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US30 Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for US30. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 44,546.65. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 45,015.58 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by SignalProvider
3
Highlights of J.Powell's monetary policy testimony1. Interest rate outlook: Reiterating that there is no need to rush to adjust interest rates. If the economy remains strong and inflation does not get close to 2%, policy can remain prudent for longer. If the labor market weakens unexpectedly or inflation falls more than expected, policy could be loosened modestly. 2. Inflation situation: Long-term inflation expectations appear solid. Inflation is close to the 2% target, but still a bit high. Focus on achieving your dual goals. The Fed's framework review will not focus on inflation targeting. 3. Labor market: Unemployment rate remains low and stable. The labor market situation has cooled after the previous overheating period and remains solid, not becoming a source of inflationary pressure. The labor market situation in general remains balanced. 4. Banking supervision: Commit to adjusting banking supervision activities, avoiding creating excessive burdens for banks. It is necessary to reconsider the "non-bank" issue. Committed to the ultimate goal of completing Basel III. 5. Long-term interest rates: The Federal Reserve cannot control long-term interest rates, and the reason long-term interest rates are high has nothing to do with Federal Reserve policy. Long-term interest rates are determined by supply and demand in the bond market. 6. Tariff issue: I still maintain my previous view that countries implementing free trade will have faster economic growth. The Federal Reserve declined to comment on the Trump administration's tariff policy. 7. Housing issues: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may lower mortgage rates. Even as interest rates fall, the housing shortage continues. It is unclear whether interest rate cuts will lead to a reduction in housing inflation. 8. Other highlights: If the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is shut down, there will be a gap in consumer compliance protections. There is no possibility of launching a central bank digital currency.
TVC:DXY
by Xayah_trading
Hang Seng Index - are we really out of the woods ?Only the few top hedge fund manager like David Tepper and Michael Bury has indicated their long positions in certain China stocks. While the government has been releasing various measures of different magnitude to boost the economy, it seems like dancing cha cha, 2 step forward, 3 steps backward. This definitely does not bode well for the retail investors world wide who took a contranian view of the market that is not investable. A quick look at the weekly charts offer a glimpse of hope as we are now out of the bearish trend channel. The past weeks price action has been most encouraging with green candles showing every day. DeepSeek or DeepS**T depending on how you look at it, has definitely shake things up in the China tech stocks and took the big Tech boys in US to sit up straight! Is this a decoy , a political move ? I dunno and probably would never be able to find out since as retail investors, all we can access to are secondary information available online. Some said what you read are crafted by the media to "brainwash" you so you would believe and put more money into the stock market. To be fair, I think all media works the same, be it an advertisement or annual report or company announcements. That is why diversification is important! You just never know who is going to be the next Enron. And a little common sense would tell you not to plonk the entire kitchen sink into one stock or asset class no matter how much you believe in its growth story. We are excited to see what measures the CCP would roll out in the month of March as they promised in late 2024 to help shore up its domestic economy. Let's wait and see
TVC:HSILong
by dchua1969
LOOKING FORWARD TO A SELL ON US30This is another chart to help teach us patience. Monitoring US30 for a sell to the grey zone, are we going to see a liquidity run or a liquidity sweep? I don't know yet unless I see what market movers want do and then, follow their footprint. Right now, with my trading plan/strategy, I won't enter a trade. However, we may want to go to the lower time frame and do a top-down analysis down to 15 minutes from the 4H, we might see a much clearer picture. I will revisit this at the close of today's candle...
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Olajireolapoju
Still thinking of putting money in the bank ?Interest rates are coming down.....globally....... A quick look at this chart shows you are way off better putting some money in the these assets than earning the paltry interest at banks. Of course, crypto may not be everyone's cup of tea. But how about coffee? Many of you (not me, haha, I quitted drinking coffee) are coffee drinkers and yet have no idea the price of coffee grains has shot up the roof over the last two years. And how about gold? This ancient asset class has been around since our forefathers and certain things cannot be change. It has deep roots. The thinking that it is an inflation hedge still holds true for many and there are still people rushing to buy gold in anticipation of the forthcoming inflation in US. And that will further drives up its prices. A no brainer method of investing is putting money in the SPX ETF. See , it has returned 60% since the beginning of January 2023. You did nothing at all. Just sit there and collect your money (if you sell). For those who like the tech stocks, there is the QQQ ETF investing into the space of Meta, Amazon, Apple, etc. The so called magnificent seven stocks of the SPX index are certainly driving the US stock market higher and higher. Lastly, even the USDJPY currency pair would yield you above 4.75% return, much better than most fixed deposits in the banks. 2025, I hope you allocate some funds into different asset classes that suits your financial situation and prosper even more !
