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Down for SPX500USDHi traders, SPX500USD went exactly to the target of my previous outlook. After price came into the Daily FVG it rejected from there and started the correction down. So next week we could see more downside for this pair to finish a bigger correction down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade short term shorts to the previous Weekly low. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
Is SPX at a crucial point here.... inflection point?Until yesterday, it seemed that bulls were fully in control chugging along to make new ATH or go closer to previous ATH. Seemed like SPX was breaking from ascending triangle. Looked bulllish going into this Opex close, certainly propped by good data and good tariff comments. Now with the recent war news, and the dip we had yesterday, seems like new pattern emerging (rising wedge) which is bearish. Also keep in mind the JPM hedge that expires end of month. The open interest shows that JPM hedge is still alive (they havent closed) and based on my calculations currently JPM has a loss of around $622M. To stem losses market at minimum needs to be below 5900 by end of month (at 5900 JPM loses $59M but its chump change for them) and for them to be neutral or make money then SPX needs to be 5300 and below by end of month. Currently around 5975, would mean a drop of 500-600 points in next 2 weeks... certainly can happen.... Appreciate your comments!
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Options_Life_
4
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has displayed both upward and downward movements throughout this week's trading session, narrowly missing the targeted Outer Index Rally level of 6073. Currently, the index is characterized by a bearish trend, warranting attention towards the Mean Support level of 5940, with additional critical support identified at 5888. Conversely, there exists a significant potential that, upon reaching the Mean Support of 5940, the index may recover and rise to the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate an interim rally, culminating in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073 and enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level positioned at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
NASDAQ TRADING RESULT – JUNE 13, 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING RESULT – JUNE 13, 2025 📉 Following the analysis from June 9, 2025, NASDAQ has reached the bearish target at Magnet Area (DmH4) 21524.00 on June 13, 2025. The move started with a rejection from Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00. As long as price remains below 21767.00, there is still downside potential toward Magnet Area (DmH4) 21136.00. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risk. Always perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Short
by magnettrader_id
Caution for Dollar Shorts with Middle East Tensions FlaringMy educated guess is that the dollar is moving similar to the first time trump was elected. I am expecting dollar weakness to abate early next year. A major swing low formed in early 2018 one year after Trump was elected first round. Let us see if a similar situation forms next year. For now with DXY structured bearish caution is warranted with Oil up and 10 yr remaining elevated. There is a prior up move in April and until a decisive break below the current area Price Action and circumstances in the middle east warrant caution for dollar shorts.
TVC:DXY
by Trade_Navigator
Sell idea on GER40After receiving multiple breakthroughs listening to The mental game of trading I’m starting to realize that the more I document the more I’m able to resolve When we resolve, we recognize patterns And when recognize patterns were able to stop the downward spiral I noticed when I get frustrated, I tend to throw my rules out of the window But before this, I felt really calm. I was able to clean and get things done. I sat down in front of my computer and started to realize that we made a massive move to the downside I drew a fib from high to low and noticed that we’re getting close to the 38% pull back On the overall move on the daily timeframe till the upside So we’re catching a piece of the pull back and we’re also going to be waiting for confirmation for the big move up Tracking his key not just on my trading journal but publishing these ideas
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by EliSantiago
1
DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress) The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe. 🧠 Pattern Breakdown: Left Shoulder: Formed in early March. Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April. Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels. Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder. 📌 Technical View: Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance. If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall. Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones. 🎯 Target: Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone). This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear. Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal. 🔔 Trade Setup Insight: Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone. Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns. Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
TVC:DJIShort
by shiva560060
VIX Call Spread – Hedging Against Black Swan Risk (Aug ’25)📌 VIX Vertical Call Spread – Aug 19, 2025 (18/25) Executed on June 13, 2025 Volatility has compressed near multi-month lows, but the chart shows two major spikes above 45 in less than a year — triggered by macro shocks (Fed surprises, Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, geopolitical escalations like Israel–Iran). I’m positioning with a long call spread on the VIX (Buy 18C / Sell 25C, exp. Aug 19), structured to hedge against a black swan while maintaining capital discipline. • Risk/Reward: 2:1 • Probability of Profit (POP): ~58% • Breakeven: ~21 • Defined risk / Defined reward • No directional delta risk I’m not forecasting volatility — I’m accepting that extreme events can (and do) happen. This spread pays off only if volatility spikes again above 21–22 in the next 60 days, which aligns with historical context. 🔒 No need to predict the trigger. Just manage exposure and define your risk upfront. 📈 Follow for more volatility and options setups based on structure + context. Let’s stay ahead, not reactive.
