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SPX 2025 Strategic Outlook 7150 points Wave Five Bull Market🔸Time to update the SPX outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in SPX going forward next few weeks correction / pullback. 🔸SPX price structure since 2023 is defined by a five wave impulse wave 3 completed already and currently we are in wave 4 pullback/correction until 5415 points. expecting wave four pullback to complete in January 2025. 🔸Wave 1 is 3600 to 4625, wave two 4625 to 4125, wave three 4125 to 6100,wave 4 pullback/correction now is 6100 to 5416, final bullish wave five is expected to start from 5415 to 7150 points (30% bull run). Wave 5 expected to start in January 2025 and complete sometime in Q4 2025. A/B/C 40% correction will follow as the market will enter extremely overbought zone. 🔸Recommended strategy position traders: wait for the wave 4 correction to complete at/near 5415 points in January 2025 and then BUY/HOLD into wave 5 final target is 7150 points in Q4 2025. Obviously, this is a longer BUY/HOLD trade setup and patience is required with this trade. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SP:SPXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
7
SP500 Weekly Trade Idea – Valid only with Close below 5977.8The S&P 500 has been on a stellar rally this year, rewarding long-term investors who bought and held through market turbulence. However, the current technical and macroeconomic setup suggests a possible correction could be on the horizon. Here’s how to approach it strategically. 🛠️ Technical Analysis from the Chart: 1️⃣ **Resistance Zone (6025-6050):** - The index is facing strong resistance in this red zone, indicating a potential **stall in bullish momentum**. Failure to break through this level increases the likelihood of a pullback. 2️⃣ Critical Support Levels: - **5690-5628 Zone:** First significant demand zone. A break below could trigger deeper corrections. - **5395-5365 Zone:** Key structural support from previous accumulation. - Long-term potential target near **4500**, aligning with historical correction structures. 3️⃣ Weekly Close Watch (5977.8): - A **close below 5977.8** could confirm the start of a correction, likely forming a 3-to-5 wave structure typical of corrective phases. 🌍 Macro Context – Inflation and Valuations: - Inflation Data: - In **March 2020**, inflation was at **1.5%**, and stimulus packages helped buoy the market. - By **March 2021**, inflation climbed to **2.6%**, reflecting economic recovery and stimulus impacts. - November 2024 inflation** sits at **2.7%**, signaling a moderating trend but with base effects and monetary policies still in play. - Market Valuations: - The **Buffett Indicator** (Market Cap to GDP ratio) shows the market remains significantly overvalued. This aligns with Warren Buffett’s recent positioning, where **25% of his portfolio is in cash**, waiting for better buying opportunities. 💡 Trade Idea: 📉 Prepare for the Correction: - A correction to the **4500 level** would represent a compelling buying opportunity for long-term investors. - Avoid shorting the market; instead, focus on cash preservation and building a watchlist of fundamentally strong companies. 📊 Long-Term Strategy: - Stick to Warren Buffett’s principle: **"Be greedy when others are fearful."** - Utilize cash reserves to capitalize on discounted prices during market panic. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: **6025-6050 - Supports: **5690-5628**, **5395-5365**, and long-term 4500. 🚀 Optimistic Outlook: Corrections are **opportunities, not threats**. They allow investors to buy quality assets at a discount and position themselves for the next bull cycle. "Price is what you pay; value is what you get." – Warren Buffett 🐂✨ Let volatility work in your favor! 🌟
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Mike_SnD
Technical Analysis of NIFTY Index - 30-Minute TimeframeDouble Top Pattern: The chart shows a double top pattern (marked as "Top 1" and "Top 2"), which is a bearish reversal pattern. The neckline for this pattern has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. The pattern suggests that the uptrend has reversed, leading to a downward move. Falling Wedge Pattern: After the double top, the index has formed a falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken out of the falling wedge, signaling the potential for a short-term bounce. Targets: Immediate Upside Target: The breakout from the falling wedge suggests a potential recovery toward 24,200–24,300. Downside Target: If bearish momentum resumes, the index could move toward 23,500 as marked on the chart. Volume Analysis: The breakout from the falling wedge is accompanied by a slight increase in volume, which supports the bullish case. However, sustained volume is needed for the uptrend to continue. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Immediate: 23,800 Stronger: 23,500 Resistance: Immediate: 24,200–24,300 Extended: 24,500 Moving Averages: The index is currently trading near its short-term moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above these levels would confirm further bullish momentum. Fundamental Analysis of NIFTY Index Macroeconomic Environment: Global Factors: Uncertainty in global markets, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, have added to the volatility in Indian markets. Domestic Growth: India's economy continues to grow steadily, supported by strong consumer demand, government infrastructure spending, and a robust services sector. Sectoral Performance: IT and Pharma: Defensive sectors like IT and Pharma have seen relative strength amid global uncertainties. Banking and Financials: Despite some recent corrections, banking and financial services continue to drive the index, supported by rising credit growth and strong results from private banks. Metals and Energy: Global commodity prices and demand from China remain key drivers for metals and energy stocks. Corporate Earnings: Indian corporates have shown resilience with steady earnings growth, particularly in the FMCG, banking, and auto sectors. However, margin pressures persist in some sectors due to higher input costs. Valuation: NIFTY's valuation remains slightly stretched compared to historical averages, suggesting room for further correction. However, strong long-term growth potential keeps the outlook positive. Key Risks: Rising interest rates globally could tighten liquidity. Any further escalation in geopolitical tensions or slower global growth could impact market sentiment. Conclusion: Technical Outlook: NIFTY has formed a double top, confirming bearish momentum, but a breakout from the falling wedge offers a short-term bullish opportunity. Upside Targets: 24,200–24,300 Downside Risk: 23,500 (if bearish momentum resumes) Fundamental Outlook: India’s economic fundamentals remain strong, supported by consumer demand and government spending. While the market faces short-term headwinds, the long-term outlook remains positive, making this an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks during corrections.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheWealthyInvestorbyDSAB
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 20th DecemberNifty opened with a big gap-down near crucial support of 23850 today due to US markets and Nifty traded in a range created in first 15 mins. For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24000 we expect to see an upmove towards 24080 and above marked levels. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 23920 on downside we may see 23920 and below marked levels on the chart. Expectations: Volatile day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 24000 Sell Below - 23920 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
2
the US stock market will get nuked tomorrow or mondayHere's a TVC:VIX analysis. Check SP:SPX 15m, just see the momentum. Feel it. Apparently it's the sharpest plummet of the past months. the US stock market and CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the crypto market, TVC:GOLD , as well, will get down for 20 or 30% in the coming weeks or a month. TVC:DXY and the US dollar FX_IDC:USDEUR would be get high since the dollars from the sold assets fload into the liquidity space. After that, for months I guess, FX:USDJPY get lower and EUR, JPY wins for some years.
TVC:VIXLong
by fumiyaorg
at least a meal treat for the weekend!FX:HKG33 Hello everyone, from the D chart, the index seems dancing within the dancefloor. From 1h chart today trade plan : same old same old strategy sell into resistance and buy at support. From the shorter tf we can notice probably end of the week and index seems giving meal treat. 🥩 🦃. For the first hours from the MACD signal and KDJ it seems bullish. Long for the first half; continue to monitor see if it breakthrough 19975/20000. Happy trading everyone! Stick to your plan, set your SL/TP. Let's zen with 📙 and 🍵 while waiting for the meal treat and show your gratitude and love the Index although sometimes it doesnt go according to our plan. 🥂
FX:HKG33Long
by ChenQianYu
DOW - longI see sooo beautiful potential opportunity on DOW. Let me explain... From technical viewpoint - structure of Dow is long term bullish. This is very clear. At this point price seems to end the correction it started at the beginning of December 2k24 after making ATH. If price is going to break to the upside through resistance, this is potential of juicy 1500 points swing move to the ATH. From fundamental viewpoint - tommorow (18th December 2k24) is Rate Cut from FED with 95% probability of 25bp. Technical and fundamental viewpoints links to each other so my prediction is this: From tommorow (the day of 25bp rate cut from Fed and finish correction by breaking resistance to upside) is going to be continuation of bullish trend that's gonna last long time and potentially break ATH to make new ATH. Probably I have never seen that clean structure of Dow in my trading career for swing trade... We're gonna make a lot of money :* ~AS Malone
OANDA:US30USDLong
by adameksad