VWS | Correction complete?Hi all,
my previous chart on Vestas Wind Systems didn't quite go to plan. The stock price has just been ladderring down since it's 8th of January ATHs @1605 DKK, and I've gladly been picking up more shares on the cyclical troughs.
Now VWS is really looking for a turnaround. Some positives:
- We are finally sitting at a very strong support range @~1160 DKK, which is our first real support after this crashed through 1286 DKK;
- Price is approaching our long-term uptrend support, which hasn't failed since beginning in March 2020. If this support holds this could be a strong pop to the upside out of the multi-month Wedge formation;
- We can see what appears to be a Hammer candlestick in yesterday's close.
Some potential counterarguments to keep in mind:
- Moving Average positioning is significantly Bearish, and previous "breakout" proved to be a Bull trap, finding strong resistance on the 50-day Moving Average;
- There is a small gap which VWS might look to fill @~1100 DKK;
- RSI really need to improve, as it is currently at it's lowest in months but hasn't reached oversold territory, despite a ~27% drop from ATHs.
I already have a significant position in this name, would love to see this rally ~40% back to ATHs over the coming months - VWS sure is capable of it, and the company's push in offshore wind (which in my opinion will be a massive growth industry in the coming years) really gives me confidence in the Long Term.
Would love to hear your thoughts! OMXCOP:VWS
(*This is not financial advice, for sake of discussion and illustrative purposes only*)
Symmetrical triangle DBA uptrend is ongoing and could result in a significant increase. The prime reason for our investment into DB is for the underlying value at 187,5 DKK.
The bank is trading at a low P/E for any C25 companies and as a bank it is as well trading beyond it's closest peers.
With a P/E at under 0,6 the company trades under bookvalue.
DISCLAIMER:
NB Holdings owns and trades this stock
This cannot be seen as financial advice.
A wild guess. Its hard to to realize whats the future will bring for Vestas. For sure it will eventually hit 2000DKK but the question is when. Its not impossible to see it fall to 1000DKK due to high correction. before moving higher up. This setup is based on the Elliot waves that im not so into. and it have started correction up. This prediction is a mix of optimitic and pessimistic.
Orsted possible V-bottomSince my last update, Orsted has been sitting just under the Support at the High Volume Node, and also been shaping what seems to be a double bottom on the 4-hour chart. On a bit longer term it also shaped a bearflag/bearpennant, which should be rejected due to higher time frame trend such a's long term EMA's & RSI.
Currently a hammer-candle is present on the 4-hour chart, with its lower wick touching the excact bottom in the double bottom. Due to the extra consolidation time since last update, I'll remain long in Orsted untill just sub-1400 DKK, as long as this double bottom holds.
Time for an upswingTRYG A/S
Trickerkode: Tryg
er ved at blive spændende, både FA og teknisk, dog kunne den tekniske del godt bruge lidt flere positive tegn.
Men mon ikke den holde sig til din range kanal!?
Synes i hvertfald det er er god risk/reward i forhold til dette swing som er vist på chartet.
Open trade til kurs 177-179
Take profit til kurs 205-208 ( max gain 17 % )
Stop loss til kurs 171-172 ( max loss 3,30 % )
Risk / reward Ratio: 5,12
Tryg A/S er en god stabil dansk aktie, der hele tiden har fingeren på pulsen og det er de også godt igang med lige nu :
finanswatch.dk
og ( dog skal man være medlem for at læse denne 👇 )
finans.dk
Tryg A/S er bestemt en god defensiv aktie at have i sin portefølje som også giver en god udbytte ( når de udbetaler )
Hvis du ikke vil swinge den, er det stadig et okay tidspunkt at købe den på pga ( FA og den er nede ved stærk support linje og bryd op igen i fredags.
Hvis den skulle falde yderligere og du er lang i denne, kunne løbende opkøb være en mulighed, dog husk at time det ud fra din risk management, men jeg ser tryg i højere vande i 2021.
Dette er blot min vurdering i denne lille analyse.
Disclaimer: holder den ikke - Men overvejer at købe til mig selv og til gruppen i næste uge hvis den bliver over supporten, dette er en langsigtet investering for mig/os hvis vi går ind i den.
God weekend 🙏
Coloplast - ready for new uptrend?After an accelerated trend channel during the first 6 months of 2020, the stock has made a bullish retracement flag marked by the red channel. Last week and today it has shown the strength to break out of the bullish flag formation, and looks technically ready for a new bullish rally.
GMAB - Potential Long Term Growth ProspectSome basic chart analysis on Genmab.
This is more to bring your attention to the stocks long term growth prospects.
With a TTM P/E ratio of 29 and a FWD of 3, combined with solid revenue growth TTM and FWD leads me to suggest that Genmab will thrive in the coming months and climb to all time highs.
VWS | A true warrior on cyclical dips, will it repeat?Vestas Wind Systems (VWS) has been a top performer in my long-term portfolio. I have noticed that the stock trades sharply negative when it reaches overbought levels (RSI basis), dropping for a few days thereafter until the RSI recharges / normalizes for the next leg up.
In the previous instances this has occurred, the stock took about 20 - 30 days to recover the losses. Not terrible when we consider it then usually goes on to gain ~30% to set new ATHs.
If this repeats, Trend-based Fib Extension gives us a 1925 DKK price target
I'm no expert in Elliot Waves but looking at smaller time frames puts us at C on the ABC correction pattern, suggesting the beginning of the new wave to come.
The company has its ER on the 10th of Feb. This could prove extremely important for validating the Bull case, as outlined above (and with the green pattern), or potentially setting the stock on course for a Head & Shoulders top (Bear case, red pattern).
Looking forward to hear from their management, Green energy is on a tear and should continue through 2021 and VWS will most definitely be a beneficiary if so.
Any thoughts?
Thanks and Good luck to all
(*This is not financial advice, for sake of discussion and illustrative purposes only*)
Soon BullI think that it still will go a little lower to the major support before it starts its bullish trend. RSI seem stable and have not yet had sign of higher spikes. Maybe they come soon?? and The fact that id have dropped to 50% on Fibonnaci i think this is one to watch for a bull position soon.
End of Bear?More and more indicate to me that its near the end of the bear for this one. It have reached 50% down from the high top and low bottom, RSI seem to turn upward trend. and if the support from last bottom holds, then that for sure a good potential Bull. but will it go thru the resistance?