Market indices
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 24,122.25
1st Support: 23,935.80
1st Resistance: 24,622.91
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NIFTY 1. Rectangle Box (Sideways Zone)
Nifty had earlier made a strong range-bound consolidation around 24,400 -25,000.
This has now become a strong support zone (red shaded area).
2. Breakout & Retest Pattern:
Nifty then broke out of this zone and went to around 25,600.
Now it is retesting the same old resistance (now support).
3. Price Action Zones:
Support Zone: 24,950 25,100
Resistance Zone: 25,600 - 25,800
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#Nifty directions and levels for July 11th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 11th:
There have been no major changes in the global market. It has been maintaining a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also showing a moderately bearish tone. Gift Nifty is supporting this view by indicating a gap-down start of around 110 points.
So, what can we expect today?
In the higher time frame, the market still holds a bullish bias, however, the lower time frame reflects bearish sentiment.
If we analyze this with chart patterns, it appears to be forming a channel pattern. So, if the market finds support near the bottom of this channel, it may take a pullback after the gap-down, which would mean the channel pattern may continue further.
On the other hand, if the market declines sharply or consolidates near the channel bottom, then the correction is likely to continue.
#SENSEX Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/07/2025Sensex is expected to open flat after a consolidation phase and weak closing in the previous session. The index is currently hovering near the support zone of 83400–83300. If Sensex breaks and sustains below this level, further downside may unfold toward 83050, 82900, and 82800. This level should be watched closely as a decisive break may trigger increased selling pressure.
On the upside, a recovery and breakout above 83500–83600 could indicate a potential reversal. Sustaining above this zone can lead the index to rally toward 83800, 83950, and possibly 84100+. However, the price action near this resistance band will be crucial for any confirmation of bullish strength.
Overall, the sentiment remains weak with a bearish bias unless a strong breakout happens on the upside. Traders should remain cautious and focus on these breakout levels for intraday opportunities with proper risk management.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/07/2025Nifty is likely to open on a flat note today, continuing the weakness seen in the recent sessions. The index has shown a consistent downward move after facing resistance near the 25550 zone. If Nifty sustains below the 25450–25400 range, it may trigger further bearish momentum with immediate targets at 25350, 25300, and 25250. Breaching 25200 could lead to further downside toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels.
On the other hand, any sharp reversal and breakout above 25550 may revive bullish sentiment. Sustaining above this level can push the index toward 25600, 25650, and 25750+. However, upside movement will require strong buying interest and volume support.
Overall, the broader trend remains weak unless a clear breakout occurs. Traders are advised to trade with caution, wait for directional confirmation, and use strict stop-loss to manage risks in this volatile environment.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(11/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat today after a prolonged consolidation and a narrow trading range observed in the previous sessions. The index is hovering near the support zone of 56900–57000, which has acted as a critical level in recent price action.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 57050–57100, we may witness a rebound towards 57250, 57350, and 57450+. However, a decisive breach below the 56900 level can trigger a sharp fall, with immediate downside targets at 56750, 56650, and 56550-.
Since the index is trading close to a major support zone, today's movement could decide the next directional trend. Until a breakout or breakdown is confirmed, expect range-bound moves with limited momentum.
US30 H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44576.41, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 44162.08, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 44922.32, a swing high resistance.
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US interest rate reduction?!As you can see, the US dollar index has completed a 5-wave uptrend and after touching the top of the uptrend channel and breaking the uptrend line, it is currently in the second correction wave. I expect to see the beginning of the third correction wave soon. This may coincide with the reduction of the US interest rate in next week!!
Dollar Index AnalysisTwo possibilities for the dollar index has been shown here. We can see that dollar index is showing a short term uptrend. Which is clearly visible from the chart.
1: Dxy can maintain this short term uptrend. Because it is a monthly pullback. As it has been
for last 5 months.
2: Dxy can change character and again touches to the monthly demand zone as shown in my
previous video.
Dollar Index Analysis [DXY]Market has show upper wicks for last 3 days which is the sign that there is still sell pressure. The daily candles for this week are range bound. 4H chart is showing short term uptrend which is maintaining higher highs and higher lows. We can use this range to have scalps in this range.
