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Nifty Short Term Analysis. Nifty today has given a poor closing below 200 days EMA but the only saving grace can be that the closing is just above Mid-Channel support of 23500 and Important Fibonacci support of 23263. These Two supports are broken then more hell can break loose and we can get to see the next Fibonacci supports being tested. The next Fibonacci supports can be near 22509 or 21585. On the positive side if either of the support is held and then we can see a new rally in Nifty wit resistances at 24718 and 25347. It looks like Nifty will take some time to reach new highs as the the mode is bottom searching and consolidation as of now. Fresh rally and Bullish recovery can start only after we get a closing above these 2 levels. However, this can be a good time to go long by picking good blue chip stocks available at good valuations. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DAX // The last one of 2024Dear Traders, This is the last one this year. I want to have a break and detach from the charts for some time now. This is the time of love, family&friends. But this chart actually shows the market phases I define quite well!😀 Thanks for you support in the past couple of weeks, since I became actve here! @TradingView asks us wishes recently... My wish for you is: patience discipline balance focus & confidence And vast amount of pips in the piggy bank!💰 Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays!🎄 Peter from The Market Flow 🏄🏼‍♂️ P.S. you may want to check out some of my ideas to get familiar with the terminology I use. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DXY - Can Get To $108DXY This is now a very strong bounce and a bullish morning star candle pattern is printing on the month chart still with half the month to go. I think this may be first major bounce from the market topping slump back in 2022... From the crash low I see it as an AR "Automatic Rally" (short covering) into a 3 wave correction... And now the real bounce which may end up being a higher time frame 3 wave correction that Elliott Wavers might call a WXY. This is starting to look like it will be the obligatory minimum 0.618 @ $108.7 retracement as per crash structure ratios and it can of course explore into the Golden Window up to 0.786 @ $111.3 overshoot ratio and even a little beyond. This is great for currency trades long dollar and as you know I posted a short GBPUSD trade (see linked idea) a while ago. That trade should have some legs if dollar gets to the Golden Window, which I think it will if the month closes here or above. Pull backs along the way of course. Not advice
TVC:DXYLong
by dRends35
2
Silver gold oil dxy12.20.24 this is a tough day for me. I had a hard time finding the words and I'm sure that added to some confusion... and it was very stressful for me. I decided to post the video since it took a good amount of time and the content was acceptable even if the presentation was awkward. I was trying to find the word for hyperinflation and I was trying to find the word for Reserve currency a sense the US dollar is a lot more bullish than I would expect. and while a lot of the markets in the index markets have gone lower the S&P is still quite strong which surprises me and so I am wondering if Trump's strategy to save the United States and the US currency might be a positive sign despite the horrible debt that that has occurred because of corrupt, component politicians on both sides. the whole world is corrupt says almost all the major countries have terrible debt even if it's less debt than the United States. personally I evaluate markets through patterns and... not the experts because I don't believe what they say not smart enough to know if it's because they're stupid where they're dishonest.... so I read the price bars on the chart.
TVC:DXY
by ScottBogatin
SPXUSD Daily Has A Inverse Cup & Handle Hey fellow traders and followers! I have to point out a possible inverse cup & handle and targets if she plays out in SPX Oanda. Breaking point on daily is 5881.6 after which would trigger bears to take over the show and bring us down to the measured move of 5751.3 area. If that area breaks after being tested with a fail we falllll --- ----- --5643.3------------ Market sits in no man's land I like to call it being bulls and bears on both sides of this rope in a tug of war. Be very very cautious at this time as charts in bigger TF's are starting to spell( FALL ) Don't get hurt on this one as this fall will give you more than just a scrape on the knees, more like a broken leg or worse. Trade with caution and best of luck in all your trades. Cheers!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Trade-Farmer
2
Market SnapshotQuestions I've been asking myself lately: Is my Bank safe? If the market crashes will they survive? While they fight for survival is my money at risk being with them? Do I have enough money saved so that if my job decides my services are no longer needed my family is not immediately or permanently at risk? What's the safest vehicle to put my money in a highly inflationary environment? What's the safest vehicle in a deflationary environment? What if the price of oil doubles over the next 5 years? You really need to buy more gold and silver (not a question just talking to myself) How will I take advantage of the housing crash that's looming? Why haven't you opened a family trust yet and put all of your assets under the care of?
