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Rebound is around the corner for Chinese developersLast week we discussed the scenario of Hong Kong/China equity rebound due to the political environment change in China. HSI did end up close above the May open, creating a hammer candle in the monthly chart, and stood atop the 50 days moving average. Both showed strong bullishness from the chart perspective (Last week note here: ) As a continuation of the rebound story, earlier there were some developments on the Chinese developers front, which there might be a distress revaluation opportunity for traders to make bets on . Update on Chinese Developers After almost 2 years since the Chinese government imposed “3 red lines” rules on developers, which later leaded to the Chinese high-yield bond collapse in 2021 (majority of Chinese high-yield are issued by the Chinese developer), on May-17 the Chinese government finally showed sign of relaxation on the crackdown, by supporting some developers to issue domestic bond to ease their cash insufficiency . This development is under the backdrop of Chinese economic slowdown, as well as poor monetary/fiscal policy transmission capability with weakened property market. As of today, there are 5 non-state-backed developers that have confirmed on the domestic bonds issue: Longfor (HKEX:960) Country Garden (HKEX:2007) Media Real Estate (HKEX:3990) CIFI Holding (HKEX:884) Seazen (HKEX:1030) Note that investors of the newly issued bond also have the option to get protection by purchasing the credit risk mitigation warrant (CRMW), of which China Securities Finance Corporation (state-owned) is the underwriter of the warrant . The important message here is that, in order for the Chinese government to take a “short-put” position, they must have vetted the Chinese developer names and shortlisted the above 5 companies for the most solid fundamentals (and political correctness). Essentially, the Chinese government is doing stock picking for us . Among this batch of developers, I would recommend Longfor (HKEX:960) and Country Garden (HKEX:2007) . In the sector-wide distressed situation, companies with more deployable cash or financing capability actually have the optionality to acquire and consolidate weaker developers to strengthen their future market share. Longfor and Country Garden are the largest and healthiest financials among the list. Comparing Longfor (HKEX:960) and Country Garden (HKEX:2007), the former actually have demonstrated stronger confidence among investors as one can tell from the severeness of price decline for the passed year. Hence if you are a less active investor who wants to buy this idea, go for Longfor (HKEX:960); for those who have the bandwidth for active management, Country Garden (HKEX:2007) might have more room for trading around positions with leverage. Trading Plan for Country Garden (HKEX:2007) Albeit the fact that I am writing a long side execution plan, please note that the stock technically is still in a bear trend, which we still see selling pressure near 20 and 50 days moving average . Hence this is not a trend following, but reversal-plus-breakout play, where more time is needed for the turnaround and breakout from the downtrend resistant levels . Right now the stock is flirting around the 20 days moving average. One might want to place some protective bet at current level (in case of sharp upside movement with overnight news), or wait for the following 2 key level for turnaround confirmation: 5.4-5.8 : 50 days moving average and May-3 spike 6.75 : Rebound peak from March market plummet For the bearish trend to continue, the stock must go through the 2 recent troughs. According to the trader’s conviction to the rebound stock, one might choose to scale in (i.e. average down the position cost) or scale out (i.e. partial cut loss) the position at these levels: 4.1 : May-12 bottom 3.3 : Mar-16 bottom, lowest price made in march market plummet In terms of trading vehicle selection, apart from holding the stock outright, good news is that Country Garden (HKEX:2007) also has stock options available for trade. By using call option one can be immune from sharp drawdown in case of overnight bearish news, also better cash management for the natural leveraged nature of options. Note that Hong Kong listed stock options are less liquid compared to those in the US, I would recommend to choose expiration less than 3-4 months for narrower spread and more active quotation .
HKEX:2007Long
by geoffreyip523
How To Pick The Best Stocks In The Market ?Learn to find the stocks with the best technical setup and see if they fit the criteria (8/8 full score). Of course these stocks should be in the top performing sectors and you should wait for short-term pullbacks to entry...
HKEX:883Long
by DevilTrader168
$XIAOMI Key levels, Analysis & Targets1810 Key levels, Analysis & Targets China releases lockdown soon, good for stocks ,and Time frame day born " Bullish Divergences " in MACD & RSI Indicator
HKEX:1810Long
by Mr_12Tails
cathy pacific analysisAnalysis of 0293.HK 1) Uptrend with increasing volume trade 2) Probably in Stage 2, 50 average line above 200 days 3) Low risk entry point (potential 9% profit underlying 4% loss) 4) The sector of shipping company is leading the market such as OOCL 0316.HK
HKEX:293Long
by heisushi
11
Transportation - Marine Shipping; Strong Sector, Stronger 38771) Noticed that many stocks in this particular sector have been setting up quite nicely in both the HK and US equity markets. 2) In particular to the HK Market, things are starting to look better with some equities entering accumulation phases. The HSI also looks to finally start a new uptrend with higher lows formed. 3) SEHK: 3877 is setting up quite nicely with the initial shakeout mid march of 2022. Volume is starting to increase - clear signs of accumulation. 4) Price has now traded in a tight range between ($1.29, $1.34) - a Darvas box! Although overhead supply is right at $1.37, I do believe we might have enough fuel to punch through. 5) Call me ambitious but TP is at previous ATH of $1.76 - making this a risk to reward of about 1:4.
HKEX:3877Long
by cletibals
Xiaomi long ideaBear Market regression to mean. Bull divs forming China looking to come out of lockdown Xiaomi has a lot of military connections Looking to buy at $10 then sell the 200MA
HKEX:1810Long
by JW1234
2333 Greatwall motor china EVfalse break or ? if that accumulation distribution trendline break that will may become next big move
HKEX:2333
by BtNd
Updated
2318, Ping An Short (Wyckoff practice)Could it be the last point of supply? If it breaks that orange trend line it will may make one BIG distribution..
