Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6033.Colleagues, I assume that wave “1” completes the upward movement and somewhere around here a major correction ‘2’ should begin, which will consist of waves “ABC” and may continue to the level of 5700. But for now, I think we need to focus on the nearest targets.
I see the support area of 6033 as the first target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Market indices
GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk
Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa
In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within
large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge
It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed.
The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio.
The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63.
The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43.
Both downside targets are within historical range.
Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
JPY225, LONG POSITION 📝 Trade Rationale – Long on JPY225
At the time of entry, JPY225 was trading near the top of the volume profile, a location that often signals potential reversal. However, the order flow and structure pointed to continuation, not rejection.
🔍 DOM Insight
The DOM showed more passive buy orders (bids) than sell orders (asks), especially stacked near and below current price. This indicated strong underlying demand, with little resistance above — a sign the market was supported and had room to rise.
📊 Footprint Confirmation
There were no signs of buyer exhaustion:
Aggressive buyers continued lifting the offer with no stalling.
No large buy imbalances were getting absorbed.
Delta remained healthy and supportive of higher prices.
✅ Conclusion
With the DOM padded below, the footprint showing no fatigue, and structure supporting upward movement, the long trade aligned with buyer control and suggested continuation through highs, not a reversal.
ibb.co
ibb.co
dom and footprint at time of trade
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(30/06/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open on a flat note near the 57,400 zone, with price action currently hovering around a key resistance level of 57,450. If Bank Nifty sustains and breaks above this resistance zone of 57,450–57,500, a bullish breakout is likely. Traders can consider buying CE options in the 57,550–57,600 range with potential targets at 57,750, 57,850, and 57,950+. This move would signal continued upward momentum in the index.
However, if the price faces rejection from this resistance and slips below 57,450, a short-term reversal is possible. In that case, traders may look for PE opportunities in the 57,400–57,450 zone with targets at 57,250, 57,150, and 57,050. The lower support level remains around 57,050, which should act as a key zone for reversal or bounce-back scenarios.
Can You Rob JP225 Profits with This Thief Trading Trick?🌍 Master the Nikkei Heist: Your Ticket to Epic Profits! 🌍
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Buy Stop Strategy 📍: Hold off on setting your stop loss until the breakout confirms. Place it at the 4H timeframe recent/swing low (37,200) for swing trades.
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The vault’s cracked open! 🏦 Snatch the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
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📍 Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.📍 Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders.
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Look into it{
"alerts": [
{
"name": "US30 Bull Break",
"condition": {
"symbol": "US30",
"operator": "crossing",
"value": 43950
},
"message": "📈 US30 Breakout Alert: Price crossed above 43,950. Watch for BUY setup targeting 44,100.",
"actions":
},
{
"name": "US30 Bear Rejection",
"condition": {
"symbol": "US30",
"operator": "crossing_down",
"value": 43800
},
"message": "📉 US30 Bearish Rejection: Price fell below 43,800. Watch for SELL setup toward 43,400 OB.",
"actions":
}
]
}
Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100 Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture")
Observation: The chart displays an incredibly powerful and long-standing uptrend. The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
Candlestick Analysis: The most recent candles are strong, long-bodied bullish (green) candles. There are no significant bearish reversal patterns present whatsoever. This is a picture of strength.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is trading far above the Kumo (Cloud), which is wide and bullish (green). The Tenkan-sen is far above the Kijun-sen, and the Chikou Span is in open space high above the price action from 26 periods ago. This is a textbook example of a very strong, healthy bull market.
Conclusion (Monthly): The long-term outlook is unequivocally Bullish.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The strength seen on the monthly chart is confirmed here. The trend is clearly defined and moving from the lower-left to the upper-right.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi, this chart would show a long sequence of green candles, with most of them having no lower wicks, which, according to your lesson, signifies a very strong and healthy uptrend.
Ichimoku Analysis: All five Ichimoku components are in perfect bullish alignment. The price is above the Tenkan-sen, which is above the Kijun-sen, and all are far above the Kumo. This confirms the trend is not only bullish but also has strong momentum.
Conclusion (Weekly): The dominant trend is Strongly Bullish.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend)
Observation: The chart shows a clear uptrend. The most recent price action shows a slight pullback or pause after making a new high.
Candlestick Analysis: The last few candles are smaller and show some indecision (like Spinning Tops), which is very common after a strong upward move. This is more likely a "breather" or consolidation rather than a reversal. There are no major bearish reversal patterns like a Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is pulling back towards the Tenkan-sen, which is the first line of dynamic support. As long as the price holds above the Kijun-sen, the bullish trend is considered fully intact.
Conclusion (Daily): The trend is Bullish, currently in a minor pullback. The overall structure remains strong.