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
DXY Trading Journal Feb 12DXY Trading Journal Feb 12 HTF price is rebalancing a weekly SIBI and a daily SIBI. Monday Price continues to deliver in a premium, and first seeks lower prices to rebalancing the volume gap. Note how it worked the upper portion of the imbalance indicating that it is a bearish. Prices closes in the lower half of the FVG. Note how for the daily range is so heavy it can not even make it to 50 level. Note how price created equal highs. Note how Price did a raid on buys stops on late Monday to set up seeking lowers prices Tuesday. Price opens Tuesday heavy seeks to rebalance the volume imbalance and seeks the sell stops target. Classic take liquidity and lower. Today Price is opening in a Premium on previous days range and current range. I suspect that Price will seek to complete rebalancing the Volume gap it is in right now. Potentially could come as low as the .79 level watch for reactions.
TVC:DXYShort
by LeanLena
SPX: Market Reflexivity & Fractal PatternsIn this idea I would like to walk you through some principles which I use to find and relate historical complexities within rhyming cycles. Market Reflexivity Market reflexivity is a concept introduced by George Soros that defies the traditional TA notion of efficient markets by revealing that price movements do not merely reflect fundamentals — they actively shape them. As prices rise, optimism fuels further buying, creating a self-reinforcing loop inflating bubbles. Conversely, declining prices trigger fear, accelerating downturns. Reflexivity explains why trends persist and why reversals can be abrupt, as self-sustaining cycles eventually reach a exhaustion point. To put it simply, there is a feedback loop between market participants’ perceptions and actual market conditions, suggesting that financial markets are not always in equilibrium because collective investor behavior actively drives price movements, which in turn influences future investor behavior. Feedback Loops Each massive rally eventually creates conditions that lead to overvaluation, resulting in sharp corrections. Self-Fulfilling Expectations Market participants, reacting to past price behavior, reinforce trends until a breaking point. Structural Adaptation Every major correction resets valuations, allowing for the next cycle to begin with renewed confidence and capital inflows. Practical Application of Reflexivity Compared to many tickers, SPX has exhibited relatively stable growth throughout history. Over the past 70 years, the most significant panic-driven decline occurred after its 2007 peak, with a 57% drop that defined a major cycle. Growth resumed in 2009, making this swing a key reference point for establishing historical relationships. I see the Dotcom and Housing crisis-induced declines as part of a broader complexity, shaped by prior long-term growth. The two cycles appear as they do because they stem from an extended structural uptrend, not just the 250% surge from 1994 to the bubble top, which lacked a significant preceding decline. Cause-and-effect logic suggests that these crashes were a reaction to a much larger uptrend that began in 1974. A 2447% rally provides a more compelling reason for mass panic and selling, as corrections of such magnitude are rare. Intuitively, the 2447% long-term upswing should have been preceded by a decline similar to the Dotcom and Housing crashes. This holds true, as the market experienced a nearly 50% drop after peaking in 1973 and 37% in 1968, following the same cyclical pattern of deep corrections leading to extended expansions. These corrections were relatively smaller than the Dotcom and Housing crashes because they are followed by a comparatively smaller 1452% rally from the end of WWII. Multi-Fractals Multifractals in market analysis describe the non-linear, self-similar nature of price movements, where volatility and risk vary across different scales. Unlike simple fractals with a constant fractal dimension, multifractals exhibit multiple fractal dimensions, creating varying levels of roughness. Benoit Mandelbrot introduced multifractal Time Series to refine the classic random walk theory, recognizing that price movements occur in bursts of volatility followed by calm periods. Instead of a single Hurst exponent, markets display a spectrum of exponents, reflecting diverse scaling behaviors and explaining why price action appears random at times but reveals structured patterns over different time horizons. This justifies viewing price action within its structural cause-and-effect framework, where micro and macro cycles are interdependent, while oscillating at different frequencies. Therefore, we will apply the building blocks independently from boundaries of Full Fractal Cycle. Since volatility varies, this reserves us the right to extract patterns with identical slope and roughness, and by method of exclusion relate to recent cycles starting from covid.
TVC:SPX
by fract
5