2 Scenarios1) You close above that weekly to make a 1,2 for the weekly elliot.
2) You close below that March 31st weekly, making the corrective wave not just 3), but a),b),c).
But no matter what, at the end of the day I am still eyeing for a close above the historic high during 2021 November/December zone.
Great set up from crazy low DXY, very overvalued Eurozone equities, and also a corrective wave for the global index including the US equities.
Market indices
DXY: US dollar To Drop Further Around 95?The US dollar has been steadily declining since the new president was elected in the USA. This decline has been accompanied by the ongoing trade wars. Numerous economic indicators have supported this trend, and we anticipate further depreciation in the coming days or weeks. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own analysis and gain a comprehensive understanding of the market.
We wish you the best of success in trading. Good luck and trade safely.
Like and comment for more, and as always, happy trading!
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Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
⚠️ Resistance Rejection at 25K – Pause or Warning Sign?
Yesterday’s note rightly anticipated today’s challenge near 25K — and that’s exactly how the session unfolded.
Nifty opened at 24,977.85, right inside the critical resistance zone of 24,972–25,000, and formed a near O=H (Open = High) structure. The index quickly lost ground, dropping 135 points within the first hour to mark a day low of 24,813.70, forming a medium-sized Initial Balance (IB) within a wide CPR — conditions known for range-bound or tricky days.
Throughout the session, Nifty hovered largely inside the CPR and IB, with a false breakdown attempt around 12:50 PM. Such setups (wide CPR + higher value + medium IB) often result in false moves or low-conviction sessions, and today was no exception.
By day’s end, Nifty closed at 24,853.40, logging a modest −93.10 point dip, forming what can be termed as a healthy pullback — but the real test remains.
If bulls want to take charge again, they must breach and close above 25,025. On the flip side, if 24,800–24,820 gives way, it could trigger a slide toward 24,725 and 24,660 in the coming sessions.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,977.85
High: 24,982.05
Low: 24,813.70
Close: 24,853.40
Change: −93.10 (−0.37%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 124.45 pts → 🔻 Red Candle
Upper Wick: 4.20 pts
Lower Wick: 39.70 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Opened near the day’s high but selling dominated soon after.
Small upper wick shows minimal buyer strength; recovery attempts were mild.
Lower wick indicates some support emerged at day’s low, but overall tone remained bearish.
🕯 Candle Type
🟥 Bearish Candle – strong real body, minor lower wick — reflects steady intraday selling, though not overly aggressive.
📌 Key Insight
Nifty has now rejected the 25K zone two days in a row, turning it into short-term resistance.
If 24,800 breaks, expect pressure to mount — next watch: 24,725 → 24,660.
Bulls need a close above 25,025 to regain command.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 258.48
IB Range: 131.60 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 No Trade Triggered by System
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
Today’s session didn’t break anything major — but it also didn’t conquer anything new.Stuck between major support and resistance, the index is coiling for a move. Bulls have the burden of proof now.
🧠 “Markets don’t pause forever — compression leads to expansion. Be ready when it chooses its direction.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
$DXY Dollar stays weak but is it bottommed?Have not many ANY trades based on the US Dollar. Have not been convinced in either way, yet.
TVC:DXY has been weaker lately but not by much. Well, at least compared to its previous low.
However, LONGER TERM we see it's biz as usual.
It is currently fairly oversold on the weekly chart & could be primed to change direction.
17-06-2025 dayThis chart contains my analysis and key observations for today's trading session. All drawings and indicators reflect my current view of the market as of today. The purpose of this publication is to keep a record of my analysis and review it later for learning and improvement. No investment advice is provided.
explaining of my analysis for 17-06-2025 day
Nasdaq EMA and FVG AnalysisThe EMA 50 on the hourly chart at 21,810 has been an area of support. Breaking down blow this level will send the price searching for EMA 200 at 21,740. Above 21,900 there is an FVG from earlier today and breaking through the upper bound at 21,940 will likely send the price upwards beyond yesterday's swing high.
"Downside DAX" is what we will call it in July?Looking at the technical picture purely, we can see that weakness is starting to kick in. Will July be a negative month for DAX? Let's have a look.
XETR:DAX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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What do we need to know before investing?If you are thinking about investing money for the potential returns it offers, you should know that it may go well, but that there are always risks. That’s why we are going to give you some basic tips to bear in mind before making any investment decision.
How much money are you going to invest?
First of all, you need to decide how much money you want to put towards your financial investments.
The markets are subject to change
The financial markets are constantly fluctuating. The term volatility is the most commonused term to describe and measure the uncertainty provided by changes to theprices of financial assets.
Additionally, there are times in the market when the prices are more pronounced and every now and then there are crisis periods and asset prices fall dramatically.
