Triple Top Trouble? NAS100 May Be Losing SteamThe NAS100 has formed a potential triple top, and key trendlines are starting to break to the downside. This could signal a short-term correction before bulls attempt another push for new highs. A temporary drop might offer a better long setup if momentum resets.
Market indices
NAS - TIME TO MAKE ACTIVE TRADER ROOM GREATER AGAIN!Team, last week we got a good entry on both DOW/US30 AND NAS100/TEC100
Yes, i do know about the situation with ISRAEL AND IRAN.
This will drag on for at least 3-6 months for the solutions
however, I expect the cease fire should be stop within next week as President Trump's is negotiation with Iran
There are two strategy to trade for the NAS- NASTY market
Rule: make sure you calculate how much position and volume you are taking risk on the trade. Every time you enter, ensure you are understood each trade risk.
As I always do.
The last 90 days we have not losing a single trade - check my new video release soon.
OK, lets get back to the trade set up again
entry small volume at market now.
If market falling down during US session, buy more at the second setting
However, I expect the 1st setting likely to recover soon.
Jump on board now.
See you to the moon
SPX500 | SMC Breakdown in Progress – Watch the Liquidity SweepThe rising wedge broke structure near the weak high in premium territory. We are now seeing bearish CHoCHs and BOS with volume confirmation, suggesting a move down toward the next key demand zone between 5840–5720.
📊 Volume Analysis
Spikes in sell volume during BOS align with structural shifts, confirming the loss of bullish intent.
📌 Key Zones
Premium Zone: 6000–6080 was swept and rejected
Target Zones: 5840, 5760, and final liquidation zone near 5668
Equilibrium sits below 5700, matching confluence with prior FVG and OB
🔀 Scenarios
Price could react mid-range and retrace to test the weak high again.
A full sweep of the lower liquidity zone near 5668 could create a bullish springboard for a longer-term continuation.
🎯 Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims 6020 on strong volume.
Watch for how price behaves near the mid-blue zone — patience will provide the cleanest entry.
— WaverVanir International LLC
US30 | Bearish Below 42610, Eyes on 42410 and 42160US30 | OVERVIEW
The price has reversed and is now under bearish pressure, following stabilization below the 42690 – 42610 zone.
📉 As long as the index trades below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 42410, and a 1H candle close below that level could extend the move to 42160.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A clear stabilization above 42810 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting higher levels.
Pivot: 42610
Support Levels: 42410, 42160
Resistance Levels: 42690, 42810, 43080
Central banks dominate calendar this week: Will Fed surprise?A pack of central bank decisions is set to drive market direction this week, with the Bank of Japan (Tuesday), Federal Reserve (Wednesday), Swiss National Bank (Thursday), and Bank of England (Thursday) all scheduled to announce their latest interest rate decisions.
The Federal Reserve will, of course, take center stage.
Despite President Trump’s continued call for a 100-basis point rate cut, Fed officials are widely expected to keep rates unchanged. However, softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data from last week may provide scope for a surprise.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading just above the key support zone at 98.00, a level not seen since early 2022. A decisive break below this area could open the door to further downside, potentially targeting the 96.00 region. However, a surprise from the Fed could trigger a rebound toward the 100.50–101.00 resistance band.
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310.
Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810.
For now, the directional bias remains bearish.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41770, 41310, 40700
• Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210
Click to see the Previous idea
June 15 US30Good day people. Price is steadily starting to move downwards, before it does, I believe that it will push up a bit towards the 42,341 or 42,400 level. Those levels line up with my Fibonacci as well as my key areas so I believe it will be a perfect place to look for sells but only if:
Price breaks and retests a key area
Breaks structure around a key area
If it's happening inside of the NYC Sessions
And if this is on the 1m or 5m timeframe
Obviously like an Ex, price does what it wants. So, it can always go the other way or turn around earlier or later so be careful and cautious to see if price is creating new structure. And as long as you follow those four things above you can pretty much enter price anywhere (a kry level)
DXY is turning BULLISH,I'm buying at market open, you should tooTechnically, DXY should retrace from here, range for sometimes, take out liquidity and then continue higher. My DXY post this year has a 99% accuracy. Dont take it lightly.
Now, Dxy had been following a downward trendline since the beginning of this year and I'm seeing a break out soon. Conservative traders can wait for a break and retest but I'm fairly sure we will get it. Enter and add more as the move goes in your favour, stop wasting pips. Dont hold this trade and make only 1k. Add more, compound, not when in loss but when in gain. This will change the game for you.
This means that you should be looking for sell on EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD et al.
Ya gaziere unu
TP1 @ 99.4
TP2 @ 100.5
My trade idea on NASDAQ 100 For the coming week I'm seeing NAS100 dropping lower to pull/draw on liquidity below there heading to where we have what looks like a strong POI...
