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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: USD Still Bullish? YES! Buy It!This forecast is for the week of Dec. 16th - 20th. The USD INDEX is indicating strength, continuing from last week going into this week. The economic calendar has red folders for every day this week. THe xxxUSD pairs are looking bearish, while the USDxxx pairs are looking bullish. The USD Index closed last week very bearish, trading through the previous week's low. A pullback makes sense for this week, at least for the beginning of it. With NFP coming on Friday, trading up until Wed may be the safest way to go. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Transcript
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
NAS100USD: Strategic Selling Amidst Bearish MomentumGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we reflect on yesterday’s high volatility, which triggered a significant displacement to the downside. Such strong movements often leave inefficiencies in price action that may be revisited in the near future. However, the prevailing bearish institutional order flow suggests opportunities to capitalize on selling setups. Key Observations: 1. Consolidation in Premium Zones: Currently, price is consolidating at a premium level, providing an optimal zone to initiate sell positions. Following the principle of selling in premium and buying in discount, this setup aligns with institutional trading strategies. 2. Bearish Momentum: The bearish structure remains intact, reinforcing the likelihood of price continuing its descent toward discount zones. 3. Potential Reversals in Discount: When price reaches discount levels, it is possible for a reversal back into premium zones. This necessitates a strategic and observant approach to anticipate the next market move. Trading Strategy: Entry: Seek confirmation to sell at premium levels during this consolidation phase. Target: Discount zones, where sell-side liquidity resides, will serve as the primary profit-taking area. As always, remain vigilant and adaptive to market dynamics. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Can The Major Support Zone Save Nifty From Falling Further?There is a triple Support zone that has been reached by Nifty. The Zone between today's low that is 23870 and 23692 has multiple supports of a trend line and Father Line of 200 day's EMA. Let us see if we have a revival from here. If that will be the case the next resistance zones will be 24019, 24175, 24416(Major Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) and 24529 (Major Trend Line Resistance). If the support of 23870 is broken we will have to rely upon 23962 that is the major 200 day's EMa of Father line. If we get a closing below 23692 or the Father line. Bears will become more powerful and we may see them control the game. In such a scenario the supports will be at 23350, 23088 and 22828. So very critical weekly closing tomorrow. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to negative. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Analyzing Market Trends and FED Interest Rate Decisions "SPX"The daily chart above highlights FED interest rate cut decisions with vertical lines. I've used the DJI ticker instead of SPX, as it provides a more comprehensive representation of the overall market, unaffected by the dominance of the Magnificent Seven. My analysis focuses on monthly candle peaks (indicating overbought conditions) and lows (indicating oversold conditions), as well as direction reversals. This cycle repeats, forming higher highs and higher lows. By identifying these patterns, we can determine the market direction, which is either trending upward (green) or downward (red). Now we know the direction where the market is heading. Its either trending to form a new higher high OR new higher low. With that understanding, when we plot vertical lines on FED decision days, the direction has not changed. HOWEVER, the decision is accelerating the market direction to its targeted price(either higher high or higher low). The above guidance is for swing traders for a duration of about 2/3 weeks. Intraday traders can benefit this by looking at days high and low before decision announcement and knowing where the market is generally headed. As a trader, I utilize custom-built screener tables that cascade data across multiple timeframes and stocks/sectors. This unique approach provides a fascinating big-picture perspective, highlighting strong stocks and sectors. Reach out to me OR follow me for further insights. Happy Trading!!
TVC:DJIEducation
by JKReddyLin
NASDAQFed's Hawkish Stance Sparks Fears ofSustained 4%Rate FloorMarkets Fear Fed's 4% Floor as Dollar Surges While the Federal Reserve's "hawkish cut" on Thursday was widely anticipated, markets are now concerned that the 4% policy rate will act as a floor for the coming year, with no further easing expected until midyear or later. Technical Analysis The price dropped approximately 4.5% yesterday ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Today, the market corrected to the resistance level of 21,420, after which it is likely to drop back toward 21,215, particularly if it stabilizes below 21,420. Stability below 21,420 will maintain a bearish trend, targeting 21,280 and 21,215. A break below 21,215, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down toward 20,990. Key Levels Pivot Point: 21420 Resistance Levels: 21530, 21620, 21770 Support Levels: 21290, 21215, 20990 Trend Outlook Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 21,420. Bullish Momentum: Possible if stability above 21,420 is achieved.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
DOW JONES: 5 month Channel Up bottomed and 1D MA100 hit. BullishDow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.675, MACD = -65.830, ADX = 38.532) after yesterday's sharp drop due to the Fed announcing an outlook shift to 2 rate cuts in 2025 from 4 previously. Technically though that fall presents a unique long term buy opportunity as despite crossing under the 1D MA50, it managed to hit the 1D MA100 for the first time since Aug 8th while touching the bottom of the 5 month Channel Up. Today the price is showing the first signs of rebounding. The 1D RSI rebounding from below 30.000 (oversold) is also a great bullish indicator. The drop that resembles most December's is the first bearish wave of the Channel (July-August). When it recovered, the rebound hit the R1 level at first and that is our target (TP = 45,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
DXY - Bullish Wave ContinuesWe analysed DXY / Dollar few days back and it was highlighting a potential break above. This hsa been confirmed and the price now targets above Fib levels. Best approach is to go from level to level rather than aiming for a swing move as sentiments can switch anytime. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
TVC:DXYLong
by MarketsPOV
