NSE: TRENT Bullish Reversal Start DTF/WTF TGT 7500 in 160days Stock Analysis
Trade Plan:
Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 5580 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 6200 DTF Close Price.
Stop Loss: 5100
Target 1: 7500
Target 2: 8200
Hold for a period of 6 months to 1 year or until the target 2 is reached.
Chart Pattern:
The stock experienced a 24-month streak to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 8300 . Subsequently, it retraced in 4730 in 6M time.
Technical Indicators:
The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 20-day EMA below the 50D EMA. This indicates a transitional phase of alignment in the stock’s EMA indicators. A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe.
This current level could serve as a potential entry point for investors, depending on their risk tolerance. More cautious investors might consider entering above the retracement level.
Volume Analysis:
There has been a drying up of volumes on the sell side for a two quarter now. There is buying in the past four weeks but above the 20VMA.
Prioritize Watch List:
Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities.
Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or When 9EMA crosses Below 21EMA in DTF. Earlier too basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions.
Technical Analysis Concepts:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA):
Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends.
Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation.
Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis.
All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart.
Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history.
Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses.
Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months.
Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly.
CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend.
Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level.
Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern
Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity.
Moving Averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks.
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension:
Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements.
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
Orient Cement (Long):Orient Cement (Long):
Despite the volatility in the broader and small cap indices this script has setup well for a significant up move by breaking the crucial supply area.
OC present position also offers a trade with RR of more than 1:4.
Note: Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD short dayThe stock of Reliance Industries is currently exhibiting a clear bearish tone. Price action continues to show weakness, with repeated failed attempts to recover, signaling that sellers remain in control.
The ongoing downward movement suggests a lack of confidence from market participants, with no strong catalysts visible to shift momentum. Selling pressure dominates, while any bounce attempts struggle to hold.
Unless there's a visible change in price behavior or a shift in sentiment, the overall outlook remains negative. Caution is advised, and buyers may want to wait for clearer signs of stability before considering entry.
Review and plan for 16th April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Result stocks.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
HEG Limited Stock Analysis [Fundamental+Technical]Company Overview:
Industry: Graphite Electrodes (used in Electric Arc Furnaces for steel production)
Parent Group: LNJ Bhilwara Group
Location: Largest graphite plant at a single location near Bhopal, MP
Global Reach: 67% export-based; presence in 35+ countries
Business Highlights
Products: UHP & HP Graphite Electrodes
Customers: Top 25 global steel companies
Capacity: Increased to 100,000 TPA in Nov 2023
Utilization: 81% (despite global slowdown)
Revenue from Operations: ₹2,394.90 Cr
Net Profit: ₹231.54 Cr (down 49% YoY)
EBITDA: ₹525.63 Cr (down 28% YoY)
EPS: ₹59.99
Net Cash Flow from Operations: ₹615 Cr (up from ₹114 Cr)
ROCE: ~7.2%
Return on Net Worth (RoNW): 5.63%
📈 Technical Insights:
Current Price: ₹474.60
50 EMA: ₹431.44 (support zone)
200 EMA: ₹429.40 (support zone)
Price is trading above both EMAs, indicating a bullish trend reversal.
Golden Cross formation (50 EMA crossing 200 EMA) recently occurred — a classic long-term bullish signal.
The stock bounced from ₹400 zone and now forming higher highs.
Key Strengths
One of the lowest-cost graphite electrode producers globally
Among top 5 global players (ex-China)
Strong relationships with major steelmakers
Backward integrated captive power: 76.5 MW
State-of-the-art technology and high R&D focus
Key Risks
Highly dependent on steel sector demand
Pricing pressure due to global oversupply and China's export surplus
Needle coke (key raw material) cost volatility
Current underutilization of capacity
Growth Triggers
Green Steel Push: EAF-based steel production expected to grow globally
Anode Powder Plant: ₹1,800 Cr investment in 20,000 TPA facility for EV battery anode materials; revenue expected from FY27
India’s EV & Steel Boom: Growing steel consumption (8.2% CAGR) and EV transition are long-term positives
SWOT Summary
Strengths:
Global presence, high export revenue, low-cost structure
Technological leadership
Weaknesses:
Profitability linked closely to global steel demand
Volatility in raw material prices
Opportunities:
EV market and EAF steel expansion
Threats
Competition from China, diversion of raw material to battery sector
Future Outlook
Near-term challenges due to soft steel demand
Medium to long-term outlook is strong, driven by:
Increasing EAF penetration
Global decarbonization policies
Strategic expansion into EV-grade graphite anodes
Analysis Based on Valuation + Chart
CMP:₹474.60
Fair Price Range: ₹600 – ₹1200(Using a conservative P/E range of 10 to 20)
Fair Value (DCF):₹1100+ (Based on 10% projected EPS growth over 5 years and a 12% discount rate.)
