ADI SHORTwe have been keen observers of Moroccan real estate stocks since June 2023. after a spectacular two-year run, they have (ADH, ADI, & RDS) started showing signs of exhaustion.
ADI has formed a classic Head & Shoulder pattern signifying a potential reversal of the bullish trend. we will be looking to short once the recent retracement is complete.
bonus: ADH is also retracing after forming a double top.
RES DAR SAADA (RDS) Stock Analysis - Casablanca Stock ExchangeOverview and Current Price Movement:
The stock is currently 25% down from its all-time high (ATH) of 100. This decline indicates a correction phase after a significant rally.
The price is approaching a critical support zone, which aligns with the daily 200 moving average.
Historically, this moving average acts as a dynamic support level for many stocks, offering a potential entry point for long-term investors.
Entry Price and Risk Assessment:
Optimal entry price: The chart suggests an entry point of 72-73. This range is based on a confluence of technical factors, including:
Proximity to the 200 moving average.
The stock's recent support levels.
Maximum drawdown risk: A potential drawdown to the 61-63 range represents a 10-12% downside risk. This is the worst-case scenario if the stock breaks below key support levels.
Price Targets:
Conservative Price Target (TP1):
Target Price: 87.50
This represents a 20% upside from the optimal entry point. The price aligns with previous resistance levels and fits within a shorter-term recovery rally.
Optimistic Price Target (TP2):
Target Price: 100
This level represents a full recovery to the ATH, offering a 37% upside. The target is more achievable under a strong bullish trend, potentially driven by market catalysts or favorable earnings.
Technical Patterns and Indicators:
The chart indicates a descending triangle, a pattern often associated with bearish continuations. However, in this case, the price is near a breakout zone, which could result in upward momentum.
Key Resistance Levels:
The stock has tested resistance levels around 87-90 multiple times, making this a critical level for bullish confirmation. A breakout here may fuel the rally toward TP2.
Support Strength:
The 72-73 range has demonstrated strong buying interest in the past, making it a reliable level for entering trades with reduced downside risk.
Strategy Recommendations by @dogofwallstreets
Buy at 72-73:
Place limit orders within this range to capitalize on the optimal entry opportunity.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Consider placing a stop-loss around 61, which aligns with the worst-case scenario. This ensures risk is limited to 10-12% of capital.
Profit-Taking:
Start taking profits at 87.50 (TP1). For more aggressive strategies, hold until 100 (TP2), especially if the price action shows bullish momentum.
Here’s a detailed market analysis based on your chart for RDS (Res Dar Saada):
Overview and Current Price Movement
The stock is currently 25% down from its all-time high (ATH) of 100. This decline indicates a correction phase after a significant rally.
The price is approaching a critical support zone, which aligns with the daily 200 moving average. Historically, this moving average acts as a dynamic support level for many stocks, offering a potential entry point for long-term investors.
Entry Price and Risk Assessment
Optimal entry price: The chart suggests an entry point of 72-73. This range is based on a confluence of technical factors, including:
Proximity to the 200 moving average.
The stock's recent support levels.
Maximum drawdown risk: A potential drawdown to the 61-63 range represents a 10-12% downside risk. This is the worst-case scenario if the stock breaks below key support levels.
Price Targets
Conservative Price Target (TP1):
Target Price: 87.50
This represents a 20% upside from the optimal entry point. The price aligns with previous resistance levels and fits within a shorter-term recovery rally.
Optimistic Price Target (TP2):
Target Price: 100
This level represents a full recovery to the ATH, offering a 37% upside. The target is more achievable under a strong bullish trend, potentially driven by market catalysts or favorable earnings.
Technical Patterns and Indicators
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The chart indicates a descending triangle, a pattern often associated with bearish continuations. However, in this case, the price is near a breakout zone, which could result in upward momentum.
Key Resistance Levels:
The stock has tested resistance levels around 87-90 multiple times, making this a critical level for bullish confirmation. A breakout here may fuel the rally toward TP2.
Support Strength:
The 72-73 range has demonstrated strong buying interest in the past, making it a reliable level for entering trades with reduced downside risk.
Strategy Recommendations
Buy at 72-73:
Place limit orders within this range to capitalize on the optimal entry opportunity.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Consider placing a stop-loss around 61, which aligns with the worst-case scenario. This ensures risk is limited to 10-12% of capital.
Profit-Taking:
Start taking profits at 87.50 (TP1). For more aggressive strategies, hold until 100 (TP2), especially if the price action shows bullish momentum.
Market Sentiment and Outlook:
The stock's 200 moving average proximity and strong support zones suggest the potential for a rebound. However, any breakdown below 61-63 would signal further weakness.
A rally to the optimistic target is plausible if overall market conditions improve or if the company releases favorable updates.
Conclusion:
RDS (Res Dar Saada) is currently in a pivotal phase, offering a promising risk-reward ratio. The suggested entry range of 72-73 provides an excellent opportunity for both short-term gains (TP1: 87.50) and long-term upside (TP2: 100). Traders should monitor price action closely, especially around key support and resistance levels.
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Option 2:
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CasaBourse.zip
On the way to 600 DHs...watch closely!Based on my in-depth analysis, I remain confident and am maintaining my buy position on Alliances shares, despite the 23% gain already achieved. The indicators show me that the stock can easily reach the 600 DHs level, unless the market makers decide to change their strategy....
IAM ,Buyers are pushing to major levels ,what's next ?Hello ladies and gentleman ,According to my analysis of IAM ,I see that buyers return to push the price to our major levels 113 -143 "+40%",which is supported by a big bearish volume that indicates that we may see a reversal in the coming days ,also we will be looking for buying opportunities if we got a good confirmation in the levels between 88-94,that's why we'll be observing the market in the next days to get the opportunity to enter in earlier stage of the movement
I hope you appreciate my analysis ,If you have any suggestions ,please write it below to discuss it.