TVC:VIXLong
by fredcast80
2
SPX500 – 4H Smart Money Concepts | Compression Breakout & LiquidThe S&P 500 has broken down from a tight ascending wedge within a premium zone, confirming a CHoCH and suggesting a shift in short-term order flow. A corrective move is now unfolding. 🔻 Bearish Short-Term Outlook: Weak High + CHoCH within the premium zone confirms rejection. Multiple FVGs below offer potential draw zones: 5,900 5,850 Strong liquidity pool near 5,668.57 🧠 Smart Money Roadmap: Structure suggests a short-term liquidity hunt below recent lows. Equilibrium zone rests near 5,650, ideal for reaccumulation/reload. 📈 Long-Term Outlook Remains Bullish: If liquidity objectives are met and macro improves, we may see a bullish reversal back above 6,050 toward: 6,200+ Mid/long-term fib targets near 6,500 📊 Strategy Insight: Short-term trade: Scalps into the 5,700–5,660 zone. Macro timing: Watch July CPI/FOMC for bullish or bearish confirmation. Long-term positioning: Start building once price reclaims structural BOS with a displacement. 🎯 Smart money plays both ways — sweep liquidity, then reprice. #SPX500 #SMP500 #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderFlow #LiquiditySweep #FVG #CHoCH #PremiumZone #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #EquityMarkets #WaverVanir #TradingView
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPX500: Trade Setupwww.youtube.com 📉 SPX500 – 4H Short Setup | Smart Money Premium Rejection Approaching a pivotal juncture on the 4H chart, where price interaction at the premium zone signals a noteworthy development. Notably, a rejection marked by a feeble high + CHoCH structure. 🎯 Current Thesis: - Short Entry: 5,998.3 → Entering premium + inefficient zone - Target: 5,790.1 → Previous FVG + BOS retest area - Potential Reload Zone: 5,704.2 – 5,644.2 → Offering deep discount + mitigation opportunities 🧠 Structure + Liquidity Insights: - Bearish intent affirmed by BOS + CHoCH - Fib levels align for confluence, notably 0.886 rejection at 5,875.6 - Key FVG breached; distribution evident from premium swing failure 📊 Gameplan: Execute initial target at 5,790, consider partial exit. Monitor reaction for possible reload near 5,704 or lower at 5,644 for continued strategy. Maintain caution above 6,018 (weak high) for risk protection. ⏳ Context: - Increasing volatility, weakening internals - Downside path supported by volume nodes - Market reassessing risk premia amidst Fed pause 🏴‍☠️ Trade strategically akin to smart money. Avoid impulsive actions — prioritize displacements, mitigations, and liquidity tactics. hashtag#SPX500 hashtag#SmartMoneyConcepts hashtag#Fibonacci hashtag#ShortSetup hashtag#OrderFlow hashtag#TradingView hashtag#BearishBias hashtag#PremiumRejection hashtag#IntradayStrategy hashtag#SMP500 hashtag#WaverVanir
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPX500 – 4H Short Setup | Smart Money Premium RejectionWe’ve reached a critical inflection zone on the 4H chart. Price has tagged the premium zone and rejected with a weak high + CHoCH structure. 🎯 Current Thesis: Entry Short: 5,998.3 → Price entered premium + inefficient zone Price Target: 5,790.1 → Previous FVG + BOS retest zone Reload Zone: 5,704.2 – 5,644.2 → Deep discount + mitigation area 🧠 Structure + Liquidity Logic: BOS + CHoCH validated bearish intent. Fib levels confirm confluence: 0.886 rejection (5,875.6) Price now under key FVG Distribution confirmed by swing failure at premium 📊 Gameplan: Target first leg to 5,790, partial out. Watch reaction for potential reload around 5,704 or deeper at 5,644 for continuation play. Protect invalidation above 6,018 (weak high). ⏳ Context: Volatility rising, internals weakening Volume nodes support downside path Fed in pause → market reevaluating risk premia 🏴‍☠️ Trade like smart money. Don’t chase price — wait for displacements, mitigations, and liquidity raids. #SPX500 #SmartMoneyConcepts #Fibonacci #ShortSetup #OrderFlow #TradingView #BearishBias #PremiumRejection #IntradayStrategy #SMP500 #WaverVanir
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Follow up on DXY Short post from 2022The DXY follows Fib levels quite accurately on macro movements using the monthly chart. Both on retracement and extension. It has recently tagged the .618 retrace of the last bullish wave 5 movement that started its decline. I would suppose it is close to completion of wave A of a ABC correction that will play out over the next several months. As it tagged the .618 mentioned above, it has also tagged the .786 extension of what is likely the c wave of the abc structure (of the larger A). B wave trade to the upside has good probability now in my opinion. I took the trade this morning with a 3-1 RR in place. It could fall to the trend line which is fine, but if it breaks in earnest and closes a few sessions below then my stop would be triggered. There was a bullish divergence prior to the April lows on the Daily TF and one is developing at the current lows. A close above 99.40 would confirm. Long term the dollar is likely still going to weaken and go much lower as QE inevitably comes back into the market picture. TP levels are at 99.40, 100.54, 101.25 and 101.76.
