Market indices
BANK NIFTY -1D - BEARISH EXPECTINGChart Insights : Day Chart
Index Trading at 56800 on 15-Jul-2025
Observed RSI Divergence on Bank Nifty 1 Day Chart.
- Bearish RSI Divergence: While Bank Nifty has been making higher highs, the RSI hasn’t followed suit. This disconnect suggests buyers are losing steam.
- Rising Wedge Pattern: The index is trading within a rising wedge—a bearish formation that often precedes a pullback. Breaking Rising Wedge would confirm the same.
Lets wait and see
Water point of view, the dollar needs a small shock rise after fWater point of view, the dollar needs a small shock rise after falling too much, slow down and continue to fall............
It was pulled up to the upper boundary before, and the decline was smooth and fast. What should I do if the decline is too fast? Slow down
Continue to see the decline, the trillion-dollar debt of the United States is a big pit, depreciation will prolong life
Major LowI'm buying puts expiring on October 31st, All Hallow's Eve.
I'll give price room to keep melting up to 666 at the farthest, that is my stop level. If we breach that price, then just know that tech is unstoppable and Artificial Intelligence is the Mark of the Beast.
If the market doesn't drop here, then the sky is the limit.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 15th:
There have been no major changes in the global market; it continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also reflecting the same tone. Today, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-up start.
So, what can we expect today?
Current View:
Structurally, we are still in a minor downtrend. So, if the market fails to sustain the neutral start, we can expect a minor correction in the initial stage.
if the correction comes with a solid structure or the price consolidates around the immediate support, then the correction is likely to continue.
On the other hand, if the correction reaches the support with gradual moves, then the support may hold, and we can expect a minor pullback with a bearish bias.
Alternate View:
If the market takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum of 38% to 50% retracement on the upside. However, since we are still in a downtrend, once the pullback starts correcting again, we may expect a range-bound market or further correction, similar to what we saw in the last session.
$SPX Trading Range for 7.15.25 and everything in it for CPI
Tomorrow’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 15th:Current View:
Structurally, we are still in a minor downtrend. So, if the market fails to sustain the neutral start, we can expect a minor correction in the initial stage.
if the correction comes with a solid structure or the price consolidates around the immediate support, then the correction is likely to continue.
On the other hand, if the correction reaches the support with gradual moves, then the support may hold, and we can expect a minor pullback with a bearish bias.
Alternate View:
If the market takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum of 38% to 50% retracement on the upside. However, since we are still in a downtrend, once the pullback starts correcting again, we may expect a range-bound market or further correction, similar to what we saw in the last session.
#SENSEX Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Sensex is likely to kick off the session with a gap-up opening around the 82500 level, reflecting early bullish momentum. If this initial strength holds and the index begins to build above the 82600–82650 zone, it could signal the start of a recovery leg toward higher resistance levels at 82800, 82900, and potentially 83000+. Sustained action above 82650 may encourage momentum traders to chase strength during the day.
However, the 82500–82650 range will act as a battleground. Failure to defend this zone could invite selling pressure. A breakdown below 82500 may expose the index to intraday weakness, opening downside targets at 82200, 82100, and even 82050. In this case, expect volatility to increase near support levels.
Traders should approach with a flexible strategy—watching for breakout confirmation above 82650 or signs of reversal pressure below 82500. Today’s early range could set the tone for the entire session.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today near the 25050–25100 zone. If the index sustains above this level after the opening, bullish momentum could follow with potential upside targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+. This zone will act as the key intraday support-turned-demand area.
However, if Nifty struggles to hold above 25200–25250 and shows signs of reversal from this zone, we might witness selling pressure. A rejection from this region could lead to a pullback toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels.
On the downside, a breakdown below 24950 will signal further weakness. If that level is breached decisively, it can lead to sharp downside movements toward 24850, 24800, and even 24750. This would indicate a reversal of early bullish sentiment.
Today’s session could remain volatile around key levels. It’s advisable to watch price action around the 25050–25250 range for intraday confirmation before taking directional trades.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 56950 zone. If the index sustains below the 56900–56950 resistance range after the initial up-move, it could face selling pressure. A downside move from this level may trigger a correction toward the 56750, 56650, and 56550 zones. This level becomes a key intraday resistance.
