6,252.40. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,297.19 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Long
by SignalProvider
2
Nifty 500 points upside due in 5 days ??Pattern Type: The structure is a Diametric pattern (7 legs) labeled A-B-C-D-E-F-G, currently expecting Wave G to unfold. ✅ Wave Details Noted on Chart: Wave A: Took 5 days and moved ~500 points. Wave B to E: Forming the characteristic bow-tie shape of a Diametric. Wave F: Seems to have just completed or is near completion. Wave G (Forecasted): Expected to mirror Wave A in both price and time (5 days / 500 points), suggesting a potential upward move from current levels. 🧭 Trendline Insights: A red resistance trendline connects tops (Wave C to Wave E). A black support trendline spans from the origin to Wave D and likely acts as support for Wave F. Price is currently near the lower boundary, hinting at a possible reversal point. 💬 Annotations Highlight: "Nifty ABC: selling target is almost completed" → suggests bearish move has played out. "Wave G will replicate both price and time" → implies a measured bullish move is anticipated. The substructure inside E-F is detailed as A1-B1-C1-D1-E1-F1-G1, possibly hinting at an internal smaller diametric or triangle. 🔮 Projection: A bullish reversal (Wave G) is expected next. Potential upside: ~500 points over 5 days (same as Wave A). Support at the trendline and structure suggests this is a critical zone for bounce. ✅ Summary in One Line: Nifty appears to be completing a Diametric (7-leg) corrective pattern, with Wave G projected next — likely an upward move matching Wave A’s time and magnitude (~500 pts / 5 days), assuming Wave F is now done.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by GKTrademanthan
Nifty Dips, Suggests Range-Bound Movement AheadIndian markets ended the week with a decline of nearly one percent, driven by lingering concerns over global tariffs and a weak start to the earnings season. The 25,500 level has now turned into a strong resistance zone, marked by heavy call writing, while 25,000 continues to act as a solid support level backed by significant put writing. Given these dynamics, the index is likely to enter a consolidation phase, with upcoming earnings announcements expected to keep sectoral volatility elevated.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
SPX500 in a Powerful Wave 3 Expansion – New Highs on the HorizonMarket Analysis – SPX500 (S&P 500 Index CFD) The SPX500 is currently exhibiting a strong bullish structure, consistent with the characteristics of an Elliott Wave 3 extension. This wave phase is typically the most powerful and impulsive part of a bullish cycle, often driven by increasing market confidence, strong macroeconomic fundamentals, and institutional accumulation. After completing a textbook corrective Wave 2, the index has broken key resistance levels with strong momentum, confirming the beginning of Wave 3. What sets this phase apart is its capacity to generate accelerated gains, often surpassing expectations and historical highs. Key signs supporting the Wave 3 hypothesis: High volume breakout from consolidation zones. Higher highs and higher lows structure on multiple timeframes. Confirmation from supporting indicators such as RSI holding above 50 and MACD showing strong upward momentum. What’s next? As long as market structure remains intact and no significant bearish divergence appears, we can expect multiple new all-time highs to be formed during this wave. Traders should look for retracement entries using Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2% or 50% pullbacks) to ride the trend while managing risk carefully. Outlook: Bullish bias remains strong. Strategic buying during minor corrections could offer favorable risk-reward setups throughout the progression of this wave.
FX:SPX500Long
by ew_17i
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Evening -- Happy July 4th to everyone Let us review last week as we look towards the next in anticipation of the trade deal deadline that looms. I had a target on the SP:SPX of $6,253.59 and the weekly high was $6,284.65. The candle on the short week opened at its low of $6,019.21 and closed $6,233.08 making the weekly range +$213.87. This represents closest to HV63 over IV which stated +/-$253.26 and a 'strength of IV' that was 295% . Again the weekly high is above our range target, but my volatility will always be measured close-to-close. Now as we look towards this week -- IV (13.85%) has shifted upwards slightly with HV10 (7.36%) hinged down and still lowering. In fact, I have bi-weekly volatility as 97.28% 'coiled' to it's sliding yearly low of 4.64% -- HV21 (9.92%) is closer to what IV states with it being 'coiled' 96.61% to it's respective sliding yearly lows. In my opinion, volatility still has room to consolidate slightly as markets rotate higher. I think we can see upwards $6,327.73, but slowly over the course of the week with the last tariff uncertainty getting out of the way. From there, going into mid July we may need to see a volatility spike. The HV10 range I am watching holds a 'strength of IV' entering this week of only 53% -- this shows the price per move is expensive by almost twice as much. Till next time, know your ABCs, have a great long weekend, and stay hedge! CHEERS
CBOE:VIX
by splitmyIVandmelt
