NN: Biggest daily H&S ever and €250 million new share buyback.After posting a more than 14% drop in 2022 operating profit (1.74bn), missing market estimates of 1.84 bn, and even though its operating capital generation (OCG) jumped 8% to 1.71 billion euros last year mainly thanks to higher interest rates and a strong business performance of the Netherlands Life and Insurance Europe segments; the company is shaping the biggest H&S pattern I have ever witnessed in a stock.
Besides, NN also announced a new share buyback programme of 250 million euros. Will they implode due to share buybacks that will materialise into negative returns in the near future?
At this pace, all those companies doing share buybacks will be the most damnified of the market due to an increased own capital at the wrong time. And it is a pity because this company has really attractive fundamentals, but after the operating profit miss in 2022 and the imminent recession all media is talking about, it is currently very risky to invest in it. But I will keep it in the radar as 35.6€ is the first support while 45€ is the first resistance.
Does COLRUYT makes a rotation here, Are we going to gain the last high here and make rotation, or are we ready to take suffering retailer COLRUYT some more. After gaining I am willing to pick a position on a Higher Low , ...
At the moment looks like we are rejecting, going to hold my attention on COLRUYT.
Alfen May Collapse SoonThis chart could be a perfect example of why you should use caution when dealing with a volatile price chart. We’ve seen this with Bitcoin recently: The price goes up in a steady line, maybe in a parabolic fashion, before the trend weakens.
A slowing down of a trend is not necessarily bad. For example: the price went up almost 30% between the first and the last sell signal (the ones at the top). However, it is clear that the price is struggling making more convincing highs.
However, be cautious when you see this pattern at the top. A slowing down in a trend after the price went up exponentially is bad. That means that the buyers are exhausted.
So to come back to this stock. The price went up exponentially, slowed down, went volatile, and now is below the resistance area. This convinces me that the price will go lower sooner or later. With charts like these, you could be looking at a drop of at least 40% to 50% from the current price.
LVMH BEARS ARE WAKING UP !"Companies like LVMH have high quality businesses, they compound profits over long periods of time and deliver great returns for shareholders," said Mark Denham, head of European equities at French asset manager Carmignac.
"It is true that the ratings of these companies have risen so it becomes slightly more asymmetric, but over the long term earnings compounding is the dominant factor.”
Aside from all above the ticket ti get into this market is getting way higher than it's value therefore a drope is both likely and possible.
My own personal trade set up is shown on the chart , please feel free to share your comments .
Sanofi S.A. (SAN.pa) bearish scenario:The technical figure Channel Up can be found in the daily chart in the French company Sanofi S.A. (SAN.pa). Sanofi S.A. is a French multinational pharmaceutical and healthcare company. Sanofi engages in the research and development, manufacturing and marketing of pharmacological products, principally in the prescription market, but the firm also develops over-the-counter medications. The corporation covers seven major therapeutic areas: cardiovascular, central nervous system, diabetes, internal medicine, oncology, thrombosis, and vaccines (it is the world's largest producer of the last through its subsidiary Sanofi Pasteur). The Channel Up broke through the support line on 24/01/2023. If the price holds below this level, you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 26 days towards 86.54 EUR. According to experts, your stop-loss order should be placed at 92.90 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
French drugmaker Sanofi SA plans to launch a drug for rare bleeding disorder hemophilia A this year, Chief Executive Officer Paul Hudson told CNBC in an interview last week.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration last year accepted the marketing application for the therapy, which is being developed in collaboration with Swedish drugmaker Sobi, and is expected to decide on an approval status by Feb. 28.
Hemophilia A is an inherited bleeding disorder in which the blood does not clot normally. About 400 babies are born with this condition every year, although the exact number of people affected is not known, according to government data.
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OR: wait for a pull-back and then re-enterLike the classical Elliott wave count that is unfolding.
The current impulse wave 1 might be matured and one can expect a pull-back to 332 - wave 2.
Then the bullish trend will resume up to 470.
Technical rating: medium and wait for the price action to develop further.
Key levels for SANOFIThe algorithm is showing a very profitable pattern in SANOFI.
First, if the price breaks up we have a clear rally until the top of the channel with a tight stop loss slightly below the break point.
On the other hand, if the market is moving down, we should see a break to the downside of the channel, then an easy break of the support and the blue line would be the last support before we see a major correction to 83$, where 3 different patterns are pointing out as a clear support area where demand will come back.
Good luck!
Double bottom in Credit AgricoleThe algorithm shows an opportunity to buy credit agricole if the double bottom pattern breaks.
The double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that appears on a chart as two distinct bottoms at roughly the same price level, separated by a peak in between. The pattern is formed when the price of an asset falls to a support level, bounces back up, falls back down to the same support level, and then bounces back up again. This pattern is considered bullish because it suggests that the asset's price may be about to start rising again after a period of decline.
One way to trade the double bottom pattern is to wait for the price to break above the peak that separates the two bottoms. This is known as the "breakout." Once the price breaks above the peak, it is a signal to buy the asset. Some traders may also set a stop-loss order below the second bottom, to limit their potential losses in case the price does not continue to rise.
So, a possibility is to wait the break of 10,2 level and look to sell in the next area where volume increase and we also find supports & resistances (11,50€).
A break of the small black line could also be a great point to buy, but it's not a confirmation of the larger double bottom pattern.