Drop your comment below if you're seeing something totally different from what I'm seeing here and lets have a discussion about our views.
Macro enviornment effects on equities - Flat to Bearish The current macro-geopolitical environment presents several quantifiable bearish pressures on the Nasdaq. Housing markets are showing real signs of deterioration, with home listings in Florida and other regions down 15–20% from peak prices, and many individual properties seeing $100K+ price cuts—foreshadowing a broader 24–30% drawdown in real estate that could significantly erode consumer wealth and confidence. Labor market weakness is emerging beneath the surface, with rising layoffs in tech and new graduates facing difficulty securing jobs, even as the Fed is projected to cut rates twice by year-end. While disinflation supports policy easing, it is being outweighed by the drag from labor and housing stress. Geopolitically, the escalation risk in the Iran–Israel conflict introduces volatility and commodity price spikes, while the Ukraine war, though stagnating, remains unresolved. U.S. foreign policy appears increasingly erratic, adding further uncertainty premium. These elements combine to create a risk environment where upside in the Nasdaq is capped, and downside exposure remains
Flat to Bearish for the next 12 months, drawdown up to 25% to December 2021 high on NDX and support line during recent tariff crashes. long sustained drawdown would sustain for a while if we get into situations like housing collapse, or entering into a war, even indirectly like we did for Ukraine.
significant. NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
Dow Jones Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 42,400 zone, Dow Jones was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a corerction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 42,400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NASDAQ - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25On the NQ around 21,638, I’d estimate roughly:
Rally up through 22,248 first ~60%
Slide down through 21,024 first ~40%
Why?
Up-trend bias: Since the April low (≈16,000), the market has been in a strong rally, clearing multiple interim highs.
Resistance vs. support: 22,248 has capped rallies twice (Jan & Feb), so a break would be bullish but not guaranteed. Meanwhile 21,024 flipped to support in late May.
Momentum: The recent pullback from 22,000 was shallow, and daily MACD/RSI remain in bullish territory, suggesting a higher chance to retest the upper line before failing.
Nifty Daily SMC Analysis – 13 June 2025 (Friday Close)📊 Nifty Daily SMC Analysis – 13 June 2025 (Friday Close)
🕯️ Daily Candle: Bullish
• Open: 24473
• High: 24754
• Low: 24473
• Close: 24718
🧠 Market Structure (5-Candle Fractals – Daily Chart)
• Last HL / CHoCH: 24502
• Last HH / BoS: 25222
✔️ Structure is still bullish: HL → HH
✔️ Price respected previous HL; bullish continuation possible
📦 Key Smart Money Zones (Daily)
✅ 1st Bullish Order Block (OB): 24150 – 24447
✅ Bullish FVG #1: 24164 – 24547
✅ Bullish FVG #2: 24644 – 24671
✅ Volume Filter Confirmed OB
• Volume > 1.1× average
• MA Period: 21
🧭 Price Context
✅ Closed as a green candle inside the Discount Zone
✅ Price rejected OB low (24447) and FVG midpoint
✅ Strong demand confluence between 24150 – 24550
🧨 Investment Strategy: Long Bias / Bullish
🎯 Trade Bias: Mildly bullish as long as 24502 (HL) holds
🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 24150 OB low
📈 Target: Retest or break 25222 (HH)
🔍 Look for bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (15m–1h) inside OB/FVG zones
⚠️ Stay alert for liquidity sweep below 24500 as potential inducement
🔔 Summary
Nifty continues to trade within a bullish SMC structure. With price closing inside a discount zone, reacting from a validated Bullish OB and multiple FVGs, there are signs of smart money accumulation.
📌 As long as 24502 holds, expect bullish continuation toward 25222.
📉 Structure turns neutral to bearish only if 24150 is broken on a daily close.
NIfty SpotVery good resilience shown by Indian Markets amid Global uncertainty.
Iran - Israel war will surely have an impact on opening of the markets tomorrow..
The way the war is continuing all likely hood of opening deep red...tomorrow
Well but i feel taht will be a good opportunity to buy near 24000-23850 Zone... as it is also a previous GAP so all possibility of finding suppport near that level
Have marked important level on chart.
Like... Share... Comment.
Index/US) Bearish trend analysis Read The caption)SMC trading point update
Technical analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 30-minute timeframe, with the price respecting a clear downtrend and repeatedly rejecting a resistance zone near the 200 EMA.
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Analysis Breakdown
Key Technical Elements:
1. Downtrend Structure:
The price remains within a descending channel.
Multiple lower highs and lower lows signal sustained bearish pressure.
2. Resistance Zone:
Highlighted near 98.490–98.495, aligned with the EMA 200.
Multiple rejections from this level (indicated by red arrows), confirming strong supply.
