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VIX Call Trade Setup – Volatility Spike or Mean Reversion? (202⚡️ VIX Call Trade Setup – Volatility Spike or Mean Reversion? (2025-06-13) Ticker: TVC:VIX | Strategy: 🔼 Weekly CALL Option Bias: Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 65% Expiration: June 18, 2025 | Entry Timing: Market Open 🔍 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot • Current Level: ~20.96 • Short-Term Trend: Strong — Price above all EMAs (5m, 30m, Daily) • Momentum: MACD bullish, 5m RSI >90 (overbought) • Resistance Zone: $22.00 – $22.56 • Max Pain: $20.00 → potential magnet if reversal kicks in • Sector Sentiment: S&P downtrend + macro risk keeping VIX supported • OI Clusters:  – Puts: Heavy at $20.00  – Calls: Building interest at $22.00 and $23.00 🧠 AI Model Summary ✅ Grok + Gemini: • Bullish bias, expect continued upside • Favor calls: $22–$23 strikes • Trade VIX strength on S&P weakness ⚠️ Llama + DeepSeek: • Mean-reversion view → overbought conditions • Suggest puts at $20.00 for reversion to max pain 📊 Consensus: Moderately Bullish → Ride momentum with tight risk controls ✅ Recommended Trade Plan 🎯 Direction: CALL 📍 Strike: 22.00 📅 Expiry: June 18, 2025 (Weekly) 💵 Entry Price: $0.97 🎯 Profit Target: $1.45 (+50%) 🛑 Stop Loss: $0.73 (–25%) 📏 Size: 1 contract 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open ⚠️ Risks & Considerations • RSI >90 → short-term pullback possible • $22.00 resistance could cap the move • VIX mean-reverting nature may drag it toward $20.00 • Equity stabilization (e.g. SPY bounce) = bearish for this call trade • Manage size — weekly VIX options are very volatile 🔥 Volatility trades are fast and furious. 📣 Will VIX explode higher… or revert hard back to $20? Drop your setup below 👇 📲 Follow for daily AI-backed trading plans + option signals.
TVC:VIXLong
by quantsignals
Tensions in the Middle East.(Geopolitical and Technical updates)As it was expected there was a deep fall in the market due to Israel Vs Iran tensions. US is also a direct or indirect party to the situation and if there is further escalation other global powers will mostly get involved. Due to the this situation market opened gap down at 24473. What we saw post that is Indian market recovered smartly from that situation to close at 24718. That is a huge 245 point recovery to end the day. This is why colour of the candles throughout the day (As this is an hourly chart are green despite we ended in red. (That is a classic Technical lesson for understanding candle sticks analytics). The closing is above the father line support of 24674 which is a good sign as this will be our support (Strong support for Monday.) I have spent more than 15 years in the Middle East and happen to know a little bit out of my personal experience, having interacted with a lot of locals. Thus I am trying to answer a few questions that might be coming in the minds of may investors including myself. The Question now are we out of danger? Answer: Not yet. Question 2: Why we are not out of danger? Ans: The geo-political situation is very tense. The scale of Israeli attack was massive and there are clear and present chances of Iran counter attack which has already begun. Israel will respond again and Trump has already said that the next attacks by Israel will be even more fierce. No Iran is no palestine and there would be many countries that might support Iran. Specially China has already hinted support. Russia another ally is busy with Ukraine but you never know. Question 3: How it goes for the other Middle Eastern countries? Ans: There are lot of countries with US and Western bases on them. If Iran attacks them there are chances of other Western countries getting into the act too. In addition to some Middle Eastern countries getting into the act for the purpose of self defence. Thus over the weekend the things can get either very tense. Question 4: What happens to India and Indian markets? Ans: Today Indian markets have shown a lot of resilience. Global meltdown can affect us to for sure. But as we are neutral (As of now as it seems). The damage to our market hopefully will be minimal. Moreover recovery will be swift once the situation becomes less tense. Question 5: What should investors do? Ans: Long term investors can hold on to their long term positions in blue chip stocks. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place for the mid-cap and small cap stocks. If some stop losses are hit or trailing stop losses are hit, you can always buy again as market is not going anywhere. The dip that we might potentially see can be an opportunity for long term investors for bottom fishing again and recalibrating their portfolios. (You can use the current situation to realign your portfolio for buying the trending stocks which have giving good results this quarter or have been giving good results since last few quarters.) Get rid of the stocks that have been dragging your portfolio down. Market has provided another opportunity for a fresh start. Things you can do: 1) Gold and Silver are always a great option when it comes to uncertain times. 2) Do not give a knee jerk reaction in selling off your winners. 3) Watch the global updates and keep stop losses and trailing stop losses accordingly. 4) Re-calibrate your portfolio 5) If you are sitting on cash use the dip for investing in stocks with long term perspective. The support for Nifty Remain at: 24674 (Father line support), 24640 (Mid-channel support), 24492 (Trend line support), 24382, 24208 and finally 24077 (Channel Bottom Support). a closing below 24077 will enable and empower bears to Pull Nifty further down. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24752, 24818, 24906 (Mother line Resistance), 25043, 25138 and finally 25223 (Channel top Resistnace). Above 25223 Bulls will potentially take over the market. To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory, Parallel Channel, Technical and Fundamental analysis and to learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is one of the highest rated books in the category and many readers consider it as a Hand Book for Equity investment. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. The political commentary is based on personal views and analysis. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Venta en Nasdaq impulsada por volatilidad macroeconómicaThe Nasdaq presents a technical short opportunity following a strong reaction to volatility triggered by recent macroeconomic events. This pressure has activated a risk-off environment, with capital flowing out of tech assets into safe havens like the dollar or bonds. The price is respecting a bearish structure on higher timeframes and, after a technical pullback into supply zones, rejection is confirmed with volume and reversal candlesticks. I expect bearish continuation as long as key levels remain intact and macro uncertainty persists. 📍 Trade based on price action and fundamental context. ⚠️ Risk is managed according to the trading plan, adjustable based on macro developments.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Short
