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S&P500 1st 4H Golden Cross since Jan could be a TRAP!S&P500 (SPX) completed yearly today its first Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame since January 23. That formation issued an immediate pull-back but technically it's not very similar to the today's as that was formed after an All Time High (ATH) while now we are on the recovery phase after March's massive Trade War fueled correction. The 4H Golden Cross however that looks more similar to the current is the one before January's, the August 21 2024. That was formed after a substantial market pull-back, though again not as strong as March's. Still, the 1D RSI patterns are also more similar and that again should keep us on high alert as 2 weeks later the index pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from its previous High Resistance. As a result, if we see the price now turning sideways for a week or so, we will give higher probabilities for a short-term pull-back, maybe not as low as the 0.5 Fib but at least to the 5450 region, before the market takes off to 6000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500
by TradingShot
2
FTSE100 INTRADAY bullish breakout supported at 8454The FTSE 100 is showing bullish momentum, supported by an ongoing uptrend. Recent price action suggests a breakout above a period of sideways consolidation, indicating strong buying interest. Key Support: 8454 – This was the previous consolidation zone and now acts as a critical level. If the index pulls back to 8454 and holds, it may resume the uptrend with potential upside targets at: 8650 (near-term resistance) 8730, then 8825 (longer-term targets) Bearish Scenario: A daily close below 8454 would weaken the bullish case and could lead to a decline toward: 8373 (next support) Then 8272 and possibly 8100 if selling pressure increases Conclusion: The FTSE 100 remains bullish above 8454. Watch for a bounce from this level to confirm further upside. A break below would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
USD Is Bullish Short Term. Short The Majors! This is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 28 - May 2nd. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index is heading up towards a bearish FVG. The EURUSD, GBPUSD, and the other Major pairs will be pulled down by this price action .... until the USD hits it's POI. Then things will get interesting! Take advantage of the USD push higher! Remember, NFP is Friday! Be careful of wonky price action on Thursday and Friday. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
NAS100... 4h chat pattern Your NAS100 (Nasdaq-100 index) *sell setup* looks like this: * *Entry (Sell):* 1983 * *1st Target (TP1):* 1845 * *2nd Target (TP2):* 1800 This is a *bearish trade, targeting a roughly **138-point* drop for TP1 and *183-point* drop for TP2. To evaluate this trade, consider the following: ### 1. *Technical Context* * Is there a *resistance level* or *reversal pattern* around 1983? * Are *momentum indicators* like RSI or MACD showing bearish divergence? * What does the *volume* say — decreasing on up moves, increasing on down moves? ### 2. *Risk Management* * Where is your *stop loss*? (This is critical to protect against a reversal.) * What's the *risk-to-reward ratio*? Ideally, aim for 1:2 or better. * Are you risking a fixed % of your capital (e.g., 1–2%)
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by Money_Magnet5
BankNifty levels - May 05, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - May 05, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
Dollar Outlook Ahead of Jobs ReportThe dollar index is attempting a comeback, but the 100.20–100.50 zone has so far formed a strong resistance. Today’s jobs report will be key for determining the short-term direction. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 138k. This could be the last relatively strong report before the effects of tariffs begin to weigh on the labor market. Leading indicators already show significant pressure on trade and transportation employment, though the full impact is likely to emerge in future reports. Still, we may see early signs of softness today. As the economy comes out of winter, there could be some temporary strength in weather-sensitive sectors. Overall, I expect a slight beat in today’s nonfarm payrolls data. If unemployment also holds at 4.2%, the dollar could respond positively. Positive reaction to the payrolls data usually do not pass around 1% gains. An interesting detail: TVC:DXY has risen after each of the last eight jobs reports, regardless of whether the data was strong or weak. That trend might end today, though, as the dollar is no longer in an established uptrend. If the 100.20–100.50 resistance zone breaks, the dollar could climb toward 101.50 in the coming days. However, the broader outlook remains negative. Please check our longer-term analysis here:
