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MOEX Moscow testing the All Time Highs.Pullback before breakout?The Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is about to test today the 192.50 All Time High (ATH) made on May 10 2021. It was a similar Higher Lows rally that led to the ATH as this year's dashed Higher Lows Support. The current bullish leg has completed +80% since the last Higher Low, similar to the February 27 High (+79%). Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross, this strong Resistance combination (+80% and ATH) calls for a technical pull-back. In the last 4 years, the minimum such correction has been -12.93%. A decline repeat of such magnitude gives us a 167.50 target, exactly on the Higher Low trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
RUS:MOEXShort
by TradingShot
2
Tuimaz Zavod AvtobetonovozovInteresting company for a long run investment in the tracking production area, concrete field. Low volume less than 100 000 000 ₽ but speaking of a chart of the company it looks like ATR could go back to the 10.9 level where it was during first days of the september. Cherry on a pie is price in the moment of pumping do not go out of the R5/S5 pivots this means traders love the company and do not over-buy or over-sold it. Price target could be 280 ₽ or 360 ₽ for the common stock. Current relation of capitalisation to volume is 22.76 this means even due to low volume and low capitalisation company has a lot of minoritaries and this is good.
RUS:TUZA
by UnknownUnicorn462803
Set-up is there for one more move up in AFKS Russian large Investment company AFK Systems has nice technical potential for at least one more bullish leg up towards 19-21 region. Price could have ended its correction started in Aug'23 and could be forming the bottom of the new cup. In order to confirm this scenario, we need price to first hold its Sep's low at 16.60 and move decisively above its 50D MA, breaking out above 17.80 low cheat pivot. Not positioned in this name as for now, but will be looking to start entering if price moves closer to 17.80, consolidates for a day or two and breaks out above highs of 9th Oct.
RUS:AFKSLong
by artemfedorov
MoscowExchange is prone to take a rest soonRecord new account openings on MoscowExchange during 2023, has played its role in almost 90% stock advance since the year start. The stock and volume dynamics show strong uptrend with good signs of accumulation on a weekly chart. My chart analysis shows, that price has reached an important resistance zone of its strongest uptrend wave 3 at around 182 area and is now to be expected to re-base again, correcting ideally to its mid-term area of support: 155-166 area. We may also notice that price looks extended from its 10w MA, that is a historical cautious sign for continuation of short and mid-term advance. We may also notice, that in Mar23 once price went above 50D MA by 18% that led to 2 months of correction. Despite my bearish leaning short-term, my analysis still has room for price to extend to higher resistance targets to 195-200 area as an alt. wave 3 target. Trading thesis : if price breaks bellow 21ema, preferably with volume pick-up, I would expect a move down to 166-155 area. If price decides to instead move above 185, I expect it to find resistance in 195-200.
RUS:MOEXShort
by artemfedorov
POSI - Russian leader in cybersecurity The actuality of cybersecurity for Russia in the absence of global brands becomes even sharper and provides unique opportunities for the best local provider to capture growing market share. Stock price technical perspective still illustrates strong up-trend, with some caution signals to be mindful about if one decides to trade it. On a weekly time-frame, price is solidly supported above the 10w MA, that is crucial for me to consider trading the upside of any stock. Although, I cautious about important fibonacci resistance levels at 2500 area. I price will not be able to follow-through its recent break-out attempt from 5 weeks flat base and move above 2500 zone, than I have hard times considering wave 4 finished, and will expect more deep and long correction (probably to 2070-1850 support zone). That being sad, in my trading, I try not to forecast, but to follow the price and volume dynamics. And when the set-up is favourable and I have positive traction in my personal portfolio, I will take it without any hesitation. Thesis : Above 2415 line and I expect price to follow-through and move towards 2600-2800 resistance zone. Below this line and I am out, and wait either for more tight entry set-up or stepping on the sidelines at all.
