$RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400 IG:RUSSELL 2000 after failing from the highs of 2400 on Dec 2024 which it revisited after 2 years the index made a low of 1700 in April which was the lows of this major cup and handle formation pattern the index has been doing for the last 2 year. We discussed this Cup and a probable handle forming in this blog space for the index IG:RUSSELL a couple of times. As the index is completing its lows of the handle formation in April and off of its lows, we can expect some major move to the upside in this relief rally for $RUSSELL. On the weekly RSI the index touched 20 which marked a multi-year over sold positioning in the index itself.
But the question is where does the index go from here ? The fundamental analysis of the Cup and handle pattern will tell us that the index must touch the top of the pattern first where the future direction will be decided. In the medium term the index must touch 2400 again before we can make a long term bullish or bearish call. For now, the upside of this handle pattern will continue.
Verdict: IG:RUSSELL can touch 2400 before facing major resistance
Market indices
Review and plan for 2nd May 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Analysis 02.05.2025As of May 1, 2025, the Nifty 50 index has demonstrated a robust performance, closing April with a gain of 3.46%, building upon a 6.30% rise in March. This upward momentum is largely attributed to substantial foreign portfolio investments (FPIs), with approximately $4.11 billion injected over nine trading sessions, marking the longest buying spree since July 2023.
mint
The rally has been further supported by optimism surrounding a potential U.S.-India trade agreement, India's strong economic outlook compared to global peers, and attractive valuations among Indian large-cap stocks. Notably, heavyweights like Reliance Industries have contributed to investor enthusiasm with strong corporate earnings.
Despite geopolitical tensions, including a recent militant attack in Kashmir, the markets have remained resilient. However, such events have introduced volatility, as evidenced by the Nifty volatility index rising for the fifth time in six sessions.
Looking ahead, historical trends suggest that May often yields modest gains for the Nifty 50, with positive returns in six out of the past ten years, averaging 1.5%. Sectors like Auto and FMCG have historically performed well during this month.
USDX,DXYUSDX price is near the important support zone 98.23-97.75. If the price cannot break through the 97.75 level, it is expected that in the short term there is a chance that the price will rebound.
**Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
US Markets on the Edge – Heavy Bloodshed Ahead!The charts are screaming caution!
SPX, Nasdaq, and major tech stocks are showing clear signs of exhaustion. We could be entering a heavy correction phase.
This is not the time to be greedy — protect your capital, manage risk, and tighten those stop losses.
Stay alert. Stay smart.
Massive moves are coming, and not everyone will survive them.
Following the Wave StructureAnalysis:
The NASDAQ100 appears to be following a classic 5-wave structure.
Currently, we are finishing Wave 3, with an expected corrective move toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone near 19,018.7.
From there, the chart suggests a continuation toward the 19,879 area (close to the daily 200 EMA) and, finally, toward the 20,866 target, completing the cycle.
Key zones:
Support: 19,018.7 (50% Fibo and strong structural level)
Resistance: 19,879.1 and 20,866.2
Additional levels: Daily 200 EMA and previous structural gaps
The path won't be in a straight line — expect consolidation and pullbacks along the way. However, the bullish projection remains intact as long as the 19,018.7 support holds.
Let's keep riding the wave! 🌊
US Dollar Bulls Return Ahead of NFPsThe US Dollar is testing resistance today at the 2023 / 2024 low day closes (LDC) at 99.95-100.42- looking for possible infection off this mark in the days ahead.
A closer look at USD price action shows the index trading into the resistance at the median-line in early U.S. trade. A topside breach above this threshold is needed to validate a breakout of the weekly opening-range with subsequent resistance see at the September high-day close (HDC) / September high at 101.77/92. Note that channel resistance converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and a breach / close above this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last week / a larger reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance eyed at the 2016 high-close / 2020 high at 102.95/99 and the 2023 yearly open at 103.49.
Key support remains unchanged at the 2018 swing high / 61.8% retracement of the 2018 advance at 97.71-98.39- a close below this threshold would threaten another bout of accelerated USD losses with subsequent support seen at the 96-handle, the 2022 LDC at 95.17 and the March 2020 low at 94.65.
A rebound off key support takes the U.S. Dollar into initial resistance with major event risk on tap tomorrow. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to this week’s low IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach above 100.42 needed to fuel the next leg of the recovery.
-MB
US30: Time to Reverse or Push Higher?Hey Traders,
As you can see on the chart, price tapped into a major level around the $37,000 area, where we saw a weekly liquidity grab followed by a 4H change of character — leading to a strong push up to the $40,800 zone.
