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ANG: Automating InformationWednesday 20 March 2024, 06h30 | ANG Anglogold Ashanti | This year’s highest end-of-day close for the share was on Monday 11 March at 42373c. At the end of that trading day, the Tactical Trading Guide gave you the following reading: “Strong upside move but momentum is slowing, with sellers becoming active”. During the next trading session, the share was lower by 4.28% and has since declined further, testing a low of 38239c during yesterday’s session. Below is the updated chart as of yesterday’s close, shown with the reading on the day which the share peak. Below the chart is yesterday’s end of day reading from the Tactical Trading Guide. For long re-entries, the previous breakout level at the 50-day EMA is a confluence zone. As you’ll note the medium term time frame (2 to 4 weeks) states that traders could watch the 50-day EMA as a range for a rebound buy/long. For active traders, there are plenty of opportunities.
JSE:ANG
by techpers
Our opinion on the current state of SBKStandard Bank (SBK), a stalwart in South Africa's financial landscape with a 160-year history, stands as the country's second-largest bank by market capitalization, trailing only behind First National Bank. Its footprint extends across Africa, with operations in various countries on the continent contributing 34% of its headline earnings. Notably, 20% of its shares are held by the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), and the bank itself owns 40% of ICBC Standard Bank. The bank has adapted to the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, with approximately 70% of its staff transitioning to remote work arrangements. However, it continues to grapple with issues such as load-shedding in South Africa and the lingering effects of the coronavirus on the economy. Despite these challenges, Standard Bank presents an enticing long-term investment opportunity for private investors, particularly as economic conditions improve post-COVID-19. Standard Bank's strategic moves, such as its offer for the ordinary and preference shares in Liberty Holdings (LBH) announced on July 15, 2021, have bolstered its position. Liberty shareholders received 0.5 Standard Bank shares and R25.50 in cash for each LBH ordinary share, implying a valuation of just under R90 per LBH share—a 33% premium to its pre-announcement price. The bank's financial performance for the year ending December 31, 2023, reflects its resilience and growth trajectory. Headline earnings per share (HEPS) surged by 26%, accompanied by a robust return on equity (ROE) of 18.8%. Additionally, the company's net asset value (NAV) rose by 8% to 14269c per share. A significant driver of this performance is the bank's Africa Regions franchise, which contributed 42% to group headline earnings. Notable contributors include operations in Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, Nigeria, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Standard Bank benefits from the current high interest rate environment and its diversification into African markets. From a technical standpoint, Standard Bank's share price has been on a strong upward trend since hitting a low at 14910c on May 30, 2023. With a price-to-earnings ratio (P:E) of 7.18 and a dividend yield (DY) of 6.12%, the stock is considered to offer good value to investors.
JSE:SBK
by PDSnetSA
Our opinion on the current state of YRKYork Timber Holdings (YRK) is a prominent forestry company in South Africa, boasting ownership of plantations, processing plants, and a wholesaling distribution network. Established by Russian immigrant Herman Katzenellenbogen in 1916, the company has been listed on the JSE since 1946 and holds a significant position in the country's plywood and timber market. Over the years, York Timber Holdings has faced challenges stemming from the construction industry's downturn, particularly since the onset of the sub-prime crisis in 2008. Despite reaching a peak in July 2007 with shares valued at R40, the company has experienced a downward or sideways trend in its share price since then. Recent announcements have further impacted investor sentiment. A strike at the company's Escarpment operations, responsible for 51% of its revenue, was reported on May 13, 2022, contributing to production disruptions. Additionally, a decision to conduct a rights issue to raise R250 million, announced on December 5, 2022, led to a sharp decline in the share price. In its financial results for the year ending June 30, 2023, York Timber Holdings reported a 9% decrease in revenue and a headline loss per share of 76c, compared to a restated profit of 53c in the previous period. The company attributed the loss to various factors, including costs related to load shedding, diesel, external log purchases, and reduced sales, resulting in a decline in net asset value (NAV) from 857c to 579c per share. Despite these challenges, York Timber Holdings remains accessible to private investors, with approximately R183,000 worth of shares traded daily. However, the company's technical outlook indicates a downward trend since the beginning of 2022, underscoring its volatility and its sensitivity to construction-related factors. In a trading statement for the six months ending December 31, 2023, the company projected a further decline in headline earnings per share (HEPS) by 62% to 67%, citing expectations of significantly lower cash generated from operations compared to the previous comparative period. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating York Timber Holdings as an investment opportunity.
JSE:YRK
by PDSnetSA
Our opinion on the current state of CLIClientele Life (CLI) operates as a small insurance company specializing in the sale of short- and long-term policies and underwriting insurance products. The company distributes its products through agents, brokers, and tele-sales channels. In its financial results for the year ending 30th June 2023, Clientele Life reported a 15% increase in headline earnings per share (HEPS) and achieved a return on average shareholders' interest of 43%. Additionally, the company attained a return on embedded value of 12%. Clientele Life highlighted the challenging trading environment marked by factors such as low economic growth, persistent load-shedding, and difficulties in premium collections. On 3rd November 2023, Clientele Life announced the acquisition of 1Life Insurance for R1.914 billion, to be funded by issuing 117,815,756 ordinary shares in Clientele. Despite anticipating a decline in HEPS ranging between 37% and 57% in the trading statement for the six months ending 31st December 2023, the company emphasized its sound solvency and liquidity position, with continued strong positive cash flows. Trading at a price-to-earnings (P:E) ratio of 7.8, the company's shares appear attractively priced. Moreover, Clientele Life's shares witness sufficient trading activity to accommodate most private investors. From our perspective, the current valuation offers reasonable value, with potential for direct benefits as the South African economy shows signs of improvement. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating investment opportunities in Clientele Life.
