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Nasdaq-100 (NDX) daily analysis Distribution & Accumulation Zone🧭 CAPITALCOM:US100 Market Interpretation & Scenarios 🟢 Accumulation Zone (Demand / Buy-Side Liquidity) 21,640–21,720 region • Strong buying reaction post-CHoCH + bullish BOS. • Green FVG + “Long” entry = Smart Money likely accumulating. • Price made a new HH and is now retracing into the gray FVG & BB zone. • 🔍 If 21,800–21,775 holds, price may push higher and retest or break 21,960. • 🎯 Upside Targets: 22,000–22,050 (next liquidity grab). 🔴 Distribution Zone (Supply / Sell-Side Liquidity) 21,920–21,960 region • Premium zone where HH formed, followed by retracement. • Red FVG + rejection = Smart Money potentially distributing. • Failure to close above suggests a temporary distribution range. • ❗️ If gray FVG breaks down, expect a drop toward green FVG (~21,680) or lower. • A CHoCH near 21,775 would confirm a bearish shift in structure
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by iamtradingdon
An update on my NAS100 trade idea I shared over the weekend.I analyzed over the weekend and ended up breaking down a weak high, my mistake was not considering some of the information the chart was communicating at that time. I ended up not getting any entry opportunity on the POI I was targeting. As I was waiting, I noticed I was looking for entry on the push of a weak high which was now acting as an inducement then reevaluated my analysis and noticed price was going to look for liquidity above that weak high.
FX:NAS100Short
by The_Sniper_036
Daily SMC Post-Market Analysis – Nifty 50 | 16 June 2025🔍 Daily Chart – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Analysis Instrument: Nifty 50 Spot Index Date Analyzed: 16 June 2025 (Monday) Timeframe: 1D (Daily) – Higher Timeframe Structure 📈 Daily Price Summary 🟢 Open: 24,732 🔼 High: 24,967 🔽 Low: 24,703 🔴 Close: 24,946 Price closed strongly near the high of the day, pushing deeper into the Bearish FVG1 zone, indicating potential premium exhaustion in HTF. 🔹 HTF Market Structure (Daily Chart) 🔼 Last HH / Break of Structure (BoS): 25,222 🔽 Last HL / Change of Character (CHoCH): 24,502 🔁 Previous LH (BoS): 25,079 🔁 Previous HH (BoS): 25,116 📌 Trend Bias: Still Bullish, as long as price holds above the Higher Low (24,502) 📍 Caution: Price is inside bearish premium zones and reacting to internal resistance 💰 Premium / Discount Zoning (Swing-Based) 🟢 Swing Low: 24,502 ⚖️ Swing Mid: 24,862 🔺 Swing High: 25,222 📍 Current Close (24,946) = In Premium Zone → Watch for liquidity sweep or reversal setups. 🟩 Bullish Order Block (HTF) Zone: 24,150 – 24,447 Volume Multiplier: 1.1 🔍 This OB sits in deep discount, and marked with institutional interest. If price returns here, it could offer high-probability long setups. 🔻 Bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVG) 24,754 – 25,081 ✅ Currently active 25,143 – 25,230 🔺 Awaiting reaction 25,485 – 25,739 🔺 Future resistance zone 🟢 Bullish Fair Value Gaps (FVG) 24,644 – 24,971 ✅ Price traded inside this today 24,164 – 24,547 ✅ Deep support zone aligning with OB 📌 Summary Outlook: HTF (Daily) remains bullish but price has entered premium and bearish FVGs, approaching resistance. Price must break and close above 25,222 to confirm a fresh bullish leg. A breakdown below 24,502 (HL) would be the first sign of structure shift, invalidating the bullish setup. Key levels for reaction: Upside Breakout Zone: 25,230+ Downside Watch Zone: 24,447–24,150 (Bullish OB with volume)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by MathThomas
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/06/2025Today, a flat opening is expected in Nifty near the 24,950 level. The index has been moving in a narrow consolidation zone and currently trades just below an important resistance. If Nifty manages to sustain above the 25,050–25,100 zone after the opening, we may witness bullish momentum building up. This could lead to an upward move toward 25,150, 25,200, and possibly 25,250+ levels during the day. However, if Nifty fails to hold above the 24,950 mark and slips into weakness, it may invite intraday profit booking. A drop below the 24,900–24,950 level could open the downside toward 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750 levels. This zone has previously acted as a support range, and any break here could intensify selling pressure.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/06/2025)Today, Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 55,970 zone. The market has shown a steady recovery over the past few sessions, and now it stands near a crucial resistance level. If Bank Nifty manages to sustain above the 56,000–56,050 level after the opening, we may see bullish momentum picking up. This could lead to a move toward the higher levels of 56,250, 56,350, and even 56,450+ in the intraday session. A breakout above 56,050 with volume confirmation can act as a trigger for continued upside. On the flip side, if Bank Nifty struggles to hold above 55,950 and slips below this level, it may face intraday selling pressure. A breakdown can drag the index back down toward 55,750 initially, followed by 55,650 and 55,550 if weakness persists. These levels will act as immediate support zones where short covering or fresh buying may be seen. Overall, the index remains in a narrow range with critical levels on both ends. A directional move can emerge if either side breaks with strength. Traders should remain cautious and avoid aggressive positions near the opening. Trade with a strict stop loss and consider trailing profits once levels are achieved, as the market may remain choppy around key zones.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
