breakout above resistance** can signal strong upside potential.
#### **1️⃣ Chart Pattern & Breakout Potential**
- The stock is forming a **descending triangle**, which is often bearish, but **a breakout above resistance** can signal strong upside potential.
- The price is consolidating near **24.23 EGP**, close to a breakout point.
- If the price **breaks above 25.08 EGP**, it could trigger a strong rally.
#### **2️⃣ Key Levels to Watch**
- **Immediate Resistance:**
- **24.77 EGP** → Break above this = first bullish confirmation
- **25.08 EGP** → Major breakout level 🚀
- **Support Levels:**
- **24.00 EGP** (bulls need to defend this)
- **18.66 EGP** (worst-case scenario)
#### **3️⃣ Indicators Supporting a Bullish View**
✅ **RSI (45.91)** → Near 50, if it crosses **above 50-55**, bullish momentum increases.
✅ **MACD** → Although slightly bearish, a **bullish crossover** could confirm the breakout.
✅ **Volume (5.19M)** → A **spike in volume** will validate an upward move.
#### **4️⃣ Bullish Targets 🚀**
- **📍 First Target:** **27.00 - 28.00 EGP**
- **📍 Second Target:** **30.00 - 32.00 EGP**
- **📍 Ultimate Target:** **36.00 EGP** (if strong momentum follows)
#### **5️⃣ Ideal Bullish Trade Setup 🎯**
- **Entry:** On breakout above **25.08 EGP** (with strong volume).
- **Stop-Loss:** Below **24.00 EGP** (to protect downside risk).
- **Take Profit:** Gradually at **27.00 - 30.00 EGP**.
- **Confirmation:** Watch for RSI moving above 50 and MACD crossing bullish.
---
### **🔹 Final Thoughts**
- **If ORWE breaks above 25.08 EGP, the next stop is 27-30 EGP.**
- **Watch volume closely! A big move needs strong buying pressure.**
- **Bulls should hold as long as 24.00 EGP support holds.**
🚀 **If volume confirms, this could be a strong breakout trade!**
A bullish crossover would add confirmation.1. Chart Pattern Analysis:**
- The chart shows a **symmetrical triangle** formation, which is a **neutral pattern** that can break in either direction.
- The price is near the **apex of the triangle**, meaning a breakout is imminent.
- **Bullish Breakout Confirmation:** The latest candle appears to be attempting a breakout above the upper trendline.
#### **2. Support & Resistance Levels:**
- **Resistance Levels:**
- **8.41 EGP (current price level)**
- **8.51 - 8.60 EGP** (previous consolidation area)
- **9.05 EGP** (potential target after breakout)
- **Support Levels:**
- **8.22 EGP** (nearby support)
- **8.11 - 8.05 EGP** (critical support)
- If the price falls below **8.00 EGP**, the pattern may fail and lead to a downtrend.
#### **3. Volume & Momentum Indicators:**
- **Volume (2.69M)**:
- A significant increase in volume is needed to confirm a breakout.
- If volume remains low, the price might retest support.
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):**
- RSI is trending upwards but not yet in the overbought zone.
- If it crosses above **70**, it would confirm strong bullish momentum.
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):**
- The MACD is **slightly positive**, signalling potential bullish momentum.
- A bullish crossover would add confirmation.
#### **4. Potential Future Scenarios:**
- **Bullish Case (Breakout Above 8.51 EGP)**
- If the price breaks and sustains above **8.51 EGP**, it may target **9.05 EGP** and beyond.
- Increased volume would strengthen the breakout signal.
- **Bearish Case (Failure at Resistance)**
- If the price fails to break and closes below **8.00 EGP**, it could drop towards **7.80-7.50 EGP**.
- A breakdown below **8.00 EGP** invalidates the bullish case.
### **Conclusion & Trading Plan:**
- **Watch for a breakout confirmation above 8.51 EGP** with high volume.
- **Stop-loss below 8.00 EGP** to protect against a false breakout.
- **Upside Target:** 9.05 EGP and higher if momentum continues.
🚀
Ascending Triangle Pattern bullish continuation pattern
**Trend Analysis**
1. **Ascending Triangle Pattern:**
- The chart shows an **ascending triangle** pattern, characterized by a horizontal resistance line and an upward-sloping trendline.
- This is typically a **bullish continuation pattern**, meaning a breakout above resistance could lead to further upward movement.
2. **Support & Resistance Levels:**
- **Resistance:** Around **56.13 EGP** (historical peak).