HKEX:2318Short
by BtNd
Updated
$TENCENT Key levels, Analysis & Targets$700 Key levels, Analysis & Targets Price comes down to test at Fibo 78.6 - 94.2% ,and Price to rebound
HKEX:700Long
by Mr_12Tails
Long TencentI think we've hit major broad market supports. All the big target of 2021 have hit. Many stocks were targeted 70 - 90% down and they're there. Now into accumulation mode. Using stops on all trades. It's a good time to be a busy bull with stops I think, crazy time to blindly buy with no exit strategy. Been waiting about a yr to buy this one. Long now.
HKEX:700Long
by holeyprofit
MI XIAOMI INC weekly - Expected move - OpportunityMI XIAOMI INC weekly - Expected move - Opportunity
HKEX:1810Long
by XDataAnalyst
Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd 17 LongGeely Automobile Holdings Ltd 17 Long. Maybe this is the lowest possible price.
HKEX:175Long
by davka920
VITASOY (345) Major BULLISH signal !VITASOY offers a good buying opportunity for day traders but also for LT investers... The price after accumulation forms an upward impulse. Disclaimer: All content has only educational and informational purposes, and never should be used or take it as financial advice.
HKEX:345Long
by Julien_Eche
BABA should hold 83 then BO Channel or 70 will be double bottomBABA has been making a long downchannel which has to be broken to be really bullish. First it must hold the current 83 FIB level, then BO the downchannel at around 95. After that BABA will still face a big resistance zone at the 110 to 130 range. There will be a lot of sellers here which the new buyers must be willing to absorb in order for the price to go above this critical zone. Failure to hold the current 83 Fib level to see a double bottom for BABA at 70. This will be very very near the end of that big ABC correction. BABA is the top e-commerce company in China (Amazon of China but with a very low PE ratio after this crash). Not trading advice
HKEX:9988Long
by xtremerider8
recommend to watch and follow the movement.in weekly chart, it show double bottom. In daily chart possible a head and shoulder. left shoulder and head already form out. right shoulder waiting to confirm.
HKEX:788
by iampatrickcheong
Updated
2269.HK is going to fly ~ (1st target: 77.8, 2nd target: 90.05)2269.HK has experienced a long decline for more than 1 year due to local and oversea government policies, although its P&L has growth a lot. 2269.HK is going to complete a head and shoulder pattern within the last 70 days, and highly likely to fly in the near term. The first target will be 77.8 and second target will be 90.05. On the other hand, China government is likely to support health and medical industry just to ensure the GDP growth can be met ( 5-6% target this year).
HKEX:2269Long
by kcwilsonchu
11
XIAOMI 1810Xiaomi great fundamentals, growing balance sheets, growing profits. completes harmonic pattern we can look to buy some shares and aim for the 30 mark.
HKEX:1810Long
by ZenFlo
9988 Short term range 105-118 big resistance $115/135 may be boring before breaking support and resistance
HKEX:9988
by matthewwong423523
2382Long term down trend: target 103/85.82 Short term: rebound to 127/158
HKEX:2382
by matthewwong423523
2318.hk is showing a solid price actionAfter 2318.hk reaches its low at 15 March 2022, it exhibits strong breakaway gaps with strong volume on 17 March 2022. From 18 March 2022 to 1 April 2022, it exhibits the pennats pattern, and finally breaks through and reaches a closing price 59.25 on 4 April 2022. Moreover, the 100-day MA changes from decreasing to flatten now. We will see if it continues exhibit a rising trend.
HKEX:2318Long
by chaufaitsing
Someone asked to analyse this lithium company For those who wants a more global and wider coverage instead of a single company and consider this ETF
HKEX:1772Long
by dchua1969
Updated
22
Buy Modern Dental HK$3.4 Target Over HK$ 7.5Good Day Fellow investors! When looking for a company that is 1. Globally Diversified 2. Highly undervalued from a free cash flow perspective 3. Has decent growth potential (Over 10%) choices are limited! However Modern Dental does meet all of these criteria.. 1. Revenues are globally diversified with about 35% coming from Europe 25% USA and 40% Remainder of the world including a larger and larger share coming from mainland china. 2. Trading at about a P/E Ratio of 9. EV/EBITDA about 6. Free Cash Flow yield of about 15%. 3. Growth outlook is great. Chinese revenue grew at a rapid pace over the past couple of years but the outlook is even better. I am loking at this from a long term perspective and believe we can easily trade at HK$ 7.5 over the next coouple of years (And likely even sooner)
HKEX:3600Long
by kavijh
Alibaba Group Holdings (9988. HK)Alibaba had a V-shaped rebound on 15th March 2022 and has pushed Alibaba back into the HK$100.00 psychological level. Despite a consolidation from 23rd March - 1st April, the stock forms a bullish pattern with a bullish morning star pattern, indicating further bullish upside. Combining the v-shaped bottom and the pennant, it can be interpreted as a bullish cup and handle formation. Key resistance at HK$124.20-HK$126.90 is the crucial resistance zone. Breaking it will see prices rallying towards resistance zone 2 at HK$132.50-HK$135.10. Key support zone at HK$99.40-HK$102.00 can be seen as a buying zone as well.
HKEX:9988Long
by William-trading
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…999999

Select market data provided by ICE Data services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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