RASP - It seems market is counting on dividends...... to be payed.
Although the decision is not yet certain due to redomiciliation of head-company Evraz not yet launched by the management, my ElliotWave projection and price and volume analysis, shows that at least one more move higher to Aug's high and even beyond to 430-460 area could be considered by local short-term swing traders and or even position investors if personal risk-management parameters can tolerate higher single digit volatility.
Thesis : if price holds above 319-307 support zone, and more preferable above 50D MA (red-line on the chart), any potential break-out above 360 pivot may be actionable for longs with tight 3-5% stoploss rules.
YNDX - Ideal support zone to start the launch YNDX has landed perfectly into the lowest border of my ideal support zone of my wave (iv) projection.
Until 2320 holds, I will expect the price to:
1. Move above the short-term 8/21 EMA and long 50D MA and 10W MA;
2. Form the right side of the cup with buying volume predominating above any selling volume;
3. Any low-cheat/cheat or handle area break-out pivot to emerge, providing the low-risk entry point.
What also provides me with confidence to expect the re-launching of the upward moving trend (although price is bellow the 10w MA) is the absence of any meaningful selling volume. The correction so far is below 20% and looks orderly.
The analysis and the investment thesis is fully wrong bellow 2320 area.
CHMF - One more Russian metalurgic play for Q4-Q1'24 From a both, technical and fundamental perspectives, It looks like Russian metalurgic and extraction complex sets-up for the next wave higher in this Q4, or maybe early next year.
Maybe it is because of rubble current and future potential weakness, or because of the dividend that these companies (CHMF, MAGN, NLMK etc) pay or are planning to, we may observe rather neat base structures being in formation within supportive further advance ElliotWave structure.
My general thesis for Severstal is that the price has bottomed in running flat type corrective structure (running flat are rare in EW and are signs of a bullishness) and now is basing for break-out to new this year highs closer to 1530-1580 zone where I may see next resistance zone.
Please have look how price weekly advance is made on burst up in volume profile and how scares volume is, when price stops and digests its move. Holding above 10w line is crucial for me entertaining longs in any position and we may see how buyers actively support this moving average, not letting the price close bellow this line.
My personal plan, is to start building position above 1400 zone, if price breaks out with volume, having tight risk-management parameters within 3-5% breathing room.
I am perfectly fine staying out on the side line if the price will not cooperate or stops me out and waiting for the next low and time-right risk entry spot.
Sber is already in the bottom of correctionSber was just closed gap from July 31. The highest price was on August 01 as 273.35 and the lowest today on 248.62, which is around 9% correction. Taking into account that average profit of Sber for 2023 forecasted for amount more than 1.3 trillion roubles and minimum dividends around 30 roubles per share, I think that the bottom price is already here. We are on the bottom of channel and from here price will going up. 1st midterm goal is to test ATH for 2023 - 273.35, next level is 280. In my view till the March 2024 price will reach 310.
MOEX-DVEC - It's time to sell (indicator Thewaved)The last signal to sell on this strategy was given September 15.
The price of the asset at the time of entry into the trade was 5.262.
Our goals for this trade are as follows.
Take-Profit is set at .
and Stop-Loss Order at At the moment, the price is moving well in the signal direction, and we have already had in profit of -3.59%. This is why it happens quite often after the previous trade is closed in a big profit. Actually, there is a little danger that the price will continue to move down. In such situations use Fibonacci levels in addition to the indicator signals. Their coincidence will give you a more confident to enter a position. And if we look back, what are we observing then several Long signals in a row - closed by stop-loss order and this gives a great probability of the descending trend reversal. In addition, at the entrance to the purchase, we have already had a great advantage over a huge number of investors. And the most important thing that I want to mention is that the price of the last entrance to the position is higher than the previous exit, and this almost always suggests that the signal will have a profit if no unpredictable events happen. And now let's move on to the most important part, statistics.
What do we see from the results The total income on strategy we have 388.91%. The percentage of profitable trades is not so important to us, since the general profit is satisfactory. The profit factor equals 1.863
and this is an excellent result.
And all the closed trades in our strategy are 38.
UWGN Sale!!!I didn't look what happened there!
But clearly, something happened
In a week, the price just collapsed by almost 73%!
The control zone was simply stitched, there is not even anything to catch on, but there is a zone on a smaller TF!
The price has already left the buy zone, but is under the price of the total volume in the control zone from the uptrend!
While I was writing, the price went beyond
the volume price
There may be a correction and a hike below to the area of 51.0, 37.0, 27.9 on the highest timeframe!!!
careful!!!
But then it means the cars are rolling away!!!
$MRKV - it's time for a short short )It's needed for the shares of MOEX:MRKV to have a small correction from 0.065 to 0.049 before it will start a new ascending flow.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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Simple arbitrage FEES vs KUBEBuy troubled undervalued mother company FEES vs sell its shining overpriced subsidiary KUBE.
Risk/Award of the bet is estimated as 1 to 4. Conservative target profit ~ 60% per annum in 6 months. Possible profit ~ 100% per annum. Arrow points to targeted area.
Complete fail shall be recognised if drawdown exceeds 30% of initial capital.
$FIVE keep on running upMOEX:FIVE shown Flag form and started rally to the top.
Resistance is on the level of 2000-2200.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#investing #stocks #idea #forecast #furoreggs
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CAZPROM BUYHello, according to my analysis of cazprom stock. There is a very good buying opportunity. The stock reached a very strong support. We note that the price has returned from this area a lot. And he couldn't break it. Also, the weekly candlestick is very strong, showing us a strong entry for buyers. good luck for everbody
Levels of Interest $RTGZ (Part owner of Rosatom // Uranium)TA on levels of interest for $RTGZ.
Please note that this is a preliminary research paper and you should continue to do your own research (DYOR). Information about assets can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay updated with the most recent developments.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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