3. EMA 200 (98.490):
Acts as dynamic resistance.
Price is below it, reinforcing the bearish bias.
4. Projected Move:
Bearish price path targets the 97.189 level (target point).
A measured move of approximately -1.30% is illustrated.
5. RSI (14):
RSI currently at 46.27, below the neutral 50 mark.
This confirms bearish momentum without being oversold, leaving room for further downside.
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Bearish Thesis:
Repeated failure to break above key resistance + downward channel + RSI weakness suggests a continuation to the downside.
Short-term consolidation expected before breakdown continuation.
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Trade Idea Concept:
Entry: Sell on a minor pullback near resistance (~98.300–98.490), or breakdown below the recent minor support.
Target: 97.189 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 98.500 or EMA 200 to invalidate the bearish setup.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risks to Watch:
A break and strong close above 98.500 would invalidate the bearish structure and could initiate a trend reversal.
Economic events (noted by calendar icons) may trigger volatility – ideal to monitor closely around those times.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Consumer Services (Hotel & Tourism Sector) : SPCSECSP : CSE Fundamentals
* Q4 2025 results indicate weakening momentum in the sector in respect of topline growth.
* Combined YoY revenue growth for Q4 2025 of four biggest hotel operators listed in CSE AHUN, KHL, PALM & AHPL is just 1%
* Major 5 STAR city hotels (AHPL, TAJ, SERV) combined revenue had recorded a negative growth of more than 5% (dropped by > 5%) during Q4 2025 comparative to previous year
* CBSL data indicates USD Earnings per Arrival had dropped by 3.03% during April 2025 against 2024. This indicates deteriorating quality of arrivals.
* No visible global promotional campaign during last 6-8 months
* Country is entering the tourism off-season
Technical Analysis (Chart Patterns)
* After dropping aggressively (17%) from recent top, SPCSECSP index is consolidating between 484-514 area creating a bear flag formation while CSE is in a bull run.
* If breaks down technical target would be 400-420 level (another 15-17% drop)
* Weekly 20 SMA is curling down
* Levels marked as 1,2,3 are support areas where investors can assess the developments for re-positioning. (levels 2/3 are strong support areas)
Strategy
Staying away from the sector and monitoring the progress/developments might be prudent while allocating capital for sectors with momentum/better growth
* If technical pattern discussed above, breaks down estimated time it will take to reach major support area coincides with the start of next tourism season (Sep/Oct), where investors can assess the situation for re-positioning.
Disclaimer
* NOT financial advice
* Investors should take their investment decisions based their own analysis
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 20 JUNI 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 📉
The NASDAQ has rejected Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00, signaling potential downside movement.
As long as price stays below Magnet Area (dmD) 21736.00 – 21863.00, the market is likely to continue its decline toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00, especially if price breaks through Magnet Area (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00.
📌 Roadmap Summary:
🔻 Rejection confirmed from (SpH4)
⬇️ Bearish bias valid while below (dmD)
🚨 Breakout trigger: (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00
🎯 Target zone: (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
SPX500 BUYGreeting there traders this is my analysis on
📊 S&P 500 – Potential Elliott Wave 3 Formation | Long Setup
The current 4H chart of the S&P 500 suggests a potential bullish continuation based on Elliott Wave Theory. Here's the structured breakdown:
🔹 Wave 1: Initiated after a failed breakout and sharp reversal from a previous resistance zone. This impulsive move marked a key shift in trend structure.
🔹 Wave 2: A corrective phase followed, consolidating near the support area (~5,915), respecting previous demand.
🔹 Current Price Action: Price has broken above the minor resistance at 6,000, indicating the potential beginning of Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in the sequence.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry: Above 6,000 (confirmation of breakout and wave continuation)
Stop Loss: Below 5,915 (invalidates bullish structure if broken)
Target Zone: 6,167 – 6,170 (aligned with prior resistance and wave projection)
🔍 Additional Notes:
The breakout is supported by a clean structure and rejection from key support.
Ideal scenario would involve increasing volume and continuation with higher highs and higher lows.
📌 Bias: Bullish – targeting Wave 3 extension.
⚠️ Always manage risk accordingly and watch for signs of exhaustion or divergence.
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
Rising wedge + Bearish divergence + GAP at 5700 + new war !!!Rising wedge + bearish divergence + GAP down at 5700.
And yes, a new war in the Middle East. Higher oil prices are coming — Iran controls the Hormuz Strait, where 20–30% of the world’s oil is transported. Yes, Iran is on the sanctions list, but other countries aren’t — they trade with Iran and resell the oil to the rest of the world. Triangle trade.
But that supply of 20–30% is about to disappear due to the war. Higher oil prices mean higher expenses. A lot of the world still relies on oil as an energy source.
We’re also out of the previous trend we had before the tariffs.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).