Nestle Crossing 200 EMASince FMCG Sector are defensive sector and moves aggresivly when market falls.
Nestle after a long consolidation near the support area broke out the 200 EMA and now ready to move for a uptrend.
Note: May not expected super rally if market moves rapidly because during bull markets, FMCG might underperform as investors chase higher-growth opportunities in other sectors.
But can easily capture 10% return from the current point for swing traders who do MTF trades.
Refex Industries Ltd — Investment Note (April 2025)Refex Industries Ltd — Investment Note (April 2025)
📈 Stock Overview
CMP: ₹455
Sector: Trading (Carbon, refrigerants, renewables, etc.)
Market Cap: ₹5,877 Cr
52W High / Low: ₹600 / ₹125
📊 Technical Analysis Summary
✅ Multi-Timeframe View:
Timeframe
Structure
Signal
Daily
Breakout with volume, EMA reclaim, RSI reversal
Bullish
Weekly
MACD crossover likely, EMA support bounce
Bullish
Monthly
Held 10EMA, strong reversal candle
Bullish
P&F Chart
Breakout with target ~₹750
Strong Buy
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: ₹450–455
Stop Loss: ₹415 (swing low)
Targets:
T1: ₹520 (swing high)
T2: ₹600 (52W high)
T3: ₹750 (pattern target)
📊 Fundamentals Overview
Metric Value Notes
TTM Sales ₹1771 Cr
Healthy revenue base TTM Net Profit ₹112 Cr
Improving profitability EPS (TTM) ₹11.26
Strong earnings growth PE (TTM) 40.4x
Slightly premium, growth priced in Book Value ₹77
Solid asset base ROE 23.84%
Excellent return on equity Debt ₹97 Cr
Manageable leverage Dividend Yield 0.1% Low (growth-oriented)
⚡ Final Verdict
Refex Industries Ltd presents a strong technical setup aligned with improving fundamentals. While current valuations are slightly rich, high ROE, consistent growth, and bullish chart structure support a favorable risk-reward entry.
Positional Trade Setup: ICICI Bank Ltd (NSE: ICICIBANK)Key Technical Observations
Current Price: ₹1,406.70 (Near key resistance)
Key Levels:
Support: ₹1,350 (Strong Base) → ₹1,300 (Major Swing Low)
Resistance: ₹1,500 (Psychological Level) → ₹1,600 (2024 High)
Trend Indicators:
TEMA (5,9,20): Bullish alignment (short-term momentum intact).
SuperTrend (10,3): Green line → Uptrend confirmation.
Price Action: Consolidating near ₹1,400; breakout above ₹1,420 could trigger next rally.
Fundamental Checks (Screener.in Recommended)
Sector: Banking (Private Sector Leader)
Growth Drivers:
Loan book expansion (+15% YoY)
Stable NIMs (~4-4.5%)
Consistent ROE (~16-18%)
Valuation: P/B ~2.5 (Fair for sector).
Trade Execution Plan
✅ Entry Zone:
Conservative: ₹1,380-1,400 (Dip near support)
Aggressive: Above ₹1,420 (Breakout confirmation)
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹1,320 (Below recent swing low)
🎯 Targets:
₹1,500 (7% upside)
₹1,600 (14% upside – Trail SL)
⏳ Holding Period: 1-3 months (Banking stocks trend with Nifty).
Confirmation Signals
Volume: Surge above 20-day avg on breakout.
Sector Trend: Monitor Bank Nifty (support at 46,000).
Earnings Date: Next quarterly results (check Screener.in).
Risk Management
Avoid if RBI hikes rates unexpectedly.
Exit if price closes below SuperTrend line.
Final Verdict: Strong technical structure + sector tailwinds = High-probability trade. Pair with fundamentals for conviction.
SOLARINDSNSE:SOLARINDS
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Management and Risk Appetite.
Disclaimer :
>You are responsible for your profits and loss.
>The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose.
>Follow back, for more ideas and their notifications on your email.
>Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
BAJFINANCENSE:BAJFINANCE
One Can Enter Now ! Or Wait for Retest of the Trendline (BO).
Note :
1.One Can Go long with a Strict SL below the Trendline or Swing Low of Daily Candle.
2. Close, should be good and Clean.
3. R:R ratio should be 1 :2 minimum
4. Plan as per your RISK appetite
Disclaimer : You are responsible for your Profits and loss, Shared for Educational purpose
SBICARDNSE:SBICARD
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Management and Risk Appetite.
Disclaimer :
>You are responsible for your profits and loss.
>The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose.
>Follow back, for more ideas and their notifications on your email.
>Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
GRASIMNSE:GRASIM
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Management and Risk Appetite.
Disclaimer :
>You are responsible for your profits and loss.
>The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose.
>Follow back, for more ideas and their notifications on your email.
>Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
JSFB CMP 465.With the attractive PE stock trading at valuation price.In this correction phase stock was trading in a range of 52 week low and IPO price.Every year stock ROE increasing.every year net profit also increasing.Last session candle and RSI show price strength.For coming days we can add this to wachlist for a swing trade.For the target of 550 and next 600.........650.I am not a sebi registered first study your own.All risk reward is your own.Thanks.
