Is that the bullish confirmation for 15€ TKA ?!Depending on how the market reacts to our green Overall Correction Level (OCL), we might actually see a net gain through Trump’s tariff war. Sure, the OCL has the potential to slam us down hard—but if we break through it...
Oh boy—there’ll be nothing stopping TKA from charging straight to €15–€16.
That zone, in my eyes, is a major key level, with the next high timeframe resistance sitting right there. That’s exactly where I’ll be looking to take massive profits on my spot buys.
So what’s it going to be—will the green OCL hold us back, or are we about to see a clean break and liftoff?
The setup is there. Let’s see who blinks first.
Why It’s a Good Idea to Buy Porsche Stock During a Market CrashStrong Brand with Loyal Customers
Porsche is a premium brand with global recognition. Even during downturns, demand for luxury products like Porsche remains relatively resilient.
Fundamentally Solid Company
Porsche has strong revenue, high profit margins (some models generate over 15–20% margin), and a reputation for financial discipline.
Undervalued During Crashes
In a market crash, even high-quality companies are sold off irrationally. This creates a rare opportunity to buy at a discount to intrinsic value.
Healthy Balance Sheet with Low Debt
The company maintains a solid financial position, making it more capable of weathering economic storms.
Attractive Dividend Yield
Porsche pays dividends, and when the stock price drops, the dividend yield becomes more attractive to long-term investors.
Backed by Volkswagen Group
As part of the VW Group, Porsche benefits from shared technology, resources, and strategic support, adding an extra layer of stability.
📈 Why Porsche Is Likely to Recover After a Crash:
Strong Demand for Luxury Vehicles
The premium segment tends to recover faster post-crisis, as high-net-worth individuals are less impacted and quicker to resume spending.
Innovation & EV Leadership
Models like the Taycan prove that Porsche is a frontrunner in high-performance electric vehicles, well-positioned for the EV revolution.
Global Presence
Porsche operates across major markets—Europe, the U.S., and Asia—offering multiple growth channels once global recovery begins.
Limited Shares – High Demand Potential
After Porsche AG’s IPO, only a portion of shares are publicly traded, meaning limited supply. Once demand returns, this can drive the price up sharply.
Long-Term Vision & Prestige
Investors see Porsche not just as a carmaker but as a long-term luxury mobility brand with staying power and vision, which boosts confidence in its recovery.
Why Invest in RheinmetallWhy Invest in Rheinmetall
Rheinmetall’s defense segment accounts for a significant portion of its revenue and profits, providing a stable and growing revenue stream due to increased global defense budgets. In recent years, global defense spending has risen, driven by geopolitical tensions and security concerns, particularly in Europe and NATO countries. Rheinmetall benefits from this trend with a focus on:
• Military vehicles: The company produces combat vehicles, armored trucks, and defense platforms, which are in high demand due to modernization efforts in several global defense forces.
• Ammunition: Rheinmetall is a leader in supplying ammunition for land, air, and naval forces, with long-term contracts in place to supply NATO forces.
• Defense electronics: The company produces advanced radars, communication systems, and sensor technologies for military and security applications.
Rheinmetall has a strong order backlog, which is a positive indicator for long-term growth. With long-term defense contracts with governments in Germany, NATO, and other international defense forces, Rheinmetall enjoys visibility and stability for the coming years. This gives investors confidence in sustained revenue streams, particularly in the defense sector, which is typically less sensitive to economic cycles.
In addition to its defense business, Rheinmetall is a key supplier in the automotive sector, particularly in areas such as electrification and safety technologies. The company’s automotive division produces components for electric vehicles (EVs), hybrid vehicles, and safety systems such as braking systems and collision sensors. This diversification makes Rheinmetall a dual-sector play, giving investors exposure to both the defense and automotive industries, both of which are poised for growth.
• Automotive Safety Systems: Increasing demand for active safety and driver assistance systems in the automotive sector provides Rheinmetall with solid growth prospects.
• Electrification: The company is expanding its presence in the electric vehicle market, benefitting from the global shift toward sustainable transportation.
