S&P Melt-Up, FOMC, Gold, Bitcoin - Key Levels and OutlooksHappy Saturday!!!
I just finished a live roundtable session so charts and analysis was fresh on the mind.
S&P just closed 9 consecutive days higher
S&P Futures 9 green candles
The melt-up has been slow and steady, but persistent
Markets are now "repaired" back to or above the US Liberation Day break levels
on April 2/April 3
I see some near-term resistance in the S&P with FOMC coming this week. There
are some reasonable gaps lower for some pullbacks, but the PAIN trade persists.
The "pain" trade now is higher highs because sentiment is so bearish.
The "pain" trade if we see all-time highs would be a bull trap.
FED is likely staying paused for May and June per the FED Watch Tool and the first rate
cut may start in July 2025. But I'm watching US Yields to see if they persist higher because
that may ruin the FED's plan and power and 40+ year correlations.
Eyes wide open and small risk. Short-term strategies are doing well in this environment.
I'll continue to grind.
Thanks for watching!!!
Market indices
Down for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD did not close below the Daily FVG and broke the Weekly FVG. Now the trend has changed to bullish but price is moving very slow. This could indicate a leading diagonal (wave 1).
So next week we could see a (corrective) move down from the Daily FVG above.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily FVG above and a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
NIFTY Analysis for 5th MayIn M15 chart we can see market is bullish as recently candles have created BOS (Break Of Structure). So, we have to find buying opportunity. Now how can we get the long entry? For that we have to wait for a while to make the proper structure of candles.
If the price sweep the IDM (X) (Inducement) level 24197 and form any rejection candle, we can take the entry here or else we have to wait until the market hit the demand zone.
In conclusion, Demand zone entry is much safer than the previous entry.
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move.
Context and Market Structure:
Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside.
However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block.
Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal.
Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep:
A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg.
Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle.
Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside.
The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation.
Projection and Price Path:
Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside.
The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875.
Additional Notes:
* Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones.
* The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying.
* Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area.
Conclusion:
The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
NI225: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36,830.69 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36,249.62..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength.
Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend.
Bullish Scenario
If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels.
Price Target and Expectations
Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg.
Current Stance
There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers.
Conclusion
US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend.
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Nifty May 1st Week AnalysisNifty is looking positive for the upcoming week, and we can expect highs of 23850-900+ if Nifty manages to close above 24550 on a daily basis. Downside risk will become more prominent if Nifty closes before 24250 on a daily candle. All levels are marked in the chart posted.
Banknifty May 1st Week AnalysisAfter losing momentum at 56000 for 2 consecutive weeks, I expect Banknifty to retrace up to 53500 in the upcoming week. The only scenario to avert this retracement would be that Banknifty closes above 55600 on a daily basis and crosses 56200. Then, we can expect a new all-time high of 57000+.
How I traded Nifty and Bank Nifty on 2-05-2025This is meaningful and descriptive analysis of how I trade indices Based on the concepts of Swings , LH and HL The backbone of this trading strategy is trend following Hope you guys learnt something out of this Ping me if you need more help with strategy
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Index demonstrated a steady to higher price movement, achieving a key target at the Outer Index Rally level of 5550 and successfully surpassing the Mean Resistance level of 5672. This trajectory establishes the foundation for sustained upward momentum as it approaches the Mean Resistance level of 5778 and sets sights on reaching the next Outer Index Rally target marked at 5945. However, it is essential to acknowledge the substantial risk of a sharp retracement from the current price level to the Mean Support level of 5601, with the potential for further decline to the Mean Support level of 5525.
Long-term bearish to 14kJust adding to the idea previously posted:
A black upward trendline shows a strong bullish trend from mid-2022 through early 2025. Recently, there’s been a significant breakdown below this trendline, which signals a substantial change in trend from bullish to bearish. On Friday, we tested and rejected this trendline, which at the same time tested a 65% (golden pocket) retracement of the recent move, indicating a possible resistance area after a strong rebound.
I expect the price not to break this level any further.
The target remains 14k and below.
