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DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. A higher correction is expected. A break of the recent low at 20259 should result in a further move lower. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. We look to Sell a break of 20245 (stop at 20365) Our profit targets will be 19945 and 19845 Resistance: 20396 / 20474 / 20600 Support: 20259 / 20200 / 20119 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
1
Russell 2000 leads the fadeUS stock index futures were little-changed in early trade this morning. This follows a second successive negative close for all the four US majors last night, although these losses were, like Monday’s, relatively modest. Overall, US equities are experiencing a slight loss of upside momentum. This should not be much of a surprise considering the extent of the Russell-led rally since Trump’s decisive election victory in early November. The rally took the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 to fresh records. While the former three had made a succession of record highs throughout this year, the Russell had struggled to keep up. But in the aftermath of Trump’s win, the domestically-focused, small-cap index added 11% in the space of three weeks to take it above its previous all-time high from November 2021. But it now feels as if equities are coming off the boil. The Russell 2000 was the first to turn lower, with downside pressure dominating from early December. It was followed by the Dow just a few days later, and now the S&P and NASDAQ have joined in this week. Despite this, all four major indices remain within spitting distance of their respective all-time highs. So, the question remains: have US equities already topped for this year, or will they experience a resumption of the rally into the New Year? Much could depend on today’s inflation update and how that plays into next week’s interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve’s FOMC. The latest CPI reading comes out this afternoon. The year-on-year Core rate is expected to keep steady at 3.3% year-on-year, while the Headline CPI is forecast to tick up to 2.7% from 2.6% previously. Anything above this seems likely to rattle investors as it would be seen as an obstacle to the Fed for cutting rates at next week’s meeting. By every measure, inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target. But worse than that, all inflation measures have lost their downside momentum. That’s not to say that inflation is about to take off to the upside again, just that it makes it harder for the Fed to justify further cuts. That, in turn, removes a significant tailwind to equity markets. Despite this, investor confidence remains high, perhaps showing some complacency. The VIX (a key measure of stock market volatility) has fallen back to lows last seen just after this summer’s volatility blow-out. With all the major indices still near record highs, and given the lack of a significant pullback since the summer, perhaps it would be sensible to trim some exposure. But as things stand, most investors are positioned for a positive run into the holidays.
TRADENATIONSB:US2000
by TradeNation
DOW JONES 25-year Cycles show the clear picture you should know.Almost 8 months ago (April 12, see chart below), just when Dow Jones (DJI) was recovering from April's correction, we sent a clear message not to lose sight of the greater picture and to stay bullish: The reason was the index' clear cyclical pattern since the February 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The index has grown by +17% since that analysis (from 38459 to 45080) and we can't see a reason not to complete the pattern and hit our 48850 Target, which is our projection for this Cycle's Top. On this updated chart is on the 1W time-frame, in contrast with April's which was on the 1M, we have added to key elements. The Channel Up that is dictating the pace of the Bull Cycle since the Feb 2009 bottom and the Fibonacci retracement levels, which show that after the Bull Cycle topped, the subsequent Bear Cycle corrected within the 0.236 - 0.382 Fibonacci Zone at least before the bottom was formed. In fact, all Cycles hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) upon the Bear corrections and those didn't start before the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) was broken (1M candle close below). Our 48850 Target is technically the minimum estimate as that was the % rise of the previous one (Cycle 4), which was the least aggressive compared to others (Cycle 3 = +77.19%, Cycle 2 = +75.09%, Cycle 1 = +99.62%). If Cycle 5 peaks higher, we will draw the Fibonacci retracement levels from that top and re-adjust our expected 0.382 Fibonacci bottom for the Bear Cycle (or if the 1M MA50 gets hit first). As far as timing of the Cycle 5 Top is concerned, we expect that to be on December 2025 the earliest, again based on the Cycle with the minimum time length (Cycle 3), excluding Cycle 1 which was the most aggressive as it was the first after the U.S. Housing Crisis bottom. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
4
DXY - Long ContextMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure. We can notice the red line - break of market structure (sign of strength) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price higher at least on opposite level (marked higher). Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
TVC:DXYLong
by Maks_Klimenko
1-hr GERMAN 40: The DAX Might Dip LowerThe German DAX has corrected by 200 points from its Monday highs, and further declines seem likely. This outlook is reinforced by the Death Cross—a well-known sell signal—indicating strong short-term bearish momentum. Other major indices, including the UK100, US100, and US30, are also experiencing declines. If the DAX is lagging these counterparts, further losses in the German index may follow. Currently, the price hovers near a resistance level around 20,340, which coincides with the significant 38% Fibonacci retracement. For traders looking to capitalize on the current bearish momentum, a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio might be achieved if the price retests the crucial 50% Fibonacci retracement level, located 50 points above the current value.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by Trendsharks