Rheinmetall is highly focused on research and development (R&D), ensuring that it remains competitive in both the defense and automotive markets. The company continues to develop next-generation technologies such as cybersecurity solutions, autonomous military systems, and electric propulsion systems for vehicles. This commitment to innovation ensures that Rheinmetall remains at the cutting edge of both its sectors.
Rheinmetall offers a relatively attractive valuation compared to its peers in the defense sector, with a P/E ratio of 18x. The company's strong operating margins and high return on equity highlight its strong financial health, making it an appealing option for value-oriented investors. Additionally, the company’s low debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial flexibility, further enhancing its attractiveness.
Strong Buy Recommendation
In conclusion, Rheinmetall AG represents a strong investment opportunity, offering investors a diversified portfolio with strong exposure to both defense and automotive markets. The company benefits from long-term defense contracts, a growing order backlog, and strong positions in military vehicles, ammunition, and automotive safety systems. Its commitment to innovation and technological advancement, coupled with a strong balance sheet, makes it an attractive option for those seeking exposure to the growing global defense and automotive technology markets.
With solid revenue growth, high margins, and a relatively attractive valuation, we recommend Rheinmetall AG as a strong buy for investors seeking a balance of growth potential, stability, and defensive characteristics in both defense and automotive sectors.
Drägerwerk AG LONG with TP at 61 EURO (BUY & HOLD < 12 Months)Drägerwerk AG is undervalued at present. There is potential for long-term momentum with a TP at 61 Euro or beyond. This could play out within a period of up to 12 months, while there is evidence that it might hit TP until end of this year.
Effort of the Young Green Butterfly to Raise the Siemens Flagthe detail is shown in the above Chart.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Fibonacci Tool .
The Buyers' Crab could reach the highest point at the price of 167 euros.
The Bearish trend started and siemens flag is falling and approaching to the golden level of buyers crab .
The past trend of sellers' candles has formed a motivated green butterfly pattern
So we can expect this young Butterfly to raise the Siemens flag again.
Siemens Is Great .
Good luck.
Should You Buy SAP After Its Price Drop?
SAP has broken down from an upward trend with high volume.
The price decline has stalled around the resistance level at 235. The volume profile shows a sharp drop in trading activity at this level when prices approach from both below and above, making this a significant resistance zone.
There are no reversal formations as the price exits the trend.
The price is recovering, but without strong volume. Moreover, the negative volume balance further weakens the stock. The same applies when prices are just below a green cloud in Ichimoku.
From a fundamental perspective, the decline likely stems from concerns that SAP was overbought, combined with weakness in U.S. tech stocks. However, SAP is a European company poised to benefit from increased defense spending. These funds are not only for weapons and ammunition but also for innovation, data security, cyber warfare, infrastructure, and more.
I have chosen to reallocate some of my U.S. tech holdings into European investments and have bought SAP.
Always conduct your own research and assessment before making buy or sell decisions.
Rheinmetall AG: A great defence company to consider About the company
Rheinmetall AG is a holding company, which engages in the provision of development and sale of components, systems, and services for the security and civil industries. It operates through the following segments: Vehicle Systems, Weapon and Ammunition, Electronic Solutions, Sensors and Actuators, Materials and Trade, and Others. The Vehicle Systems segment offers a diverse portfolio of vehicles, including combat, support, logistics, and special vehicles. The Weapon and Ammunition segment includes products and solutions for threat-appropriate, firepower as well as comprehensive protection. The Electronic Solutions segment is involved in the chain of effects in the system network, from sensors and the networking of platforms and soldiers to the automated connection of effectors, as well as solutions for protection in cyberspace. The Sensors and Actuators consists of a product portfolio with exhaust gas recirculation systems, throttle valves, control dampers, and exhaust flaps for electromotors, solenoid valves, actuators and valve train systems, oil, water, and vacuum pumps for passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and light and heavy-duty off-road applications, as well as industrial solutions. The Materials and Trade segment focuses on the development of system components for the basic motor.