Now, we’re looking at two possible scenarios:
📌 Scenario 1:
Price pulls back to the $39,100 area and gives a solid 4H confirmation → Targeting the $41,000 zone.
📌 Scenario 2:
Price breaks below the $39,100 area and the trendline, then pulls back into the same level with confirmation → Targeting the $37,000 / $36,000 area.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my view on the current setup.
Be safe, be happy, and have a great trading day.
– Mr. Wolf 🐺
US100 Triangle Squeeze – Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders,
Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance.
Two potential bullish scenarios on watch:
🔹 Scenario 1:
Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation → Potential rally toward the 19,200–19,600 zone.
🔹 Scenario 2:
Short-term rejection at resistance → Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level → Then bounce for continuation to the upside.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, I’ll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600
Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600
⚠️ Not financial advice – just sharing market insights.
– Mr. Wolf 🐺
#US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
US30 (Dow Jones) Daily Analysis — Make or Break at DowntrendUS30 Daily Analysis
Technical Outlook — May 1, 2025
🔍 Current Market Condition:
US30 is trading near a critical confluence zone where price meets descending trendline resistance and horizontal supply. This level previously acted as a strong rejection point, making the current test significant.
🧩 Key Technical Highlights:
Price testing descending trendline from March highs.
Horizontal resistance zone around 41,000–41,300 is being challenged.
Stochastic oscillator is nearing overbought levels, suggesting caution.
The ascending channel’s lower boundary recently held as support near 38,000.
Compression forming between trendline resistance and rising support.
📈 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Break and close above 41,300 could open path to retest 43,000 and 45,000 levels.
Look for a bullish daily candle with strong volume above trendline.
Bearish Case:
Rejection from current resistance could send price back toward 39,500–38,000 support zone.
Watch for bearish divergence on Stochastic or failed break above resistance.
📌 Important Note:
This week's economic calendar includes key data releases—stay alert for volatility that may trigger a breakout or reversal.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
NAS100 | 4H Bullish Breakout from Channel – Eyes on 19,970 ZoneNAS100 4H Chart Analysis
Price broke out of a well-respected descending channel with a strong bullish push. Currently approaching a supply zone around 19,970, where we may see a reaction.
Key Levels:
• Resistance/Supply: 19,970
• Support: 19,450 / 18,823
Technical Notes:
• Breakout confirmation above descending trendline
• Clean retest zone formed at previous structure (around 18,800)
• Watching for either a rejection at supply or continuation into 21,000+
Next Steps:
• Waiting for confirmation: reaction or break of the 19,970 zone
• Will look for 15m–1H entry if we get a pullback to structure
US30: Long Position Setup – Buyers Target Key ResistanceOverview:
The US30 index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) presents a clear long setup as price tests a crucial support zone, with potential bullish momentum targeting higher resistance levels. The chart's long position tool highlights a well-defined risk-to-reward framework.
Key Details from the Chart:
Long Position Tool Breakdown:
Entry Point: Price hovering near the support level, suggesting a strong buying opportunity.
Stop-Loss Level: Positioned slightly below the support to limit downside risk.
Take-Profit Target: Aiming for the next resistance zone above current price levels.
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support Zone: A reliable level where buyers have repeatedly entered the market.
Resistance Zone: Above the take-profit target, where sellers might step in and stall upward movement.
Volume Insights:
Increased buying interest near the support level signals bullish sentiment. Volume profile analysis confirms strong participation at these levels.
Long Trade Plan:
Entry Strategy: Initiate long positions near the support level, ensuring confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or a surge in buying volume.
Stop-Loss Placement: Secure the position with a stop-loss below the support level to protect against adverse price movements.
Take-Profit Levels: Target the resistance zone, maximizing potential gains while maintaining favorable risk management.
Market Sentiment:
The chart reflects growing buyer interest, with price action likely to push higher as long as the support zone holds. Traders should remain vigilant for reversal signals and manage positions accordingly.
Closing Thoughts: This long trade setup on US30 offers a well-balanced approach, allowing traders to capitalize on bullish momentum while minimizing risk. As always, patience and discipline are key to executing trades effectively.
Mechanical Over Mood. AlwaysWell, this week really wanted to test both my trading discipline… and my tech patience.
My laptop decided to kick the bucket mid-session.
But honestly? Not even mad.
Because it reminded me of something traders forget too often:
Simple is better. Mechanical is best.
No charts? No problem.
Noisy bias? Ignore it.
Just follow the system and let the setups do the work.
And right now?
The market gave us a Tag off the lower Bollinger Band…
Then a Turn with some clean bullish pulse bars…
Now we’re tagging the upper band again.