TVC:DXY
by ftdsystem
NAS100USD: Price Respects Bearish Structure at 62% FibGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bearish institutional order flow, and we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Retracement into Premium Resistance: Price has recently retraced into premium pricing levels, reaching the 62% Fibonacci retracement zone—a level that often acts as dynamic resistance. This retracement also aligned with a bearish breaker block, confirming institutional resistance at that level. The market has since shown signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish narrative. 2. Emergence of Fair Value Gap (FVG) as a Key Resistance Array: Following the rejection, a new FVG has formed, acting as a potential short-term resistance zone. This area provides a refined point of interest where institutions may look to re-engage in selling activity. The alignment of the FVG with previous resistance adds further confluence to the bearish setup. TRADING PLAN: We will monitor the newly formed FVG zone for signs of bearish confirmation. Upon confirmation, the plan is to execute short positions targeting liquidity pools in discounted price zones, in line with institutional price delivery patterns. Remain focused, wait for confirmation, and make sure this idea aligns with your overall trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NAS100 Breakdown Watch: Bearish Structure Forms Below Key Highs1. Key Levels Yesterday’s High: 20,037.0 Yesterday’s Low: 19,658.8 Today’s High (so far): 19,912.4 Current Price: 19,844.4 Price is currently trading below today’s high and below yesterday’s high, but still well above yesterday’s low. 2. Structure & Market Flow The BoS/ChoCh (Break of Structure / Change of Character) indicator marks: Multiple BoS (green) up to the April 30th peak, showing bullish structure. A ChoCh (red) occurred just after the top on April 30, followed by more ChoCh signals, indicating potential short-term bearish momentum. Most recent price action shows consolidation between 19,840–19,912, forming a range after rejecting near today's high. 3. Moving Averages (3EMA) Blue Line (Short EMA - 20): 19,843.0 Purple Line (Mid EMA - 50): 19,840.3 Price is slightly above both the 20 and 50 EMA, which are now flattening — suggesting neutral momentum with no strong trend currently in place. 4. Market Context / Price Action The sharp rejection at 20,037 (yesterday's high) indicates supply pressure. Price wicked above today’s high before dropping below both EMAs. Price bounced around the 50 EMA and appears to be forming lower highs, showing bearish microstructure. Current structure looks like a potential distribution pattern. 5. Trade Ideas (Scenarios) A. Bearish Bias (High Probability if 19,840 breaks cleanly) Entry: Break and close below 19,840 with volume confirmation. TP1: 19,700 (just above yesterday’s low) TP2: 19,658.8 (yesterday’s low) SL: Above 19,912 (today’s high) This setup capitalizes on a rejection of key highs, a ChoCh confirmation, and fading bullish momentum. B. Bullish Scenario (Only if we reclaim today’s high) Entry: Strong 15-min candle close above 19,912, targeting 20,037 and beyond. TP1: 20,037 (yesterday’s high) TP2: 20,100–20,150 (psychological and recent rejection zone) SL: Below 19,840 This would be a breakout-retest continuation trade, but less favorable given current structure. 6. Bias & Recommendation Short Bias is currently favored due to: Repeated ChoCh signals Price trading below today's high and rejecting yesterday’s high Weak upside follow-through despite attempts to push higher Tight consolidation and lower highs forming near resistance
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by MarkLeRoy
NAS100 – Supply Zone Rejection! Are Tech Bulls Out of Breath?Timeframe: 4H | Methodology: Supply & Demand + Structure The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is struggling to break above the key supply zone around 19,832. Price has printed multiple wicks at resistance, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Technical Breakdown: Major Supply Zone: 19,800 – 19,850 Critical Support Level: 18,846 Demand Zone Target: 17,700 – 18,000 (highlighted in orange) Key Observations: Price has rallied into supply after a strong bullish move from the 18,000s Repeated rejection candles are forming inside the supply zone Bearish divergence may be developing — a possible early reversal signal Trade Setup Idea: (Bearish Bias) Sell Trigger: Break below 19,700 Target Range: 18,850 first, then 18,000 Stop Loss: Above 19,850 Macro Note: Several U.S. economic events are lined up (see calendar icons). Expect high volatility — perfect environment for trap moves and liquidity grabs. Will NAS100 reverse from this zone or break out to new highs? Let me know your view! Like & follow for more clean chart breakdowns. #NAS100 #NASDAQ #USTech #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ReversalSetup #TradingView