Summary of business
Next earnings: Wednesday 12th March 2025 (Full year 2024 results)
Given the latest developments, Europe needs to be able to defend itself against Russia or any other enemies, with or without the United States. Invasion by Russia will remain a key risk for the foreseeable future to Europe and it needs to move fast and arm itself. For now, Europe’s first priority is to continue supporting Ukraine – Ukraine’s experienced military is currently the most effective deterrent against a Russian attack on the EU due to its experience on the battle ground. If Ukraine decides that a US-Russian deal to end the war is unacceptable Europe needs to step in first. A recent example is when the United States cut off military intelligence to Ukraine, prompting the United Kingdom to step in and provide intelligence support instead. Should the United states, continue to pull out of Ukraine, we expect Europe to quickly fill up the gaps.
We expect European defence spending and capabilities to continue growing for the next number of years. As a result, we see opportunity for Rheinmetall. Rheinmetall is well positioned to benefit from the increase in budget allocations towards defense, especially as Germany is expected to play a key role in Europe’s defence as US military support declines. Since Europe is coming from an economic crisis, spreading costs over time looks like a feasible route Europe will take for this. Rheinmetall has a well-diversified portfolio across geographies and platforms, with 70% of its revenue from its defense business and 30% from its civil one. Escalating global security concerns are driving higher growth in the defence market as many countries in Europe have underspent over along time. European nations are expected to boost defence budgets to a minimum of 2% of gross domestic product, a trend likely to accelerate due to the Russia-Ukraine war. This situation offers a significant opportunity for Rheinmetall to benefit from its well-diversified geographical presence and product portfolio.
On Thursday 06th March 2025, European Union (EU) leaders convened in Brussels for an extraordinary summit focused on defence and Ukraine, amid growing concerns over Europe’s security architecture and its financial underpinnings. The summit takes place in the wake of Washington’s abrupt suspension of military aid to Ukraine, placing increased pressure on the bloc to enhance its own defence commitments. During the meeting European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the 27 EU leaders are “determined to ensure Europe’s security and to act with the scale, the speed and the resolve that this situation demands. We are determined to invest more, to invest better and to invest faster together.” She added “These are extraordinary times. They call for extraordinary measures. With REARM Europe, we'll equip our Union with the capabilities it needs to support Ukraine and defend itself”. This reinforces the fact that more money will flow towards the defence industry and will more likely benefit Rheinmetall.
The EU’s executive arm expects around 650 billion euros ($702 billion) to be unlocked through this initiative over the next four years. Even if only 30% of that trickles down to Rheinmetall each year — about 48 billion euros — it would more than triple the company’s current revenue. This makes the stock a strong buy from the current price with a price target of EUR 1800.
Rationale for
As the capacity leader in ammunition production, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on surging demand through long-term framework contracts lasting up to 10 years.
Its strong incumbent role in the European Strategic Safety Initiative and the F-35 Lightning II fighter jet program — two of the largest air defence projects — will drive sustained production and revenue growth for decades.
Risks to consider
Rheinmetall's sales heavily rely on military funding, making its revenue stream inherently political and subject to uncertainty.
Geopolitical risks and shifting alliances may restrict the company's ability to deliver products to certain countries like the USA which is a big market.
Despite earnings growth, global defence stocks, including Rheinmetall, face persistent valuation pressure due to rising ESG-driven constraints on investment mandates.
Revenue by country
Europe: EUR3.40B
German: EUR1.72B
Asia: EUR817.00M
Other regions: EUR642.00M
North, middle and South America: EUR594.00M
YSN | Secunet Security | FA & TA | Its encrypted, BabyFA
Secunet is a German based company. Working field is IT security highly focused on encryption. It received since 2014 atleast 3 ongoing big contracts (SINA, Golden Reader Tool and easygate by the German Government agency and departments. With the current financial situation of the German government it could possible have negative effects here and is in support with my TA as i expect price to go further down.
Its also so mention that Profit margins are currently almost half than it was in the previous years (11.4 to 6.5). However the current earnings forcast is 10.4% per year for the next 3 years and as the debt level is low + renvue is still high i see a potential for the next coming years.