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
Technical Analysis of NASDAQ 100 Index (4-Hour Chart) Key Support and Resistance Levels Key Support Levels: The 20,566 level serves as the current support zone. This level is critical for determining the future direction of the index. If this level is breached, the next support lies around 20,250. Key Resistance Levels: The first resistance zone is between 21,329-21,381, which aligns with the 20-period moving average and acts as a significant hurdle for upward movement. Upon breaking this resistance, the next target is around 22,106, corresponding to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands indicator. Potential Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario: If the price rebounds from the 20,566 support zone, the index is expected to initially move towards the 21,381 resistance level. A successful breakout of this level could push the index toward its next target at 22,106. Confirmation signals, such as bullish patterns or increased buying volume, would strengthen this scenario. 2. Bearish Scenario: If the 20,566 support zone is breached, the index could further decline toward the 20,250 level. Breaking this support would indicate significant market weakness and potential continuation of the downtrend. Indicator Analysis Bollinger Bands: The price has reached the lower Bollinger Band, typically signaling a potential reversal. However, continued downward movement is possible if the lower band is decisively broken. 20-Period Moving Average (Blue Line): This moving average acts as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this level may signal a short-term trend reversal. Conclusion and Trading Suggestions Considering the NASDAQ 100 index's position near the 20,566 support level, traders should watch for reversal signals. If confirmation of a rebound (e.g., increased trading volume or formation of reversal patterns) occurs, entering long positions near this area could be favorable. However, if this support is breached, it is advisable to avoid long trades and look for lower levels for market entry. Recommendations: Enter long positions near the 20,566 level with a stop-loss below 20,500. Initial upside target: 21,381. Manage risk by setting appropriate stop-loss levels and monitoring price behavior near critical zones.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by arongroups
Technical Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow Jones Industrial Average, as one of the most important benchmarks in the US stock market, is currently approaching a sensitive area in the range of 41363-41191 units. A review of the chart shows that this area acts as a strong support level and there is a possibility of a positive price reaction to this level. A full analysis of this situation will be provided below. 1. Price Structure Analysis The Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently exited the ascending channel it had maintained in the past months and entered a corrective phase. This correction has led the index towards the aforementioned support area, which is considered a key and valid level given the history of price performance. Level 41363-41191 units: This support area is obtained from the collision of several technical tools, including Fibonacci ratios (100% and 113% retracement) and the dynamic support of the lower trend line of the channel. Also, the price being near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator also indicates the possibility of slowing down the decline and starting an upward rebound. 2. Bullish scenario If the index can maintain the support area of ​​41363-41191 units, a positive reaction and price increase can be expected. Short-term bullish targets: The price returns to the resistance level of 43749 units, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci line. This level is considered the initial target for the rise if the price is supported successfully. Breaking through this resistance can pave the way for reaching higher levels in the medium term, including the psychological resistance of 45000 units. 3. Bearish scenario If the index fails to maintain the support area and stabilizes below the level of 41191 units, there is a possibility of continuing the downward trend. Bearish targets: The next support level is around 40800 units, and if it is broken, the possibility of further decline towards 39500 units will be strengthened. This decline could push the index into a deeper correction phase and increase selling pressure in the market.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by arongroups
