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US100The NASDAQ trend is expected to remain bullish, but corrections in the market movement are natural and necessary. Therefore, if weakness in continuation is observed, I will sell with smaller volume and trade more aggressively in the bullish direction. The identified targets are 21,930 and the range of 22,230 to 22,445. Additionally, I am interested in buying at discounted prices, specifically around the 21,640 level. The current chart lacks a clean structure, so the market might form small ranges before continuing its upward movement.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by GreyFX-NDS
Short potential in NAS 100 looks promising! Description of trade As we very clearly identify a HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern in 1hr TF and 4TF , there is a high probability of pair to reverse , as we see constantly with this chart pattern . Price if retests on the neckline after 1330 UK TIME ( MAJOR RED NEWS TIME ) , we could potentially look for a short trade with good SL and lot size in line with your account size. There are two ways I will be looking to trade this pair today during session (NEW YORK ) A MEDIUM RISK TRADE: I will look to place a sell - limit on the current neckline of the pattern , with my Stop loss being on top of the right shoulder , as my stop loss will have lot of room, my lot size will be smaller to manage my risk accordingly. A HIGH RISK TO REWARD TRADE Second way foe me to enter this trade would be after 1330 high news today , to trade along with market structure i normally trade , i.e. seeing fractal structure , liquidity grab and so on , this will however have small stop loss but bigger lot size . This will be entered on 15TF or 30 min TF . Notes : This are the probabilities for today , if we do not see the expected footprint from the market , remember there's a always a next day to trade.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by rubinGrg
My expectations for Nasdaq 100Hi guys, I hope you are doing well ** The index jumped up and passed two important resistance lines and even settled on them ** The index also passed my Fib so important level 23.6% and needs only to settle on then surge up towards my TP level ** The Used time frame on the chart is 4H and I used also the daily and the weekly frames for that analysis ** I see that there is a room to surge up too my second Fib retracement level but I prefer currently to set my long to the TP on the chart to avoid a possible retracement! My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:NAS100Long
by moustafa_marei
4
NAS100USD: Anticipating Temporary Bearish Order Flow?Greetings Traders, Today's analysis highlights significant bullish momentum in NAS100USD, driven by the heavy volatility following the CPI news release. Despite the bullish institutional order flow, there is potential for temporary bearish order flow. This could either serve as a brief retracement to meet specific objectives before continuing the bullish trend or, possibly, a full reversal of price action. While we must wait for further market confirmation, current conditions provide an opportunity to target the sell stop objectives highlighted on the chart. Key Observations and Confluences: 1. Institutional Price Delivery Insight: At present, price is positioned in a premium zone and has recently taken out Engineered Resistance Liquidity, where premium buy stops reside. Institutions often use this liquidity to pair orders by selling against these buy stops. Institutions, having sold at a premium, will aim to buy back positions at a discount (a process associated with profit-taking). Therefore, we anticipate price to move towards liquidity pools at lower discount levels. 2. Trendline Liquidity: The chart also reveals engineered trendline liquidity, a classic setup where retail traders buy along the trendline, leaving their stop losses below. Institutions view these stop losses as sell stops, representing willing sellers against whom they can close their buy positions. This makes these lows prime targets for institutional activity. The current evidence provides a strong foundation to anticipate bearish price action towards these liquidity pools, offering a strategic opportunity to align with the institutional narrative. If you have any insights, questions, or additional analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let's collaborate and grow together as traders. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
9
DXY - 4H Dollar Index more FallTechnical Perspective: TVC:DXY experienced two significant bullish legs in October and November on the daily time frame. However, the index started to fall sharply at the end of November, and this bearish momentum remains strong. On the 4H chart, DXY reached a key resistance zone and faced a significant rejection with notable bearish momentum, signaling the continuation of the downtrend. The current movement indicates a high likelihood of further declines, potentially to the bottom of the trading range. Many USD pairs are at critical support or resistance levels, and expected reactions from these zones could amplify downward pressure on the DXY, making it increasingly vulnerable to a substantial fall. Fundamental Perspective: In December 2024, the bearish sentiment surrounding the DXY is driven by key fundamental factors. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement another 25 basis point interest rate cut during its December 18 meeting, following earlier cuts in September and November. This dovish policy reflects the Fed’s commitment to supporting economic growth amidst a slightly cooling labor market and growing global uncertainties. Adding to the pressure, inflation data showed a 2.7% year-over-year increase in November, a slight uptick from 2.6% in October. Despite this, the Fed remains focused on easing monetary conditions to mitigate recession risks. Additionally, the recent U.S. presidential election has raised prospects of fiscal policy changes, including proposed tax cuts and potential tariff adjustments, which contribute to market uncertainty and weigh on the dollar. These fundamental shifts align with the bearish technical setup, suggesting that the DXY’s downtrend is likely to persist in the near term. Keep an eye on upcoming Fed announcements and inflation data for further confirmation of this trajectory.
