S&P500 vs BitcoinNormally, when the S&P500 goes into a bear market, Bitcoin follows.
This cycle, however, for the first time, the S&P500 went into a bear market, while BTC remained above its prior all time highs.
This cycle, Bitcoin either proves a new level of resilience among broader economic uncertainty, or a similar pattern is still yet to play out.
Market indices
Nifty descending triangle but volume is divergedNifty 24666 has given a descending triangle pattern in 1 hour chart and support at 24547. But the net volume is positively diverged. Which way Nifty will breakthrough.
Nifty Has to sustain 24660 to break upside and 24577 to breakdown ..
Let See how it unfolds..
DXY retest of the gap and ready for bullishness
DXY retested the gap formed at the beginning of the week. The area of demand had efficiency underneath it - price swept the efficient zone, and closed in the identified zone. Price is currently bullish, but I would like to see price close above the 100.53 mark before looking for a buy trade.
NY AM Silver BulletHigher TF manipulating highs, 7:30 NY high swept at 9
With MSS lower NY swing high and low after 930 and before 10am. OTE entry at 61& of Fib aligns with iFVG to sell. Moerse void below London Low.
Lower TF 5min iFVG that pushed into 7:30 high.
Entry criteria Casper Silver Buller>>$$$
OEX /SPX Bullish wave 5 pattern crossroads The chart posted is the sp 100 I am posting it as we are now at the crossroad for bull or bear count .We have rallied to .786 as I will show and have a wave a x 1.27 = c at the .786 High But if we break above 5922 in the Cash SP 500 There is NOTHING to stop it from reaching a target of 3005 in the OEX where wave A up or wave 1 x 1.618 = wave C Top or wave 3 in the SP 500 WAVE A or WAVE 1 up 5481 - 4835 = 646 x 1.618 =1045 plus wave B low or wave 2 5102low= 5102plus 1045 =6147.22 The exact high . This is the reason I took the loss and moved LONG .Best of trades WAVETIMER
DowJones INTRADAY key trading level at 41790US stocks point to slightly lower open as traders react to global and economic developments.
Main drivers:
Trump’s Gulf Visit: Markets are watching for any new investment deals or geopolitical tensions. A $600B Saudi investment deal was announced yesterday, and Trump is now heading to Qatar.
Tariff Optimism: Hopes of US-China tariff easing have supported recent rallies and reduced fears of a slowdown.
Rate Cut Expectations Lower: Stronger sentiment has reduced chances of near-term rate cuts by the Fed, ECB, and BoE. This may limit upside for some rate-sensitive stocks.
ECB Outlook: ECB’s Villeroy said a rate cut is likely this summer, keeping some dovish tone in Europe.
US CPI Impact: Markets are still digesting yesterday’s inflation data, which could affect future Fed moves.
Trading Takeaway:
Momentum is supported by global optimism, but fading rate cut hopes and geopolitical risks may keep gains in check. Stay alert for headlines out of the Gulf.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42550
Resistance Level 2: 42910
Resistance Level 3: 43370
Support Level 1: 41790
Support Level 2: 41470
Support Level 3: 41220
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Upper Band Holds Post-Breakout - Classic Trend Signal in PlayDéjà vu? Not quite - but today’s session feels a lot like yesterday’s.
We’ve got a fresh mechanical bear trigger from a late-day Tag ‘n Turn setup. But much like the previous session, price action is telling us a different story.
Let’s walk through what I’m looking for.
---
SPX Market Briefing
Yesterday’s session started with a bearish bias. But by the end of the day, the market voided the setup via the hedge trigger - and since I wasn’t positioned bearish, it was a clear signal to flip bullish.
Same playbook again today.
I entered yesterday bullish and didn’t babysit the charts. Today, I’m starting with a bearish mechanical trigger, but futures are holding up. There’s also a post-breakout continuation in play that’s clinging to the upper Bollinger Band - a strong sign of bullish trending momentum.
Bollinger himself suggested this as one of the most reliable signs of strength.
So what’s the move?
Bearish trigger? Yes.
Bear entry? Not yet.
I’ll defer bearish entries unless price breaks below the 5880 area, with a v-shaped entry.
If price stays above 5910, I’ll resume bullish activity as needed.
This is shaping up to be another go/no-go decision day - no need to guess, no need to jump early.
Let price make the choice. I’ll respond when it does.
GEX Analysis Update
5900 is looking like the key GEX level again.
---
Expert Insights:
Mistake: Taking every mechanical setup without confirming price action
Fix: Use price structure (like Bollinger Band holds) to confirm trend integrity
Mistake: Jumping in without clear invalidation levels
Fix: Predefine bull/bear flip zones - today: 5880 and 5910
Mistake: Over-monitoring slow sessions
Fix: No need to stare at charts - mechanical setups do the heavy lifting
---
Rumour Has It…
Bollinger Band Declared Emotional Support Tool
Sources say traders have begun using the upper Bollinger Band like a weighted blanket. “As long as we’re above it,” one trader whispered from beneath a desk, “I feel safe.”
Psychologists confirm it's become a market-wide security blanket, replacing support/resistance zones in all therapy sessions.
This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!
Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?
---
Fun Fact
John Bollinger designed his bands in the early 1980s - not just to spot reversals, but also to identify sustained breakouts.