Textbook mechanical structure.
No predictions. No overlays. Just rules.
Yes, compression still lingers – the bands are squeezed tighter than my laptop battery casing.
But until something breaks out (or explodes), I’m trading it simple.
---
SPX Market View
Some days the market whispers.
Some days it screams.
And then… there are days like this – where it quietly tags, turns, and retags like a kid playing solo hide and seek.
Welcome to compression.
Welcome to Tag ‘n Turn 2: Return to the Band.
Yesterday gave us exactly what we needed:
Tag off the lower Bollinger Band
Bullish pulse bars firing in sequence
Now back to the upper BB as of this morning
It’s a full mechanical cycle playing out in slow motion.
The band width? Still squeezed.
So unless we get a confirmed breakout – no compounding, no fireworks, no fast lane.
That’s not a problem.
It’s a feature.
Why?
Because in environments like this, the strategy doesn’t just work – it filters the noise.
No guesswork. No hoping. No “is this the one?”
Just a defined setup, and a playbook that responds only when the price earns it.
I’m staying bullish as long as this range holds.
Pulse bars off the highs or lows? I’m in.
Breakout confirmed? Let’s ride it.
Dip to mid-band? Still valid.
The structure is intact.
The setup is valid.
And even if my laptop’s dying breath is a warning beep, I’ll still be trading off what matters.
Trade the system. Trust the sequence. Let the rest break down.
---
Expert Insights:
Mistake #1: Overcomplicating compressed conditions.
Compression doesn’t mean “do more” – it means “do less, better.”
Fix: Let the pulse bar do the talking. Keep your setup clean.
Mistake #2: Ignoring band re-tags as valid setups.
Returning to the upper or lower band doesn’t invalidate the prior move.
Fix: Use structure. Re-tags can still deliver if pulse bars confirm.
Mistake #3: Letting tech failures bleed into trading decisions.
Just because your screen flickers doesn’t mean your system broke.
Fix: Stay mechanical. Even from a mobile. It’s not the gear – it’s the method.
---
Rumour Has It…
Wall Street insiders are reporting that Apple’s next product will be the MacBook Trader, a laptop designed specifically to fail whenever Bollinger Bands compress.
Features include:
An auto-dimming screen whenever pulse bars form
A built-in “Hope Mode” that deletes your rulebook
And a random error that whispers “maybe just this once…”
Traders are advised to plug directly into their mechanical setups or, failing that, scribble strategies on a coffee-stained napkin like it’s 2002.
Rumour has it that a squirrel from Central Park is currently outperforming several hedge funds using nothing but broken Fibonacci tools and pure optimism.
This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!
Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?
---
Fun Fact – Did You Know?
The term “Frankenstein” originally came from Mary Shelley’s story of a scientist trying to control something he didn’t fully understand…
Which is what most traders do with indicators.
They bolt on RSI here, MACD there, sprinkle in some Fibonacci dust, and hope it walks.
But the real monsters aren’t the tools – they’re discretionary trades pretending to be mechanical.
Moral of the story?
You don’t need a stitched-together algo monster.
You just need a clean pulse bar, a set of rules, and the ability to sit still.
Bulls and Bears zone for 05-01-2025S&P 500 is going to have a gap up Open and finally closing gap from early last month.
Also traders could be taking profit after yesterday's big UP move.
Level to watch: 5643 ---5645
Reports to watch:
US : PMI Manufacturing Final 945am
US : ISM Manufacturing Index 1000am
US : Construction Spending 1000am
DowJones INTRADAY at pivotal zone Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 INTRADAY resistance at 5670Tech Surge Lifts Markets:
Strong earnings from Microsoft (+7.8%) and Meta (+6.2%) are driving early market optimism. Both beat revenue expectations, easing concerns about trade war impacts.
→ S&P 500 futures up over 1%.
Trade Deal Hopes:
Sentiment is boosted by signs that President Trump may soon announce initial trade agreements, reducing geopolitical risk.
Bank of Japan Dovish Shift:
The BoJ cut its growth forecast and delayed its inflation target, signaling caution.
Yen fell as much as 1.2%.
US-Ukraine Investment Deal:
The US secured privileged access to Ukraine’s natural resources, potentially helping ease tensions as part of broader efforts to end the war.
Earnings Watch:
Before Open: Mastercard, Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, Moderna, McDonald’s
After Close: Apple, Amazon, Amgen, Airbnb, Reddit
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5670
Resistance Level 2: 5740
Resistance Level 3: 5820
Support Level 1: 5440
Support Level 2: 5385
Support Level 3: 5316
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.