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
SPX 6086 - VIX and Put/Call Ratio : the market combines it all.How to read the Chart? SPX in main picture an below - with own scales- you find the Put/Call Ratio and and bottom the VIX. Put/call Ratio tells us, how much euphoric is in the market. Values below 0.65 , market is bullish. VIX tells us, how much volatilty is in the market. Values below 13 tells us normally, that market is prepared for larger or bigger movements. Values also important, for calculate price of warrants etc. Low VIX cheaper prices for warrants. So: in the chart now you can see several time stamps with green marks on price SPX, VIX and P/C Ratio. The meaning of this all: high coincidence with low values in VIX and P/C Ratio will high indicator for downward moves. The deeper values on VIX and P/C Ratio, the stronger the downward move. Dan, 11th dec 2024
CBOE:SPXShort
by Flyerdan
DOW JONES: Neutral 1D means buy opportunity.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.536, MACD = 330.150, ADX = 20.923) as it is on the bearish wave of the 4H Channel Up, towards the 4H MA200, which on November 19th priced the last HL. The 4H RSI got oversold and rebounded today above its MA period, which twice before has been a buy signal. We are going long here, aiming at the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 45,400). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
US100 - Potential Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Maks_Klimenko
2
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 12-Dec-2024Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024 Intro: Plan vs Actual for 11-Dec-2024 Yesterday, our plan identified key zones for Bank Nifty, including the "Liquidity Zone" and the "Buyer’s Entry Zone." Bank Nifty opened near the projected "Opening Support/Resistance Zone" at 53,398 and consolidated around the "Liquidity Zone" before attempting a breakout towards the resistance at 54,034. The market respected the identified levels, providing opportunities for both scalpers and swing traders. However, the upward movement lacked strong momentum beyond 54,034, leading to a sideways close near 53,392. Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (200+ Points): If Bank Nifty opens significantly above 53,600: - Immediate focus will be on the "Liquidity/NO Trade Zone" at 53,699. Wait for the first 15-minute candle to confirm strength. - A sustained move above 53,699 can lead to a test of the "First Resistance Zone" at 54,034-54,479. Consider initiating long positions only after an hourly close above 54,034 with targets towards 54,479. - If rejection occurs near 54,034, intraday shorts can be explored with targets back to 53,699, keeping stop-loss above 54,100. - Risk Tip: Use deep out-of-the-money (OTM) options for breakout trades to reduce premium risk. Flat Opening: If Bank Nifty opens near 53,398: - This level serves as "Opening Support/Resistance Zone." Expect range-bound movement initially. - A breakout above 53,699 will signal bullish momentum, with targets of 54,034 and 54,479. Initiate long trades above 53,699, keeping a strict stop-loss below 53,398. - A breakdown below 53,398 could lead to a test of 53,069, which is the "Buyer’s Support Zone for Consolidation." Watch for reversal patterns here to re-enter longs. - Risk Tip: Avoid aggressive positions during sideways trends (Yellow zones). Gap Down Opening (200+ Points): If Bank Nifty opens below 53,200: - Monitor the "Buyer’s Try Zone" at 52,968-53,069. This is a critical demand zone; a strong reversal here can provide long opportunities with a target back towards 53,398. - If this zone fails to hold, expect a sharper decline towards the "Must Try Zone for Buyers" at 52,531-52,650. Wait for a bullish reversal signal before initiating trades. - For intraday shorts, look for breakdown confirmation below 52,968 with a target towards 52,531. - Risk Tip: Deploy hedged positions like straddles/strangles during volatile gap-down openings. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading: Always trade with defined stop-loss levels. For options, set a premium stop-loss (e.g., 30-50%). Avoid overleveraging. Position size should not exceed 2-3% of your trading capital. Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, especially during news-heavy sessions. Use spreads to minimize premium decay in sideways markets. Summary and Conclusion: - Bank Nifty is at a critical juncture with a potential for high volatility. Key levels to watch are 54,034 on the upside and 52,968 on the downside. - Follow the plan with discipline and respect stop-loss levels. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 12-Dec-2024NIFTY Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024 Intro: Review of 11-Dec-2024 Plan vs Actual The trading plan for 11-Dec-2024 outlined key levels such as the Bullish Order Block (24,655–24,607) and the Liquidity Zone (24,820). As predicted, the market respected the "No Trade Zone" initially, followed by consolidation in the Liquidity Zone. The sideways movement highlighted by the yellow trend prevailed, with no significant breakout or breakdown occurring during the session. The Profit Booking Zone at 25,053 remained untouched. This demonstrates the importance of waiting for clear confirmation before executing trades. Today's updated chart builds upon these levels and provides actionable insights for 12-Dec-2024 based on anticipated price movements. Opening Scenarios and Plan for 12-Dec-2024 Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,652): If the market opens above 24,750: Resistance Zone: Immediate resistance remains at 24,820 (Liquidity Zone). Price could either consolidate here or witness selling pressure. Monitor price action for clear breakout signals. Action Plan: Avoid long entries near the Liquidity Zone unless a breakout above 24,940 is confirmed. Short positions can be initiated on rejection from 24,820, targeting 24,652. Alternate Scenario: Sustained movement above 24,940 indicates bullish momentum, with targets at the Profit Booking Zone (25,053). Yellow trend highlights a cautionary approach in consolidation zones. Flat Opening (Near 24,629–24,652): If the market opens flat: No Trade Zone: Expect price to oscillate within 24,629–24,652, indicating indecisiveness. Avoid trading in this range. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 24,652 with a retest offers long opportunities, targeting the Liquidity Zone at 24,820. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 24,541.65 suggests bearish momentum, with potential shorts targeting Buyer’s Strong Support at 24,374–24,338. Yellow trend signals limited movement; wait for breakouts for better trades. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,541.65): If the market opens below 24,450: Support Zone: The critical support lies at 24,374–24,338, aligning with Buyer’s Strong Support near the CHoCH level. Action Plan: Look for reversal signs near the support zone to initiate long trades with a tight stop loss below 24,300, aiming for 24,541.65. Alternate Scenario: If this support fails, avoid aggressive longs and wait for stabilization before entering. Red trend suggests bearish momentum; trade cautiously. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading Use predefined stop losses to cap potential losses. For example, place stops below 24,541 for bullish trades and below 24,300 for reversal trades. Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes to allow for market direction to emerge. For option buyers, select ATM or slightly ITM options to reduce the impact of time decay. Maintain a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio to ensure consistent profitability. Position sizing should align with your risk tolerance to handle volatile price swings. Summary and Conclusion The NIFTY index remains in a consolidation phase with critical levels identified for bullish and bearish scenarios. Liquidity Zone (24,820) and Buyer’s Support (24,374–24,338) are key areas to monitor for actionable trades. Avoid trading in indecisive zones and wait for clear breakouts or breakdowns. Effective risk management remains crucial, especially in volatile markets. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox