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ONGC Swing Outlook Swing Trade Outlook – ONGC (Updated View) 📌 Key Levels and Observations 🔲 Major Resistance Zone: The green zone (~₹252–₹258) has been a critical resistance area since October 2023. Price has tested this zone multiple times but failed to close above it decisively—forming a long-term horizontal resistance. 🟢 Support Levels: Near-term: ₹246 (support from PEMA cloud and prior reaction zone) Stronger support: ₹240–₹232 zone (previous higher lows and EMA base) 🕯️ Candle Behavior: The latest candles show rejection near resistance with a long upper wick, indicating supply pressure at highs. Volumes are not spiking on this attempt—no strong breakout confirmation yet. 🎯 Trading Conclusion Trader Type Action Crude Oil Swing Trader Look for breakout above $78; trade long with tight SL ONGC Investor Wait for ₹258 breakout; use dips toward ₹245 for positioning
NSE:ONGC
by Game_0f_Pivot
DIXON Technologies – Bearish Analysis📉 DIXON Technologies – Bearish Analysis Timeframe: 15-minute Trend: Clearly downward with consistent Lower Highs and Lower Lows Indicators: EMA Ribbon : Price is currently below all EMAs, which are fanned out and sloping down — confirming strong bearish momentum. EMA ribbon is acting as a dynamic resistance zone. 🧭 Key Chart Observations: 🔺 Resistance Zones: ₹14,588–14,706: Identified confluence of Fibonacci 61.8% retracements and previous supply zones. Price rejected from this zone multiple times, validating it as a strong resistance. 🔻 Immediate Breakdown Zone: ₹14,350–14,400: Short-term demand zone where price is hovering. Breakdown from this level will confirm continuation of the lower low structure. 🎯 Bearish Targets: Target 1: ₹13,766 First minor support; aligns with Fibonacci -0.89 extension Target 2: ₹13,292 Based on prior swing structure Final Target: ₹13,078 – highlighted as your primary expectation Extended Target: ₹12,899 Deep extension if breakdown continues with momentum ❗ Stoploss: Above ₹14,653, which is just above the swing high and 61.8% Fib level — logical place to invalidate the bearish thesis. 📌 Strategy Suggestion: Short Entry: Below ₹14,350 (confirmation breakdown) Stoploss: ₹14,653 (above EMA resistance zone) Targets: T1: ₹13,766 T2: ₹13,292 Final: ₹13,078 (as per your marked level) 🔍 Summary: DIXON is in a clear downtrend on the 15-min chart with EMA ribbon resistance, Fibonacci confluence rejection, and bearish swing structure. Unless price breaks above ₹14,653, downside momentum is likely to continue toward the ₹13,100–₹13,000 zone. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing in markets involve risk. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:DIXONShort
by shiva560060
NFL- on my watchlist A rounded base/cup formation is visible, showing a long-term bottoming structure. The stock has completed a Wave 1 impulse (207.99) followed by an ABC correction. Elliott Wave Structure: Primary Wave 1 (completed near ₹208). ABC correction labeled clearly post Wave 1. A fresh wave cycle is projected: Sub-waves 1 and 2 of Primary Wave 3 are marked. Projections drawn for Wave 3, 4, and 5 in the future (likely reaching above ₹215). Key Fibonacci Level: The 0.618 retracement (~₹73.78) held strongly, confirming a solid support zone. Suggests healthy correction and continuation possibility. RSI Indicator: RSI currently around 51.77, neutral territory. RSI-based MA is below, suggesting early-stage momentum buildup. Volume: Noticeable spikes during breakout moves; volume has calmed post-correction. Investment Note: Suggested SL: ₹65, with a 3–5 year horizon for investment. ✅ Positives: Well-Labeled Wave Count: Both impulse and corrective waves are clearly annotated. Correct Cup Base: Long-term cup base indicates accumulation and breakout potential. Valid ABC Structure: The correction looks complete, respecting wave guidelines. Support from 0.618 Fib: Indicates bullish continuation potential. Projection Path is Logical: The trajectory of future waves aligns with prior wave characteristics.