On the downside, a breakdown below the 56650 level could intensify selling, leading to further downside targets of 56250, 56150, and 56050. This zone must be monitored closely as it holds short-term support strength. A decisive move below 56650 will shift sentiment bearish for the session.
On the other hand, a breakout and sustained move above 57100 could attract bullish momentum and may lead to upside targets of 57250, 57350, and even 57450+. Price action around the 57000–57100 mark will be crucial to determine any bullish continuation.
Overall, today's session is expected to open strong but watch for follow-through near the key zones. Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation around 56900–57100 for direction clarity.
BUYTrend Line Break
Previous Day Volume
Rejection Point
Untapped Order Point
Asian Session
High Structure Swing
$SPX Tomorrow’s Trading Range and everything in it /// 7.14.25Tomorrow’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
US500 evening analysisMy primary count of bullish price action since 7 April 2025 low sees regular flat (regular flat A, zigzag B, impulse C), impulse C with ending diagonal 5 of (5).
Median line (red line) of pitchfork was never tagged, implies price action eventually returning to origin (5098.6).
Ending diagonal invalid above 6307.2, bears with high reward, low risk opportunity.
Dollar holds steady uptrend despite Trump’s tariff threats.
President Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from both the EU and Mexico, a hike from the 20% previously imposed on the EU in April. He also warned that if no agreement is reached on the Ukraine war within 50 days, countries trading with Russia could face a 100% tariff.
Meanwhile, market volatility is being amplified by speculation over Fed Chair Powell’s potential dismissal, as attacks against him intensify from Trump and his allies. Deutsche Bank warned that Powell’s removal could trigger sharp swings in both the dollar and bond markets.
DXY has extended its two-week rally after testing the recent low, approaching the 98.00 threshold. The index remains within the ascending channel, indicating the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.25, the index could gain upward momentum toward 98.60. Conversely, if DXY breaks below the support at 97.60, the index may retreat to 97.00.
AUS200/ASX200 - OPPORTUNITY KNOCKING OUR DOORTeam, time to SHORT the hell out of AUS200 at 8632 to 8645 ranges
Taking 50-60% target at 8606-8592
ensure bring stop loss to BE once it hit our first target
then second target at 8585-8572
LET'S GO AND KILL THEM.
DOLLAR PUSHING HIGHERPrevious week high has taken by a bullish move. Market printed a nice 4H imbalance which shows the potential of the market to go further higher.
Bullish rise?GER40 has reacted off the support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,135.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 23,928.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 24,624.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders!
The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level.
The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight.
Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically.
In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs.
This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well.
Best of luck on your trading journey!
US30 SELLWe've seen a shift on the H4
Confirmation for a swing sell
Proper risk management is advised
Bullish bounce off pullback resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 44,312.73
1st Support: 44,212.79
1st Resistance: 44,554.09
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks.
Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias:
Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum.
AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists .
Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors.
Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market.
"Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors.
Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index.
Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility:
Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices.
Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869).
Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints.
Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance.
Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged.
Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq.
Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back.
Key Levels to Watch (Approximate):
Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high).
Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled).
In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
SPX 6300 Highs to 6200 Lows - Watch Key LevelsThis week earnings season kicks off
-Notables include JPM, GS, BAC, WFC, NFLX, KMI, PEP and others
US Inflation (CPI and PPI) this week
-forecasts are showing HIGHER inflation
-consumers care, but markets may not
6300-6350 key resistance area for SPX
6200 key support area for SPX
If we break the 6200 floor, there's room to fall to 6000-5700 to find stronger support
I discuss the 50 day moving averarages on the S&P and Nasdaq as levels to watch
For the remainder of the month...
7/18 July Monthly Expiration
7/30 US FOMC (with Press Conference)
8/1 US Non-Farm
8/1 US Tariff Deadline (per Trump)
Markets will have to really love a slew of good earnings and good news to see more highs and melt-ups through this typically bumpy season (Aug-Sep)
Thanks for watching!!!
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 97.81
1st Support: 97.19
1st Resistance: 99.25
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