When price hugs the upper band after a breakout, it’s often signalling continuation, not exhaustion. It’s a feature of trend momentum, not a warning of collapse.
Today’s chart is textbook.
The system gives us the setup. But the context? That’s where discretion adds juice to the edge.
HK50 Heist Alert: Snatch the Bullish Loot & Escape the Red Zone!🌎 Greetings, global fortune hunters! Bonjour, Shalom, Salut, Hola! 🌟
Dear Cash Commanders & Market Marauders, 💰⚡️
Forged in the 🔥 Rogue Trader’s crucible of technical and fundamental sorcery 🔥, here’s our sly scheme to plunder the HK50 “HongKong50” Index Market. Stick to the chart’s blueprint, homing in on long entries. Our endgame? Sneak out near the perilous ATR Red Zone, where overbought signals, consolidation, trend reversals, and traps await, with bearish outlaws ready to pounce. 🏴☠️💸 “Lock in profits and spoil yourself, traders—you’re unstoppable!” 🎉💥
**Entry 📈**: The safe’s wide open! Grab the bullish treasure at any price—the raid’s in motion!
For sharper moves, place buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute chart at the most recent swing low or high. Hot tip: set chart alerts to stay one step ahead!
**Stop Loss 🛑**:
📍 Rogue SL anchored at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (22700.00) for day or swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders.
**Target 🎯**: Aim for 24700.00—or slip away early if the market turns dicey!
🧲 **Scalpers, stay sharp!** 👀: Focus on long-side scalps only. Big bankroll? Jump in now! Smaller stack? Team up with swing traders for the heist. Use trailing SL to guard your gold 💰.
💵 **HK50 Market Heist (Swing Trade Breakdown)**: Sitting in a neutral zone with a bullish spark, driven by key market currents. ☝
🗞️ **Dig into the details**: Explore Fundamental Insights, Macroeconomic Trends, COT Reports, Geopolitical Shifts, Sentiment Signals, Intermarket Connections, Index-Specific Factors, Positioning, and Future Targets for the full picture! 👉🔗🌍
⚠️ **Trading Alert: News & Position Tactics** 📰🚨
News events can rattle markets like a tempest. To protect your profits:
- Steer clear of new trades during news releases.
- Deploy trailing stop-losses to secure gains and shield open positions.
💖 **Power up our raid!** 💥 Tap the Boost Button 💥 to amplify our profit-snatching prowess. Join the Rogue Trading Style posse and rake in riches daily with finesse. 🏆🤝🚀
See you at the next market ambush—stay vigilant! 🤑🐱👤🎯
IHSG 36000IHSG will go to 36000
Currently, the prediction for the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) is still far from 36,000. Based on the latest analysis, the JCI is estimated to move in the range of 6,800 to 7,150 in the short term. Positive sentiment from the trade deal between the United States and China has indeed provided encouragement, but this strengthening is still considered limited and prone to technical corrections. If there are major factors that can push the JCI to a much higher level, such as extraordinary economic growth or a surge in foreign investment, then there may be an opportunity to achieve a more ambitious figure. However, for now, the realistic target is still in the range mentioned.
US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Updat📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Update 🚨
Price action is consolidating just below 42,200, forming a tight bullish flag/pennant structure after a clean breakout run. The trend remains firmly bullish, with EMAs aligned and curling up 📈.
🔎 Quick Breakdown:
📍 Current Price: 42,185
⏸ Consolidation Zone: 42,000–42,250
🧠 Market is resting after a strong move — textbook bullish continuation setup
🔥 What to Watch:
Break and hold above 42,250 → 🚀 Expansion move possible toward 42,600–42,800
Failure + close below 42,000 → ⚠️ Minor retrace to 41,700 support (EMA catch zone)
Volume is thinning out — breakout may come soon. Stay sharp. 👀
🧠 Mindset Tip:
Markets move in impulse → correction → impulse. This pause is normal.
✅ Wait for confirmation
❌ Don’t chase inside chop
UK100 - time to SHORT and send UK into recession.SHORT UK100 at 8610, add more at 8622, (8638-42) and 8667-71)
Target 1 at 8592-8285
Target 2 at 8571-8564
Target 3 at 8549-8339
Once it hit first target, take 30% partial and bring stop loss to BE
It time to kill the UK100 and send them into recession.
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,250
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850
Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC)
High-volume nodes:
Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance.
Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested.
Low-volume gaps:
Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above.
Downside:
21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone.
20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone.
Absorption Zones:
Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection)
Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout.
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend.
Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 20,850
POC: 20,847.54
Psychological & structural: 21,000
Resistance:
VAH: 21,250
Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 21,250
Swing Low: 20,084
Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250):
1/2: 20,667
1/3: 20,472
2/3: 20,889
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top.
b) Notable Patterns:
Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support.
Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD.
Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation):
Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 21,200
T2: 21,250
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal):
Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence)
Target:
T1: 21,000
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification:
Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong bullish reversal from recent lows.
• MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum.
• RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run).
• Price reclaiming key moving averages.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Clear uptrend continuation.
• MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum.
• Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity.
• MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave.
Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context):
• Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts.
• Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations.
• VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment.
⸻
Trade Plan (Long):
• Entry: 42,360
Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes.
• Stop Loss (SL): 41,850
Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk).
• Take Profit (TP): 43,380
Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward).
FUSIONMARKETS:US30