Tariff uncertainty keeps weighing on the dollar. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased slightly amid signs of potential negotiations, prompting markets to shift their focus back to the upcoming FOMC and tariffs. Following talks with Canadian Prime Minister Carney, President Trump stated that a trade deal with Canada could be reached within weeks, and also confirmed that a trade agreement with the UK has been signed. Meanwhile, markets are almost certain that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the upcoming FOMC, with the probability priced at 99.8%. Wells Fargo expects the inflation outlook to rise due to the delayed impact of higher tariffs, projecting that the year-end median federal funds rate will climb by 25bps to 4.125%. DXY is consolidating within the 97.50–98.50 range, remaining below both EMAs, which suggests a potential continuation of bearish momentum. If DXY breaks below the support at 98.00, the index may retreat to 97.50. Conversely, if DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.50 and the descending trendline, the index could gain upward momentum toward 99.00.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
S&P 500 H1 | Falling toward a swing-low supportThe S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,974.27 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 5,935.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 6,056.80 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Long
by Tradu
US100 is Currently trading in a clear bullish zoneUS100 Technical & Fundamental Outlook (4H Timeframe) The US100 is currently trading in a clear bullish zone on the 4-hour chart. Despite underlying pressure due to cautious market sentiment, the index shows signs of resilience Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist but have yet to spark panic selling. Market uncertainty remains high ahead of this week's anticipated Federal Reserve outlook. Technical View: The index is showing strength, and a 4H candle close above the 22,000 level would be a significant bullish signal. A confirmed breakout above this level opens the door to the next potential target at 22,500 If you like this idea if find more better analysis from our team we need support from You Guys.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by MrMartin_11
Bullish bounce?USD Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 97.81 1st Support: 97.19 1st Resistance: 98.69 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
$DXY weakness and EM markets: $NIFTY more upside? The recent weakness in TVC:DXY is well documented. We have analyzed it here in detail in our blogs. This weakness is giving wings to all kinds of risk assets including Ems. One of our favorite EM in this space has been India and NSE:NIFTY index for quiet some time. It is the only EM which is close to beating S&P 500 over the last 5-year period. We have been recently bullish at NSE:NIFTY and published new targets on June 6. Please check the post in the link here. NSE:NIFTY : New highs incoming; 27500 can be cycle highs for NSE:NIFTY by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView The road to the medium-term target of 27500 on NSE:NIFTY has to do with the weakness of $DXY. As we see, lower lows and lower highs in the Dollar index TVC:DXY provides the required boost to risky assets like Stocks, Crypto and EMs. Even if we have some recent choppiness in the market the upward momentum will continue. By the end of July, we might see TVC:DXY at 96 up 2.5% and NSE:NIFTY @ 26000 up 5%. Verdict : Pair Trade : Short TVC:DXY to 96 and Long NSE:NIFTY to 26000.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by RabishankarBiswal
