Russell 2000 H4 | Falling toward a swing-low supportThe Russell 2000 (US2000) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,210.84 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 2,155.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 2,278.39 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Market indices
Levels for Nifty - 10 July 2025As the market was in the range of 25548-25425 i.e. traded within the support and resistance, one can plan long/ short:
1. Long once 25560 is broken for target of 25580 and second target of 25610.
2. Short only after the strong support zone of 25415 is broken for target of 25370 and second target of 25336. Do keep in mind of the trendline which will act as support
3. No trading zone with be todays range of 25548-25425
Almost There: Nifty Closing in on My Target Zone 25340In this update, I’m revisiting the setup I shared earlier that points towards NIFTY’s next potential target at 25,340. The analysis covers the key levels, price action structure, and the factors supporting this move. This setup is based on clear technical confirmations and disciplined risk management — not just speculation.
Please remember to follow your own plan and manage your trades responsibly. This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Let’s see how the price action unfolds!
Bearish Outlook on Nifty – Based on Smart Money ConceptI'm seeing a clear downside setup on Nifty, with Smart Money indicating distribution and the market transitioning into a bearish trend.
📉 Target: 25,340
📍 Current Price: 25,474
🔍 Reasoning: Clear signs of institutional distribution and lower highs/lows forming. Smart Money is exiting, suggesting the beginning of a deeper correction.
Will monitor closely for any change in structure, but as of now, bias remains strongly bearish.
DAX (Ger40): Defying Global TensionsDespite all this tariff drama, the DAX hit another record high. What gives? Markets seem to be betting that Trump enjoys the threat of tariffs more than the implementation. Some traders are pricing in yet another extension beyond the August 1 deadline.
The DAX is riding momentum from both global AI enthusiasm, thanks to Nvidia’s $4 trillion market cap milestone, and the assumption that European exporters might dodge the worst of Trump’s trade penalties, at least for now. However, this rally is precarious. If a tariff letter hits Brussels, or copper tariffs ripple into industrial demand expectations, we could see a swift correction.
Technically, near term resistance is sitting around. 24,700. However as stated, should sentiment change. A correction back down, to the support level at 24,200, which also aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement level, could be on the cards. Or even all the way down to 23,800, aligning with the 88% Fibonacci level.
Sp500S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Update:
Closing Price: 5648.39 (as of last week’s close)
Outlook: The SPX appears poised for a potential rally, with immediate resistance levels identified at 5700.00, 5800.00, and 6000.00. Based on current technical indicators and market conditions, a continuation of the bullish trend to the 5800.00 level within the next month seems plausible.
Technical Indicators Supporting a Bullish Move:
Moving Averages: The SPX is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend. The positive crossover between these moving averages often signals sustained upward momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently positioned in the bullish zone (above 50) and has not yet reached overbought conditions. This suggests that there is room for further upside before any potential reversal.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, and the histogram is in positive territory. This indicates that the momentum is favorable and supports the possibility of further gains.
Volume: Recent upward movements have been accompanied by increasing trading volume, which validates the strength of the rally and suggests that buying interest remains robust.
Summary: Given the strong technical indicators and the current market environment, the SPX is well-positioned to advance towards the 5800.00 level over the next month. Current buying opportunities appear favorable for potentially significant gains.
SPX500SPX500: Bullish Momentum Builds – 6500 in Sight?
📍 Current Price: 5977.00
📈 Bias: Strongly Bullish
🎯 Target: 6500+
📉 Invalidation Level: 5850 (Short-term support)
📊 Technical Outlook:
The SPX500 continues to show strong bullish momentum as it trades at all-time highs near 5977.00. With persistent buying pressure and supportive macro tailwinds, the index looks poised for further upside.
Key observations:
✅ Price Action: Clean breakout and consolidation above recent highs. No signs of exhaustion yet.
📈 Trend: Clearly up across all major timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H).
🧠 Psychological Level: 6000 is within reach, and a break above could open the path toward 6500 as the next major round number and Fibonacci extension level.
💡 Market Sentiment: Risk-on tone prevails; tech and mega caps continue to lead.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 6000 → 6150 → 6500
Support: 5900 → 5850 → 5735
⚠️ Risk Management:
While the setup remains bullish, traders should watch for:
Surprise macro headlines (Fed speeches, inflation data, geopolitical risks)
Pullbacks toward support for potential re-entries
📝 Conclusion:
SPX500 remains in a powerful uptrend. As long as price holds above key short-term support at 5850, bulls retain full control. A breakout above 6000 could trigger a fresh wave of institutional buying, driving price toward 6500 in the coming weeks.