De-Dollarization Debunked: Why BRICS Can’t Dethrone the USD!The Dollar’s Throne—Shaky or Rock-Solid?
Picture this: a gang of economic rebels—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and their new BRICS+ pals—plotting to topple King Dollar from its global throne. The headlines scream “De-Dollarization!” as if the U.S. dollar is about to be dethroned by a shiny new BRICS currency, backed by gold, blockchain, or sheer ambition. Sounds like a blockbuster, right? Except, here’s the twist: the dollar’s throne isn’t just solid—it’s practically welded to the global economy. So, why does the BRICS crew think they can pull off this heist? And why are they doomed to trip over their own ambitions? Buckle up for a 5,000-word joyride through the wild world of global finance, where the dollar reigns supreme, BRICS dreams big, and the numbers tell a story funnier than a sitcom.
Act 1: The Dollar’s Superpower—Why It’s Still King
Let’s start with a jaw-dropping stat: the U.S. dollar accounts for 88% of international transactions through the SWIFT system and 59% of global central bank reserves as of 2024. That’s not just dominance; it’s the financial equivalent of the dollar flexing its biceps while other currencies watch from the sidelines. The euro? A distant second at 20% of reserves. China’s yuan? A measly 2.3%. The dollar’s grip is so tight, it’s practically giving the global economy a bear hug.
Why does the dollar rule? It’s not just because Uncle Sam prints greenbacks like they’re going out of style (though the U.S. debt is a whopping $34 trillion in 2025). The dollar’s superpower lies in trust, liquidity, and infrastructure. The U.S. has deep, liquid financial markets, a stable (ish) legal system, and no capital controls—things no BRICS nation can match. Want to trade oil? Dollars. Settle a cross-border deal? Dollars. Hide your cash from your dictator boss? You guessed it—dollars. The greenback is the world’s financial comfort food, and everyone’s got a craving.
But here’s where it gets juicy: BRICS thinks they can crash this party. At the 2024 Kazan Summit, Russia’s Vladimir Putin called the dollar a “weapon,” while China’s Xi Jinping pushed for a BRICS “Unit” currency. Sounds spicy, but let’s unpack why this plan is less Ocean’s Eleven and more Three Stooges.
Act 2: BRICS’ Big Dream—And Bigger Problems
The BRICS Fantasy: A Currency to Rule Them All
BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus newbies like Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE) wants to ditch the dollar for a new currency or a basket of their own—maybe even a gold-backed “Unit.” The pitch? Reduce reliance on the dollar, dodge U.S. sanctions, and flex their collective muscle (they represent 28% of global GDP and 44% of crude oil production). In 2023, one-fifth of oil trades sidestepped the dollar, a shift driven by Russia and China settling in rubles and yuan. That’s a bold move, right?
Except, here’s the punchline: creating a BRICS currency is like herding cats while riding a unicycle and juggling flaming torches. Let’s break down why their dream is a logistical nightmare.
Problem #1: No Trust, No Party
BRICS nations don’t exactly exchange friendship bracelets. India and China? They’ve got border disputes so tense, their soldiers once threw rocks at each other. Russia and China might cozy up to dodge sanctions, but Brazil and India aren’t thrilled about Beijing calling the shots. A common currency needs trust—think the eurozone, where Germany and France (mostly) play nice. BRICS? It’s more like a reality show where everyone’s secretly voting each other off the island.
X posts sum it up: “BRICS replacing the dollar? Mutual distrust and weak legal systems will kill any shared currency initiative.” Without trust, no one’s pooling their reserves or agreeing on who controls the money printer.
Problem #2: The Yuan’s Not Ready for Prime Time
China’s yuan is the closest BRICS has to a dollar rival, but it’s got stage fright. Only 7% of foreign exchange trading involves the yuan, and China’s capital controls keep it on a tight leash. Want to invest your yuan globally? Good luck—Beijing’s not keen on letting cash flow freely. Morgan Stanley’s strategists put it bluntly: “China would need to relax control of its currency and open the capital account. That’s not happening soon.”