Dow Jones Approaches Two-Month Highs AgainThe Dow Jones index has started the week with a strong bullish bias, pushing the price up by more than 1% in the short term. This upward trend has remained solid despite growing military tensions in the Middle East. While the conflict caused significant volatility last week, markets have now digested the uncertainty, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index remaining steady in the “greed” zone, showing no signs of retreating toward neutral territory. This suggests that confidence remains firm in the short term, allowing demand for risk assets like the Dow Jones to stay consistent in recent sessions. However, it is important to note that the Dow has historically shown significant sensitivity to trade war developments. Although ongoing negotiations between the United States and China continue, the outcome regarding tariffs remains uncertain. If no agreement is reached, negative trade dynamics could resurface, triggering a renewed loss of confidence and possibly leading to sustained selling pressure in the long term. Consistent Bullish Trend Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a strong buying trend, with price movements consistently above the 40,000-point level. So far, there have been no major bearish corrections that would break this structure. However, the price is currently facing a key resistance level. If this barrier holds, it could mark the beginning of a corrective phase in the short term. Technical Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has begun to show a bearish divergence, as it records lower highs, while the Dow’s price posts higher highs. This reflects an imbalance in market forces, which may lead to short-term downside corrections. TRIX: The TRIX line, which measures the momentum of exponential moving averages, remains above the neutral level (0), but has started to flatten, potentially signaling the beginning of a neutral phase, especially as the price tests resistance zones. Key Levels to Watch: 42,700 points: A critical resistance zone, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this level would strengthen the current bullish bias and help consolidate the uptrend. 41,900 points: A short-term support level, associated with a recent neutral zone. It could act as a barrier against downward corrections. 41,064 points: The final support, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could threaten the ongoing bullish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
Wall Street Eyes Volatility: Dow Jones Tests Reversal ZoneUS30 (Dow Jones Index) — Clashing Forces of Risk & Reality Technical Outlook — 16 June, 2025 | 1H Chart Current Market Condition: The Dow Jones (US30) has staged a recovery from the recent dip, but price is stalling at the Previous Day High (~42,588), a key confluence zone with the broken rising trendline, 50 EMA, and overhead supply. This hesitation comes amid heightened global risk aversion triggered by the intensifying Iran–Israel conflict, adding pressure to global indices as investors rotate into safer assets like treasuries and gold. Despite intraday rebounds, equity bulls are showing signs of fatigue at resistance zones. Markets are also bracing for upcoming US economic data and Fed commentary, which may further amplify intraday volatility. Key Technical Highlights: Price rejected from the confluence of PDH (~42,588), horizontal supply zone, and old rising trendline (yellow). Currently hovering just under the 50 EMA; failure to hold could initiate a rotation back toward PD Low. Stochastic RSI nearing overbought — suggests possible local top if no momentum breakout follows. EMA 200 and the Previous Day Low at ~42,053 remain critical intraday supports. Overall structure forming potential lower high under bearish macro cloud. Trade Plan: 🔼 Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long): Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 42,600 with rising volume Target: 42,900 → 43,100 Stop Loss: Below 42,450 (to avoid whipsaws) 🔻 Bearish Rejection (Intraday Short): Trigger: Clean rejection from PDH + trendline with bearish engulfing Target: 42,100 → 42,050 → 41,850 Stop Loss: Above 42,650 ⚖️ Neutral / Range Trade: Play the range between PDH (~42,588) and PDL (~42,053) until breakout. Scalp based on price reaction at either boundary with tight stop loss. 🛡️ Risk Management Note: Global uncertainty tied to war escalation and Fed policy expectations make this a headline-driven market. News risk can spike volatility and invalidate technical setups. Trade with reduced size and increased caution, especially around US market open and geopolitical news cycles. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30
by MarketsPOV
The "True Close" Institutions Don't Talk About — But Trade On█ My Story from the Inside I worked at a hedge fund in Europe, where I served as a Risk Advisor. One thing I never expected before joining the institutional side of the market was this: They didn’t treat the current day’s close as the "true" close of the market. Instead, they looked at the first hour of the next day — once all pending flows had settled, rebalancing was done, and execution dust had cleared — that was the true close in their eyes. Here’s why that changed everything I knew about trading: █ Institutional Reality vs Retail Fantasy ⚪ Retail traders are taught: “The daily close is the most important price of the day.” But institutions operate under constraints that most retail traders are never exposed to: Orders too large to fill before the bell Internal compliance and execution delays Batch algorithms and VWAP/TWAP systems that extend into the next session So while the market might close on paper at 17:30 CET, the real trading — the stuff that matters to funds — might not wrap up until 09:30 or 10:00 the next morning. Although