- **Support:** The **ascending trendline** acts as dynamic support.
- **Major Supports:** **42.57, 41.07, 40.81 EGP** (previous lows and moving averages).
3. **Moving Averages:**
- The price is trading **above key moving averages (blue and red lines)**, suggesting the trend is still bullish.
- These MAs are also acting as dynamic support.
### **Indicators & Momentum**
1. **Volume & Breakout Potential:**
- The volume bars indicate **higher interest** near the breakout level.
- A **strong breakout with high volume** would confirm the pattern.
2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):**
- Currently around **55-61**, indicating the stock is in a neutral to slightly bullish zone.
- No overbought or oversold conditions.
3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):**
- The MACD line is crossing above the signal line, which is a **bullish signal**.
- A strong crossover with an increase in momentum could confirm an uptrend.
### **Potential Future Movements**
1. **Bullish Scenario:**
- If the price **breaks above 56.13 EGP with strong volume**, the next target could be around **66.66 EGP**.
- This aligns with the measured move of the ascending triangle breakout.
2. **Bearish Scenario:**
- If the price fails to break resistance and falls below the trendline (**around 42-43 EGP**), it may **decline towards 39.88-36.24 EGP**.
### **Conclusion & Trade Idea**
- **Bullish bias** as long as price remains above the trendline.
- Watch for a breakout above **56.13 EGP** for confirmation.
- If price **fails and drops below 36 EGP**, expect a downside move.
Arabian Cement has a potential to 24 then 25.61-hour chart,
the stock EGX:ARCC is trading in a channel, between support level at 22.4 and resistance level at 24.0
The technical indicators RSI, Stochastic are signalling a positive direction towards the upper line R.
Closing above 24.0 for 3 hours with high volume, the next target (TP - Take Profit) will be 25.6
(Fibonacci extension to 26.6)
Consider a stop loss below 22.2
TAQA Arabia Egypt - To target 13.2 after crossing ResistanceDaily chart,
the stock EGX:TAQA is trading in a rising channel, the price reached the support and is supposed to rebound upwards to target the Resistance line R at around 13.25
Consider the new entry Buy above 12.25 (2 days close) for more safety, or buy in parts down to 12.0
Stop loss below 12.00 (for 2 days) should be considered.
Note:
Closing above the Resistance line R for 2 days, the next target will be 14.3 passing through resistance level at 13.5
GDWA_A Deeply Underrated Asset Investment Decision Analysis for GDWA holding company has shares as following:
1) 72.3% of Electro Cables (ELEC) market Cap 9.15B
2) 47.9% of Arab Dairy (ADPC) Market Cap 1.58B,
3) 73.9% of Universal for Paper &Packaging Materials (UNIP) Market Cap 621.74M
4) 74.7% Egyptian Integrated for Food Industries (EIFI) Market Cap 101.74M
Minimum Market Cap Estimate: If GDWA's value is purely based on its investments, the minimum estimate is 7.91B.
value-based price of EGP 7.54/share, you would gain approximately +28.0 % profit from your investment at the current price (EGP 5.8/share).
The fair value of GDWA's share price can be determined based on the valuation data provided in the reports and financial metrics. Here’s a detailed calculation and analysis:
A) Historically, GDWA's financial performance tends to be stronger in the second half of the year due to operational seasonality and project completions.
Q4 Financial Performance
B) EBIT for Q4: EGP 1.15 billion, up by +185.81% compared to previous periods. This indicates strong operational growth.
C) Net Income for Q4: EGP 430.05 million, up by +203.65%, suggesting solid profitability improvements in the company.
Gadwa is a leading industrial development and investment company that boasts holdings in the industrial sector, particularly high growth-potential consumer-related businesses, and defensive business models.
1. Projected Price by End of 2025: EGP 10.4/share
2. Projected Price by End of 2026: Refer stockanalysis.com the company The enterprise value
is 16.37 billion. what shou be prices of share DWA would be approximately
EGP 15.59 per share.
#RAYA Egyptian stock - great opportunity - great fundamental.#RAYA time frame 1 DAY
Created Gartley Bullish pattern , also there is positive diversion at RSI ( may that support our idea ) as follow :
Entry level around 2.70
Stop loss 2.55 ( estimated loss -5.50% )
First target at 3.00 ( with profit around 10% )
Second target 3.30 ( with profit around 20% )
Third target 3.50 ( with profit 28% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#IEEC - Egyptian stock#IEEC time frame 1 DAY
Created a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point around 0.359
Stop loss / reentry 0.368 ( estimated loss -2.5% )
First target at 0.338 ( estimated profit 5.80% )
Second target 0.32 ( estimated profit up to 11% )
also RSI made a negative diversion that may support our idea .
NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 DAY
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#MOIL - Egyptian stock#MOIL time frame 1 hour
created a bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level around 0.338
Stop loss 0.334 ( estimated loss -1.10% )
First target at 0.346 ( estimated profit around 2.50% )
Second target 0.354( estimated profit around 4.80% )
Third target 0.363 ( estimated profit 7% )
Note : In addition there is positive diversion at RSI and MACD , that may be support our idea .
NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#KRDI - Egyptian stock#KRDI time frame 1 hour
created a bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level around 0.59
Stop loss 0.575 ( estimated loss -2% ) -5% from currant prices
First target at 0.611 ( estimated profit around 4% ) achieved
Second target 0.633( estimated profit around 8% )
Third target 0.659 ( estimated profit 12% )
Note : First target already achieved so it will be good chance if prices fall back into entry zone.
NOTE : this data according to time frame I hour
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
ISPH Short I think there is a valid short opportunity here.
Here is more fundamental analysis (done by ChatGPT).
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Ibnsina Pharma is a prominent pharmaceutical distribution company in Egypt, listed on the Egyptian Exchange under the ticker symbol ISPH. Established in 2001, the company distributes a wide range of pharmaceutical and cosmetic products to both private and public-sector clients, including pharmacies, hospitals, and healthcare institutions.
INVESTING.COM
Financial Overview:
Revenue: In 2023, Ibnsina Pharma reported revenues of approximately EGP 33.95 billion.
BARRONS.COM
Net Income: The net income for the same period was EGP 173.14 million, resulting in a net profit margin of 0.51%.
BARRONS.COM
Total Assets and Liabilities: The company's total assets stood at EGP 18.55 billion, with total liabilities amounting to EGP 17.1 billion, indicating a debt-to-assets ratio of 92.19%.
BARRONS.COM
Shareholder Structure:
Ibnsina Pharma's ownership is diversified among prominent entities:
Free Float: 40.7%
Abdel Gawad Family: 15.0%
Faisal Islamic Bank: 14.0%
Mahgoub Family: 12.9%
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD): 9.6%
Blom Investment: 7.8%
This diverse shareholder base has enhanced the company's corporate governance practices.
IR.IBNSINA-PHARMA.COM
Stock Performance:
As of January 29, 2025, the stock closed at EGP 7.02 per share, with a 52-week range between EGP 2.14 and EGP 7.59.
IR.IBNSINA-PHARMA.COM
Considerations for Investors:
While Ibnsina Pharma has demonstrated significant revenue generation, its net profit margin is relatively low, and the company operates with a high debt-to-assets ratio. Potential investors should weigh these factors carefully and consider consulting with a financial advisor to determine if this investment aligns with their risk tolerance and financial objectives.
- **Entry Plan:** Expecting a **reversal from the trendlineBased on your chart analysis:
- **Entry Plan:** Expecting a **reversal from the trendline** and **60% Fibonacci level**, you plan to **start Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)** at current levels.
- **Stop Loss:** Placed at **13 EGP** to limit downside risk.
- **Take Profit:** Targeting **27 EGP** for a solid risk-reward ratio.
### **Additional Observations:**
1. **Trendline Support:** The price is near a long-term **ascending trendline**, which has acted as support before.
2. **Indicators:**
- The **moving average** (black line) shows a consolidation phase.
- **Momentum indicators** at the bottom suggest a potential reversal.
3. **Risk Management:**
- DCA is a good strategy if the price dips further before bouncing.
- The **stop loss at 13 EGP** is placed wisely below support to avoid unnecessary risk.
- The **profit target at 27 EGP** aligns with a previous resistance level.
Would you like a more detailed breakdown or adjustments to your trading plan? 🚀📈
Raya Holding (EGX) – Trendline Support with Upside PotentialHere’s a TradingView idea for your trendline approach setup with targets set to the previous top:
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**Raya Holding (EGX) – Trendline Support with Upside Potential**
📉 **Technical Analysis:**
The stock is approaching a strong ascending trendline, acting as a dynamic support level. A potential bounce from this level could trigger a move towards previous resistance zones. The MACD is showing signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a possible reversal.