FX:NAS100Short
by FrankFx14
US30 – Rejection from Supply Zone! Dow Heading Lower?Timeframe: 1H | Strategy: Supply & Demand + Price Action The Dow Jones just tagged a key supply zone near 40,965 and printed a clean rejection candle — a potential signal that bulls are losing control. Technical Outlook: Supply Zone (Resistance): 40,965 – 41,020 Breakdown Point: Below 40,486 = possible short trigger Demand Target Zone: 39,938 – 40,000 (orange block) Observations: Price attempted a breakout but was rejected at the top of the supply zone A clean bearish candle has formed at resistance Market sentiment may be shifting ahead of upcoming U.S. data (see icon) Trade Idea (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 40,486 Target: 39,938 Stop Loss: Above 41,020 Watch for volume confirmation and retest of the breakdown level. Invalidation: If price closes above 41,020 on strong momentum, the bearish setup is off the table. Fundamental Alert: US data/events may trigger volatility soon — watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals. Will the Dow retrace to the 40K zone, or is this a false sell signal? Drop your view below! Like & follow for more clean price action setups! #US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Indices #BearishReversal #TradingView
FX:US30Short
by FrankFx14
US30 (Dow Jones) – Short Setup in Play – May 2, 2025🔍 Setup Summary: Price is trading within a bearish internal channel and has shown a reaction from a lower high inside the upper boundary. There’s clear intent to grab liquidity, possibly sweep the short-term high above the descending wedge, then reject sharply. 📉 Trade Idea: Looking for price to spike up toward the upper channel resistance (~41,250–41,300), potentially sweep liquidity, then reject and break below the ascending trendline. A clean short could target the 15-min FVG zone and demand block around 40,600, with extended targets toward 40,300. ✅ Confluences: Bearish market structure and channel Potential liquidity sweep + internal market trap Fair Value Gap + previous demand zones below Trendline break setup for entry confirmation 📌 Bias: Bearish – short-term rally expected before a move lower 🕒 Timeframe: 15-minute chart 📈 Risk-to-Reward: 2.5–3:1 depending on entry point and target zone ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal outlook based on technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, manage risk appropriately, and use proper trade management. Markets carry risk — trade safe.
FX:US30Short
by V-E-R-U-M
US500 Reversal Zone? My Thought Process Explained 🎯 📉 Earlier today I posted an analysis on the US500, highlighting how price has traded into a weekly bearish order block 🧱 — a key distribution zone where I believe smart money could look to unwind positions. The market is currently overextended and sitting at a premium, which raises the risk of a potential aggressive retrace 🔄, especially heading into the weekend. ⚠️ 💭 Here's a video where I break down that exact setup and walk you through my full thought process, including why I’m exercising extreme caution at these levels and what I’m looking for in terms of confirmation. 📚 As always, this is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. 🚫💼
FX:SPX500
by fxtraderanthony
2
Major shift on the S&P 500: Is the bull market really over ? After three years of almost uninterrupted gains, the U.S. market has finally shifted gears. In early March, following a sharp escalation in trade tensions between China and the United States, the S&P 500 officially entered a bear market. The tariff shock acted as a catalyst: buyers failed to defend critical levels, and the bullish momentum broke down. Today, my scenario is clear: I believe we are entering a wide range similar to what we saw in 2022, between 4700 and 5500 points. In this controlled volatility environment, both investing and trading strategies must adapt. 💰 For long-term investing: I'm staying fully in cash. I prefer to wait until my personal indicator flashes green again before re-entering the market. Patience is my best weapon in uncertain environments. 🎯 For swing trading: The approach here is more active. Each touch of the lower boundary (around 4700) will be considered a tactical buy, aiming to resell around 5500 points at the top of the range. No rushing, no chasing moves: I only act at the extremes.
SP:SPXShort
by LAZY_SMART_TRADING