the official “close” prints here, institutional volume ends quickly. It drops off sharply, almost immediately. Once the books are closed and final prints are done, big players exit — and what's left is thin, passive flow or noise. The first hour of the New York session reveals structured flows, not random volatility. This is where institutions finalize yesterday’s unfinished business, which is why many consider this the “true” close. And that’s the price risk managers, portfolio managers, and execution teams internally treat as the reference point. █ Example: The Rebalance Spillover Let’s say a fund needs to offload €100 million worth of tech stocks before month-end. They start into the close, but liquidity is thin. Slippage mounts. They pause execution. Next morning, their algo resumes — quietly but aggressively — in the first 30 minutes of trade. You see a sharp spike. Then a reversal. Then another surge. That’s not noise. That’s structure. It’s the result of unfinished business from yesterday. █ Why the First Hour is a War Zone You’ve probably seen it: Prices whip back and forth at the open Yesterday’s key levels are revisited, sometimes violently Big moves happen without any overnight news Here’s what’s happening under the hood: Rebalancing spillovers from the day before Late-position adjustments from inflows/outflows Risk parity or vol-targeting models triggering trades based on overnight data The market’s not reacting to fresh news — it’s completing its old to-do list. █ What the Research Really Says About Morning Volatility The idea that "the true close happens the next morning" isn’t just insider intuition — it’s backed by market microstructure research that highlights how institutional behaviors disrupt the clean narrative of the official close. Here’s what the literature reveals: █ Heston, Korajczyk & Sadka (2010) Their study on intraday return patterns shows that returns continue at predictable 30-minute intervals, especially around the open. The key driver? Institutional order flow imbalances. When big funds can’t complete trades at the close, they spill into the next session, creating mechanical, non-informational momentum during the first hour. These delayed executions are visible as persistent price drifts after the open, not random volatility. █ Wei Li & Steven Wang (SSRN 2010) This paper dives into the asymmetric impact of institutional trades. It shows that when institutions are forced to adjust positions — often due to risk limits, inflows/outflows, or model-based triggers — the market reacts most violently in the early hours of the day. When funds lag behind the clock, the next morning becomes a catch-up window, and price volatility spikes accordingly. █ Lars Nordén (Doctoral Thesis, Swedish Stock Exchange) In his microstructure research, Nordén found that the variance of returns is highest in the early part of the session, not at the close. This is especially true on days following macro events or at the end/start of reporting periods. The data implies that institutions “price in” what they couldn’t execute the day before, making the next morning more informative than the actual close. █ Bottom Line from the Research: The first hour isn’t wild because it’s full of emotion. It’s wild because it’s full of unfinished business. These studies reinforce that price discovery is a rolling process, and for institutional flows, the official close is just a checkpoint, not a final destination. █ How to Use This as a Trader ⚪ Don't assume the official close is final Treat it as a temporary bookmark. Watch what happens in the first hour of the next day — that’s when intentions are revealed. ⚪ Volume in the first 30–60 minutes matters It’s not noise — it’s flow completion. Often non-price-sensitive. Often mechanical. ⚪ Design strategies around “true close” logic Test fade setups after the first hour’s range is established. That’s often the real “settled” level. ⚪ Use the first-hour VWAP or midpoint as a reference Institutions may anchor to that — not the official close — for mean reversion or risk metrics. █ Final Thought The first hour is not the start of something new. It’s the conclusion of yesterday’s market. And unless you understand how institutions truly close their books — and how long that takes — you’ll always be a step behind. So next time you see chaos at the open, stop calling it random. 👉 It’s just the market putting yesterday to bed — late. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
42
NASDAQ Close to the 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 2022 Low and is currently extending the gains of the latest Bullish Leg. At the same time it is about to form the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years (since March 08 2023). The last two major Bullish Legs of this pattern, before the previous one was interrupted by the Trade War, were pretty symmetrical, peaking at +49.21% and +47.47% respectively. If the current one follows the +47.47% 'minimum', we should be expecting Nasdaq to hit 24000 by late Q3. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
1