Tencent's Rocket Ride: Heading for 1338 HKD?
For Tencent Holdings, we currently believe we are in an overarching Wave III, which should be created with a 5-wave structure upwards. This should naturally extend far beyond the Wave I level at the all-time high of 715 HKD. We anticipate a rise to at least 1338 HKD for this overarching Wave III. Wave II concluded at 188.6 HKD. Zooming in, we see that we are about to complete Waves (1) and (3) and soon enter into the Wave (3). Wave (2), as we expect, might dip slightly further, to 241 HKD. However, we are convinced that we could be in a long upward trend. Therefore, we do not want to be stopped out prematurely, as it would be quite unnecessary. A double bottom at 188 HKD cannot be ruled out. Thus, we place our entry at the 50% extension for the very subordinate Wave ((v)) and just above the 78.6% retracement level for the subordinate Wave (2). This would create what's known as a Fibonacci retracement cluster, where there should be a significant buying potential. We will see how it unfolds in the coming weeks or days. Should there be a rise above 297 HKD, we may need to reconsider our stance.
Xiaomi: Next Big Bang on the Hong Kong Stock Market?
For another interesting Chinese stock, we're looking at the mobile phone manufacturer Xiaomi, trading on the Hong Kong Exchange. Hence, we're dealing with the Hong Kong Dollar, not the US Dollar. Overarchingly, we are also in a Wave III here. Wave II concluded its correction with a double bottom at HK$8.28. This chart adheres well to the Elliott Wave structure, showcasing many patterns that align well.
Currently, we believe we are in a subordinate Wave 3, having completed the subordinate Wave ((ii)) between the 61.8% and 78.6% levels. Unlike other stocks, we aim to place a market entry here, as we anticipate that we should not fall below the 78.6% level. Else we could come back to the low of 8.28 HKD.
buying at support level IS NOT a SURE WINPutting emotions aside about how unhappy, disappointed and frustrated with the China stocks, some people I spoke to are thinking to scoop more once the price reaches the support level.
Just because it has rebounded on previous support level does not necessarily means it will do so in the future.
It is possible, plausible and probable that it might falls through the support level and creates a new low. Nobody can tell you for sure. Do not buy just because you read some news that it is near the bottom but has no way to go except up. In Theory, maybe but in the changing world today and when top notch economists, professors and equity analysts have all gotten wrong about their predictions about China, what makes you think you will fare better ?
Also, just because some groups are heavily shorting the market to take advantage of the sell off, just doing the opposite does not make you a contrarian. Put aside your egos and get rational about your decision to go LONG. How long are you prepared to hold this stock for ? Are you really going to be OK if it continues to drop another 10-20% ? No sleepless night ?
Think Thrice. Take care of the downside from all aspects and leave the upside alone......
Awaiting pullback to LONG XiaomiDrawing the 2 bearish trend lines, we can see that this stock is soon to break out soon.
2 Options - await pullback and go long
OR
wait for it to break the main bearish trend line around 15 dollars before going LONG. This approach is more conservative and less risk taking but the downside is buying at slightly higher price.
Please DYODD
Is Li Ning going to be privatized?On the morning of March 12, news spread that Li Ning would be privatized. According to relevant media reports, Li Ning, the founder of Li Ning Company, was contacting investment institutions to acquire the company's shares for privatization. It is reported that Li Ning has invited TPG, PAG (Pacific Alliance Investment Group), Hillhouse, etc. to join the privatization acquisition. However, the discussion is still in the early stages and the details have not yet been finalized.
BYD: Engine Breakdown 🚘We consider the recent setback merely as part of the substructure of the magenta wave (1). This wave should lead to a sustained rise above the resistance line at HK$280.60. However, our 30% probable alternative scenario should also be noted. This would attest to the corrective nature of the upward movement that has been underway since February. Although the price should continue above HK$280.60 in this case, a significant sell-off should then set in, which would take the price to complete the green wave alt. below the support at HK$161.70.
Tencent breakout first time since Jan 2023 -Target 366.40W Formation has formed recently on Tencent Holdings.
And where the price broke above the Neckline is also where the price has broken it's downtrend for the first time since January 2023.
This deems a very positive sign for buying and demand to push the price up.
Nature of the trade analysis is High Probability Too.
Price>20MA and Price>200MA
Target 366.40
Looks great!
Chicken wings and pizza fly on CNY periodUsing this as my last post for today, I am hoping the Chinese New Year starting tomorrow will usher in more revenue for KFC and Pizza Hut in China. Looking at the 4H chart, we can see a ultra bearish candle on 7 Feb with a gap up.
Thus I am awaiting for the price to come back down to 292 support level to close the gap before deciding to go LONG.
I also take this opportunity to wish all my followers and investors here a Happy and Prosperous Chinese New Year. May the year of Dragon bring forth more opportunities for us, provide us with more wisdom to do the right things (capital allocation, risk management, portfolio diversification,etc), good health and healthy relationships all year round.
Wuxi Biologics (2269): Incredible long-term opportunity! Wuxi Biologics (2269): HKEX:2269
Wuxi Biologics, a Chinese biotech research company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, presents a complex investment scenario. It's crucial to note we're dealing with the Hong Kong Dollar, not the US dollar. The comprehensive analysis on the weekly chart suggests that since June 2021, the company has been undergoing a correction defense scenario. This downturn has been so pronounced that the stock might need to reach its origin point at 8.56 HKD to complete the correction cycle of Wave 2 through Wave (Y) in blue. This process is expected to involve an initial surge followed by a downturn.
