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The S&P 500 Is Hitting New Highs, But Its Charts Look MixedThe S&P 500 SP:SPX has made a series of new all-time closing and intra-day highs in recent days as Wall Street staged a remarkable comeback from the April lows that followed President Donald Trump's announcement of "Liberation Day" tariffs. Does fundamental and technical analysis say the key index could go higher from here ... or pull back? Let's check it out: The S&P 500's Fundamental Analysis The SPX fell more than 21% intraday in less than seven weeks between its Feb. 19 peak and its April 7 low as Trump rolled out his plan for big tariffs on foreign imports. Many investors feared that high import duties -- coupled with foreign retaliatory tariffs on American exports -- would boost U.S. inflation and unemployment at the same time, creating "stagflation." But about a week after Trump rolled out the "Liberation Day" tariffs on April 2, the president paused much of the plan for 90 days to allow for trade talks with other countries. Risk-on assets quickly started to come back as Wall Street began to think deals with trading partners might blossom. So far, only the United Kingdom, China and Vietnam have played ball, but that's been good enough for many investors. Meanwhile, consumer-level U.S. inflation has largely been beaten back (at least for now), and Trump has had other economic victories as well. For example, his "Big, Beautiful Bill" of tax cuts and spending changes recently passed into law, offering what many see as multiple pro-growth provisions. True, the Congressional Budget Office warned that the Big, Beautiful Bill could add some $3.3 trillion to the U.S. government's already huge deficits over the next decade. However, the agency's projections didn't include $2.8 trillion of expected revenues over the next 10 years from Trump's tariffs. The CBO also chose to model almost no economic growth over the next decade, which probably isn't very realistic. Of course, it's still unclear whether Wall Street has already priced in all of the "Big, Beautiful Bill" potential positives, or whether the measure's tax cuts and deregulation will have their desired economic effects. Similarly, we don't know whether there are any more bilateral trade deals around the corner, or whether the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates -- which could boost stocks by making bond and money-market yields less attractive. The S&P 500's Technical Analysis Now let's look at the SPX's chart going back some four months and running through midday Tuesday: Readers will see that the S&P 500 has been in a clear uptrend for the past three months, as denoted by the orange- and purple-shaded areas above. The index has colored neatly within the lines, finding support at the lower trendline in mid-June. Additionally, support came at the S&P 500's 21-day Exponential Moving average, or "EMA, marked with a green line above. More recently, the S&P 500 also enjoyed the benefits of what we call a "golden cross." That's when the index's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) crosses above a rising 200-day SMA (marked with a red line). That's historically a bullish technical signal for the index. The S&P 500 also experienced "Day One" bullish reversals on May 27 and June 23. Those "Day Ones" were then confirmed on June 3 and June 26, respectively. A "Day One" reversal occurs when an index reversed direction up or down on increased trading volume, followed by a "Confirmation Day" that moves the market in the same direction as the reversal on increased volume as well. That combination typically signifies changes in an index's short-term trend. Now, astute readers might notice that the S&P 500's June 23 "Day One" reversal occurred on decreased day-over-day trading volume. However, that's misleading because the market day just prior to June 23 was a "triple-witching" day, which technical analysts therefore discard. Readers should also understand that there must be at least a one-day pause between a "Day One" reversal and a "Confirmation Day." Otherwise, technical analysts will consider both days to represent one move, and we wouldn't have a volume-based technical confirmation. Next, let's look at the SPX's chart going back to January and running through midday Tuesday: This chart shows that the S&P 500 is in danger of putting in what's called a "Double Top" pattern of bearish reversal, denoted with the red boxes above marked "Top 1" and "Top 2." With all that's going on politically and geopolitically, that's a concern. On top of that, Q2 earnings season begins next week, and analysts' consensus is for rather paltry 5% year-over-year earnings growth for the S&P 500 component companies as a whole. In addition, the S&P 500 has a conflicting Relative Strength Index ("RSI") and Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD"). The index's RSI, marked with gray lines at the above chart's top, is practically at technically overbought levels. But at the same time, the daily MACD (marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is showing signs of weakness. The histogram of S&P 500's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now below the zero-bound, which is historically a short-term bearish technical signal. On top of that, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is threatening to cross under the 26-day EMA (the gold line). This hasn't happened yet, but would be a short-term bearish signal if it did. Add it all up and the S&P 500 is showing a mixed technical picture right now despite trading at or close to all-time record highs. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in S&P 500-related ETFs or mutual funds at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. 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SP:SPX
by moomoo
US30 BUY IDEA🔍 Key Technical Highlights: • Demand Zone Entry: • Price tapped into a strong demand zone (gray box) around 44,280 – 44,330, signaling potential institutional buying interest. • Liquidity Grab: • Sell-side liquidity has been swept just below the previous lows, which aligns with a classic SMC liquidity manipulation before a bullish move. • Projected Market Structure Shift: • Price is forming a higher low, hinting at a potential reversal and bullish BOS (Break of Structure). • Expecting a multi-leg bullish move, targeting 44,812 area, filling imbalance and reaching premium zones. • Risk-Reward Outlook: • Stop loss placed just below the demand zone. • Take profit aligned with previous highs and inefficiency zone — a favorable R:R ratio for swing traders. ⸻ 🧠 Smart Money Narrative: 1. Sweep of liquidity below demand. 2. Institutional buy orders triggered. 3. Low-risk buy opportunity with clear internal structure shift. 4. Bullish continuation toward premium pricing and unfilled imbalances.
