BKY Berkeley Energia ASXWeekly chart of BKY
Currently breaking out of weekly triangle within a larger triangle pattern
Will likely get to $0.57c relatively quickly which is the larger triangle trend line
Given the hovering around current levels I'm almost thinking that is accumulation which may push this through multi year resistances and breakout for a strong move higher
Full disclosure this is a long term position I have had for a while now...
BKY Monthly Chart 2BKY Monthly chart
Elliot wave corrective patterns and Large triangle, added Triangle base target estimate to possible breakout area
Likely $2.70, currently $0.425 = 630% or 6.3 reward to risk if you are willing to keep it to $0.00
Not making money but very experienced and qualified management team developing its spanish mine,
BKY has a current ratio of 31x which suggests it has large reserves circa ~$75mil as of Early 2025 suggesting it has a large reserve to convert assets into production
Potential outside week and bullish potential for GSNEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:GSN above the level of the potential outside week noted on 21st February (i.e.: above the level of $0.024).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 18th February (i.e.: below $0.020), should the trade activate.
Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
Potential outside week and bearish potential for GYGEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:GYG below the level of the potential outside week noted on 21st February (i.e.: $38.58).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the swing high of 19th February (i.e.: above $45.99), should the trade activate.
Santana Minerals - good project, but not a buy yetGday,
I believe the project is currently under-valued as a producing asset. However, it is not producing. They just applied for a Mining Permit today. From their announcement, a minimum of 6 months until resource consent is granted, maybe a little longer for the full permit. I'm not an expert about what steps would then be required after that.
Then, they would have to commence construction... so production is a little ways off (3 years maybe???). So, I expect a number of investors will lose patience if the share price declines while physical gold continues higher. Some will sell and it MAY drop down into my blue box. I will re-evaluate the project and the timing should that happen. It may not happen, it may go to the moon without me on-board. But, the market is tough on explorers and developers these days. It all seems to be about cash-flow.
The gold grade seems good at >2g/ton. To some it may appear marginal, but check out Capricorn Metals on the ASX if that is how you feel. They are 3 years into production, grades LESS THAN 1g/ton of ore and they have an AUD 3.3B market cap and are netting 20% of gross income. If this project does anywhere near as well it is a screaming buy. But, I'll be waiting for lower prices simply because there are other projects out there that are (in my view) more undervalued and / or further on towards production. I was up 12% on Santana over a few months but sold and bought NTL at 0.049 two days ago... that is up 10% already.
Santana MineralsGday,
I believe the project is currently under-valued as a producing asset. However, it is not producing. They just applied for a Mining Permit today. From their announcement, a minimum of 6 months until resource consent is granted, maybe a little longer for the full permit. I'm not an expert about what steps would then be required after that.
Then, they would have to commence construction... so production is a little ways off. So, I expect a number of investors will lose patience if the share price declines while physical gold continues higher. Some will sell and it MAY drop down into my blue box. I will re-evaluate the project and the timing should that happen. It may not happen, it may go to the moon without me on-board. But, the market is tough on explorers and developers these days. It all seems to be about cash-flow.
The gold grade seems good at >2g/ton. To some it may appear marginal, but check out Capricorn Metals on the ASX if that is how you feel. They are 3 years into production, grades LESS THAN 1g/ton of ore and they have an AUD 3.3B market cap and are netting 20% of gross income. If this project does anywhere near as well it is a screaming buy. But, I'll be waiting for lower prices simply because there are other projects out there that are (in my view) more undervalued and / or further on towards production. I was up 12% on Santana over a few months but sold and bought NTL at 0.049 two days ago... that is up 10% already.
Bearish potential detected for WHCEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:WHC along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing down of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support level at $5.55.
Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent of risk tolerance:
(i) above the resistance level from the open of 21st February (i.e.: above $5.80),
(ii) above the resistance level from the open of 13th January (i.e.: above $5.91), or
(iii) above the resistance level from the open of 30th December (i.e.: above $6.00).
Bullish on ARU Nice Long op here.
Price jumped up to 0.275 on news of government intervention back in March 24. Retail traders jumped in longs expecting price to surge. Institutions have then pushed the price back down to the previous low at 0.115 and stopped out all retail traders before we get the real move up.
I've jumped in around 0.125 looking for price to get back up to the first liquidity zone at 0.28. Will see how price reacts there.
Happy trading!
Potential key reversal bottom detected for NHCAwait signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bullish direction.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:NHC (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade below the low of the signal day of 14th March (i.e.: any trade below $3.64).
Potential outside week and bullish potential for RMSEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:RMS above the level of the potential outside week noted on 31st January (i.e.: above the level of $2.48).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 28th January (i.e.: below $2.26), should the trade activate.
Bearish potential detected for CWYEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:CWY along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing down of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support level at $2.55.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the resistance level from the open of 7th January (i.e.: above $2.64).
NAB Monthly Long term structureElliotticians, don't crucify me... I'm no expert in EW theory!
But I believe we are seeing a super high level double or triple three pattern emerging in NAB
Long term it appears that NAB was in a trending pattern till 2009
Currently we are in a long term corrective phase, which consists of large Flat corrections and zigzags or triangles
Overall we just completed a large Flat 3-3-5 wave pattern and likely to see a fall into an ABC correction (zigzag) to start a new corrective phase or possibly create a large long term triangle
What this suggests is that this is in a large ranging pattern... so trading in and selling out at long term resistances would be the smart play until such time as the longer term structure becomes clear and builds a completed base to start a trending move outside of this structure
Ranging markets chew up time to create the base for the next long term trend and in this case we are likely to see the range continue until we see some completed structure
Some beginners sometimes do not understand ranging markets as they are harder to understand than trends... but if you get the overall grasp of them you can differentiate the difference between a real buying opportunity that have completed ranging structures within it and a short term buying opportunity and position yourself accordingly
I've posted a few on the ASX over the years and each time the moves out of these tend to be strong and persistent
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