Plus, China’s economy isn’t exactly inspiring confidence. Consumer demand is sagging, and the property crisis is dragging on like a bad soap opera. The yuan’s share in global payments via SWIFT is up to 6.4% in 2024, but that’s still pocket change compared to the dollar’s dominance.
Problem #3: Oil’s Not Enough
BRICS+ produces 44% of global crude oil, so why not price it in their currencies? Saudi Arabia’s riyal is pegged to the dollar, and even their flirtation with yuan-based oil deals hasn’t gone far. Why? Oil is only 15% of global trade, and the dollar’s used for everything else—tech, cars, coffee, you name it. Even if BRICS prices oil in rubles or rupees, the rest of the world’s still paying for iPhones in dollars.
And here’s a kicker: at the 2024 BRICS Summit, Russia advised attendees to bring dollars and euros because local banks preferred them over rubles. Talk about an own goal
Act 3: The Dollar’s Kryptonite—Does It Exist?
Let’s play devil’s advocate. Could BRICS pull off a miracle? They’ve got some tricks up their sleeves: blockchain-based payment systems like BRICS Bridge, gold-backed reserves (BRICS+ holds 42% of global FX reserves), and a push for local currency trade. Russia and China already settle 95% of their trade in rubles and yuan. That’s not nothing.
But here’s the reality check: these moves are like bringing a water gun to a tank fight. The dollar’s dominance isn’t just about transactions; it’s about network effects. The greenback’s infrastructure—SWIFT, Wall Street, Treasury bonds—is a fortress. BRICS’ alternative, like the mBridge CBDC platform, is promising but embryonic. It connects China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, but it’s nowhere near replacing SWIFT’s global reach.
And gold? BRICS loves it—gold’s 10% of their reserves, half the global average—but it’s not a currency. You can’t pay for Netflix with gold bars, and central banks aren’t keen on lugging bullion around. The Atlantic Council’s 2024 “Dollar Dominance Monitor” says it best: “The dollar’s role as the primary global reserve currency is secure in the near and medium term.”
Act 4: Trump’s Tariffs and the De-Dollarization Drama
Enter Donald Trump, stage right, with a megaphone and a tariff hammer. In 2025, he’s threatening 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they push de-dollarization. “Any BRICS state that mentions the destruction of the dollar will lose access to America’s markets,” he thundered. Sounds like a plan to keep the dollar king, right?
Wrong. Here’s the irony: Trump’s aggressive tactics might accelerate de-dollarization. Sanctions and tariffs make BRICS nations double down on alternatives. China’s been diversifying reserves and pushing yuan trade for years, partly because of U.S. pressure. As one analyst put it, “Trump’s threats are a rallying cry for BRICS to act.”
But don’t hold your breath. Tariffs hurt BRICS economies (China’s exports to the U.S. are 15% of its total), but they don’t solve BRICS’ internal chaos. India’s External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar said it plainly: “India has never been for de-dollarization.” Brazil’s also lukewarm, fearing a China-dominated BRICS. Without unity, their currency dreams are just hot air.
Act 5: The Numbers Don’t Lie—Dollar’s Here to Stay
Let’s crunch some numbers to seal the deal:
SWIFT Transactions: Dollar: 88%. Euro: 20%. Yuan: 7%.
Global Reserves: Dollar: 59%. Euro: 20%. Yuan: 2.3%.
Oil Trade: 80% in dollars in 2023, down from 100%.
Global Trade: 50% dollar-denominated.
BRICS GDP: $28.5 trillion (28% of global). U.S.: $25.5 trillion (24%).
The dollar’s share is slipping—reserves dropped from 72% post-WWII to 59%—but it’s still laps ahead. BRICS’ push for local currencies is gaining traction (Russia-China trade is 80% non-dollar), but scaling that globally is a pipe dream. The euro flopped as a dollar rival; the yuan’s too controlled; and a BRICS “Unit”? It’s a concept, not a currency.
Act 6: Thought-Provoking Twist—What If BRICS Succeeds?
