US30 – Chop or Fakeout?🔴 US30 – Chop or Fakeout? 🔴
May 2, 2025 – 1H Chart Update
After the bullish breakout above 40,700 yesterday, US30 surged to 41,051, but we’re now seeing price stalling just under that level, forming a potential double top or distribution pattern ⚠️
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🧱 Price rejected at ~41,050 (previous swing high zone)
📉 Small pullback forming after strong bullish leg
📍 Key short-term support still at 40,700
🧠 Market could be consolidating post-FOMC run or prepping for a deeper pullback
🎯 What to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Setup:
✅ Needs a 1H candle close above 41,050
🎯 Target: 42,000 → 42,359 resistance zone
Bearish Scenario:
🔻 Break below 40,700 flips structure short
🎯 Downside targets: 40,260 → 39,775
Neutral Bias If:
Price consolidates between 40,700 – 41,050 = no clear trend → stay flat
Market indices
US500 at Critical Resistance - Weekly Chart Breakdown📊 US500 Weekly Chart Analysis
Taking a close look at the US500 on the weekly timeframe, we can see price has now traded directly into a bearish weekly order block 🧱 — a key distribution zone where smart money activity often emerges. At this level, the market is trading at a premium 💰 and appears to be overextended 📈.
⚠️ From a risk management standpoint, I’d advise extreme caution — the current conditions could set the stage for a sharp retracement, especially as we approach week’s end. This level aligns with areas where institutional players may look to offload risk or reverse exposure.
🔁 A potential pullback from here would not be surprising, given the elevated context and technical structure.
📚 This breakdown is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Nifty 50 technical analysis of the day Chart Observation:
Price recently swept Buy-side Liquidity (BSL) near 24,320–24,350 zone.
After the liquidity grab, a sharp rejection confirms institutional sell-side activity.
Market structure is turning bearish as price breaks below minor support near 24,250.
Key SMC Levels:
BSL zone (Trap Zone): 24,320–24,350 (Liquidity grab completed)
Break of Structure (BoS): Below 24,250 confirms bearish bias.
Next Target - Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): 24,100 then 23,950–23,900 zone.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 24,270–24,300 (can be retested as resistance)
---
Trade Setup:
Entry: On pullback to 24,270–24,300 (FVG / bearish OB zone)
Stop Loss: Above 24,360 (above liquidity sweep)
Target 1: 24,100 (nearest SSL)
Target 2: 23,950–23,900 (deeper SSL zone)
---
SMC Logic: After sweeping liquidity from buy-side traders, Smart Money is likely shifting to the sell-side to trap late buyers. The impulsive bearish candle confirms order flow shift.
Bias: Bearish
Strategy: Sell the pullback into premium zone
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/05/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near 24450 level. Currently nifty consolidating in the range of 24250-24500 level. After opening if nifty gives breakout and start trading above 24500 level then possible strong upside rally towards the 24750+ level in today's session. 24250 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside only expected if nifty starts trading below 24200 level. Below 24200 level downside can goes upto 24000 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(02/05/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. 55050-55450 zone will be consolidation for banknifty. 55450-55550 zone will act as a strong resistance for today's session. After opening if banknifty gives breakout and starts trading above 55550 level then expected strong upside rally upto 55950+ level in today's session. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps strengthening
These last days and the index
Has almost reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 100.500
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish pullback and
A local move down
Sell!
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Nas100 Diamond BottomAt the 16400 gap down the play was simple, buy, fill the gap and bullish engulf this puppy.
So it happened, and the 10 percent pump is the middle of the diamond. Then what was left to be bullish on the final retraces onto the right side of the diamond.
Now we are in. I expect exponentiaal growth, but first target is the magic average plotted on this chart.
Good luck and remember, no guarantees. I play the chart and trust it, but if it backfires thats my risk im willing to take.
long ideaThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
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Bullish momentum to extend?UK100 is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 8,462.50
1st Support: 8,326.30
1st Resistance: 8,722.80
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Trendline break out NAS100## Entry
- Enter on 4H confirmed trendline breakout
- Look for retest of broken trendline as support
- Ensure price remains above key MAs on 4H
- Verify with increased volume on breakout
## Risk
- Stop below recent swing low/structure
- Risk 1-2% capital
- Size position accordingly
## Targets
1. 20000- 20200 as psychological level
2. 200 MA on daily timeframe
3. 1.5x risk-reward ratio
## Management
- Wait for clean 4H breakout confirmation
- Move stop to breakeven after momentum continues
- Trail stop as price advances toward targets
- Scale out at major resistance levels
Is It Over?Today's red Doji candle at the underside of the downtrend line is a high potential short entry point if not already. Despite the rally the past week or so, it is far from convincing...no real conviction to buy this market and who can blame them.
The current wave 2 bounce will be followed by wave 3 down as the most likely scenario, or we are in a wave 4 to be followed by a wave 5 to complete, any firm close below the lows gives us our answer.
Gold is selling off, our $3400 target was met and reversed in a now wave 4 down, this may approach the $3160 area, or a sideways move before another strong wave 5 up.
This is a great opportunity to accumulate physical metals to protect yourself from the coming reset.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading and God Bless you all!
ASX to find buyers at market price?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
20 4hour EMA is at 8086.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 8090 (stop at 7995)
Our profit targets will be 8345 and 8395
Resistance: 8152 / 8200 / 8321
Support: 8080 / 8037 / 7900
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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BANKNIFTY Analysis for 2nd May, 2025M15 chart currently running in corrective mode. Because, 5 mins timeframe showing CHoCH & continuously making BOS in down trend. So, we will look for short sell opportunity. Now we have to wait for inducement(55230) or another it can make lower low again and then grab the last pullback to take the sell entry.
So, now two levels are there to take the entry for short sell (1) above the liquidity ($$$) zone (>55273 level)
(2) The best option to wait for coming back the price at supply zone.
DOW JONES: The most critical 1D MA50 of all.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.914, MACD = -282.250, ADX = 30.751) but has completed 5 green 1D candles in a row, going for the all important Resistance test of the 1D MA50. This trendline has been intact since March 3rd and is on a crucial Resistance cluster as this is where the LH trendline from the ATH is. The 1D RSI is already on an Inverse H&S, which is a positive sign but we need to see a candle closing over the 1D MA50 to validate the restoration of the long term bullish trend. If succesful, we will turn long and target the ATH Resistance (TP = 45,000), which is also just under the 2.0 Fib extension.
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Inverted head and shoulders pattern! Yet to be broken! As we can see despite the gap it failed to break and sustain above the structure hence made it void but looking at NIFTY we can see the structure is still there which is yet to broken hence we can wait for candle to close above the given structure for a unidirectional rally so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
MARKETS NOT OVERSOLD CAUTION! UPDATE!This is a monthly chart and TV keeps forcing "Target reached" on my updates. As such i am reposting this chart I first issued back on April 1st, 2025, before our "LIBERATION DAY" FACEPALM!
We are still not oversold on a monthly chart!
WARNING!
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Today is oct 14th 1929 I have moved back to Long puts at 105%The chart posted was in the forecast written dec 8th 2024 We have now reached my targets of 5669 area I have been buying the dips in calls and made $ I am now 105 % long in the money puts and I do Not see a bottom until july once we break and a second bottom mid oct The market should see a drop of 38 % into july and form a small double bottom in oct at 41 % off the highs . I will move to 125 % long puts on a sell stop at 5300 even the math at 5334 is key Best of trades WAVETIMER