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DXY Dual Perspective: Smart Money OB Short vs. Mid-Term LongThis chart presents two perspectives: My Perspective (Dipanshu - GreenFireForex): Expecting a bearish reversal from the current Order Block (OB) between 101.9 – 103.2, possibly due to inefficiency and early liquidity sweep. ChatGPT’s Refined Perspective: OB refined to 102.4 – 103.0 zone, aligning with imbalance and previous H4 structure break. A rejection from there is more probable. Target: Both views expect a drop toward the Demand Zone at 96.4 – 96.3, with bullish reversal expected from that key support. Let’s observe whether the DXY respects early inefficiency or reaches full OB. Comment your bias below! ---
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
HK50: A medium term sell setup formingHello, I see an opportunity for a short position on the HK50. The price is currently facing strong resistance at the upper range, struggling to break through, which suggests weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, the MACD indicator has aligned at a zero-line bearish crossover, reinforcing a potential downward move. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Initiate a short position on confirmation of a strong bearish candle forming at the current resistance level, indicating rejection from the top. Target 1: HKD 19,165 – a conservative level where initial profit-taking could be considered. Final Target: HKD 16,766 – the primary downside target based on key support levels and historical price action. Stop Loss: Place above the recent high to protect against unexpected breakouts, ensuring disciplined risk management. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:HK50Short
by thesharkke
1
Dollar At Resistance; Will Lower CPI Cause New Drop? We had a volatile start of a new trading week. The dollar moved higher across the board as the US and China appear to be moving toward lowering tariffs, suggesting progress toward a potential trade deal. As a result, stock futures are also trading to the upside. However, keep in mind that sharp moves on Monday can easily be reversed through the rest of the week, possibly even today, after US CPI came out lower than expected, which can cause some weakness on yeilds, and possibly FED will be ready to cut rates after-all. So, I think that USD can still come under pressure, especially if we also consider that rise on DXY is in three legs and that a lot fo gaps from this weekend are still unfilled.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by ew-forecast
VIX at Support: Are Stocks and Bitcoin in Trouble?The VIX Chart Breakdown I’m looking at a 4-hour VIX chart spanning late 2022 to today, May 12, 2025. The VIX is currently sitting at 20.41, right at a key support level within a long-term curved channel (around 20). Earlier this year, we saw a massive spike to 54, signaling major market fear, but it’s since cooled off. Historically, when the VIX hits this support and reverses upward, volatility tends to rise, which often means trouble for risk assets like stocks and crypto. What Happens If the VIX Reverses? The VIX has a strong inverse relationship with the S&P 500—when the VIX goes up, stocks typically go down as fear creeps into the market. We’ve seen this play out before: that spike to 54 earlier this year coincided with a rough patch for the S&P 500. If the VIX bounces from its current support at 20 and climbs above 28-30, we could see renewed pressure on stocks in the short term. What Should You Watch For? VIX Levels: If the VIX breaks above 28-30, expect increased market stress, which could drag stocks and Bitcoin lower. Stocks: The S&P 500 may face a short-term pullback if volatility spikes, but historical patterns show these dips often lead to market bottoms, followed by recoveries. Bitcoin: Despite today’s dump, long-term forecasts remain bullish, with projections of $100,481 to $136,438 by the end of 2025, driven by ETF inflows and adoption. A VIX spike might create a buying opportunity if you’re a long-term holder. The Bottom Line Right now, the VIX at 20.41 isn’t screaming danger, but a reversal from this support could bring short-term pain for stocks and Bitcoin. Keep an eye on the VIX—if it starts climbing, brace for volatility. That said, these spikes often set the stage for recoveries, so don’t panic. For Bitcoin, today’s dump hurts, but the long-term outlook is still strong. Stay informed, manage your risk, and let’s see how this plays out!