4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend)
Observation: These charts give a clearer view of the minor pullback seen on the daily chart. Here, the price action is moving sideways to slightly down.
Candlestick Analysis: We can see a few Long Upper Shadow candles near the recent top, which confirms the lesson that sellers stepped in to cause this short-term pause. However, there is no strong follow-through yet from the bears.
Ichimoku Analysis: On the 4H chart, the price is testing the Kijun-sen as support. This is a critical level. If it holds, the uptrend is likely to resume. If it breaks below, the correction could deepen, with the Kumo cloud being the next major support zone.
Conclusion (4H & 1H): The short-term momentum is corrective/sideways within a larger bullish trend.
5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M)
Observation: These charts show the corrective price action most clearly, appearing as a short-term downtrend.
Context is Key: Based on the overwhelming strength of the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, this downtrend on the lower timeframes must be interpreted as counter-trend noise. It is a pullback, not a reversal of the major trend.
Harmonic Potential: This pullback could be forming the BC leg of a bullish ABCD pattern, or the AB leg of a bullish Gartley or Bat pattern, where traders would look for a buying opportunity at a key Fibonacci retracement level below.
Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion
By performing a correct, top-down analysis of the NAS100 charts, the conclusion is the complete opposite of my previous mistaken analysis.
Long-Term (Monthly/Weekly): The market is in a powerful, secular bull market.
Medium-Term (Daily): The primary trend is up, but the market is taking a healthy and expected pause or pullback.
Short-Term (Intraday): The market is currently in a corrective phase.
Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the primary trend for NAS100 is strongly Bullish. The current downward price action on the lower timeframes is very likely a temporary correction. Traders who align with the dominant trend would view this dip as a potential buying opportunity as the price approaches key support levels (like the Kijun-sen on the 4H/Daily chart), anticipating a resumption of the main uptrend.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
US500 Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,165.52.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,451.04 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXY JUNE DELIVERY NOTES & NFP week aheadDXY
JUNE DELIVERY NOTES
*June was a distribution candle rebalancing a BISI from March 2022
*daily chart shows price consolidate beginning of June, then mid month breaking to lower prices taking key equal lows, third week price retraces to make a 1 pip high, last week a trending sell off cycle to close the month
*Price is a discount parent range- anticipating a pull back this week for NFP
*Monthly price has broken structure and expecting it to gravitate to the .70 level 96.672 and rebalance the volume imbalance from Feb 2022 for the next coming weeks target ideas
*4 hour chart shows price in a consolidation Thursday and Friday-expansion expected Monday
June 27 DELIVERY
*Price opens in Asia in a expansion cycle to take minor buy side and create a wall of equal highs
*21:00 retraces creates equal lows
*0:00 price takes minor equal highs
*2 London macro price rallies for my suspected equal lows target
*3 macro small retrace of delivery
*7 macro price fake swing to equal lows -creates a wall of equal lows
*9 macro price rallies for equal highs
*13:00 price expands to take session buy stops
*closes retracing to the 50 level
JUNE 30 IDEAS
*I suspect for Sunday's delivery to take minor equal lows possibly the equal lows for a deep discount set up for a buy day- Monday
*last liquidity Friday buy side
*Price is in a deep discount over sold is my thought with the sell off we saw Monday through to Wednesday we could see Price retrace to the 50 level 98.204 for this weeks pull back?
*NFP week ahead parent bias is KING and we are still bear on this pair
CHINA A50 MARKET ANAYALIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONCHINA A50 Has activated a reverse order at an Institutional order Block. The reverse SET UP is perfect and complete because renegotiation has succeeded and also failed in the opposite direction and a renegotiation trend line has been broken with shift candle creating an imbalance in the market. Decision has been taken in favor of the Bulls already. Price will retrace very little to mitigate the Bullish order Block and Give the Bulls a perfect entry. RNR( Renegotiation Resistance) is the Target. This move is the rally for this week.
Entry, Stop Loss and Take Profits are clearly stated on the Chat.
GOOD LUCK GUYS!
DISCLAIMER
Any Analysis Can Fail Based on Market sentiments and uncertainties. You are advised to take full responsibility of your capital and manage your risk!
Analysis on SET INDEX: Time to bet (Continued)Dear All
Continued from the previous post,
It seem to choose to come down first before rising up.
So now, it is easy to plan the trade, as long as
There is buying flow coming around 1063 1053 // that would be the best point to buy.
But if broken, the long bias set up will become incorrect and cut loss is needed.