📌 **Trade Plan:**
- **Entry:** Near the trendline support with confirmation of a bounce.
- **Stop Loss:** Below the trendline and recent lows to manage risk.
- **Target Levels:**
1️⃣ **First Target:** 2.478 – A key resistance level and volume cluster.
2️⃣ **Second Target:** 3.243 – A previous strong resistance zone.
3️⃣ **Final Target:** 3.752 – The previous high, where selling pressure might emerge.
📊 **Indicators & Confirmation:**
- MACD forming bullish divergence, signaling momentum shift.
- Price approaching a strong support level with high probability of a bounce.
- Volume profile suggests strong interest at higher levels.
🚀 **Final Thought:**
A well-structured trade with a favorable risk/reward ratio. A bounce from the trendline could lead to a strong upside move, aiming for previous highs. Monitor price action and volume for confirmation!
#Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #EGX
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Not Financial Advice! 🚀
Golden Area Here’s an idea you can publish on TradingView based on the provided chart:
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🚀 **Potential Trend Reversal & Fibonacci Golden Ratio Retest!** 🚀
We're approaching a key turning point in the market! 📉➡️📈
🔹 **Descending Wedge Breakout Incoming?**
The price has been consolidating within a descending wedge pattern, typically a strong bullish reversal signal. A breakout from this structure could indicate the beginning of a new impulsive move.
🔹 **Golden Ratio Confluence (0.618 - 0.705 Fibonacci Levels)**
The price is heading toward the **golden ratio zone (0.618 - 0.705 Fib retracement)**, a historically significant level for reversals. Buyers might step in, leading to a strong bullish push.
🔹 **Elliott Wave Structure in Play**
We're potentially forming the **(1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) wave count**, with wave (2) likely completing near the golden ratio before the next impulsive leg (3) to the upside.
🔹 **Potential Targets 🎯**
If we confirm the breakout, our **first major resistance** lies around the **0.5 Fibonacci level (~36.96)**, followed by the **0.382 Fib (~43.06)**. Beyond that, wave (5) could aim even higher!
🔹 **Bullish Divergence on the MACD & RSI**
Momentum indicators are showing signs of reversal, further supporting the potential bullish scenario.
🚨 **What to Watch For:**
✔️ A clear breakout above resistance for confirmation
✔️ Volume increase to support the move
✔️ Retest of broken trendline as support
🔄 If the golden ratio doesn’t hold, deeper retracements to 0.79 Fib (~22.08) remain possible, but for now, bulls seem to be preparing for action!
What do you think? 🚀 Are we ready for the next leg up? Let me know in the comments! 👇
#Crypto #Trading #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #TrendReversal #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
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Let me know if you'd like any adjustments! 🚀📊its not financial advice
#ASCM - Egyptian stock - great opportunity, high financial risk#ASCM time frame 1 DAY
Note : before technical analysis the financial position of the company isn't in the best condition , there isn't any cash flows from operations activity , in anther hand the company work in MINING so that may cost the company lot of expenses and time before achieving any Mining discovery .
We have here a great Gartley Bullish pattern with 2 positive diversions at MACD and RSI in addition the prices in critical point ( stop loss of the pattern ) so :
Entry level at 34.00 ( price now is 32.85 ) so we can wait to close daily over 34.00 or start from this point ( consult your account manager )
Stop loss 32.70 ( estimated loss -4% ) or estimated loss from this point is 0.50 %
First target at 37.50 ( estimated profit around 14% )
Second target 40.70 ( estimated profit around 23% )
Third target 42.70 ( estimated profit 30% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
#ASCM - Egyptian stock / 1 hour#ASCM time frame 1 hour
Created 2 Bullish pattern ( Gartley and AB=CD ) ,
Entry level around 32.10
Stop loss 31.50 ( estimated loss -2% )
First target at 34.10 ( estimated profit around 6% )
Second target 35.50( estimated profit around 10% )
Third target 36.30 ( estimated profit 13% )
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
SDTI Target price is projected at 46.566 EGP/share withing 24 MSharm Dreams Co. for Touristic Investment S.A.E (SDTI) was founded in 1996 and specializes in the development of tourism, entertainment, and mixed-use real estate projects. The company’s property portfolio includes hotels, boutique hotels, resorts, vacation clubs, water parks, downtown areas, a spa island, real estate units, villas, and townhouses.