📢 Let me know your thoughts — are we heading for 6500 next?
👍 Like & follow for more real-time market insights!
#Nifty directions and levels for July 10th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 10th:
The global market has a moderately bearish sentiment, while our local market is showing a moderately bullish sentiment.
Meanwhile, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-down start.
So, what can we expect today?
Structurally, we are still in a range with a moderately bullish bias. So, until the range is broken, we may not get any clear direction.
However, my expectation is that if the market initially pulls back, it could continue the rally with some consolidation.
In this case, if a solid structure forms, we can expect a longer rally.
On the other hand, if the market declines and finds support around the immediate support level, it may continue to stay in the range.
Or, if a solid structure forms on the downside, then the correction is likely to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 10th:Structurally, we are still in a range with a moderately bullish bias. So, until the range is broken, we may not get any clear direction.
However, my expectation is that if the market initially pulls back, it could continue the rally with some consolidation.
In this case, if a solid structure forms, we can expect a longer rally.
On the other hand, if the market declines and finds support around the immediate support level, it may continue to stay in the range.
Or, if a solid structure forms on the downside, then the correction is likely to continue.
#SENSEX Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/07/2025Sensex is expected to open flat today, continuing the consolidation observed in the past few sessions. The price action remains range-bound with key support near 83400 and resistance around 83600 levels.
Currently, Sensex is hovering near its critical range with buyers and sellers struggling for control. A breakout above the 83500–83600 zone may trigger fresh bullish momentum with targets at 83800, 83950, and 84100+. Sustained movement above 84100 could signal a stronger trend reversal.
On the downside, a breakdown below the 83400 level could lead to weakness, with immediate targets at 83050, 82900, and 82800-.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/07/2025Nifty is also expected to open flat today, reflecting a similar consolidation pattern observed in recent sessions. The index continues to trade within a tight range, signaling indecisiveness among traders and lack of strong directional momentum.
Currently, Nifty is oscillating in a consolidation zone between 25550 resistance and 25450 support. A breakout above 25550 could trigger fresh long entries, with potential upside targets at 25600, 25650, and 25750+. Sustained strength above 25750 may open the way for extended bullish movement.
Conversely, a breakdown below the 25450 level may lead to short opportunities, with downside targets at 25350, 25300, and 25250-.
Until the index decisively breaks out of this range, sideways movement is likely to persist. Traders should wait for confirmation before taking aggressive directional positions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(10/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat today due to the continued consolidation seen over the last few sessions. The index is trading within a tight range between 57450 on the upside and 57050 on the downside, indicating indecision in the market.
A sustain above the 57050–57100 zone could initiate fresh buying momentum, potentially pushing prices towards the targets of 57250, 57350, and 57450+. Sustained move above 57550 may further lead to an extended rally toward 57750, 57850, and even 57950+ levels.
On the other hand, if the index breaks below the 56950–56900 level, it may invite fresh selling pressure. In such a scenario, downside targets are seen at 56750, 56650, and 56550-.
Until a decisive move happens beyond the upper or lower bounds, expect sideways action within the current consolidation range. Traders are advised to wait for a breakout from the range for directional trades.
Dollar Index AnalysisDollar Index has been in continuous sell for last 5 Months. Has hit the demand zone and giving a pull back and short term trend in daily and 4H charts. From the 4H charts we can see that it is in short term uptrend move and has pushed higher and it is giving a pull back which is visible.
FTSEMIB - 3+ MONTHS OUTLOOKI will add details if July setup is confirmed, for the time being, this is just an idea of price might evolve.
If price breaks upward the channel...then this idea will not be explored further, although, I have to say that geometry is speaking loud.
shows potential target areas for next high and low.
IF it is a new ITM (intermediate cycle) then we have 75%/80% chances to enter into the green box, while if it is just a new MTY, price might not go that high and bottom will be reached by end of July / early August.
Similar setup for all markets (SPX/DAX/FTMIB)
Dow Jones (US30): Recovery in Motion — Target at 45,000Market Overview:
The Dow Jones index holds above the support zone at 44,183 after a local correction. The broader trend remains bullish, with the primary target set near the monthly resistance zone at 45,000.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABCD pattern
— Support confirmed at H8 level (44,183)
— EMA acting as dynamic support
— Upside potential toward channel resistance
Key Levels:
Support: 44,183, 43,455
Resistance/Target: 45,000
Scenario:
Primary: If Dow Jones remains above 44,183, continuation toward 45,000 is likely.
Alternative: A break below 44,183 could trigger a deeper correction toward 43,455.