JSE:CLI
by PDSnetSA
Our opinion on the current state of MCZMC Mining (previously "Coal of Africa") (MCZ) operates as a small metallurgical coal-mining company primarily focused on its single producing mine, Uitkomst. In addition to Uitkomst, the company is actively developing several projects including the Makhado project, the Vele colliery, and MbeuYashu. Among these, the Makhado project stands out as the flagship operation situated in the Limpopo province. This opencast mine boasts a projected lifespan of 16 years with the potential for extension. A significant milestone for the Makhado project was reached in January 2019 with the announcement of the acquisition of surface rights, crucial for its viability. Production at Makhado is anticipated to commence by the end of 2020, aiming to produce 800,000 tons of hard coking coal and 1 million tons of export thermal coal. This acquisition substantially reduces risks associated with the project, enhancing its attractiveness as an investment opportunity. To support the Makhado project, the Industrial Development Corporation (IDC) has provided R245 million in funding, yet an additional R530 million is still required. The company holds a 69% stake in Baobab Mining and Exploration, the entity that owns the Makhado project. In its financial results for the six months ending 31st December 2023, MC Mining reported a remarkable 80% increase in revenue. However, the company experienced a headline loss of 145c (US) per share, a significant increase from the loss of 50c in the previous period. Despite challenging international thermal coal prices, Uitkomst Colliery delivered encouraging results, generating revenue of $16.3 million and operating cash flows of $5.1 million for the period. From a technical perspective, the share price of MC Mining exhibited a spike between July and September 2022, followed by a subsequent decline to lower levels. As a volatile commodity share, MC Mining faces inherent risks associated with mining exploration and development, coupled with high debt levels. On average, approximately R280,000 worth of shares change hands each day, indicating relatively low liquidity in the market for this stock. Investors should carefully consider these factors before making investment decisions.
JSE:MCZ
by PDSnetSA
Our opinion on the current state of LBRLibstar (LBR) is a recently listed decentralised food and beverage company that specializes in producing "consumer packaged goods." The company successfully raised R3 billion in an initial public offer (IPO) in May 2018. Libstar boasts ownership of prominent brands like Denny, a leading mushroom supplier, and Lancewood, renowned for its dairy products and other food brands. With a diverse portfolio, Libstar manufactures over 9000 products and has introduced 88 new products in the past six months alone. One of Libstar's key strategies involves producing private label brands for major retailers such as Spar, Woolworths, Pick 'n Pay, and Shoprite. The company operates with a decentralized structure, where autonomous production units receive support and investment from a centralised head office. Additionally, Libstar actively engages in acquisitions, providing capital, expertise, and support to bolster its operations. However, Libstar faces challenges stemming from various economic factors, including load-shedding, civil unrest, retrenchments, high unemployment, the lingering effects of COVID-19, and recent developments in central Europe. Given its heavy reliance on consumer spending, these factors significantly impact its performance. In its financial results for the year ending 31st December 2023, Libstar reported a 5.2% increase in revenue, while normalised headline earnings per share (HEPS) declined by 11.2%. The company attributed 10.0% of its sales growth to selling price inflation and mix changes. However, sales volume experienced a 4.8% decline across retail, industrial, and export channels. Moreover, Libstar faced a notable increase in net finance costs on interest-bearing debt, rising by 53.3% due to the full-period impact of the Johannesburg interbank average lending rate (JIBAR) compared to the previous period. Currently, Libstar trades at a multiple of 7.34 with a dividend yield (DY) of 3.43%. From a technical standpoint, the share has been on a downward trend for some time. It is advisable to wait for a clear break above the long-term downward trendline before considering further investment.
JSE:LBR
by PDSnetSA
Quilter Seeking A Cycle LowQuilter is in the timing band for a daily cycle low, we will know this is confirmed when price closes above the pink resistance line set over recent price action. Investors who missed the bus can consider this as a safer entry point, higher risk accepting investors can buy before confirmation by considering how price is bouncing off the support of 200DMA, dashed trendline & horizontal black line, triple support is much stronger support to break on pullbacks.
JSE:QLTLong
by runyamhere
SSW.JSE Sibanye Stillwater Up +45% from Recent Low.Sibanye Stillwater - SSW Listed on the JSE is up +45% from the Recent Low. I did a Fibonacci Trace from the recent Low to the High to plot the Key Level Targets. This will obviously take a long time and assumes no serious bad news events. Like most of us I am also Down on this one, and I'm DCA any extra spare cash in. Hit that Rocket Boost Button to Show your Appreciation for my Chart Studies. Invest wisely and get a few Experts Advice before making any Decisions'. Regards Graham.
JSE:SSWLong
by hitchcoxg