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High-Probability SWI20 Longs with 57.78% Achieving TPI am adopting a probabilistic approach to my trading strategy based on historical and statistical data. This method allows me to identify patterns and trends that have proven effective in the past, enabling me to make informed decisions about entering long positions. By applying mathematical rules derived from historical performance, I can assess the likelihood of price movements and manage risk effectively. This systematic approach helps to minimize emotional decision-making and enhances the potential for successful trades. Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias: - Swiss Economic Resilience: Despite global economic challenges, Swiss equities are showing signs of recovery, with the Swiss SMI index rising 2% this year, indicating a potential bullish trend ahead. - Central Bank Policies: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has indicated a favorable inflation outlook, which could lead to supportive monetary policies that benefit the stock market. - Currency Dynamics: The recent correction in the Swiss franc may ease pressure on exporters, potentially leading to improved earnings for companies within the index. - Investment Inflows: Swiss-domiciled funds have recorded their highest net inflows since 2022, reflecting growing investor confidence in the Swiss market. These factors collectively support a bullish outlook for the Switzerland 20 Index, aligning with my trading strategy. 2W: HOURLY ENTRY:
EIGHTCAP:SWI20Long
by Jasminex1x2
DJIA H4 | Potential bullish reversalDJIA (US30) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 42,779.36 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 42,320.30 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Take profit is at 43,369.56 which is a swing-high resistance at the all-time high. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Long
by FXCM
3
US2000 H4 | Falling to pullback supportUS2000 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 2,217.05 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 2,156.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 2,291.90 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US2000Long
by FXCM
SPX500USD Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,849.9. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,898.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
DJI- Correction to 40k zone?Since mid-September, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ( TVC:DJI ) has resumed its upward trend, reaching new all-time highs. This recent rally reflects investor optimism and strong market momentum. However, despite this bullish movement, the rise appears to be contained within a rising wedge pattern, which can often indicate a potential reversal or the weakening of an uptrend. For traders and investors, a key confirmation of this potential correction would be a decisive drop below the 42,500-42,700 support zone. If the Dow30 breaks below this critical level, it could trigger a larger sell-off, possibly pushing the index down toward the 40,000 level—a significant psychological and technical support zone. While it’s still too early to confirm whether this correction will take place, it’s important to keep an eye on the price action around the 42,500-42,700 range. If the index fails to hold this zone, it could mark the end of the recent uptrend and the start of a broader market pullback. In summary, while the Dow30 has been reaching new heights, caution is warranted due to the rising wedge pattern and key support levels. If these signals confirm a correction, we may see the index retracing toward 40,000 in the near future.
TVC:DJI
by Mihai_Iacob
2
USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks. I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level. As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance. Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days. My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Dollar Index Consolidation: Will NFP Trigger an Upside Breakout?Since its recent touch on the support zone back in August, the U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a period of consolidation, characterized by multiple attempts to break through this critical support level. Despite several instances where the price briefly dipped below the technical support zone, each time, the market witnessed a strong reversal, with bulls stepping in to defend the level successfully. From my perspective, we are nearing a potential upside reversal, and the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday could serve as the catalyst for this move. Currently, 102 is the key level to watch for confirmation of an upward breakout. Should the DXY break above this threshold, the next reasonable target would be around 104, marking a significant bullish shift in momentum.
Editors' picks
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
15
US dollar rally faces hurdle as rates unwind stalls at key levelWhether it reflects US economic exceptionalism reducing the need for large-scale rate cuts from the Federal Reserve or improved prospects for Donald Trump winning the US Presidential election, or a combination of both, it’s obvious the US interest rate outlook is dictating direction across FX markets. Higher US yields are sucking capital from other parts of the world, helping to fuel US dollar strength. With short-dated Treasury futures teetering above a key technical level, what happens next could be highly influential in determining the path for currencies and global borrowing costs as we move towards year-end.
TVC:DXYEducation
by FOREXcom
2