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Bank Nifty Breakout 56100 or breakdown 54250 .. what next !!Bank Nifty Technical Outlook: Bank Nifty is currently forming a lower high and higher low pattern, indicating a symmetrical triangle formation. The trading range is getting increasingly narrower, suggesting that a decisive breakout is imminent on either side. Downside Scenario: If Bank Nifty breaks down below 54,200, we could see a retracement towards the 52,930 – 52,300 levels, where multiple virgin CPRs (Central Pivot Ranges) are present, potentially acting as support zones. Traders should closely monitor price action near the current range boundaries for confirmation of direction.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by utradewithme
HK50 "HongKong" Index Market Bullish Robbery (Swing Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (21000.0) Day/Swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 24200.0 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸HK50 "Hong Kong" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:HK50Long
by Thief_Trader
DXY... 1H chat patternHere's a breakdown of your DXY trade idea with the proposed parameters: ### 🟩 *Trade Setup:* * *Instrument*: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) * *Position*: Long (Buy) * *Entry*: 100.00 * *Take Profit (TP)*: 100.80 * *Stop Loss (SL)*: 99.38 ### 📊 *Trade Metrics:* * *Risk (Stop Loss): 100.00 − 99.38 = **0.62* * *Reward (Take Profit): 100.80 − 100.00 = **0.80* * *Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): **0.80 / 0.62 ≈ 1.29* ### ✅ *Pros:* * Favorable *RRR > 1*, though ideally 2:1 is preferred. * Buying near the *psychological round number* of 100.00. * SL is below the identified support at 99.48 and 99.37, offering cushion. * Target is reasonable and aligns with short-term resistance zones (based on technicals). ### ⚠ *Risks / Considerations:* * DXY is currently range-bound and sensitive to macroeconomic events (e.g., NFP, Fed speakers). * SL at 99.38 is slightly wide (\~62 pips), make sure your position size reflects this to manage risk. * Watch for fakeouts around 100.00 as it’s a key level traders target for stop hunts. ### 🧠 *Final Take:* Your setup is technically valid and reasonably structured. Just ensure you're accounting for volatility—especially if this trade is held over high-impact news events.
TVC:DXYLong
by Money_Magnet5
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 2 May 2025- Dow Jones broke resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 42000.00 Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 40815.00 (former support from March and the top of wave A from the start of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from March. The breakout of this resistance zone continues the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 42000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
DJ:DJILong
by FxProGlobal
USD - Early Stages of a Low?The FOMC rate decision next week will likely have some pull on the matter but for now, the US Dollar is working on its second consecutive green week for the first time since the high in January. Resistance has so far held at last year's swing low of 100.22 but bulls put in some push over the past week and it seems unlikely that the Fed will suddenly go dovish given the overhang of tariff uncertainty. Notably, the oversold RSI reading on the weekly has started to rectify with the indicator crossing up and over the 30-level. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
Nasdaq 100 - Bull trap print begins circa April 30thThe Nasdaq 100 index is seriously oversold as market participants are gripped by fear. Understandable… however, markets do not crash in fear. Instead the opposite happens, counterintuitive as that sounds. The Index shall continue display volatility until sellers are exhausted, which is around April 30th when the bottom shall print. So yeah, this week is probably going to suck what life remains of your account. However selling now is not in your best interest, I would argue the opposite. Let me explain why. On the above daily chart the Nasdaq 100 death cross approaches, forecast to print on April 30th (the dotted lines). The death cross (On the Nasdaq 100 only) is defined as the 65 day Simple Moving average (blue line) crossing down the 240-day SMA with price action under the 240-day SMA. Now the date has been changing a lot with recent volatility, to counter that behaviour the forecast for the cross uses the "Box Jenkins" forecast method (Ww is a data scientist and engineer specialising in probability theory and stochastic processes, will be adding the tool to my collection of scripts shortly!). Read more about Box Jenkins method here: www.investopedia.com Now I’m not normally a fan of moving averages, but on "looking left"… you’ll find me on the front row seat. I tell you all that to tell you this, look left. Look left at past death crosses using this method: 17% rally from death cross on March 15th, 2022 22% rally from death cross on December 18th, 2018 17% rally from death cross on February 16th, 2016 You get the picture. This behaviour continues to repeat with the previous ten death crosses until the print on October 12th, 2000, where the bull trap was followed by a market crash of 80%. In terms of probability there is a 90% chance the death cross shall result in a positive rally. However, it is my guess many readers will place more weight on the 10% chance of a crash. That’s emotion, not reason! In fact if you scan over many of the published ideas on tradingview you'll notice the bearish slant is strong. Is this time is different? ===================== There are no certainties, only probabilities. Price action could continue selling off following the cross to reach new lows. That said, this idea is to forecast a bull trap, not a continuation in the market uptrend. The probability favouring a rally is incredibly high. After that, not so good. Not good at all. Price action forecast on rally ======================= Approximately 19.2 to 19.5k Conclusions ===================== The market is oversold as emotions run high. History tells us It is unlikely the correction ramps up in momentum after the cross prints. However the cross can indicate the index may be about to enter a bear market should price action reject the 50-day SMA, which it is very likely. That’s for the next post! Ww
NASDAQ:NDX
by without_worries
23
DXY (Dollar index) Shorts from 1hr supply zone My general outlook on the DXY this week leans bearish, as I expect price to continue trending lower. I’ve identified a nearby 1H supply zone, where we could see price react and begin pushing lower. There is also a larger supply zone further above, but it’s currently out of reach unless price pulls back significantly. Looking back, the 2-day demand zone I marked over a week ago has played out well, with a strong bullish reaction from that level — price is still rising from that zone. During this move, a new 11H demand zone has formed, which also led to a change of character to the upside. If price revisits that zone, we may see another bullish continuation from there. Key Points: Overall bearish trend expected to continue in the short term. 1H supply zone nearby is a potential trigger point for a sell-off. 2D demand zone previously marked is still holding and influencing price. 11H demand zone has caused a bullish shift and could provide another long opportunity if price returns. P.S. This is my general DXY outlook for the week. I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as a key confluence when analysing and executing trades across other major pairs.