RUS:POSILong
by artemfedorov
HHRU - Leading job-search company hints that... ... Russian labor market is far from being week. Due to massive wave's extensions beyond classic fibonacci levels, I am not placing big confidence on my EW count, but solely from market price and volume dynamics there is an argument to be made for price starting new advance to at least prior Sep's highs. Although, I am not a fan of big late-August weekly reversal candle, creating overhead supplies (potential downside pressure from those buyers who bough the Aug's highs and still holding loses), I do like how price finds support on ascending 10w MA line, that coincides with an ideal area for wave "iv" correction's support zone. So from the mid-term bullish price trend nothing is wrong or to be consider abnormal. Zooming in to the Daily landscape, we may observe, how the selling pressure subsides and price tries to form the right side of the potential "cup". Volume profile looks like how we want it to be with higher selling volume on the left side of the "cup" and higher buying volume on the right side of it. That potentially illustrate that sellers and their shares are being absorb by the buyers, that are starting to dominate moving the price up. General thesis : until price holds above 50D MA and in particular above 3050 area, at least one more wave to 4300 or even to 4900-5150 resistance zone could be considered. Short/Mid-Term thesis is wrong bellow 4300 zone. I did started building position in early October, I will consider holding if the price will not move below -3 and -5% from my average cost. I don't have any issues with stepping aside being stoped out and re-entering at the higher prices, if the price so wishes. All I need is tight risk-management parameters and price cooperating with my thesis in timely manner.
HLong
by artemfedorov
Lagger that refuses to fall and dreams about greatnessThe world's largest producer of nickel and palladium has had rather lackluster performance in 2023 advancing half as the general Russian Index. And still I cannot get over his accurate price structure that hints that better days are potentially ahead. I want the price to start forming the right side and later the handle of a cup, and break out above important Sep'22 and Sep'23 high - 17240 area. If price will not be able to hold Sep'23 15730 low, I would want the area above 15250 and 200D line to act as support. Bellow this levels the analysis is to be considered wrong and invalid. Trading thesis : cow-boy type longs (higher failure risk) may be considered above 16430 area with 3 and 5% stop levels.
RUS:GMKNLong
by artemfedorov
Russian Energy Sector play for Q4'23-Q1'24IRAO has very nice wave pattern and proper reaction to every relevant zone of support and resistance measured by fibonacci levels. It is yet hard to be sure that corrective wave iv has ended and the price is already on its wave to higher resistance zone, but on cannot fully negate this either. Trading thesis : Until price is bellow Sep's high 4.65, move deeper into support zone 4.24-4 is possible. If price manages, to move decisively above 4.55 and 4.65 with volume confirmation, longs with 3-5-7% staggered stops are strategy that I may utilise, expecting the price to move at least to 4.90-5.25 target resistance zone.
RUS:IRAOLong
by artemfedorov
Gazprom price retracement to the fair value 7th October 2023 Synopsis: Despite the conflict in Ukraine, Gazprom revenue is growing and currently on its historical high while price dropped to the 2016 level in US dollars. Price to the assets including oil subsidiary is on very low level. Large buyers started accumulating position according to Accum/Dist indicator. Entry: 1st- 1.5 USD (160 RUB), 2nd - 1.12 USD* (113 RUB) Target 3.0 USD (300 RUB) and above Duration: 180d * Potential new lower low in USD based on historical rubble price
RUS:GAZPLong
by fondOrange28771
1
MAGN - Setting up for advance in Q4 MAGN had a nice run since Oct22 advancing +157% since the bottom to recent Sep's top. Is the rally over, or do we have at least one more advance potential? My technical thesis supports the latter. I don't have high confidence in my ElliotWave count on this chart, due to price extensions beyond classical fibonacci levels, but from pure price and volume dynamics, one may suggest that price is in a base building process for at least one more advance to 59-61 area and even above it. Having a closer look on a Weekly chart, we may notice big green accumulation bars and good weekly bar closes during price advance and relatively low selling volume when price corrects. Notice how price gets supported every time it moves bellow this line - all that are signs of buyers proliferation and accumulation happening. For the confirmation of my thesis, I need price to stay above previous low (49) and decisively move above 53.5 pivot with volume support. That would put me into the game with tight stop-parameters. If the price will dive bellow 49 area, than my short/mid-term bullish thesis is wrong and price needs more time to digest its advance (if not something major bearish is in the cards for Russian equities). P.S. orange straight lines are my previous buy (bellow the bars) and sells points (above). Double bar above means complete exit from the position.
RUS:MAGNLong
by artemfedorov
RASP - It seems market is counting on dividends...... to be payed. Although the decision is not yet certain due to redomiciliation of head-company Evraz not yet launched by the management, my ElliotWave projection and price and volume analysis, shows that at least one more move higher to Aug's high and even beyond to 430-460 area could be considered by local short-term swing traders and or even position investors if personal risk-management parameters can tolerate higher single digit volatility. Thesis : if price holds above 319-307 support zone, and more preferable above 50D MA (red-line on the chart), any potential break-out above 360 pivot may be actionable for longs with tight 3-5% stoploss rules.
RUS:RASPLong
by artemfedorov
YNDX - Ideal support zone to start the launch YNDX has landed perfectly into the lowest border of my ideal support zone of my wave (iv) projection. Until 2320 holds, I will expect the price to: 1. Move above the short-term 8/21 EMA and long 50D MA and 10W MA; 2. Form the right side of the cup with buying volume predominating above any selling volume; 3. Any low-cheat/cheat or handle area break-out pivot to emerge, providing the low-risk entry point. What also provides me with confidence to expect the re-launching of the upward moving trend (although price is bellow the 10w MA) is the absence of any meaningful selling volume. The correction so far is below 20% and looks orderly. The analysis and the investment thesis is fully wrong bellow 2320 area.
RUS:YDEXLong
by artemfedorov
CHMF - One more Russian metalurgic play for Q4-Q1'24 From a both, technical and fundamental perspectives, It looks like Russian metalurgic and extraction complex sets-up for the next wave higher in this Q4, or maybe early next year. Maybe it is because of rubble current and future potential weakness, or because of the dividend that these companies (CHMF, MAGN, NLMK etc) pay or are planning to, we may observe rather neat base structures being in formation within supportive further advance ElliotWave structure. My general thesis for Severstal is that the price has bottomed in running flat type corrective structure (running flat are rare in EW and are signs of a bullishness) and now is basing for break-out to new this year highs closer to 1530-1580 zone where I may see next resistance zone. Please have look how price weekly advance is made on burst up in volume profile and how scares volume is, when price stops and digests its move. Holding above 10w line is crucial for me entertaining longs in any position and we may see how buyers actively support this moving average, not letting the price close bellow this line. My personal plan, is to start building position above 1400 zone, if price breaks out with volume, having tight risk-management parameters within 3-5% breathing room. I am perfectly fine staying out on the side line if the price will not cooperate or stops me out and waiting for the next low and time-right risk entry spot.
RUS:CHMFLong
by artemfedorov
Sber is already in the bottom of correctionSber was just closed gap from July 31. The highest price was on August 01 as 273.35 and the lowest today on 248.62, which is around 9% correction. Taking into account that average profit of Sber for 2023 forecasted for amount more than 1.3 trillion roubles and minimum dividends around 30 roubles per share, I think that the bottom price is already here. We are on the bottom of channel and from here price will going up. 1st midterm goal is to test ATH for 2023 - 273.35, next level is 280. In my view till the March 2024 price will reach 310.
RUS:SBERLong
by Gundex
MOEX-DVEC - It's time to sell (indicator Thewaved)The last signal to sell on this strategy was given September 15. The price of the asset at the time of entry into the trade was 5.262. Our goals for this trade are as follows. Take-Profit is set at . and Stop-Loss Order at At the moment, the price is moving well in the signal direction, and we have already had in profit of -3.59%. This is why it happens quite often after the previous trade is closed in a big profit. Actually, there is a little danger that the price will continue to move down. In such situations use Fibonacci levels in addition to the indicator signals. Their coincidence will give you a more confident to enter a position. And if we look back, what are we observing then several Long signals in a row - closed by stop-loss order and this gives a great probability of the descending trend reversal. In addition, at the entrance to the purchase, we have already had a great advantage over a huge number of investors. And the most important thing that I want to mention is that the price of the last entrance to the position is higher than the previous exit, and this almost always suggests that the signal will have a profit if no unpredictable events happen. And now let's move on to the most important part, statistics. What do we see from the results The total income on strategy we have 388.91%. The percentage of profitable trades is not so important to us, since the general profit is satisfactory. The profit factor equals 1.863 and this is an excellent result. And all the closed trades in our strategy are 38.
RUS:DVECShort
by brandlabelden
1
UWGN Sale!!!I didn't look what happened there! But clearly, something happened In a week, the price just collapsed by almost 73%! The control zone was simply stitched, there is not even anything to catch on, but there is a zone on a smaller TF! The price has already left the buy zone, but is under the price of the total volume in the control zone from the uptrend! While I was writing, the price went beyond the volume price There may be a correction and a hike below to the area of 51.0, 37.0, 27.9 on the highest timeframe!!! careful!!! But then it means the cars are rolling away!!!
RUS:UWGN
by InHoldOut