While there's potential for early position building, the decision to do so carries its uncertainties, given regulatory concerns and the stock's unpredictable future. Our strategy is to remain patient, observing how events unfold. Even with a 30% stop-loss threshold, which practically doesn't apply given the upside, we anticipate a minimum 2600% movement for Wave III in red, with the potential to reach an extraordinary 6000% at maximum. Such figures outline the vast upward trajectory expected, not just through Wave 3 but also with an ensuing Wave V.
Therefore, we are comfortable waiting and watching for the right entry point. Even if we decide to enter the market at a later stage, we expect that Wuxi Biologics will still offer significant opportunities.
Betting on B.A.T shares !I am betting on the Chinese B (Baidu), A (Alibaba) and T (Tencent) shares again , having seen their share prices fallen more than 50% from its peak! This is a long term investment , with time horizon 5 years and more.
Is this the bottom ? I believe so as the Chinese Government is taking this opportunity to shore up its economy and the need to appease to the investing public. But , short term, we may still see some volatility ahead , so do not expect a straight rally up all the time.
TENCENT Peak Formed YesterdayRecent short term rebound shows peak sign yesterday with morning price surge erased in the afternoon. Which indicates selling pressure are coming back after rebound.
We entered into a Callable Bear Contract yesterday at the peak with the analysis of current downtrend reacts more sensitive to sign of selling pressures. Which we see a possible short term price down coming up.
While there are no sign of supporting at the bottom in the past few months of price down. We might see downtrend to continue.
What is Callable Bull/Bear Contract?
Is a structured product like warrants & options. It is similar to Daily Leverage Certificates (DLC) listed in SGX. It provides leverage on underlying securities while limiting the risk to the trade value. At the same time it provides unlimited returns potential at a lower price per units.
However, do take note of the "knock-out" feature when the underlying securities hits the contract strike price. Contract suspend & not able to "revive" after, the losses are limited to the amount you trade on the contract.
About our analysis :
Utilizing the dynamic insights from a 5-minute chart. By closely examining this timeframe, we dissect the intricate volume and price transactions of significant market players. Our aim is to identify short-term support and resistance levels, enabling informed trading decisions. Through this meticulous analysis, we decipher price patterns and trends, providing valuable guidance for traders navigating the fast-paced realm of stock trading.
Is Tencent really worth pennies now ?Despite its dominance as a payment gateway with a monopolistic role in China, global leader in video games and many other businesses, the one thing that it cannot compete against is the strict government policies imposed by the Chinese government.
It has fallen more than 60% from its peak 4 years ago at 700 and thereafter it has been on a downhill ever since. Business wise, it is fundamentally strong and economic moat and is constantly innovating itself in the AI space, cloud computing and strategic alliances.
I shall await patiently at 200 - 246 price level to see if there is a reversal pattern for a rebound. No hurry, cheap can get cheaper now......so be cool and be patient.......if you are in for a long haul else go find other markets
9988 Baba HKEX Bullish Ready for a bull run up.
-Crossed Macd on daily view
-Divergence at 4H
- Resistance at 87 , if it breaks 87 , then look for 94
- Earning out on Nov 3rd,
- Watch for a Run up before earnings or after earnings.
- keep your stop losses & Trade within your limits.
Happy Trading.. !
Anta Sports: Final Descent 🛬Anta Sports recently continued to rise after an impulsive downward spike narrowly missed the magenta Target Zone between HK$58.95 and HK$33.60. Thus, it is quite possible that this downward spike has already completed the low of the green wave (2) and that the stock is now marching higher. However, we are not convinced that this is the case, so we believe that the stock will soon pull back, drop below the support level of HK$67.85, and then run into our magenta Target Zone. Once this has been explored, we expect the wave (1) in magenta to lead to strong rallies above the resistance at HK$125.30.
2282 - 13 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
Yum China weekly chart read latest article here
Let's wait for the price to rebound off the support turn resistance line at 281.60 and if a bullish candle is shown, I will take an initial position.
Hmm, this may not happen this week , probably after CNY as this is a short trading week. Be patient, you need not catch the bottom to benefit from the rally so long the trend is in your favour and you have done your own research about the company.
Tencent: Turn around! 🔄Tencent remains in our magenta-colored (long) Target Zone, which extends from HK$302.60 on the upper edge to HK$237.40 on the lower edge. It is still our primary assumption that the stock will establish another marginally lower low within this price range. Once the wave (2) in magenta has been completed, we expect the price to rise above the resistance at HK$416.60. At this point, however, it should be noted once again that the (minimum) requirements for the wave (2) correction, which the stock has been dealing with for almost a year now, were met with the approach of the Zone - as a result, a direct breakout to the upside would be quite conceivable from a technical point of view. Until then, the Target Zone continues to offer the opportunity to position oneself on the long side.
Meituan: Turning Point ⤴️Meituan's price is still trading at the lower end of the magenta Target Zone between HK$96.90 and HK$64. Our primary assumption remains that the stock is already working on the wave 1 rises in turquoise - and that it should soon leave the resistance at HK$103.50 well behind it. However, we must continue to weight the option with a 35% probability that the stock will still undercut our Target Zone in order to complete the correction only below the low of wave alt. (2) in green.