NASDAQ: Dancing on the Edge of a Techno-Financial TightropeMarket Overview The NASDAQ-100 (NDX) has recently corrected by approximately 5.5% from its all-time high of 22,133 on December 16, 2024. This comes after a historic rally driven by resilient megacap technology stocks, robust earnings, and the continued dominance of AI-led innovation. Despite the correction, the index remains up 18% year-to-date, outpacing broader indices like the S&P 500, fueled by optimism around productivity-enhancing technologies. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds could temper this growth into 2025. Technical Analysis Trendlines Short-Term: The NDX remains in a rising trend channel since March 2023, with the lower boundary around 20,500 acting as critical support. A recent breach of its 21-day moving average suggests growing bearish momentum. Long-Term: The index's long-term trendline, extending from the pandemic lows in 2020, remains intact, underscoring investor confidence in the broader tech narrative. Key Levels Support Immediate support: 20,790 (50-day moving average). Strong support: 20,500 (trendline and Fibonacci retracement zone). Resistance Near-term resistance: 21,900 (upper boundary of rising wedge). Critical resistance: 22,133 (all-time high). Momentum Indicators RSI: Declining from overbought territory (currently at 64), signaling potential for further downside before resetting to neutral. MACD: A bearish crossover suggests weakening momentum in the near term. Macroeconomic Context Interest Rates The Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, with the terminal rate hovering around 5.75%. While inflation has moderated to 2.4%, core inflation remains sticky at 2.8%, keeping rate cuts off the table until mid-2025. Elevated borrowing costs could weigh on tech valuations, particularly for growth companies reliant on cheap capital. Economic Growth U.S. GDP growth is forecasted to decelerate from 2.6% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025, reflecting weaker consumer spending and tighter financial conditions. This slowdown could dampen earnings growth across the NASDAQ-100 constituents. Corporate Earnings Analysts expect NDX earnings growth of 8% in 2025, down from the blistering 14% in 2024, as cost pressures and a plateauing of AI-related tailwinds take hold. Geopolitical Landscape China-U.S. Relations Increasing tensions over Taiwan and heightened scrutiny of U.S. tech exports to China remain a wildcard. Any escalation could disrupt semiconductor supply chains and impact heavyweights like Nvidia and AMD. Europe Persistent instability in Eastern Europe and ongoing energy challenges pose risks to multinational tech firms with significant operations or customers in the region. Middle East Geopolitical uncertainty stemming from conflicts in the Middle East has kept oil prices elevated (~$95/barrel). Higher energy costs could indirectly affect tech earnings by squeezing consumer and corporate budgets. 2025 Outlook Base Case The NASDAQ-100 ends 2025 up 8–12%, driven by resilient demand for cloud computing, generative AI, and green technology innovations. Support from stable core earnings growth and moderating inflation provides a favorable backdrop. Bear Case Prolonged high interest rates, coupled with weaker-than-expected global growth, lead to a flat or mildly negative year. Key risks include geopolitical flare-ups, regulatory actions on Big Tech, and waning investor enthusiasm for speculative assets. Bull Case A dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve in H2 2025, alongside breakthrough advancements in AI or biotechnology, propels the index to new highs (~24,000). Conclusion The NASDAQ-100 is entering 2025 with a cautiously optimistic outlook, balanced between robust technological trends and mounting macro/geopolitical risks. Investors should monitor key support at 20,500 and resistance at 21,900 as barometers of sentiment. While near-term volatility is likely, the index remains a cornerstone for long-term growth portfolios. For 2025, the focus is on being smart: diligent monitoring, disciplined allocations, and adapting to shifting conditions. "There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat." – John Tuld – Margin Call (2011)
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by WHSelfInvest
Nifty Weekend Update...alert!!!!Hey guys, currently nifty this week fall more then 4%, due to holidays FII are selling highly. If you see the chart you can see nifty currently just above of 50WMA after huge selling pressure it still above the 50WMA, if this will break next week onwards we will enter a bear market for short term period, so in my opinion this is now a crucial moment so keep cash in hand for buying in the dip. Another scenario if nifty will bounce break from this level or first breaking 50wma then trap all bears and then bounce back above 50WMA that will also good for nifty to continue its trend to 30K.