NSE:NFL
by Pushpmegh
Cup & Handle Breakout - NAVINFLOURCurrent Price: ₹4,703 Technical Analysis: Cup & Handle Breakout Pattern: The provided chart for NAVIN FLUORINE INT. LTD. shows a pattern that resembles a Cup & Handle. The current price action indicates it is at or near a potential breakout level. Waiting for Confirmation: Your statement "Waiting for confirmation" is crucial. A confirmed breakout typically involves the price sustaining above the resistance level with strong trading volume. Immediate Target: ₹7,000 Time Frame: 6 months to 1 year. Fundamental Analysis: Sales (Revenue from Operations): Consistently growing over the years, from ₹486 Cr in Mar 2014 to ₹2,349 Cr in Mar 2025. Operating Profit: Shows a strong upward trend, from ₹66 Cr in Mar 2014 to ₹534 Cr in Mar 2025. Net Profit: Also shows consistent growth, from ₹68 Cr in Mar 2014 to ₹289 Cr in Mar 2025. EPS in Rs.: Increased from ₹13.47 in Mar 2014 to ₹58.19 in Mar 2025. This indicates healthy year-on-year growth in earnings. Compounded Sales Growth: Healthy growth with 14% (TTM), 17% (3 Years), 17% (5 Years), and 15% (10 Years). Compounded Profit Growth: Very strong growth with 25% (TTM), -7% (3 Years), and 20% (10 Years). The negative 3-year profit growth needs to be investigated, as the net profit has consistently increased in the past 3 years (258 Cr in Mar 2022, 375 Cr in Mar 2023, 270 Cr in Mar 2024, 289 Cr in Mar 2025). This might be due to a specific high base year or non-recurring items impacting the compounded calculation for that period. Return on Equity (ROE): Strong and consistent, with 12% (Last Year), 13% (3 Years), 14% (5 Years), and 16% (10 Years). Dividend Payout %: Consistent dividend payouts, with 21% in Mar 2025. Stock P/E: While not provided in the specific image for Navin Fluorine's fundamental ratios, based on the current price of ₹4703 and FY25 EPS of ₹58.19, the trailing P/E would be approximately 80.82. This is a very high P/E ratio, indicating significant growth expectations are priced into the stock. Corporate Actions & Latest News: Dividends: The company has a consistent history of paying dividends. Capacity Expansion/R&D: As a specialty chemicals and fluorochemicals company, corporate actions and news for Navin Fluorine often revolve around: New project announcements or capacity expansions to meet growing demand. R&D initiatives for new products or applications. Strategic partnerships or collaborations. Client wins in niche chemical segments. Q4 FY25 Results: The latest news would include the Q4 FY25 financial results, which show a Net Profit of ₹289 Cr. Company Order Book: For a specialty chemicals company like Navin Fluorine, the "order book" typically includes long-term contracts with key clients and new project wins. A growing sales trend suggests a healthy order pipeline. Overall Assessment: Navin Fluorine International Ltd. presents a fundamentally strong picture with consistent growth in sales and net profit, along with robust profitability ratios like ROE. This strong fundamental performance supports the company's premium valuation. The Cup & Handle breakout pattern is a bullish technical indicator. If confirmed with strong volume, it could potentially lead to the stock moving towards higher levels. Key Considerations: High Valuation: The calculated P/E of approximately 80.82 is very high. This means the market is already pricing in substantial future growth. The company needs to continue delivering exceptional results to justify and sustain this valuation. Confirmation of Breakout: It's crucial to wait for proper confirmation of the Cup & Handle breakout with strong volume to validate the technical signal. Profit Growth Anomaly: Investigate the negative "Compounded Profit Growth" for 3 years, despite the increasing net profit trend shown in the table. This might be a calculation anomaly or specific high-base effect. Given the strong underlying business, consistent growth in key financial metrics, and the bullish technical pattern, the immediate target of ₹7,000, while ambitious, could be plausible within the 6-month to 1-year timeframe, provided the technical breakout is confirmed and the company continues its strong fundamental performance. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks, especially those with high valuations, carries inherent risks. Always conduct your own thorough research, carefully analyze the stock chart, assess your risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The stock market carries inherent risks.