Let’s indulge in a wild “what if.” Imagine BRICS pulls it off: a gold-backed Unit currency, blockchain payments, and oil priced in yuan. The dollar crashes, inflation spikes, and Americans pay $10 for a coffee. Scary, right? Former White House economist Joe Sullivan warned BRICS could swing an “economic wrecking ball” at the dollar.
But here’s the catch: a BRICS win hurts BRICS too. Their economies rely on dollar-based trade—China holds $3 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds. A dollar collapse tanks their assets. Plus, who trusts a BRICS currency when China’s calling the shots? As Ray Dalio noted, de-dollarization is “financial risk management,” not a revolution. BRICS wants options, not chaos.
Act 7: The Funny Finale—BRICS’ Comedy of Errors
Picture BRICS at a poker table, bluffing with a bad hand. Russia’s got rubles nobody wants. China’s yuan is chained to Beijing’s whims. India’s like, “I’m just here for the snacks.” Brazil’s dreaming of free trade, and South Africa’s wondering why they RSVP’d. Meanwhile, the dollar’s dealing cards, smirking, “You sure you wanna bet against me?”
The de-dollarization saga is a comedy of errors—big talk, small results. BRICS’ heart is in it, but their heads are in the clouds. The dollar’s not perfect (hello, $34 trillion debt), but it’s the only game in town. As Morgan Stanley’s James Lord said, “When global markets fall, you want dollars.”
Epilogue: Keep Your Eyes on the Dollar
So, what’s the takeaway? De-dollarization is a catchy buzzword, but BRICS can’t dethrone the dollar anytime soon. The greenback’s too entrenched, BRICS too divided, and the world too hooked on dollar-based trade. Will BRICS chip away at the edges? Sure—expect more yuan trades and blockchain experiments. But a dollar-free world? That’s science fiction, not finance.
For traders, here’s a tip: watch DXY’s inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. A breakout above 100 could signal another dollar rally. For everyone else, laugh at the BRICS hype, stash some dollars under your mattress, and enjoy the show. The dollar’s throne isn’t going anywhere—yet.
The Canadian Dollar Index CXY on 1WEEK timeframe with cycles. Just a coincidence, I'm sure... But Canada's current Prime Minister just resigned exactly at the end of the 3rd cycle on a 9 year major support level. Is the Canadian dollar about to reverse? Pay attention to Canadian news over the next 6 months to support this idea.
Short idea Us100, sweep of weekly resistancePrice is nearing the weekly resistance after extremely bullish price, expecting price to start stalling next week as it pushes in to the golden pocket zone where we'll see a move down and some higher lows lock in.
Ill be looking for a short entry on a low volume move up on the 5 minute time frame after we've taken the external liquidity above the weekly resistance level
DXY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025Weekly Price Reaction Expectations:
Overall, for this week, we expect a price reaction around the ATI candle zone, followed by another potential reaction near the upper LQCLOSE BOX area.
DXY Bullish Momentum Justification:
Additionally, since the LPP or investment liquidity has been consumed, the bullish momentum in DXY appears more justified.
Don't let the Recession paralysed you !!!!Read these few articles here , here and here
If you buy into any of the above articles as the gospel truth, you may freak out and starts to sell your holdings in US as some gurus advised you to do so. Take a step back and asked - WHY ?
Is the content creator saying this out of your interests or his ? Remember, positive news seldom receive likes and sharing but negative on the other hand will receive more. That is why it is easier to spell doom, gloom and boom and have lots of people liking it !
Of the 3 main indices, the Tech stocks have already gotten out of the woods as it has been up more than 20% from the bottom. SPX and DJA are still playing catch up. Due to the tariffs, many goods produced in US and are sold in China are now seeing dwindling sales. Patriotism or "guo chao" in Chinese is the anti-US sentiments that is now hot in China. That means the locals will rather buy Anta or Li Ning sports shoes over Nike or Adidas. Same for cosmetics!
There are some technical chartists or analysts saying this is a dead cat bounce and once the price hit the support line (in purple), it will continue to sell down. Yes, it is possible though I think it is less probable.
6 months down the road when we look back and IF I am lucky and predicted correctly, there will be many people who will kick themselves for missing a nice bottom buy on 9th April (thanks to Donald Trump who tweeted it).