NSE:NIFTY
by finlabventure
Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We have tried to draw a Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We will try to understand what is happening as per each indicator and try to get the jist of moves that may occur with a medium to long term perspective. Indicator 1) Parallel Channel: The parallel channel indicates that after hitting the channel top at 26277 the Nifty is receding and is on a search of it's bottom from where it can launch forward again. That is the case when every time Nifty has it a channel top as you can see in the chart. The Future Channel Top once Nifty picks up the next Bull run seems to be around 29497 as per the parallel channel. Mid channel support of the parallel channel is around 23500 zone which can support Nifty. If we get a weekly closing below 23500 this level will become a resistance. In such a scenario of weekly closing below 23500 Channel bottom seems to be near 21296. Indicator 2) Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci retracement suggests a bottom near 23263. If this level is broken there is a possibility of Nifty falling to the next fibonacci supports will be at 22506 and 21577. Once the Bull run begins the next resistance levels as per Fibonacci seem to be at 24725, 26777 (Previous high), 27162 and finally 28331. Indicator 3) Bollinger Band: Support with respect to lower width of Bollinger Band seems to be near 23340. Mid Bollinger band resistance seems to be near 24660 and Bollinger band upper width resistances seems to be near 25981. Indicator 4) RSI or the Relative Strength Index: RSI currently is at 44.41 and going downwards showing weakness. The RSI support can be found in the zone of 40, 38 or 36. Usually When RSI is below 30 the stock or index is considered oversold and when the stock or index RSI is above 70 it is considered overbought. RSI Below 20 is extremely oversold zone and RSI above 80 is considered extremely overbought. Indicator 5) MACD or Moving Average Convergence and Divergence: MACD is a combination of Moving averages lines which tend to indicate direction in which stock or index will move and histograms indicate strength or weakness of a rally. As per MACD Nifty right now is in extreme Bear grip and will take a little time to recover. When the Blue line will start moving upwards and when it might cross the red line and continue to move upwards it can be considered as Nifty will come back to Bull Zone. Colour of histograms at that time will also start going Dark Green or light Green. Indicator 6) 50 and 200 weeks EMA or the Mother and Father line: I have designed a theory called Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. As per this theory the movement of index or a stock in the chart is like a movement of a 3 year old child when it goes to a garden. The movement of 50 EMA is like movement of the mother and movement of the 200 EMA is like movement of a Father of that child. To know more about this theory or other indicators mentioned earlier you need to read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. This book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. It is one of the Highest rated book in the category. Have a look at that book it will help you immensely in your wealth creation journey. Now as per this theory the Nifty right now is at 23587. 50 Weeks EMA is at 23403. 200 Weeks EMA is at 19335. as the Nifty is above these levels both these levels will work as a great support to Nifty and can help Nifty from falling further. Conclusion: Nifty is approaching multiple supports from where it has potential to turnaround. Mid channel support is around 23500, 50 Weeks EMA support or the Mother line is at 23403. 23340 is the Bollinger band lower band width support. Fibonacci support is at 23263. We can see a turnaround mostly from either of these three supports. If these supports are broken by chance (looks less likely but you can never say never) then the next supports will be at 22507, 21296 or worst case scenario as of now looks like 19335. On the upper side resistances seem to be at 24660 Fibonacci mid resistance, 24725 is the Fibonacci resistance, 25981 is Bollinger band upper width resistance and 26277 is the Fibonacci resistnace which also the previous high of Nifty. Once this zone is crossed in a long term we can reach the targets of 27162 Fibonacci resistance, 28331 Fibonacci golden ratio resistnace and 29497 which is the approximate nex channel top. (This is the Medium to Long term outlook of Nifty). This is how you can analyse any index or a stock using the 6 indicators mentioned in the writeup. I give top most priority to these 6 indicators in my analysis. Disclaimer: Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000. Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.' Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index. his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by KSLBroking