by axelmatiasilva
1
Reversal pattern on DXYPrice entered into the 12 months Fair value gap the second time and took out the old low there. This is called stop hunt, which is particularly significant because it happened inside a Higher timeframe Fair value gap. After this stop hunt came an invalidation of a Fair value gap (BISI). This price signinature cause the reversal of price ultimately... it is noteworthy that price had spent more than a month in the 12 Month Fair value gap. It is worth trading
TVC:DXYLong
by adenulez
1
USNAS100 | Bearish Below 21635 Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUSNAS100 | OVERVIEW The index is currently under bearish momentum driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. As long as the situation remains unresolved, downward pressure is expected to continue. Outlook: As long as the price stays below the pivot at 21635, the index is likely to drop toward 21470. A confirmed break below 21470 could accelerate the decline toward 21250, and eventually 21065. Pivot Line: 21635 Support Levels: 21470, 21250, 21065 Resistance Levels: 21790, 21930, 22090
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500 | Bearish Below 6010 Amid Rising Geopolitical TensionsSPX500 | OVERVIEW The index remains under bearish pressure due to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict. As long as these conditions persist, the market is likely to maintain a downward bias. Technical Outlook: As long as the price trades below the 5990–6010 pivot zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 5938. A confirmed stability below 5938 may lead to further downside toward 5902 and 5858. A bullish reversal is only likely if hostilities cease or negotiations begin between the conflicting parties. Pivot Zone: 5990 – 6010 Support Lines: 5938, 5902, 5858 Resistance Lines: 6041, 6098, 6143 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
DowJones uptrend retest Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 43192 Resistance Level 2: 43620 Resistance Level 3: 44290 Support Level 1: 42100 Support Level 2: 41420 Support Level 3: 40990 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
2
NSDQ100 uptrend consolidation supported at 21300Markets Rattled After Israel Strikes Iran Israel launched major airstrikes on Iran, targeting nuclear and missile sites, as well as top military leaders. The move sharply escalates tensions in the Middle East and came despite warnings from former President Donald Trump, who was told of the attack only shortly beforehand. He later warned Iran that future strikes would be “even more brutal” if no deal is made. Market Reaction: Oil jumped up to 13% on fears of supply disruptions. Gold climbed as investors rushed to safe-haven assets. Stock futures and crypto fell on rising geopolitical risk. The U.S. dollar dipped, then rebounded, as its role as a safe-haven asset came into focus. Other Key Updates: Trump wins court backing to keep troops in Los Angeles amid ongoing protests. A hearing is set for Tuesday. Meta invests billions in Scale AI, bringing on its CEO to boost efforts in building artificial general intelligence. Meta is aggressively hiring top AI talent from firms like Google. For Traders: Watch oil and gold closely for continued volatility. Safe-haven flows could drive further USD and gold moves. Meta’s AI push may influence tech sector sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 22070 Resistance Level 2: 22370 Resistance Level 3: 22680 Support Level 1: 21300 Support Level 2: 21060 Support Level 3: 20820 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
US30 Trade Update – 06/13/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/13/2025 🚨 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels US30 broke below the key support at 42,605 and continued to slide, tapping into the 42,248 demand zone. Price is currently rebounding off this level, but sellers remain in control under EMAs. ✅ Key Observations: Failed to hold above 42,605 ❌ Strong selloff to 42,248 zone ✅ Below both EMAs → bearish pressure 📍 Key Levels: Resistance: 42,605 → 42,793 Support: 42,248 → 41,947 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔹 Long Setup:  Buy above 42,605  → Target: 42,793 → 43,021 🔻 Short Setup:  Breakdown below 42,248  → Target: 41,947 → 41,894 ⚠️ Market showing weakness – wait for retest or breakout to confirm next move!
FX:US30Short
by h4rVey
1
FTSE INTRADAY sideways consolidation Overall trend remains bullish, supported by rising price action. Recent Movement: Price is in a sideways consolidation phase after a strong uptrend. Key Levels Support: 8760 – Key level from prior consolidation. 8680, then 8640 – Next supports if 8680 breaks. Resistance: 8830 – First upside target. 8930, then 9000 – Further resistance levels on continued strength. Trading Scenarios Bullish Scenario: A pullback to 8760 followed by a bounce could lead to a move towards 8830, then higher to 8930 and 9000. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 8760 would weaken the bullish case. In that case, expect a potential drop to 8680, then 8640. Conclusion The FTSE remains bullish, but a short-term pullback is possible. A bounce from 8760 would confirm trend strength. Watch 8680 closely — holding above favors bulls; a break below shifts sentiment to bearish. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
BankNifty levels - Jun 16, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Jun 16, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
Russell 2000 H1 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibo retracementThe Russell 2000 (US2000) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 2,112.73 which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. Stop loss is at 2,135.00 which is a level that sits above the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 2,071.60 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:US2000Short
by Tradu