Timing the market is TOUGH as I had learnt my lessons . WB , the legendary guru is right - be in the market meaning invest in the market for the long haul in fundamentally strong companies with economic moat and strong cash flows, etc will reap better returns.
As usual, please DYODD
Nifty EOD Analysis – May 2, 2025 - Friday🟢 Nifty EOD Analysis – May 2, 2025 (Friday)🔴
Another day... tug-of-war between buyers and sellers
📊 Nifty Summary
Another one-day tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. As usual, morning momentum — driven by buyers and short-covering — pushed the index into a bullish zone. However, profit booking and seller dominance dragged it back down, ultimately parking Nifty again in the 24,330 ~ 24,365 zone — now the 4th straight session closing within this narrow range.
Nifty opened on a bullish note at 24,311 and launched into a swift rally, breaching multiple resistance zones and clocking a new high at 24,589 within the first hour. However, the enthusiasm faded quickly. Sellers stepped in aggressively, and all the major support levels crumbled one by one. What started as a breakout turned into a breakdown.
The index drifted lower and spent the rest of the session stuck in a narrow zone of 24,330–24,365 — now for the fourth session in a row! The close at 24,346 reflects indecision and caution ahead of next week’s events.
📌 5 Min Time FrameChart
🕔 Intraday 5-Min Chart (Price Walkthrough)
🔹 Opened at 24,311 and rallied sharply to 24,589 — breaching multiple resistance zones.
🔹 Sellers took control and dragged the index back below 24,400.
🔹 Breakdown through all major support levels including PDH, CPR, and CDL.
🔹 Post-lunch session remained directionless between 24,330–24,365.
🔹 Fourth consecutive close inside this compression zone.
📌 75 Min Time FrameChart
⏱️ Intraday 75-Min Time Frame Chart
📐 First two candles formed a bullish setup, but the third candle completely reversed the gains, forming an Inside Bar breakdown trap. The remaining candles failed to break out of the previous range, with momentum fading.
⚠️ A breakout (or breakdown) from this compression is now imminent — keep your eyes on the next session for direction.
📌 Daily Time FrameChart
🕯️ Daily Time Frame Chart & Candle Breakdown
📈 Today’s Candle Type: Spinning Top with long upper wick
🟢 Open: 24,311.90
🔺 High: 24,589.15
🔻 Low: 24,238.50
🔚 Close: 24,346.70
📊 Change: +12.50 (+0.05%)
🧠 Know Your Candle:
A Spinning Top reflects market indecision — the long wicks show strong attempts by both bulls and bears, but neither managed to dominate.
Upper Shadow: 242.45 pts → Strong selling from highs
Lower Shadow: 73.40 pts → Mild buying near lows
Real Body: 34.80 pts → Modest positive close
🔍 Interpretation:
Despite an early morning breakout, the close back in the congestion zone signals a lack of directional strength. The long upper wick reflects failure to hold higher ground — bias slightly tilting bearish unless this zone is broken with conviction.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
📌 Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 317.21
IB Range: 270.30
IB Category: Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
📊 Trade Summary:
✅ 1st Trade (Long): Triggered at 9:25 – Target Achieved (1:2 RR)
❌ 2nd Trade (Short): Triggered at 12:25 – SL Hit
🔮 What’s Next?
The bias remains neutral to slightly bearish. Despite a strong upside in the first hour, the repeated failure to sustain above 24,400 and four closes within 24,330–24,365 suggest exhaustion.
A breakout from this tight coil should give a clear move — wait for confirmation.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance:
24,330 ~ 24,360 (Immediate hurdle)
24,400 (PDH)
24,457
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,589 (CDH)
24760 ~ 24,800
🔻 Support:
24,190 ~ 24,225
24,120
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
💬 Final Thoughts
“Range traps continue to fool both sides — momentum without conviction is just noise.”
Watch the compression zone — a genuine breakout or closing above 24,365 or breakdown below 24,225 could bring clarity. Until then, trade light and watch levels.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.