PCEs & attacks on PowellWe are carefully monitoring the PCEs today, to see, "wins" this small battle in the rate-lowering war. Let's dig in.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Market indices
Dow Jones (US30) — Bullish Momentum, But a Retest AheadUS30 — Preparing for a Retest Before Higher Push
Subtitle: Technical Outlook — 27 June 2025
📈 Current Market Condition
The US30 index has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above prior resistance around 43,000 and extending towards 43,500. Price is currently above both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red), reflecting a bullish structure. However, the Stochastic indicator signals overbought conditions, suggesting the index may be due for a pullback or consolidation before attempting to break higher into the 44,500–44,750 resistance zone.
🔑 Key Technical Highlights
Structure: Price broke above consolidation zone 42,750–43,000, retesting higher levels.
50 EMA (blue): Positioned near 42,750, acting as dynamic support.
200 EMA (red): Below at 42,200, major trend support.
Stochastic: Overbought — risk of a short-term correction or sideways move before continuation.
Resistance: Major resistance at 44,500–44,750.
Support: Immediate support at 43,000–43,250, deeper at 42,500.
📝 Trade Plan
Bullish Breakout (Long)
Trigger: Retest and hold of 43,000–43,250 zone with bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, hammer).
Target: 44,500 / 44,75
Stop-loss: Below 42,900
Bearish Rejection (Short)
Trigger: Strong rejection from 44,500 with bearish reversal pattern.
Target: 43,250 / 42,750
Stop-loss: Above 44,700
Dip Buy
Trigger: Price tests 42,750 (50 EMA) and shows bullish reversal.
Target: 43,500 / 44,500
Stop-loss: Below 42,500
⚠️ Risk Management Note
US30 is trading in extended conditions, so chasing price here carries risk of getting caught in a pullback. Use staggered entries and adjust position size relative to volatility. Watch out for upcoming macroeconomic releases that could trigger sharp moves.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
SPX500 Extends Rally on Fed Hopes and China Trade DealS&P 500 Set to Extend Record Highs
U.S. stock futures climbed on Friday, continuing this week’s strong momentum on hopes of eased trade tensions and growing confidence in multiple Fed rate cuts later this year.
Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 pointed to fresh record-high openings, while the Dow Jones was set to rise by 150 points.
Adding to the bullish tone, Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced a trade agreement with China, reducing tariff risks and easing concerns over rare earth shortages.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – SPX500
The index has broken into new all-time highs (ATH) and stabilized above the 6,143 resistance level, confirming bullish strength.
As long as the price trades above 6,143, the uptrend is likely to continue toward 6,225, with potential short-term pullbacks to 6,143.
A 1H candle close below 6,143 could trigger a deeper correction toward the pivot zone at 6,098.
Key Levels
Resistance: 6,175 → 6,225
Support: 6,098 → 6,041
previous idea:
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176 (Wave 1).Colleagues, the previous forecast remains essentially unchanged, and the target is still 6176, but I think the forecast can be updated because the price has been flat for quite some time.
I still expect the upward movement to continue in the large wave “1” and in the medium-order wave “5”.
A small correction to the support area of 5873 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Nasdaq Analysis before market .If you do a top down analysis you will see /nq potentially working in the bulls favor. Especially if you own tech stocks. Its been steadily rising. with a couple hick-ups but look at the arrows on the 1 hour timeframe. The VWAP was showing a peak and than dropping. The chart soon to follow. Reversing. Yesterdays top and bottom were in line with an continuation and big $$$ taking profit,s than continued up the mountain.
Have a good day.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Critical Moment
With an unprecedented pace of weakness of US Dollar,
DXY Index is now testing a historic weekly support cluster.
If the market breaks it today and closes below that, it will
open a potential for much more depreciation.
Next historic support will be 95.5 and a downtrend will continue.
Today's US fundamentals can be a trigger.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!
STOXX "Double Top" resistance retest at 5335The SOXX50 remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5200 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5200 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5335 – initial resistance
5400 – psychological and structural level
5470 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5200 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
5155– minor support
5090 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the STOXX50 holds above 5200. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NIFTY 50 key level This is the 1 hour chart of NIFTY 50 .
NIFTY 50 has formed Right Angled Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern.
Nifty 50 has given a breakout from its pattern.
If Nifty 50 sustains after a successful retest post-breakout, we may see higher prices in Nifty 50.
The target for this pattern is projected near the 26,600 level.
Thank You !!
FTSE Oversold rally resistance at 8820The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8695 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8695 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
8820 – initial resistance
8855 – psychological and structural level
8900 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8695 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
8640 – minor support
8600 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8695. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Smart Friday Trades: NASDAQ Setup and Key Levels to Watch NAS100📊 NASDAQ US100 Analysis – Friday Setup
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ closely 👀. The NAS100 looks significantly overextended 📈, and with it being the end of the week, we often see price action push into the weekly high before pulling back into the weekly close 🔁.
This is a pattern I’ve seen play out many times during the New York session on Fridays 🗽📉.
💡 Here’s my suggestion:
Wait for today’s data release 📅 to finish. If price ranges and then breaks market structure to the downside, keep an eye out for a short entry on the retrace and retest of the range low.
🎯 Your targets and stop loss are outlined clearly in the video, so make sure to watch it through.
⚠️ Trade sensibly, manage your risk, and don't rush into anything.
I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments 💬
Have an awesome day and I’ll see you in the next one! 🚀
Trump Threatens Sánchez Over Defense Spending ShortfallTrump Warns of Trade Reprisals Against Spain for Refusing NATO's 5% Target: Direct Impact on the IBEX 35
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The recent NATO summit in The Hague concluded with an ambitious proposal: raise defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. However, Spain distanced itself from the consensus, triggering a diplomatic storm led by former U.S. President Donald Trump. His remarks have already begun rippling through financial markets — especially the IBEX 35.