SBIN Long *Inverted Head&ShoulderExciting pattern on SBIN(State Bank Of India) chart!
Validation of my target:
1. Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern confirmed on daily chart.
2. Neckline breakout already happened @ 822
3. Target Calculation: Neckline + (Neckline - head low)
Approx. 874,
4. Technical Indicator also supportive
*RSI trending up from oversold zone
* MACD crossover happened recently.
Target will range between 10 points 864 to 874.
Risk to reward is 1:3
Stop Loss previous low 760
For Educational purpose only
BAJAJFINSERV Positional Trade Setup🚀 BAJAJFINSERV Positional Trade Setup
📊 Levels:
🎯 Entry: ₹2,000 (Breakout above ATH)
💰 Targets: ₹2,350 (17% upside)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1,850 (7.5% risk)
🔥 Catalysts:
Rate-cut expectations (RBI 2024)
Strong parentco (Bajaj Group)
ATH breakout momentum
📈 Technicals:
Supertrend (10,3): Bullish ✅
TEMA (5,9,20): Rising momentum
⚠️ Watch: Q4 earnings & RBI policy
💬 "Would you hold for 6M or book early? Comment!" 👇
Positional Trading Setup for Bajaj Finserv (NSE)📊 Technical Setup:
Current Price: ₹1,593.55 (-0.33%)
Range: ₹1,565 (L) – ₹1,612 (H)
Key Levels:
Support: ₹1,565 (Recent Low) / ₹1,500 (Strong Base)
Resistance: ₹1,612 → ₹1,700 → ₹2,085 (ATH)
Indicators:
Supertrend (10,3): Neutral (Watch for bullish flip above ₹1,620).
TEMA (5,9,20): Flat – Needs momentum breakout.
Trade Plan:
Entry: ₹1,580-1,600 (Dip near support)
Stop Loss: ₹1,530 (3-4% risk)
Targets: ₹1,700 (Intermediate) → ₹2,000+ (Positional)
RRR: 1:4 (₹50 risk → ₹200+ reward)
🏦 Business Overview:
Sector: Financial Services (NBFC)
Key Strengths:
Diversified Biz: Lending (Consumer/Commercial), Insurance, Wealth Mgmt.
Parent Backing: Bajaj Group’s strong brand & distribution.
Growth Drivers: Rural finance, digital lending, ULIP demand.
Risks:
Rising NPAs in unsecured loans.
RBI tightening norms for NBFCs.
🎯 Why This Trade?
Chart: Near support with ATH potential (+30% upside).
Fundamentals: ROE ~18%, PAT growth ~25% (5Y CAGR).
Sectoral Tailwind: Financials bullish in rate-cut cycle.
⚠️ Watch For: Q4 earnings (May’24) & RBI policy impact.
Positional Trading Setup for SMS Lifesciences (NSE)Price Action:
Current Price: ₹1,435.20 (+13.02% today)
Recent Range: ₹1,270 (L) – ₹1,519 (H)
Strong breakout above ₹1,400 resistance (now support).
Indicators:
Supertrend (10,3): Bullish (Green line) – Confirms uptrend.
TEMA (5.9,20): Rising – Momentum favors bulls.
Volume: Spike on upside move (not shown but implied by 13% rally).
🎯 Positional Trade Plan:
✅ Entry:
Buy Zone: ₹1,400-1,430 (Pullback to breakout level).
Confirmation: Close above ₹1,450 with volume.
🛑 Stop Loss:
₹1,300 (Below recent swing low & Supertrend support).
Risk: ~7-8% from entry.
🎯 Target:
Short-Term (1-2 weeks): ₹1,550 (Previous high).
Positional (1-3 months): ₹1,700-1,800 (All-time high zone).
📊 Risk-Reward: 1:3 (₹100 risk vs. ₹300+ reward).
💡 Trading Notes:
Trend Bias: Bullish (Supertrend + Higher Highs/Lows).
Watch For:
Profit-booking near ₹1,500-1,520.
Close below ₹1,400 invalidates setup.
Sector Tailwind: Pharma stocks showing strength.
HCLTECH 1W 200EMA TOUCH AND BOUNCEHCLTECH on weekly touched 200EMA, by falling more than 30%.
Making higher high now.
To improve RR ratio; SL needs to be adjusted after price sustains the breakout and moves above 100EMA.
Thesis: Price should try and push towards DAILY 200EMA, i.e, returning to the mean.
Eternal : Swing / Momentum Pick#eternal #chartpattern #breakout #swingtrading #momentumstocks
Eternal : Swing/Momentum Pick
>> Good Clean Breakout
>> Buy at CMP or if it comes near Safe Entry Zone u can add more
>> Good Strength in Stock
>> High Probability Chart Pattern
>> min 12% upside Visible
Swing Traders can Book or lock Profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Disclaimer : This is not a Trade recommendation, Do your own Analysis and consult your Financial advisor before taking position in the stock. Charts Shared are for Educational Purpose only, Pls note i may or may not have position in it.