TVC:VIX
by SnyperTA
4
S&P500 Short: Update on wave counts, Completion of WXYThis is my 3rd attempt to call the correction peak for S&P500 or Nasdaq (I use them interchangeably). From the previous short idea using Nasdaq, I mentioned that the reason for the invalidation of the previous idea is due to the last wave 5 of C of Y to extend into a 5-wave structure. Over here, the short position will be stopped out if a new high above wave Y is hit. I offered 2 conservative targets in this short idea and suggests that one can reduce position and shift stop loss when the first conservative target is reached. I also mention that if this WXY wave structure is the correct call, then the big picture is really that S&P500 will crash below 4800. Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 102.05 1st Support: 100.41 1st Resistance: 103.28 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
US30 - medium to long term opportunity setting upHello, The US30 futures are forming a bullish pattern, signaling potential upside. The MACD and moving averages align, presenting a compelling opportunity for buyers. Investors should note President Trump's aggressive push for Federal Reserve Chair Powell to cut interest rates, including threats to dismiss him if he resists. While this rhetoric could unsettle markets, we believe Trump is unlikely to follow through, as markets have likely found a bottom and he would avoid actions that could trigger a downturn. Technical analysis supports early entry for bold investors, with a stop-loss placed below the recent low. Proceed with caution and good luck. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30FULong
by thesharkke
"Nifty 50 - 1st Level 24487.28 hit posted on 26th April" The levels mentioned in the previous chart is still intact-26th April. Here are the inter-mediate levels for the next week or so. Will India-Pakistan war a spoilsport for the upside levels or will the markets surprise you? can we expect 1000 pts or 2000 pts swing? can be any direction. Let's watch out for these levels: Current Price: 24,461.15 Mid-point: 24413.83 Upside: 24913.61, 25115.13, 25378.11 and 25641.10 Downside: 23914.92, 23712.53, 23449.54 and 23186.55 Resistance: 24712.10 Stop loss: 24117.31
NSE:NIFTY
by Abc_trades
BANKEX KEY LEVELS FOR 13/05/2025// The core idea behind this indicator was sparked by a simple but powerful clue: // 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels." // From that point onward, everything—the logic, calculation method, and application—has been developed independently through my own analysis and experience. // I am not a seller, and no one taught me this system. This method is a result of my own effort and refinement. ///////////////////// Explanation ///////////////////// // This trading system is designed to eliminate blind trades by offering confirmation-based entry and exit points. ///////////////////// Entry/Exit Strategy ///////////////////// // - Use the BLACK line for long trades, and the RED line for short trades, in line with confirmation from your trading plan. // - Stop Loss: // - For long trades: below the RED line. // - For short trades: above the BLACK line. // - Take Profit: // - For long trades: target the next RED line above. // - For short trades: target the next BLACK line below. ///////////////////// Recommended Timeframe ///////////////////// // Use on a 5-minute chart for best results. ///////////////////// Disclaimer ///////////////////// // This setup is shared purely for educational purposes. // I am not responsible for any gains or losses that may result from its use. // Always use your own judgment and risk management.
BSE:BANK
by nandupk
S&P500 Chasing a Retrace - Waiting for Equilibrium After Rally🗓️ Yesterday, I mentioned watching the S&P 500 for a retrace to find a potential long entry. But with the US-China tariff agreement announced, the market rallied hard 🚀—a clear positive for stocks. We didn’t get much of a pullback, and right now, I see the S&P 500 as overextended. I’m not looking to jump in at these premium levels. Instead, I’m waiting for a Fibonacci retrace back down into equilibrium on the current swing for a better opportunity. 👀 My plan: I’ll watch for a bearish break of structure to signal a retrace, then monitor price action as we approach support. If support holds and we get a bullish break of structure, that’s when I’ll look to get involved. 🔄 Just sharing my idea here—this isn’t financial advice! 📢
FX:SPX500
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ Bullish Breakout Above Channel;📈 Technical Analysis Overview 1. Breakout from Downtrend Channel The price has clearly broken out of a descending channel, confirmed by a clean breakout above the upper trendline. This is a bullish signal, indicating the end of the prior downtrend and the start of a possible uptrend or reversal. 2. Moving Averages (EMA 50 & EMA 200) EMA 50 (Red): 18,965 EMA 200 (Blue): 19,409 Price is currently trading above both EMAs, which is another strong bullish indicator. A bullish crossover (where EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200) is likely imminent if upward momentum continues—this would form a Golden Cross, further confirming bullish sentiment. 3. Structure and Market Behavior After the breakout, price retested the breakout zone and showed a bounce, forming a higher low, which is characteristic of a bullish structure. The chart includes projected price action with higher highs and higher lows—suggesting a bullish continuation pattern. 4. Volume & Momentum (Not shown but implied) Breakouts are typically validated by volume. Although volume is not shown, the sharp upward movement and breakout above resistance suggest strong buying pressure. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 20,000 psychological level; above that, 20,500–21,000 may act as resistance. Support: 19,400 (near EMA 200), and 18,965 (EMA 50); a break below may invalidate the bullish setup. 📊 Conclusion The chart shows a clear breakout from a descending channel, supported by the price moving above both key EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation, especially if price holds above the 19,400–19,500 support zone. Upside targets lie around 20,500 to 21,000.