Now there are two choices again:
first it can hold, => should went up very rapidly to 1120 1160 1230 consecutively.
second it cannot hold, => 970
Best regards,
TraderPP
bank nifty cashtime wise from 2 to 3rd wave top appear wave 4 yet not complete in irregular correction,
Alternatively we may be in wave 5 first wave let see Monday clear more picture , though some people started giving target of 59000+, if so this is wave 1 and still one correction due as bearish divergence also emergins in hourly charts. Thanz just a learner may be wrong and not a sebi registered RA.Thanz
US30 looking for the short on Bearish PAI believe we can expect a pull back down to JuBias: Short-term Bearish (Contingent Setup)
Context: Price is currently trading just below a high-probability supply zone between 44,048 – 44,277. This area aligns with prior highs and liquidity, making it a prime zone to look for a short-term rejection if strong bearish price action (PA) appears on the 4H or Daily timeframes.
We are currently seeing strong bullish momentum on the Weekly, Daily, and H4 candles. Any short positions from this zone must be reactive — not anticipatory. A clear bearish signal (e.g., engulfing, structure break, supply confirmation) is required to consider entry.
Key Zone:
Seek bearish PA between 44,048 – 44,277
Contingency: If price breaks and closes above 44,250 (2024 highs), expect continuation toward 45,000
Short Targets if Rejection Occurs:
Target 1: 43,350
Target 2: 42,500
Extended Target: 41,734 (June Low)
Post-Rejection Bullish Scenario:
If we do get a rejection and targets are met, we will then look for bullish PA in the demand zones (42,500 or 41,700) to consider long setups back toward the 2024 highs and potentially beyond.
Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above the 44,277 zone early this week, we anticipate the next leg to 45,000 before any meaningful reversal.
At this stage, it’s a waiting game — let price action lead. We don’t predict, we react.ne lows before an
NIFTY 50 INDEX CHART ANALYSIS FOR INTRADAYNIFTY 50 INDEX CHART ANALYSIS FOR INTRADAY.
here we are seeing of nifty 50 index chart, and one is resistance and one box is support that is yellow color and if price will come to support and then we will try to find of buy opportunity. if support zone breaks then we will plan for sell of nifty and if break of resistance, then we will see big rally.
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Morning -- ☀️☀️☀️
What an amazing last full week of June that was as we pulled out of corrective territory and onto new ATHs with the SP:SPX body of its weekly candle moving +3.41% -- bottom to top. The weekly move open-to-close was +$98.40 as that is how I gauge my volatility metrics. This in comparison is closest in value to IV entering the week as it was stating an implied move of +/-$102.08, which was a volatility read of 16.34% -- As you see in reflection of the weekly chart below and within daily candle structure, price action moved upwards all week surpassing quarterly marks. This in turn is raising short-term volatility and lowering monthly averages as we rotate higher.
Here is the weekly price action of the TVC:VIX from a 5m perspective. This is showing the EOW trend break upwards drilling the indices back down -- A healthy pullback after being seemingly over-extended. This happened during the news cycle release of the U.S. and Canada reciprocal tariff disagreement. Hopefully this settles over the weekend and we rotate higher into the 4th of July week.
Now looking towards this holiday week -- We have the SP:SPX IV (13.29%) after melting during the ATHs move previously -3.09% -- This places IV on the sliding yearly spectrum at the 39% down range showing increasing discount in yearly value. Remember, If you form option positions IV affects VEGA 1% at a time and the algos bid down IV in contracting markets as they rotate higher. HV10 (12.46%) has hinged down and still is contractive per IV prediction but, increasing in comparison with a ' strength of IV ' now showing 94% entering this week.
As the TVC:VIX has closed at $16.32 -- I believe that there is still a little room to extend potentially upwards to the HV10 weekly range of $6253.59. Currently, the SP:SPX YTD return is +4.96% with weekly momentum pointing up and room for volatility to still decrease. If this mark is reached it would put the YTD return at +6.52%. Very feasible and realistic being halfway through the year and going into the 4th of July 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 Watch as we climb the wall of worries around us. This would in turn decrease short-term volatility more maybe even to a bottoming point and IV would melt during the rotation upwards with the VIX slowly grinding down.
Come back next week as we review what happened within the implied ranges posted and overlook the volatility potentially bottoming and looking towards a VIX spike in the near future.
Remember to know your ABCs and stay hedged against your bias! CHEERS!
Banknifty July 1st Week AnalysisNifty bank is looking positive for the week ahead and we can expect momentum to extend upto 58500-950 in the upcoming week. The important level to watch for upside momentum is 57800. Upon crossing and sustaining above 57800, we can expect upside momentum. On the downside, if Banknifty breaches 57200 and 57000, then we can expect a small retracement upto 56500-350.
ALL LEVELS ARE MARKED IN THE CHART POSTED .