Investing in financial markets means that we have to assume that our investments will always be subject to these types of fluctuations. If you are going to invest in the financial markets the money that you invest must be money that you will not need during the investment term.
That’s why, investing in order to obtain short term gains is inevitably associated with high risk. Furthermore, the larger our intended gains, the larger the associated risk. Always bear in mind that the greater the expected returns, the greater the assumed risk. Once again, be sure that you do not need the money that you are going to invest, as it may have losses.
The opposite can be said of long term investments, where the capacity to wait and overcome falls in the market means that you can assume more risk with your investments. With a long term vision you will avoid having to experience any possible losses with your investment period due to any eventual liquidity needs.
How much risk are you willing to take on?
Before investing it is important to know the risk you can assume. Every investor has their own risk tolerance level that they need to be aware of. Risks and returns go hand in hand, because for more returns you also need to take on more risk, and vice versa.
It is also good to know that just as with normal market conditions, those assets with a higher risk tend to suffer more fluctuations with their prices than those assets with less risk.
Therefore, in general terms:
When the forecasts for the financial markets are favourable and the market goes up, those assets with higher expected returns generally perform excellently.
Whenever the financial markets are going through uncertain times, those assets with higher expected returns, and therefore more risk, tend to perform worse.
You must start from a strong financial position
To invest you need to be at a point where your accounts are well under control, including your debts. We do not mean to say that if you have any outstanding credit you cannot invest, but it is essential that everything is in order and that you are in a situation where you can fulfil your financial obligations.
On the other hand, to build long term wealth, it is important that you assign part of your income to your savings, meaning that you have to invest with the money left over after making your payments while also saving part of what you earn.
It is important to keep a composed outlook
Now we know that investing bears its own risks and that the market is subject to change, it is essential to be composed when investing. When investing it is important to think positively, as if you don’t really believe that things will work out, why invest?
It is one thing to be cautious, and to know how much money to invest and what level of risk tolerance to assume, and another to think negatively each time there is a drop in the market. In reality, investing is a combination of caution and composure.
Diversification is the key to success
Somebody with less investment experience may make the mistake of putting all of their investment budget into just one thing. However, it is much better to have diverse investments, as while some investments may not quite work out as you would have liked them to, some do even better.
Losses are normal, and so are returns
We previously said that when investing it is important to stay calm, and that is true. In this regard, you also have to bear in mind that it is normal for some investments in your portfolio to not perform as well as you had expected.
We cannot predict the behaviour of the financial markets or of certain assets. We can also unexpectedly find ourselves with some assets that don’t perform as well as we had hoped. That is why we recommend, in addition to not risking more than you can invest, to diversify your investments well.
We have already said that investment involves risk, which is why it is good to know that if you are willing to invest, you are also willing to take on risks. If you are prepared to take on this risk, you can be successful in your investments.
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by HollyMontt
DAX: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 23,509.95 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 23,389.15.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US500.4h chart pattern.US500 (S&P 500), here's a breakdown of the potential bearish targets you're pointing to:
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📉 Market Overview:
Price has broken below the trendline and is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud support.
The bearish path is outlined on the chart with multiple target zones indicated by horizontal lines and a large blue arrow.
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🎯 Bearish Targets (as shown on your chart):
1. First Target Zone: Around 5,920 – 5,930
Minor support area just below current range.
2. Second Target Zone: Around 5,860 – 5,870
A more solid prior demand zone.
3. Final Target Zone: Around 5,780 – 5,790
Major support zone, aligns with previous consolidation area.
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🧭 Strategy Notes:
If price closes below 5,950 on the 4H or daily candle, it may confirm a stronger bearish continuation.
Keep an eye on volume and price reaction near 5,920, as this is likely the first bounce zone.
Would you like a marked-up version of this chart with exact price levels and arrows for clarity?
US100 Cautious ApproachThe US 100 is looking for direction to move. On the 1H TF previously it have broken downward trend and formed a HH and HL indicating bullishness. but after the first leg it have gone into consolidation.
Cautios appoach is required with patience as per on going geol political condition and uncertanity looming over.
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
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US30 Consolidates Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Overview – Market Caught Between Geopolitical Risk and Technical Boundaries
The ongoing Middle East crisis continues to weigh on market sentiment, keeping US30 (Dow Jones) in a consolidation phase.
Technical Outlook:
Price is currently trading between 42160 and 42410.
As long as it holds above 42160, a move toward 42410 remains likely.
🔺 A break and stability above 42410 would confirm bullish momentum toward 42810.
🔻 A break below 42160 opens the door for a decline toward 41780, with further downside potential.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42410
• Support: 42160 / 41780 / 41310
• Resistance: 42610 / 42810 / 43210