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
VIX: Risk On?As of May 2, 2025, TVC:VIX has broken another support level, currently sitting at 22.63 with a -1.61% drop on the 4H chart. It is trading near a demand zone (22.00–22.34), but price action shows no bullish conviction. With multiple Break of Structure (BoS) events to the downside and no significant bullish order blocks holding, volatility appears to be compressing further. Meanwhile, AMEX:IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) has broken out of a bull flag and reclaimed the 9EMA and anchored VWAP bands from the April decline. It's up 2.29% on the day and targeting resistance zones between 201.21 and 212.33. 🧠 **Interpretation**: - Market sentiment shifting risk-on. - Volatility compression aligned with bullish equity breakout. - Expect continued downside in TVC:VIX unless geopolitical/fundamental catalysts spike fear. 🎯 ** TVC:VIX Bearish Probability: 65%** 📌 Watch zones: 21.50 for next liquidity grab, 27–30 zone for potential mean reversion if market reverses. #VIX #IWM #Volatility #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LuxAlgo #WaverVanir
TVC:VIXLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
DOLLARDXY and Bond Yield Correlation: Key Dynamics in 2025 Core Relationship The US Dollar Index (DXY) and US 10-Year Treasury yields exhibit a positive correlation, driven by shared sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy, inflation expectations, and global risk sentiment. Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD (DXY ↑) and pushes yields higher Strong US Growth Bolsters USD and raises yields via inflation risks Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD and lowers yields as capital flows to riskier assets Inflation Fears Raises yields but may not always lift USD if growth concerns dominate Current Correlation Metrics (2025) DXY and 10-Year Yield Correlation: Historically positive, with recent coefficients ranging from +0.50 to +0.93 depending on market conditions. USD/JPY and Yields: Extreme correlation of +0.93 in 2025, reflecting synchronized moves between the dollar and yields. Key Drivers in 2025 Monetary Policy: The Fed’s restrictive stance (4.50% rate) supports both USD and yields, but delayed cuts and tariff-induced inflation risks create volatility. ECB and BoJ dovishness amplifies USD strength, reinforcing the correlation. Economic Data: Robust US GDP growth (0.4% Q1 2025) and sticky inflation (2.1% in Germany) keep yields elevated, supporting DXY. Weakness in global markets (e.g., China, EU) drives safe-haven flows into USD and Treasuries, complicating the correlation. Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks: US fiscal deficit concerns and trade tensions (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) threaten to decouple DXY from yields. For example, rising yields due to debt supply fears may coincide with USD weakness if investors flee US assets. Bond market turbulence (10-Year yields at 4.47% in April 2025) highlights sensitivity to foreign demand and leverage unwinds. Exceptions and Divergences Risk-Off Scenarios: In crises, investors may buy both Treasuries (lowering yields) and USD, creating a temporary negative correlation. De-Dollarization Fears: Structural shifts, such as reduced foreign appetite for US debt, could weaken the link between DXY and yields despite high rates. 2025 Outlook Yield Range: Expected to stabilize between 4%–5%, supporting a firm USD if Fed policy remains hawkish. DXY Trajectory: Faces headwinds from fiscal risks and tariffs but could rebound if global growth slows and US data stays resilient. Summary Table Correlation Positive (DXY ↑ as yields ↑), but context-dependent Fed Policy Primary driver; higher rates lift both DXY and yields Inflation Supports yields, but may weaken USD if growth falters Global Risk Risk-off flows can strengthen USD while lowering yields 2025 Risks Fiscal deficits, tariffs, and de-dollarization may disrupt correlation In conclusion, while DXY and bond yields generally move in tandem, 2025’s unique mix of monetary policy, fiscal strains, and geopolitical shifts introduces volatility. Traders should monitor Fed rhetoric, inflation data, and global risk appetite for directional cues.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
"Clean Swing Buy/Sell Labels"This custom indicator identifies swing highs and swing lows to display Buy and Sell signals directly on the chart. 🎯 📊 Key Features: Customizable Buy/Sell label size 🏷️ Adjustable swing length and percentage move for accurate signals ⚡ Fixed Creator Info at the bottom right for attribution 🌟 💡 Perfect for: Traders looking for clean and straightforward signals without clutter. Customizable to fit your charting style! 🔗 Created by: @vasanthvk_13 📈 Code: Clean Swing Buy/Sell Labels (Pine Script) 💬 Feedback is appreciated!
NSE:NIFTY
by vasanthkvk