TA
Its currently in a volatile downtend that seemed not over yet. The two buy zones are based on the next two big S/R levels. As i want to have exposure and to hold long term anyways i marked out 2 areas where i plan to buy.
Entry: Price reaches the buy zones
Invalidation: none
S-L: None, as long- term- hold)
Target: 50% of the recent Swing in confluence with a strong S/R level that caused the current downtrend
Good luck
Disclaimer:
- My posts are mostly for my own journaling
- This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor.
- You trade entirely at your own risk
- Make your own research
- Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)
Volkswagen AG (VOW) – The Cheapest Military Stock in Europe? TP1: €150 – Short-term breakout
TP2: €180 – Mid-term resistance
TP3: €250 – Long-term revaluation target
Why Are We Bullish?
🔹 Defense Sector Entry?
-VW exploring military production, with CEO Oliver Blume confirming interest.
-Idle plants may be repurposed, potential Rheinmetall partnership in the works.
-Rearmament boom – Rheinmetall’s valuation already surpassed VW’s.
🔹 Financial & Growth Catalysts
-Q4 sales up 21%, 7.0% margin, 2025 revenue target +5%.
-€1B cost-cutting, strong EV & U.S. market expansion.
🔹 Bullish Technicals
-MACD Bullish Crossover + Green Histogram Bars confirm momentum.
-Bounced off long-term trendline support, signaling a strong reversal.
The only direction is up.Sometimes, you can enter a trade without an overarching structure or a correction level guiding the direction. This is a prime example. After an intriguing sideways movement, marked by almost textbook ups and downs, we saw the range break briefly to the downside—a classic range spike, or as some call it, a fakeout.
This fakeout has trapped short-sellers, and as their positions get liquidated, they’ll fuel upward momentum. Interestingly, the range spike ended precisely at the resistance line of our broader structure, highlighted in red.
Given this, I don’t expect us to revisit the target level, and the structure is effectively complete. This is an ideal spot for a long position. Even without bullish structures forming, the chart has only one direction to go from here—up and to the right.
VW - stock may have turned around (?)VW - has had its fair share of bad news lately, however, panic and fear often times is at its peak when price is close to find the bottom.
Looking at price action and price targets it seems the wave C of II could be over which is also indicated that price bounced from the 161.8 fib expansion of wave 4 of C. Ever since then the stock has seen a steady rise that was also supported by good volume.
Now it has reached the 61.8 retracement of wave 5 and usually around that fib level price will stall and consolidate. I can even see a 5 wave motive wave up.
Now, we need to see how the price action looks like in the coming days and weeks. Hopefully it will make a higher low at around 50-61.8 % fib retracement and from there I would be looking to long the stock. The upside is quite impressive as the price may rise with over 300%.
For now, we remain neutral and are watching what happens next.
PUMA - on the road again?One of the worst performers in the european stock market for the last months the Puma stock, reasons for this were given tromendous. 1. Bad earnings expectations. People tend to buy less from the Big 3 (Nike Adidas Puma) and Puma has the least amount of loyal customers. Puma has not much cash cows (products which give continously a lot revenue), they get some money from licensed products in sports but they dont have a productline which is reliable (such as the adidas superstars shoes or the Nike Airforce 1 ...) Pumas products are absolutely overpriced. But there is at least some light for Puma, I do think they will get into better times.
Possible Final Rally?
RHM is in a steady upward trend, but in early February both price and volume rose sharply to around 1200 EUR. Since then, there’s been a drop in price and volume that may continue to develop. We haven’t seen a final rally yet, but it could be on the horizon. At the very least, it appears we’ll see a correction of some significance.
Volume balance is positive, which strengthens the stock. However, RSI21 is above 70, indicating the stock is overbought according to classic technical analysis. This factor weakens the near-term outlook.
From a fundamental perspective, I believe the stock is a good buy if the price comes down, both in the short and long term. Europe must rearm and produce its own weapons so it isn’t dependent on unpredictable politicians outside of Europe.
Disclaimer: I have no position in RHM.