IG:NASDAQLong
by MrStellanSight
8
US30 Approaching Key Resistance Within Rising Channel:🧠 Chart Context & Overview Chart Type: Candlestick Time Frame: Appears to be Daily (based on price action and spacing of dates) Current Price: ~$40,798.4 Indicators: EMA 50 (Red): ~40,065.2 EMA 200 (Blue): ~41,475.6 Trend Structure: Ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows forming since early April. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 📈 Trend Analysis The price is moving within a rising parallel channel, respecting both upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish candles indicate momentum building towards a breakout or test of resistance. 🔄 EMA Confluence Price is above the 50 EMA, showing short-term bullish momentum. EMA 200 is acting as overhead resistance (~41,475), aligned with the top of the channel—a key decision zone. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: ~41,475 (EMA 200 & upper channel boundary). Support Levels: ~40,065 (EMA 50) ~39,000 (mid-channel support zone) ~38,000 (lower channel boundary) 📌 Scenarios to Watch ✅ Bullish Case: A clean breakout above the channel and the 200 EMA (~41,475) with strong volume could trigger a trend continuation toward: 42,500 – next psychological and historical resistance Potentially higher if macro sentiment aligns ⚠️ Bearish Case: Rejection at 200 EMA or the upper channel could lead to: A pullback to the mid-channel zone (~39,800–40,000) Further downside to retest the lower channel support (~38,000) 📅 Outlook The chart currently supports a bullish bias within an uptrend structure, but the key resistance zone (41,475) must be broken decisively for confirmation. Watch for volume and candle structure near that level to assess breakout validity.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by MrStellanSight
18
Nasdaq Bullish Reversal in Play !!📈 NASDAQ Outlook: Bullish Momentum Builds Up ✅ Breakout Confirmed: Price action has broken above the descending channel, signaling a reversal from the previous downtrend. 📊 EMA Crossover: The 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA (a golden cross), historically a bullish indicator. 🔼 Momentum Strong: Price is accelerating above EMAs with a steep upward trajectory, suggesting buyers are in control. 🔮 Potential Target: With sustained momentum, price could aim for the 21,000+ region in the short term. If the price sustains above the 19,500 zone, dips could be considered buying opportunities in the current bullish structure.
IG:NASDAQLong
by MrStellanSight
9
DXY: Supply Zone Ahead – Possible Turning PointWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** DXY Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
TVC:DXYShort
by OGT_Forex
Recession? Weak. Let's Do a DepressionS&P pulled a fast one — but the real show might be just warming up. Markets tease, bounce, tempt. And then — they punish. After a sharp rebound, S&P500 is still below 6,150, with weak volumes. The recent rally looks more like a bear trap than a new impulse. Trading note: Possible short entries can be considered from current levels, with 50% now, 25% near 6,000, and 25% at 6,100. Stop-loss only after 4H close above 6,150. No clean levels below that — only noise and traps. This market isn't about fundamentals. It's about desperation. Participants are chasing returns in a shrinking pie, taking on absurd risks. And now, buckle up: We are entering what might be the most dramatic market weeks in decades. This is setting up to be a mega-short, folks. Get ready for turbulence. Fasten your seatbelts. --- Important: This is NOT a recommendation to trade. This is an extremely high-risk scenario shared for discussion purposes only. If you've already made such a mistake and entered, respect your money and risk management. Losses are much harder to recover than gains.
SP:SPXShort
by TottiVincenzo
Weekly SPX Has A Bottom W Pattern Prompting More Upside!Hey Traders and Followers! SPX is going up! Sounds crazy despite the tariff news floating around but charts never lie. Here's what we got on the weekly SPX/USD; We have a bottoming W pattern. What's that mean? We going higher people. 5690.7 is the beakline area, price above invites bulls to a party. Target for this long is at 6198.9 area. Support sits at 5579.4 for this one. I'm letting you know about this party so up to you if you want to have a good time. See you all there with bells on and cash for all $ for those who show up. Best of luck in all your trades $ Cheers!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Trade-Farmer