Russian stock continue to dipRussia Stock Market
Russian Stocks End Week 8% Lower
Technically speaking Russian stock has being in a down trend since the war as it continues to form lower highs and lower lows.
The MOEX Russian Index closed 1.7% down at 2,232 on Friday, extending the weekly loss to 8%, pressured by financial stocks as investors continue to monitor moves by the Central Bank of Russia ahead of their meeting next week. After stating that the Russian economy “will enter a period of structural transformation” in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, interpreted as signals of harsh economic contraction, CBR Governor Nabiullina signaled that the bank could slash rates further in its next decision. Risks of a sixth EU sanctions package pressured Sberbank to lose 1.4%. Lukoil declined 3.7%, closing the week 22% down, as European states seek alternative energy supplies while the EU Commission announced it was working on cost cutting measures to make a Russian oil embargo possible. Meanwhile, Novatek fell 2.9% after it announced it will not publish its operating results for Q1, citing the suspensions of depository receipts from international bourses and sanctions as reasons.
Why you can lose your investments on SBER So technically we have the same picture like Alibaba - WXY
PUSRPOSE IS 68 rub
WHY WILL WE HAVE SO TOUGH FALL:
1) Short position denial
2) non-residents have no ability to sell
3) WE HAVE 1 TRILLION FOR BUYING STOCKS AND WE STILL DIDN'T SEE THAT MONEY IN THE DEPTH OF MARKET( FNB doesn't want to buy at these levels )
4)Traders are not fools and they are gonna make a lot of limit positions i guess
Make a screen if i'm gonna be right don't tell me that i didn't warned you :)
- If like my analysis subscribe and make a comment bellow about that stock
Symmetrical Triangle in Downtrend (Bearish) SBER In my opinion, there is a very small probability that the price will reach 140, but such a phenomenon is quite possible as a false breakdown. Classic textbook triangle. The price jump was caused by the purchase of the product by the Ministry of Finance of Russia, there is an assumption that interest in this instrument will fall.
🧑🚀Yandex. Growth prospects.● YNDX: 🕐 1D
In the long term, Yandex shares may rise in price significantly, however, like most other securities of Russian issuers.
The counting of the wave structure on the daily interval encourages the adoption of a trading decision in favor of a long position.
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● YNDX: 🕐 2h
Perhaps the complication of ⓒ of Y of (2) to the ending diagonal with the achievement of the target zone indicated by the blue channel. A buy recommendation from my side will follow only if there are waves 1 - 2 as part of the expected intermediate wave (3) .
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Crimea 2014 vs. TodayThis is an event based chart for context on the current Ukraine/Russia war. Crimea was certainly different but the comparison could be valuable. What I can gleen from this is markets bottomed when bilateral talks began. Whether Russia defaults or not remains to be seen (bond payment is due Mid March)
no World War 3 - better be long MOEXhi fellow traders,
since very long time that such a simple theme popped on my radar and it is so easy to lay down the reasoning.
all is based on a single geo-political fact, war world 3 to happen or not, if happens I assume that all stock markets will free fall, crash, and get demolished. including MOEX.
if world war 3 will not start, we have the MOEX as attractive long for the following reasons:
1- commodities rally of recent months to serve MOEX and the Russian Ruble very well, they are going to cash the commodities rush.
2- the Russian Ruble is heavily oversold, its handling by the Russian central bank is very healthy and offers great nominal carry reward, MOEX is quoted in Rubles.
3- if we get off the headlines of the "news" institutions/organizations, Russia is definitely a young tiger wishing to turn into a great tiger.
remember, central bank with positive real yields is strong signal for very healthy macro policy running the economy.
in case you are interested, I have list of specific listed companies that are on my buy and hold list, the investment theme includes calculation made for future dividends and in general it is a theme for the next 3-10 years with clear targets for scale-out / scale-in activities during the journey every 8/21 weeks cycle depends on each specific listed stock within the theme. for that you need to contact me directly.
so, risk is world war 3 and reward is best available investment in a currency and stock index directly exposed to commodities bull/boom/flight cycle.
the ideas are mine, the decision is yours!
good luck
War with Ukraine Provides Buying OpportunityWe may have a good and simple long-term investment on our hands, for those who are able to trade overseas.
A sharp sell-off has provided a new lower low, followed by a very swift bounce.
Watch for further consolidation before jumping in long-term.
Noted are support and resistance levels, with swing-term trade action.
MOEX: - Moscow Exchange shares to the MOEX IndexYes, the situation is lousy, but it provides an opportunity to make money - to buy shares of the Moscow stock exchange at a huge discount. Also interesting is the correlation between the index.
I am a realist, but now I am sure that the situation with the war will be resolved quickly enough and the market will return its capital capacity, so like this.
The target is 20% on medium-term growth.
Markets In Guernica - Sad Day for Humanity 🤕🩸🥶''In Guernica Lyrics
In Guernica the dead children were layed out in order on the sidewalk
In their white starched dresses
In their pitiful white dresses
On their foreheads and breasts the little round holes where death came in as thunder while they were playing their important summer games
Do not weep for them, Madre
They are gone forever, the little ones
Straight to heaven to the saints
And God will fill the bullet holes with candy''
May Peace and Logic prevail immediately. Such a small planet, yet so much stupidity 🤕🩸🥶
the FXPROFESSOR
Gazprom - a drop in the ocean of shares.Continuation.
On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since 50 % of the shares are owned by the state and the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of Gazprom's shares depends on mass psychology.
With time in the distant future, not everything is clear.