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan After a gap down opening, prices saw first phase of recovery but could not find follow on support and traded in a narrow range. Let’s analyze potential scenarios for today. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,014): A gap-up above 24,014 places Nifty near the resistance zone or even at 24,103. The focus should be on observing price action for either a breakout or a rejection. Plan of Action: If Nifty approaches 24,227, monitor for bearish rejection signals (e.g., shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns) to initiate short positions targeting 24,103 and 24,014. Stop loss can be placed above 24,250. For a breakout above 24,227, wait for an hourly close and consider long trades targeting 24,300 or higher. Stop loss below 24,200. Key Tips: For options, consider OTM calls if a breakout occurs. Hedge positions using vertical spreads to cap potential losses. Flat Opening (Within 23,900-24,000 range): A flat opening keeps Nifty in the sideways zone (yellow trend). Early market movement will determine directionality. Plan of Action: If Nifty sustains above 24,014, initiate longs targeting 24,103 and 24,227. Use a stop loss below 23,950. If the index slips below 23,900, initiate shorts targeting 23,877 and 23,748 with a stop loss above 24,000. Key Tips: A flat opening is ideal for option straddle/strangle setups. Close positions if volatility contracts or movement remains indecisive. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,877): A gap-down below 23,877 places Nifty near support or bearish breakdown zones. Focus on price action around 23,748 or 23,604. Plan of Action: If Nifty holds above 23,748, initiate long positions with targets at 23,877 and 23,961, keeping a stop loss below 23,700. A breakdown below 23,748 opens further downside to 23,604. Initiate shorts below this level with targets at 23,500 or lower. Stop loss above 23,800. Key Tips: In gap-down scenarios, avoid panic trades. For options, consider OTM puts or debit spreads for bearish strategies. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade. Use a mix of ATM and OTM options for balanced risk/reward setups. Exit trades promptly if Nifty deviates from the expected plan. Monitor implied volatility; avoid overpaying for options in low-volatility environments. Summary and Conclusion: Today’s plan revolves around key levels: 24,014, 23,877, and 23,748. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend highlights bullish potential, and the red trend shows bearish zones. Patience and disciplined execution are crucial for trading success. Let price action confirm your trades before entering positions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024 Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902): If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance. Plan of Action: Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450. In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume. Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls. Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range): A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move. Plan of Action: Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000. If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902. Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902): A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664. Plan of Action: If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900. A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200. Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade. Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits. Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses. Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes. Summary and Conclusion: Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
FTSE 100 Year in Review: Key Levels and Sector Standouts As 2024 draws to a close, let’s take a deep dive into the performance of the UK’s flagship index. We’ll explore the standout sectors, technical dynamics, and the key moments that defined 2024 for the FTSE 100. The Big Picture: FTSE 100’s Weekly Technical Story Looking at the weekly candle chart, the FTSE 100’s broader post-pandemic uptrend remains intact, barring any last-minute surprises before year-end. The index breached trend highs earlier in the year, only to spend the last six months consolidating. What’s notable is how broken resistance levels have transformed into firm support, a broadly bullish sign. FTSE 100 Weekly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Zooming In: The Daily Drama of 2024 If the weekly chart gives us the framework, the daily chart paints the details. From January to May, the FTSE 100 surged almost exponentially, driven by optimism over earnings growth and a stable macro environment. However, this momentum hit a ceiling at the 8,400 level, which proved to be a stubborn resistance point. Meanwhile, the 8,000 level established itself as a key support zone, with multiple successful retests throughout the year. The second half of 2024 has been defined by mean reversion, with the index recently touching its 200-day moving average. This signals a return to equilibrium after the exuberance of the first half. The FTSE now sits in a relatively narrow range, and traders will be eyeing breakouts above 8,400 or breakdowns below 8,000 to determine the next major move. FTSE 100 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Sector Winners and Losers: A Tale of Two Markets 2024 has been a year of stark contrasts across sectors. Financials emerged as the standout performer, delivering double-digit gains, supported by rising interest rates and robust earnings growth. Consumer Staples and Industrials also posted strong returns, benefiting from defensive positioning and steady demand. On the flip side, Real Estate struggled, reflecting challenges from rising borrowing costs and weaker demand. Energy and Materials grappled with falling commodity prices and a strong dollar, while Utilities faced pressure from regulatory changes and inflationary costs. These divergences underscore the importance of sector rotation in navigating the FTSE 100. For traders, keeping an eye on lagging sectors like Real Estate and Energy might uncover opportunities in 2025, especially if macro conditions shift in their favour. UK Market Sector Snapshot (YTD) Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Broader Context: 2024’s Defining Global Stories The FTSE 100’s performance didn’t happen in a vacuum. Labour’s win in the UK general election brought renewed focus on infrastructure spending and regulation, boosting sectors like Industrials while weighing on Utilities. Across the Atlantic, Donald Trump’s return to the White House introduced fresh uncertainties for global trade and diplomacy, while the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions kept geopolitical risks elevated. These global events shaped investor sentiment, creating both tailwinds and headwinds for the FTSE’s sectors. They also highlighted the index’s role as a barometer for global economic health, with its diverse composition reflecting the interplay of local and international forces. Looking Ahead: What to Watch in 2025 As we turn to 2025, the FTSE 100 faces a pivotal moment. The consolidation around 8,000-8,400 offers a well-defined range for traders to monitor. A breakout above 8,400 could signal a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below 8,000 might suggest a deeper retracement. Sector-wise, Financials and Consumer Staples may continue to lead, but lagging sectors like Real Estate and Energy could present contrarian opportunities if macro conditions shift. Keep an eye on the evolving regulatory landscape, geopolitical developments, and earnings trends—all of which will play crucial roles in shaping the market’s trajectory. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:UK100
by Capitalcom
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG) Confluences on This Trade - Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266 - Rejecting Demand zone - @ 38.2 Fib Retracement - Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI) - Buy Side imbalance fill - Daily Volume Support Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal, WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND **RISK ACCORDINGLY Intro to the next possible move: After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down. **This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF. Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support. with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by brianfj
4