In the quarter ending September 30, 2024, SDTI reported revenue of 75.37 million EGP, reflecting 66.25% growth. Over the past twelve months, the company’s total revenue reached 197.36 million EGP, marking a 54.04% year-over-year increase. In 2023, SDTI achieved annual revenue of 116.58 million EGP, with a growth rate of 80.78%.
EBIT Performance (Last 5 Years):
2019: -13.07 million EGP
2020: -25.71 million EGP
2021: -12.3 million EGP
2022: 13.28 million EGP
2023: 54.41 million EGP
2024: 120.94 million EGP
The fair value, as estimated by Ostoul Capital, is 16.51 EGP/share in Feb.2024
SDTI (EGX:SDTI) has a market capitalization (net worth) of 829.22 million EGP, while its enterprise value stands at 2.48 billion EGP.
The target price is projected at 46.566 EGP/share.
Return on investment (ROI): 195.7% within 2 years
This means your investment would nearly triple in value if the target price of 46.566 EGP/share is reached. 🚀
#EMFD - Egyptian stock#EMFD time frame 1 DAY
Created Gartley Bullish pattern ,
Entry level around 6.45
Stop loss 5.90 ( estimated loss - 8% )
First target at 7.35 ( estimated profit 13% )
Second target 7.85 ( estimated profit 22% )
Third target 8.25 ( with profit 27% )
MACD and RSI show positive diversion that is may support our idea
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
In addition EGX30 is negative.
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
MBEG Set to Soar: Poised for a Historic Rally Back to EGP 118% Here’s a **bullish publication idea** for **M.B. Engineering (EGX: MBEG)**, focusing on its potential rally to **EGP 118**, retesting its **2008 highs**:
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# **MBEG Set to Soar: Poised for a Historic Rally Back to EGP 3! 🚀🔥**
M.B. Engineering (EGX: MBEG) is showing strong signs of a **major breakout**, with technical and historical indicators aligning for a potential rally back to its **2008 high of EGP3**.
## **Key Bullish Signals:**
✅ **Historical Resistance Turned Support**
MBEG previously hit **EGP 3 in 2008**, marking a significant level of interest. As the stock consolidates, it appears poised to **retest this critical level**, potentially signaling a new uptrend.
✅ **Volume and Momentum Increasing**
A rise in **trading volume** and **buy-side demand** suggests growing investor confidence, setting the stage for a potential surge.
✅ **Technical Breakout Incoming**
- If MBEG **breaks above recent resistance**, it could trigger a **parabolic move**.
- Watch for a clean breakout above **near-term resistance**, which could **confirm the trend reversal**.
✅ **Egypt’s Market Recovery & Sector Growth**
With **Egypt’s economic reforms** and increased **construction/infrastructure investments**, MBEG is well-positioned to benefit from **higher demand and sector expansion**.
## **Final Thought:**
If MBEG maintains its **upward momentum**, a retest of **EGP 118%** is **not out of reach**. Smart investors are keeping a close eye—**don’t miss the move!** 🚀📈
*What’s your price target for MBEG? Drop your thoughts below!* ⬇️💬
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Would you like to add any **charts, technical indicators, or market news** to strengthen this publication? 🚀Clear Divergence on the 4H time frame with increasing volume
TMG Long UpdateHey everyone,
The chart shows bullish flag and held strong support at 47-48 price level. One thing that worries me is the liquidity below 47.5 (in green circle), because the price always makes big moves after a liquidity sweep, which in this case didn't happen yet.
So i expect one of two scenarios that might happen, either the price will go briefly below 47 to sweep the liquidity, create a wick and move to the upside from here or the price will just breaks the trend line, retraces and then continue upwards.
so my advice (do your own research before you take any position) is to DCA into position, meaning, every time the stock drops 1 Egp, buy and increase your buying power, every time the price goes lower (example, buy 1 share at 54, 2 shares at 53, 3 shares at 52 and so on), and for all your buying positions have a stoploss at 45 EGP.
Go Green Egypt: To be Monitored for Rebound!1-hour chart
The stock EGX:GGRN was recently rolled out in the EGX stock market, and fell sharply since then.
It should be monitored for the rebound confirmation signals; to grab the new bullish wave.
Above 1.25 will be a good entry.
However, for higher profit/risk, buy in parts down to 1.15,
then the first sell target will be 1.35
Closing above 1.35 for 3 bars with high volume, the next target will be 1.60
Consider a near profit protection / stop loss level, as this stock is volatile.