Support Levels:₹430 (EMA), ₹400 (price action)
Resistance Zones:₹490-500 (near-term), ₹600 (supply zone)
Disclaimer
The information provided in this report is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of data and analysis, no guarantees are made regarding future performance. Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including potential loss of capital. Please consult your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
MRP Agro Ltd shows strong fundamentals with significant revenue MRP Agro Ltd shows strong fundamentals with significant revenue and profit growth, high ROCE (39.2%) and ROE (30.3%), and is almost debt-free, making it a financially sound company. Technically, the stock has bounced from a support zone with a bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, suggesting potential upside. Based on both technical and fundamental analysis, a buy is recommended with a target of ₹160 and a stop loss at ₹120, for a short- to medium-term horizon (3–6 months). However, investors should monitor liquidity and watch for dividend announcements.
for educational purposes only
HIMTEK 1MHIMTEK is forming a bullish triangle pattern on the 1-month time frame. The current price is ₹173, and there’s a high chance it could break its all-time high.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a certified financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Stock market investments are subject to market risks; read all related documents carefully.
Diamond Positional Trade Setup: Prataap Snacks Ltd(NSE: DIAMOND)Current Price: ₹1,253.30 (+7.71% rally)
Key Levels:
Support: ₹1,183 (Recent Swing Low)
Resistance: ₹1,269 (Immediate) → ₹1,400 (Next Target)
Trend Indicators:
TEMA (5,9,20): Bullish alignment (short-term momentum).
SuperTrend (10,3): Green line → Uptrend confirmation.
Price Action: Strong bounce from ₹1,183, now testing ₹1,253.
Fundamental Checks (Screener.in Recommended)
Sector: FMCG (Snacks - High Growth Potential)
Debt-to-Equity: Check if <0.5 (Low Debt Preferred)
Revenue Growth: Look for consistent 10%+ quarterly growth.
Margins: Stable/expanding operating margins (~10-15%).
Positional Trade Plan
✅ Entry Zone: ₹1,230-1,250 (Dip near support)
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹1,180 (Below recent swing low)
🎯 Targets:
₹1,400 (12% upside)
₹1,500 (20% upside – Trail SL)
⏳ Holding Period: 3-6 months (FMCG stocks trend steadily).
Confirmation Signals
Volume: Surge above 20-day avg volume on breakout.
Sector Tailwinds: Monsoon impact on raw material costs (potatoes/oil).
Earnings Date: Check Screener.in for upcoming results.
Risk Management
Avoid if Nifty FMCG index is under pressure.
Exit if price closes below SuperTrend line.
Final Verdict: Strong technical rebound + FMCG resilience = Solid positional trade. Always pair with fundamentals!
Dhanuka ,1DPattern Is looking very good for Breakout , Nifty is also Supporting also all the stocks for Bullish Breakouts , This Is best time to enter in breakout stocks .
Consider Only those stocks that seems Technically strong with Good Volume Breakouts and Strong close .
Risk According to your capacity and aim for 40% and Risk upto 4-5% for this trade , Mainly you have to give the Room to Fluctuate the Stock , according to this flucations you have to decide your Stop loss .
Take Only A+ Setups , so that your Accuracy Should Be High and Returns also High
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ABFRL , 1D Looking Very good pattern and ready for Breakout and Nifty is also Showing Bullishness , So Breakout will be very Clear and Good
Take Entry after the break of upper trendline and risk according to your risk taking capacity
in Expansion Channel this is channel Pattern and Breakout in 1D time Frame .
just risk 3-4 % of your allocation and Aim for 30% Maximum . You can book partial profits if it goes above 15% .
if it closes below the down trendline , you must be not in the trade
This is Just my point of View only
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