FX:US30Long
by RayForexlyfe
DXY Targeting Liquidity Zones & Gap Fill Before Potential ReversThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a strong bullish push, climbing steadily along an ascending trendline. Price appears to be heading toward key liquidity levels and a visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the previous New York high. The chart also highlights an unfilled gap above, which aligns with a potential liquidity sweep scenario. Once these upper zones are tapped — including the liquidity and imbalance areas — a significant rejection could follow, especially considering ongoing strength in the Euro (EUR). This setup suggests a high-probability reversal opportunity after the liquidity grab
TVC:DXYLong
by ByCraig
NIFTY S/R for 14/7/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
DXY strengthens but can it break THIS key level?The US dollar has gained ground this week, with the Dollar Index rising to retest the previously broken April low near the 97.92 level—an important technical zone. The short-term bias would flip to being bullish if this area breaks. The greenback’s strength has been underpinned in part by unexpectedly strong economic data. For instance, Thursday’s weekly jobless claims came in at 227,000, below the forecast of 235,000. This marks the fourth consecutive weekly decline and the lowest reading in seven weeks, reinforcing the view that the US labour market remains tighter than anticipated. Adding to this backdrop are President Trump’s threats of higher tariffs and expansive fiscal plans—described as “big, beautiful” spending and tax initiatives. These factors increase the risk of more persistent inflation. While the Federal Reserve is still widely expected to initiate rate cuts in September, the rising inflationary pressures could slow the pace of easing thereafter. This shift would likely provide support for the dollar so long as investors don't lose trust in US monetary policy. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXcom
Quick take on the S&P500From the very short-term perspective, the SP:SPX is currently stuck in a tight range. Waiting for a little breakout. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
TVC:SPX
by Marketscom
DowJones bullish breakout retest?Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45000 Resistance Level 2: 45445 Resistance Level 3: 46000 Support Level 1: 44000 Support Level 2: 43700 Support Level 3: 43430 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout retest?Donald Trump escalated trade tensions again, threatening a 35% tariff on Canadian goods shortly after reopening trade talks, and floated doubling global tariffs to 20%. This reinforces his aggressive protectionist stance and puts renewed pressure on allies like Canada and Vietnam, the latter blindsided by a 20% levy. Meanwhile, US-China relations may be entering a critical phase, with a possible Trump-Xi summit hinted at by Marco Rubio during talks in Malaysia. On the geopolitical front, Trump is signaling a harder line on Russia, previewing a “major statement” and backing expanded sanctions as the US sends more weapons to Ukraine. This raises global uncertainty, especially for energy and defense sectors. Conclusion for NSDQ100 trading: Rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks may dampen market sentiment and lead to volatility in tech-heavy Nasdaq stocks, particularly those reliant on global supply chains. While traders have grown numb to tariff talk, the cumulative pressure suggests a downside risk is building. In the short term, maintain a cautious stance—watch for potential pullbacks and heightened intraday volatility as policy clarity remains elusive. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 22940 Resistance Level 2: 23060 Resistance Level 3: 23180 Support Level 1: 22410 Support Level 2: 22300 Support Level 3: 22130 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
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