Sánchez Rejects 5% Target, Cites "Realism"
During the summit, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez succeeded in including a clause allowing Spain to stick to its current commitment of 2.1% of GDP for military spending. In his address, Sánchez argued that increasing it to 5% would jeopardize essential public services like healthcare and education, warning against “budgetary fetishism” in foreign policy.
"Security isn’t measured solely in percentages. We will defend fiscal sovereignty and the welfare state," Sánchez stated from The Hague.
Trump Launches Verbal Offensive Against Spain
The Spanish leader’s comments were swiftly met with criticism from across the Atlantic. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Donald Trump labeled Spain “a problem for NATO” and warned the country would “pay double” in future trade deals with the U.S. for refusing to meet the new defense spending target.
"Spain is freeloading off its allies. If they won’t pay, they shouldn’t expect our protection," Trump said, hinting at potential tariffs on Spanish products and exclusion from preferential terms in bilateral trade negotiations.
IBEX 35 Reacts: Declines in Export-Sensitive Companies
Technically, the IBEX 35 is in a consolidation phase, with immediate support at 13,698 points and key resistance near recent highs. Indicators like the RSI, now in neutral territory, and a bearish MACD suggest caution, as a breach of support could trigger a deeper correction. While the broader trend remains bullish, the control point lies around 13,300 — an area that previously served as an accumulation zone and breakout level — which the market may revisit before resuming its upward trajectory.
Investor anxiety was evident in Madrid’s trading floor: the IBEX 35 closed Thursday down 0.85%, weighed by internationally exposed firms such as Naturgy, Cellnex, and Grifols, which fell as much as 3.5%. The index also formed a low-volume doji candle — a technical signal that may precede a pullback. In contrast, stocks like Acciona Energía and IAG, either less reliant on the U.S. or more diversified, managed modest gains.
This week, the index has shown signs of fatigue after peaking at annual highs of 14,368 points in late May. It opened today around 13,876. With the RSI at 48% and a bearish MACD, the IBEX remains in consolidation. The 13,300 area continues to be a key control zone, potentially acting as a springboard should sentiment improve.
Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty: Spain’s New Risk Factor
Trump’s combative tone introduces a fresh layer of uncertainty into an already tense global backdrop of trade frictions and evolving security strategies. His threat of trade reprisals places strategic sectors of the Spanish economy — such as agri-food and industrial exports — in a vulnerable position.
Domestic politics complicate the picture further: internal criticism from the opposition and a minority government reduce Spain’s ability to respond decisively to external pressure.
Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation or Correction?
From a technical standpoint, the IBEX remains in consolidation with key support at 13,750. A break below could deepen the correction, while any easing of geopolitical tensions might pave the way for a retest of annual highs.
Conclusion:
Spain’s refusal to adopt NATO’s 5% defense spending goal has sparked a diplomatic rift with the United States, already reflected in financial markets. Trump’s threats are not merely rhetorical — if they materialize into trade barriers, the economic consequences for Spain could be significant. The IBEX 35, as a barometer of investor sentiment, will remain closely tied to this unfolding story.
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Consolidation is Over
Dow Jones Index completed a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The price violated a key horizontal resistance cluster and closed above that.
Next goal for bulls is 43790.
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SPX500 Macro Fibonacci Projection – Eyeing 7190+ 🗓️ Posted by Wavervanir International LLC | June 26, 2025
The S&P 500 continues to respect key Fibonacci zones on the macro scale. After a strong recovery from the recent correction near the 0.5–0.618 retracement region (4800–5100), price is now hovering near critical confluence at the 1.0 level (~6150).
We’re tracking a bullish extension path toward 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which gives us a primary upside target zone between 7,190 and 7,795 — aligning with the projected long-term wave expansion. This structure favors a continued institutional accumulation phase, supported by macroeconomic resilience and liquidity conditions.
🔶 Key Levels to Watch:
Major Support: 4838.28 (0.5 Fib Retest)
Immediate Resistance: 6170–6200
Target Range: 7190.71 → 7795.41
🧠 Bias remains bullish unless price breaks back below 5830 with volume.
This is not financial advice. Shared for educational and strategic insights.
Let me know your thoughts, traders!
—
#SPX500 #Fibonacci #WaverVanir #MacroTrends #StockMarket2025 #QuantitativeAnalysis
#Nifty - Quarterly Pivot is 24805.35 | 22629.05 or 26981.65?Date: 04-06-2025
Pivot Point: 24805.35 Support: 24371.98 Resistance: 25241.83
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 25645.39
Target 2: 26048.95
Target 3: 26515.30
Target 4: 26981.65
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 23966.86
Target 2: 23561.75
Target 3: 23095.4
Target 4: 22629.05
#Nifty
#NiftyChartPatterns
#NiftyTrendAnalysis
Nifty - Reposting of previous Levels Again
This is just a "Reposting of #Nifty previous Levels Again" to help you to remember so that you can plan your activity accordingly. Every level plays a key level as target, support and resistance.
Previous Levels
Current Price: 24,461.15
Mid-point: 24413.83
Upside: 24913.61, 25115.13, 25378.11 and 25641.10
Downside: 23914.92, 23712.53, 23449.54 and 23186.55
Resistance: 24712.10
Stop loss: 24117.31
#Nifty
#Nifty - Pivot Point is 24850.48 | 23597.30 or 26103.65?Date: 06-06-2025
#Nifty Current Price 25000
Pivot Point: 24850.48 Support: 24548.09 Resistance: 25154.65
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 25360.61
Target 2: 25566.58
Target 3: 25835.11
Target 4: 26103.65
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 24341.23
Target 2: 24134.375
Target 3: 23865.8375
Target 4: 23597.30