NSE:NAVINFLUORLong
by sara54654
Cup & handle Breakout - IKSCurrent Price: ₹1,855 Technical Analysis: Cup & Handle Breakout Pattern: The provided chart for "INVENTURUS KNOWLEDGE SO L LTD" shows a pattern that resembles a Cup & Handle, with the price breaking out above a resistance level. Waiting for Confirmation: Your statement "Waiting for confirmation" is crucial. A confirmed breakout typically involves the price sustaining above the resistance level with strong trading volume. Immediate Target: ₹2,250 Time Frame: 3 to 6 months. Strict Stop Loss: ₹1,630. Fundamental Analysis (Based on the images provided for Inventurous Knowledge Solutions Ltd.): Market Cap: ₹31,858 Cr. Current Price: ₹1,856 (close to your stated ₹1,855) Stock P/E: 65.5. This is a very high P/E ratio, indicating significant growth expectations are priced into the stock. Book Value: ₹104 Dividend Yield: 0.00%. The company does not currently pay dividends. ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): 27.2%. This is a strong return, indicating efficient use of capital. ROE (Return on Equity): 33.0%. This is an excellent return, showing strong profitability for shareholders' equity. Face Value: ₹1.00 Industry P/E: 35.7. IKS's P/E of 65.5 is considerably higher than the industry P/E, suggesting it's valued at a premium compared to its peers. Price to Sales: 12.0. This is a high Price to Sales ratio, indicating the market values its sales highly. High / Low (52-week): ₹2,190 / ₹1,226. Sales (Revenue from Operations): Consistently growing from ₹529 Cr in Mar 2020 to ₹2,664 Cr in Mar 2025. Operating Profit: Shows strong growth, from ₹162 Cr in Mar 2020 to ₹770 Cr in Mar 2025. Net Profit: Consistently increasing, from ₹137 Cr in Mar 2020 to ₹486 Cr in Mar 2025. EPS in Rs.: Grew from ₹166.73 in Mar 2020 to ₹28.33 in Mar 2025. (Note: There's a significant drop in EPS from Mar 2020 (₹166.73) to Mar 2021 (₹200.10) to Mar 2022 (₹13.61) then recovering to ₹28.33 in Mar 2025. This may indicate a stock split or bonus issue that adjusted the EPS calculation over these years, making direct year-on-year numerical comparison without accounting for corporate actions misleading for these specific numbers. However, the net profit is consistently growing). Compounded Sales Growth: 10 Years: N/A, 5 Years: 52%, 3 Years: 52%, TTM: 47%. These are very strong sales growth figures. Compounded Profit Growth: 10 Years: N/A, 5 Years: 29%, 3 Years: 25%, TTM: 31%. These are also strong profit growth figures. Return on Equity: Last Year: 46%, 3 Years: 37%, 5 Years: 39%. Excellent and consistent ROE. Corporate Action & Latest News: No specific corporate actions (like dividends for the latest year or splits/bonuses) are listed in the provided snippets. The strong and consistent growth in sales, operating profit, and net profit indicates positive fundamental performance. This suggests the latest news would likely revolve around strong financial results and positive outlooks for the company. For a company in "Knowledge Solutions," news might also include new client wins, expansion into new service areas, technological advancements, or strategic partnerships. Company Order Book: For a "Knowledge Solutions" company, an "order book" might refer to long-term contracts, recurring client engagements, and new project wins. The consistent sales growth implies a healthy pipeline of work. Overall Assessment: Inventurous Knowledge Solutions (IKS) presents a strong fundamental picture with consistent and high growth in sales and profits, coupled with excellent profitability ratios like ROCE and ROE. This explains the premium valuation (Stock P/E of 65.5 vs Industry P/E of 35.7), as the market is clearly pricing in sustained high growth. The Cup & Handle breakout pattern on the chart is a bullish technical indicator. If confirmed with strong volume, it could propel the stock towards your immediate target of ₹2,250 within 3-6 months. The strict stop loss at ₹1,630 provides risk management. Key Considerations: Valuation: The stock is trading at a significant premium to its intrinsic value and industry P/E. This means future growth needs to be exceptionally strong to justify and sustain this valuation. EPS Interpretation: Be mindful of potential corporate actions (like stock splits) that might have impacted the reported EPS historical numbers. The net profit growth is more consistently indicative of performance. Confirmation of Breakout: Crucially, wait for proper confirmation of the Cup & Handle breakout with strong volume to validate the technical signal. Given the strong underlying business performance, excellent growth metrics, and the bullish technical pattern, the immediate target of ₹2,250 within the specified timeframe appears plausible, contingent on the confirmed technical breakout and continued strong fundamental performance. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks, especially those with high valuations, carries inherent risks. Always conduct your own thorough research, carefully analyze the stock chart, assess your risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:IKSLong
by sara54654
INTELLECT: BFSI + IT PlayBFSI sector has been buzzing over the last few months. This company is an IT sector company catering to them. Fundamentally, this is a strong company. Has had a vertical sort of rally in the last 6 weeks or so. Any dip in here will be bought. Nature of the market is mildly bullish with bouts of volatility. Use it to your advantage. The pivot marked on chart is roughly 7% away from current market price. Look to average out your buy price over the next few weeks and hold till stock is in Stage 2.
NSE:INTELLECTLong
by bharatbulls
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