TVC:DXYLong
by cogent-trader
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse DXY together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 97.757 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 97.970.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
Tensions in the Middle East. (Levels to watch, things to do). Iran and Israel situation is tense. Lot of investors have lot of questions in mind. I am trying to provide my opinion for the same in the video. I am trying to give my Technical and Political commentary on the situation in this educational video. The political commentary is based on my 15+ years of experience in the Middle East and is my personal opinion. I hope this will answer a lot of questions for you. I have also tried to give Techincal support and resistance levels for Nifty. In the 10 minute I have tried to cover as many points as I can. Along with the list of things to do as an investor. I hope this will help many of you. As it was expected there was a deep fall in the market due to Israel Vs Iran tensions. US is also a direct or indirect party to the situation and if there is further escalation other global powers will mostly get involved. Due to the this situation market opened gap down at 24473. What we saw post that is Indian market recovered smartly from that situation to close at 24718. That is a huge 245 point recovery to end the day. This is why colour of the candles throughout the day (As this is an hourly chart are green despite we ended in red. (That is a classic Technical lesson for understanding candle sticks analytics). The closing is above the father line support of 24674 which is a good sign as this will be our support (Strong support for Monday.) I have spent more than 15 years in the Middle East and happen to know a little bit out of my personal experience, having interacted with a lot of locals. Thus I am trying to answer a few questions that might be coming in the minds of may investors including myself. Q&A The Question now are we out of danger? Answer: Not yet. Question 2: Why we are not out of danger? Ans: The geo-political situation is very tense. The scale of Israeli attack was massive and there are clear and present chances of Iran counter attack which has already begun. Israel will respond again and Trump has already said that the next attacks by Israel will be even more fierce. No Iran is no palestine and there would be many countries that might support Iran. Specially China has already hinted support. Russia another ally is busy with Ukraine but you never know. Question 3: How it goes for the other Middle Eastern countries? Ans: There are lot of countries with US and Western bases on them. If Iran attacks them there are chances of other Western countries getting into the act too. In addition to some Middle Eastern countries getting into the act for the purpose of self defence. Thus over the weekend the things can get either very tense. Question 4: What happens to India and Indian markets? Ans: Today Indian markets have shown a lot of resilience. Global meltdown can affect us to for sure. But as we are neutral (As of now as it seems). The damage to our market hopefully will be minimal. Moreover recovery will be swift once the situation becomes less tense. Question 5: What should investors do? Ans: Long term investors can hold on to their long term positions in blue chip stocks. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place for the mid-cap and small cap stocks. If some stop losses are hit or trailing stop losses are hit, you can always buy again as market is not going anywhere. The dip that we might potentially see can be an opportunity for long term investors for bottom fishing again and recalibrating their portfolios. (You can use the current situation to realign your portfolio for buying the trending stocks which have giving good results this quarter or have been giving good results since last few quarters.) Get rid of the stocks that have been dragging your portfolio down. Market has provided another opportunity for a fresh start. Things you can do: 1) Gold and Silver are always a great option when it comes to uncertain times. 2) Do not give a knee jerk reaction in selling off your winners. 3) Watch the global updates and keep stop losses and trailing stop losses accordingly. 4) Re-calibrate your portfolio 5) If you are sitting on cash use the dip for investing in stocks with long term perspective. The support for Nifty Remain at: 24674 (Father line support), 24640 (Mid-channel support), 24492 (Trend line support), 24382, 24208 and finally 24077 (Channel Bottom Support). a closing below 24077 will enable and empower bears to Pull Nifty further down. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24752, 24818, 24906 (Mother line Resistance), 25043, 25138 and finally 25223 (Channel top Resistnace). Above 25223 Bulls will potentially take over the market. To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory, Parallel Channel, Technical and Fundamental analysis and to learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is one of the highest rated books in the category and many readers consider it as a Hand Book for Equity investment. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. The political commentary is based on personal views and analysis. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment