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DXY ||| • Sell Completed Below Orange Line📉 Pair: GBP/USD ⏱ Timeframe: 4H 🔶 Orange Line = Major S/R Zone 📌 Confirmed Break + Retest 🎯 Profit Locked | Risk Managed Strategy: Elliott Wave + Parallel Channel + SMC (Break of Structure) 🔶 Status: Completed Wave 5 inside falling wedge Sell executed after orange support break Anticipating accumulation phase > BOS > bullish reversal 📍Key Zones: Demand zone near 97.455 Resistance near 98.426 🎯 Next Steps: Looking for bullish structure post BOS + Wave 2 pullback. 🔁 Watch for: Accumulation near lower trendline Structure shift > Breakout of wedge Long confirmations in late July – early August 🟢 Plan the trade, trade the plan.
TVC:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
DOLLAR INDEXThe DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is a measure of the U.S. dollar’s value relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies: the euro (57.6%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). It serves as a benchmark for the dollar’s global strength and is influenced by macroeconomic factors like interest rates, trade flows, and inflation expectations. 10 years bond yield Correlations with DXY 1. 10-Year Bond Yield Positive Correlation: The DXY and U.S. 10-year Treasury yields generally move in the same direction. Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, increasing demand for dollars and strengthening the DXY. Current 10-Year Yield (June 12, 2025): 4.36%, down slightly from 4.41% the previous day but up 1.16% year-over-year. 2. Bond Price Inverse Relationship with Yields: Bond prices fall when yields rise (and vice versa). Since DXY and yields are positively correlated, the dollar tends to strengthen when bond prices decline. 3. Interest Rates Direct Link: Higher U.S. interest rates increase the dollar’s appeal as investors seek higher returns, boosting DXY. Conversely, rate cuts weaken the dollar. Example: The Federal Reserve’s rate hikes in 2023–2024 contributed to DXY strength, while recent rate-cut expectations have moderated its gains. Current 10-Year Treasury Yield As of June 12, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.36%, below its long-term average of 5.83%. Key Drivers of DXY in 2025 Federal Reserve Policy: Markets are pricing in potential rate cuts later in 2025, which could limit DXY upside. Global Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven dollar demand rises during geopolitical or economic uncertainty. Inflation Trends: Persistent U.S. inflation could delay Fed easing, supporting DXY technical level to watch is the support level at 97,949
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
BankNifty levels - Jun 17, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Jun 17, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
USNAS100 -Risk-Off Sentiment Keeps USNAS100 in Bearish TerritoryUSNAS100 – Bearish Momentum Holds as Traders Watch Geopolitical Risks and Fed Signals The NASDAQ (USNAS100) remains under pressure as market sentiment stays cautious amid ongoing Middle East tensions and uncertainty ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve outlook. While the geopolitical escalation has not triggered panic, it continues to weigh on risk appetite—particularly in tech-heavy indices. Technical Outlook: The price currently appears to be heading toward 21635. A 1H close below this level is expected to confirm further downside toward 21470. A break below the key support zone could open the door to the next bearish leg targeting 21065. To shift the structure to bullish, the price would need a confirmed 4H candle close above the 21790–21850 resistance zone. Key Levels: • Support: 21635, 21470, 21375 • Resistance: 21930, 22090, 22200
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
1
NASDAQ Analysis: Navigating Uncertainty in a Shifting LandscapeThe NASDAQ has been on a rollercoaster ride lately 🎢, reflecting both global macro shifts and sector-specific dynamics. After dipping into bear market territory earlier in the year, the index has rebounded strongly, powered by mega-cap tech and the ongoing AI boom 🤖. However, the mood remains cautious as investors weigh political and economic cross-currents. Note how price action is stalling at the current level. Fundamentals & Earnings 💼 Earnings Resilience: Q1 2025 earnings for NASDAQ heavyweights were robust, with tech giants posting double-digit growth. Yet, forward guidance is more muted, as companies brace for the impact of higher tariffs and global supply chain adjustments. Valuations: The recent rally has pushed forward P/E ratios well above long-term averages, making the market more sensitive to any negative surprises 📈. AI & Innovation: Capital expenditure on AI is set to exceed$300 billion this year, keeping the sector in the spotlight and fueling optimism for long-term growth. Political & Geopolitical Factors 🌍 Trade Policy: The U.S. and China have agreed to a temporary pause on new tariffs, easing some immediate concerns. However, the average effective tariff rate remains much higher than last year, and uncertainty lingers as legal challenges and further negotiations loom. Fiscal Policy: U.S. deficit worries are back in focus, with new legislation projected to add trillions to the national debt over the next decade. This has contributed to higher Treasury yields and a weaker dollar 💵. Global Competition: International equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the past six months, but history suggests this may be stretched, and a reversal could be on the horizon. Market Sentiment & Technicals 📊 Volatility: While volatility has eased from its spring highs, sentiment remains fragile. Consumer and business confidence indices are at multi-year lows, even as hard economic data (like jobless claims) remains resilient. Sector Rotation: Growth and cyclical sectors—especially tech, consumer discretionary, and industrials—have led the rebound, but investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and global reach. Outlook: The NASDAQ is cautiously optimistic for the second half of 2025. The market is pricing in a couple of Fed rate cuts by year-end, but the path forward depends on inflation trends, trade clarity, and corporate earnings. Key Takeaways 🚦 The NASDAQ is in recovery mode, but faces headwinds from trade policy, fiscal uncertainty, and stretched valuations. Political developments—especially around tariffs and fiscal policy—will be key drivers of volatility. Long-term, the AI and tech innovation wave remains a powerful tailwind, but near-term caution is warranted. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
SPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed DecisionSPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed Decision Futures tied to the S&P 500 are slightly higher as traders appear to be shrugging off Middle East tensions, viewing the situation as contained for now. However, geopolitical uncertainty remains a risk, and attention is shifting toward upcoming Fed commentary and policy direction. Technical Outlook: The index may pull back toward 5989 and 5966. A break below 5966 opens the path toward 5938, with an extended target at 5902. However, a 1H close above 6010 would signal renewed bullish momentum toward 6041. Key Levels: • Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143 • Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100 - Priming to SHORTDear Friends in Trading, How I see it, Rising Wedge - Bullish Exhaustion Pattern "SHORT" Targets: 1] 20740.00 2] 20200.00 Fundamentally: If I was an institutional Invester and/or hedge fund manager with 100's of millions in US stocks. Considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment. I will move the largest percentage of my portfolio to safe haven $-bonds and/or commodities like GOLD. But that's just me... I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ANROC
3
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction. If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk. Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors: • A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations • The release of inflation indicators • Heightened geopolitical tensions According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation. On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president). After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation. On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day. On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Opportunities abound if you are open mindedRead latest article here I have covered my regrets for missing this stock here and here From this article , you can see that resellers are investing/buying up these limited edition plush toys and selling online at a profits. See, you need not be dabbling in the stock market to make money. These resellers neither manufacture nor market these toys but were sharp and fast enough to catch the trend. Risks - if they bought too many and the trend dies down or the profits start to come down, they stand to lose as well since they need to first cough out capital to purchase these toys. I am of the opinion that the stock market is created equally for both the rich and poor to have a stake in the game. That is why if you are an employee earning a fixed salary, learning to trade/invest is no longer a luxury unless you have a huge inheritance, strike lottery or simply not interested in making money. Since Dec 2020, Pop Mart has gained 286% returns for the shareholders who ride through the lows of less than 10 dollars in its darkest moments during 2023/2024. In comparison, the same amount of money invested in the SPX will gives you less than 70% returns. Pop Mart gains is 4x more than passive investing in SPX. Congrats to those who had longed it and are laughing to the bank. For those like me who missed it, no point crying over spilled milk. There are abundant opportunities, just keep an open mind, if the fundamentals are ok, nibble a bit and see how it goes. All you need is 1-2 multibagger in your portfolio
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices 1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues. Current Data (June 13, 2025): 10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases. Term Premium: The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed. 2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation Negative Correlation Generally Observed: The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities. Recent Trends: In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies. Risk Sentiment: The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety. 3. US100 and Bond Prices Indirect Relationship via Yields: Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling). Safe-Haven Demand: In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline. 4. Yield Curve and Market Implications The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks. A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100. Conclusion The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par. The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks. The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs. The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities. #NAS100 #DOLLAR
MARKETSCOM:US100
by Shavyfxhub
This weeks #US30 outlook. High Probability Trade Zones A. Short Setup – Fade the Grind Into Resistance Zone: 42,900–43,200 (confluence of R1, previous highs, sell rejection zone). Trigger: Slow grind + bearish engulfing / break of structure on 15M–30M. Stop: Above 43,250 Target: 42,400 > 42,150 > 41,800 B. Long Setup – 4H Breaker Block Retest Zone: 42,050–42,200 (OB + support + 30M demand) Trigger: Sweep of 42,000, followed by bullish engulfing or displacement candle Stop: Below 41,770 Target: 42,600 > 42,900 > 43,193 C. High-Risk Fade Long – Deep Discount Sweep Zone: 41,750–41,800 (S1 proximity, previous accumulation base) Trigger: Wipeout + bullish PA on 15M with volume spike Stop: 41,670 Target: 42,200 > 42,500
EIGHTCAP:US30
by RANDYGLASS53
FTSE100 bullish sideways consolidation above 8800Trend Overview: The FTSE100 equity index remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 8800 (primary pivot), followed by 8760 and 8700 Resistance: 8940 (initial), then 8977 and 9010 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 8800 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 8940, 8977, and ultimately 9010. Conversely, a daily close below 8800 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 8760 and 8700 as downside levels. Conclusion: FTSE100 maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 8800 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 8940 area. A breakdown below 8800, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area. Parallel Channel A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830. FVG During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it. Conclusion Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Youriverse
21