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 10 July 2025
- FTSE 100 broke key resistance level 8900.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 9100.00
FTSE 100 index recently broke above the key resistance level 8900.00 (which has been reversing the price from March, as can be seen below).
The breakout of the resistance level 8900.00 continues the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the end of June.
Given the clear daily uptrend, FTSE 100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 9100.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
Dow Jones Extends Rally Toward New HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 1%, approaching the all-time high zone near 45,000 points. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, supported by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that a rate cut may occur later this year, despite renewed concerns over a potential reignition of trade war tensions. If buying pressure holds in the short term, this could fuel further upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to new record levels.
Consistent Uptrend
The recent bullish swings have sustained a steady level of investor confidence, allowing the upward trend to remain unbroken. So far, there hasn’t been any significant selling correction strong enough to break the structure, meaning the dominant long-term uptrend remains intact. This continues to be the most important technical pattern to monitor, although the index is once again testing previous highs, where short-term selling corrections may emerge.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line is hovering near the overbought level around 70, suggesting that buying momentum has created an imbalance in market forces. This may open the door to a potential technical pullback as the index approaches historical highs.
ADX: The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral 20 level, maintaining a steady upward slope in recent sessions. If this trend continues, it could indicate increasing strength behind the current uptrend, especially if key resistance levels are broken.
Key Levels:
44,970 – Major Resistance: This level marks the all-time high and serves as the most important short-term resistance. A breakout above it could strengthen the bullish bias, open the door to new record highs, and further confirm the ongoing uptrend.
43,863 – Intermediate Support: A technical indecision zone seen in late February. A drop below this level may trigger a period of short-term neutrality or sideways movement.
42,756 – Critical Support: This zone aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages, making it a key technical area. A break below this level may signal the end of the current bullish trend and initiate a deeper correction.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
S&P 500 - Sell in May, return anther day. The truth - 2025No doubt everyone has heard a variation of the phrase:
“Sell in May, return another day.”
In Wikipedia it is written:
“Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory (sometimes known as the Halloween indicator) that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the other months. In such strategies, stock holdings are sold or minimised at about the start of May and the proceeds held in cash”
A public comment from last year:
“Over 100 years ago, the (practical) reason to sell in May and September, was to pay seasonal workers to seed the field (May) and to harvest (September). Caravans of landlords and farm owners went to New York to sell stocks and withdrew money from the banks to do payrolls
so for people without agricultural business, i'll say it's okay to hold in May”
If we are to take all this at face value then we should be unwinding our long term positions until the Autumn?
What does the chart say?
On the above monthly chart of the S&P 500 each vertical line marks the month of May going back to 2012. That is a dataset of 13 points.
The facts:
1) From the month of May onwards, 11 from 13 periods returned positive price action of not less than 10%. Selling in May was a bad choice.
2) 2015 and 2022 saw corrections of 15% from May onwards. However in both examples the correction was erased within 12 months as the index continued the uptrend.
In summary, 86% of the time a minimum return of 10% was seen before the year end. Amazing odds.
Furthermore, corrections up and until the end of April (like we’re now seeing) represented some of the best long opportunities.
Sell in May go away? I suggest it should be: Buy in June and watch it boom!
Ww
US500 trending higher as the US earnings season gains momentum. Fundamental
US500 is pushing higher as the US 2nd quarter earnings season gains momentum under President Trump's second administration amidst tariffs. Big tech earnings will have a significant impact on the index price action.
Technical
Bullish momentum is gaining as the uptrend remains strong. The RSI is approaching the overbought region however a break above the 6,333 key resistance level sees the index trading at all time highs with resistance levels at 6,475 and 6,670. A move below 6,230 sees a possible move towards supports at 6,150, 6,080 and subsequently 6,000.
by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold/Silver Ratio to 72 Minimum - Imminent Silver BreakoutGoldSilver Ratio is following a clear pattern of behavior. We can expect a return to mean conservatively hitting 72 at a minimum. This puts silver at $46-58 if Gold doesn't move higher. I think we will see silver 5-10X over the next few years. Easy 25-50% in the short term (6-12 months).