NASDAQ 100 MAJOR REVERSAL SETUP/VOLUME WANINGElliott Wave Theory is a wonderful forecasting tool that provides confluence in conjunction with many technical such as the MFI, Awesome Oscillator, and Bull Bear Power. Indicators such as Moving averages and ALL Chart Patterns just to name a few, beautifully align painting an amazing roadmap of reversals. Motive wave in Green, Corrective wave in Pink Orange Waves are sub waves. Solid lines are completed, whereas the dotted lines are in progress. The likelihood of a wave count becoming invalidated has a lower probability on higher timeframes for example Day/Week/Month, whereas on lower timeframes such as 1 minute to 5 minute. I've observed wave count invalidation/recalculation of the wave counts more frequently. With all the news of Tariffs and such the Elliott Wave follows the data, buy/sell side, liquidity, and volume. Speaking of volume: April Vol was 15.39M May Vol was 10.74M June Vol was 9.04M As of July 11th it is at 3.37M with 17 trading days to go. Don't get BULL trapped!! HAPPY TRADING
IG:NASDAQShort
by optionallyoptionaltrader
IS THE STOCK MARKET HEADING INTO DOT COM BUBBLE 2.0?In this video we look at the 3 month chart of SP:SPX using the traders dynamic index & Fibonacci retracement levels to put together a bullish case for the overall stock market to go on a monster rally over the next 7 years We also theorize about how over the next 2 years the SP:SPX can indeed hit 7200+ by Q3 2026 and have pullbacks to 5800-6100, but how that could just be the "consolidation move in price" of the overall stock market before we get what could end up being the largest stock market rally we have ever seen in the 21st century
SP:SPXLong
by Jonalius
1
ASCENDING WEDGE ON WATCH - ELLIOTT WAVE 3 NEARLY COMPLETEThe WAVE 3 extension can go further but it seems likely that coinciding with earnings this month we will have the potential for the start of WAVE 4 retracement. The possible resignation of Jerome Powell could further intensify the charts. AlphaTrend is an advanced trading indicator that leverages proprietary tools, real-time data, and custom metrics to give traders a competitive edge. Designed for all experience levels, it works instantly—no advanced charting skills required. ADVANCED and PRO versions are available. (See below) 🔍 How It Works At the core of AlphaTrend is Dynamic Reversion Bands — a sophisticated real-time system that adapts to price action by automatically adjusting to evolving market conditions. These bands act like a roadmap, helping traders identify: Mean reversion trade opportunities Trend strength Emotion-driven market conditions (like FOMO) The system is rooted in Mean Reversion Theory: If an asset's price deviates significantly from its historical average, it tends to “revert” back to that average over time. Traders can use this behavior to spot potential buying or selling opportunities: Overbought Conditions: If the price moves too far above the mean, it may signal a pullback—traders might sell or short. Oversold Conditions: If the price drops well below the mean, it may be undervalued—traders might buy in anticipation of a bounce. ⚪🟡🔴🟡⚪ Dynamic DOTS AlphaTrend visualizes market overextension through dynamic DOTS: White DOTS = Average conditions Yellow DOTS = Above average conditions Red DOTS = Extreme conditions The DOTS update in real time as the candle is forming—appearing, disappearing, and shifting color based on current intensity levels. Once the candle closes, however, the DOTS do not repaint. This ensures clarity and confidence in every signal. This is crucial, as many indicators repaint and revise data after the fact, undermining traders’ trust. With AlphaTrend, once a candle closes, the data remains permanently fixed. 📊 Adaptability and Market Insight AlphaTrend adapts to any timeframe, but performs best on longer-duration candles, where signals are fewer but more reliable. Multi-interval displays (e.g., 1hr, 4hr, Daily) are highly recommended. That being said it does tend to give strong signals on all time frames even down to 1 min candles.
SP:SPX
by QuantAi-Trend
SPX Breakdown or Another Push Higher?Hi y'all thanks for tuning in! Here are a few written notes to sum up the video. Indecision at New Highs After breaking out to new all-time highs, SPX printed a doji on the weekly chart, signaling indecision. This hesitation could mark the start of digestion. Still Structurally Bullish, but Extended The weekly chart shows SPX is still holding trend structure, but price is notably extended from the 10EMA. Historically, when price moves too far from key short-term EMAs, it tends to reset either via time (sideways chop) or price (pullback). Daily Chart Shows a Shelf Forming On the daily chart, price has been consolidating just under the prior high with small-bodied candles. This is forming a “shelf” around the 6,260–6,280 zone. It’s acting like a pause, not a breakdown. Holding above this zone keeps the trend intact. Pullback Risk Increases Below 6,232 If price loses 6,232 (last week's breakout area and short-term shelf), it increases the likelihood of a pullback toward the 6160 or even deeper toward the 5970. That lower zone also marks the bottom of the prior consolidation box from earlier this year. Seasonality Reminder Historically, July is strong in the first half, with weakness (if it shows up) arriving mid-to-late month. So far, price has tracked that seasonal strength. Any weakness from here would align with that typical timing.
SP:SPX
by emanuelaelias