US30 Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for US30. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 44,204.8. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 45,600.0. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by SignalProvider
2
Return to the upward trend!!As always, the mathematical model NDS has been used in developing this idea. 📊 As you can see, the Dow Jones index 📉 is expected to complete its final downward step around the 44152 region. Following this, it will likely head upward 📈 to complete node F3 within F3, in line with the rules of fractal mathematics 🔄, and ultimately reach its ALL-TIME HIGH once again 🚀✨. Our expected targets are as follows: 🎯. 🎯 first target = 44469 🎯secend target = 44724 🎯third target = 44900 🎯FINAL TARGET = 45064
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Matin009
4
NASDAQ Technical Analysis: CPI Impact on Bearish MomentumTechnical Analysis The price will trade under bearish momentum and high volatility due to the CPI data we have Today, as expectation the indices should trade at the bearish area, on the other hand technically side, as long as Nasdaq trades below 21535 and 21410 will be bearish toward 21220 especially if the result published more than expected which is 2.7%. Otherwise, CPI Less than 2.7% will support bullish to get a new ATH especially if close 4h candle above 21535. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21480 Resistance Levels: 21570, 21670, 21870 Support Levels: 21320, 21220, 21150 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum with some correction
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
2
DeGRAM | DXY has reached a resistance levelDXY is above the descending channel and trend lines. The chart formed a harmonic pattern, and after it left the channel, broke the upper trend line and formed a rising top, which broke the descending structure. Now the price is above the 50% retracement level of the bearish momentum. We expect growth after consolidation above the nearest resistance level. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
1
DAX Strong probability for a technical pull-back here.DAX (DE40) hit last week our 20000 Target, which we established 2 months ago (October 04, see chart below): That Target was near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up that started on the week of the October 03 2022 bottom. As you can see, this pattern has topped both previous Bullish Waves on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level and after a pull-back consolidation phase (red Arc), it started the Bearish Legs that bottomed and made Higher Lows on Support 1, which was the previous Resistance level. Having now already hit its 1.618 Fib ext, we expect DAX to pull-back a little and turn sideways as per the pattern, which we will short, targeting 19000 (Support 1). If however we see a 1W MA200 (blue trend-line) hit and immediate rebound and weekly closing above it, we will book our sell profit earlier. Notice also the high symmetry on those Legs, between their 1W CCI fractals. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by TradingShot
S&P 500 Analysis: Bearish Momentum Ahead of CPI ReleaseS&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped as we mentioned in the previous idea from 6058 and still has bearish momentum. Now, as long as trades below 6058 touch 6022, stability under 6022 supports dropping toward 5971, especially if the CPI released is more than expected, which is 2.7%. A 4-hour candle should close above 6058 to have a bullish trend until 6099, in the case of realizing CPI results in less than 2.7%. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6058 Resistance Levels: 6073, 6099, 6145 Support Levels: 6022, 5971, 5932 Trend Outlook: Downward while below 6058
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Is The Reversal End? Will the rebound party last?FX:HKG33 Is the Index rebound strong? Based on the 1h chart, you know the answer. What is the range to look out for? 10EMA crossing down 52EMA on 1h chart. Not good. MACD signal break through zero line level indicate bearish mode. Histogram bearish color in deep red like the index. Required "blood/live" to boost. From the Money Flow Profile : 20208.39 level shown the selling pressure with huge volume. You know where to get the indicator and how to read it. KDJ Indicator, kind of confirming the bearish zone for the hour. Consolidation area : 19750-20300(the index dance between the rangebound) as mentioned in previous post reaccumulate at 19730-20300. D Chart Price 20165.88 closed below 52EMA - 20354.18 (Down 171.28; -0.84%) For the Week, as of today - it is still gaining 391.15 +1.98% from Open : 19,774.73 on 9Dec24. Let's continue to monitor and see if the authority fiscal policy benefit and boost the reversal. Happy Trading!
FX:HKG33
by ChenQianYu
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 4H Long Setup Trade Idea: - Long in the 4H FVG post-CPI wick grab, following a potential exhaustion of the ongoing short setup. Confluence: - FVG Zone: Price retraces into the 4H Fair Value Gap, providing a strong discounted entry point. - Liquidity Grab: CPI wick likely cleared liquidity below, setting the stage for a bullish reversal. - Dynamic Support: 4H Kijun aligns with FVG, reinforcing the zone as a high-probability support. Risk-Reward: - Tight stop-loss below the 4H FVG. - Targeting 1:2+ RRR with initial profit-taking at 20,400 and extended targets toward 20,500 . Quick Take: If CPI triggers downside liquidity sweep, this setup offers a clean bullish reversal opportunity. Watch for confirmation before entry!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Fondera
BUY BANKNIFTY 53000 DEC PE @ 400 - 410 | BANKNIFTY SHORT TRADEBANKNIFTY 53000 PE DEC EXP BANKNIFTY OPTIONS BUYING TRADE TIME FRAME RECOMMENDED TO TRACK TRADE: 5 MINS Hi Traders, The BankNifty is trading in a range and has been experiencing selling pressure at higher levels over the past 2 sessions. Consider buying the 53000 PE (Put Option) with a December expiry at a price range of 400 - 410. Target levels are set at 480, 540, and 640 with SL @ 340. Regards, OptionsDaddy Research Team
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by Options_Daddy
1