Indorama Ventures PCL ( IVL ) cooling off after big gainsMonstrous rally off of an inverted head and shoulders support. Banking a +- 70 % gain over a 3-4 month period.
Stock seems to be cooling off now, which might indicate some profit taking in order to protect those gains.
No position, with a neutral view. I'll be Watching for downside pressure and might get interested at 23 baht again for a trade.
Growth + Float = Delta money gameSET:DELTA is the best performing large-cap stock since Covid time - the stock is the thiry-bagger from end of 2019 to today (7 Nov 24) - generating massive return to its shareholders and executives.
>> Not a new kid on the block :
Pre-covid, Delta had decent financial performance. The company consistently achieved revenue and earnings growth and was profitable through cycles. It's also a reliable dividend payer - deliver 3%+ yield to its shareholders.
Single-digit growth and contistent dividend payout were Delta's characterictics back in the old days. As such, DELTA P/E had been in the mid-teens.
>> I want it all
In 2018, Delta announced the voluntary tender offer deltathailand.com at the price of 71 Baht/share (Bt 10 par). The company said the tender offer aimed to strengthen Delta's manufacturing capabilities and sales support in Southeast Asia.
Tender process concluded in mid 2019, reducing the free float from 37% to 22% .
RJH: 15 Oct 20247 Oct 2024
CP 23.2
Tailwind
-Fct 3Q24 highest in last 2 yrs. Nomally comes from Cash and SSO
Headwind
-4Q24 is off-peak season -> revenue drop QoQ but increasing YoY
-Fct SG&A increasing from preparing to open new branch (RNK) in Oct'24 -> beware of Depreciation in Y25
-Adjust Relative Weight (RW) from 12K to 7K. Debating still on to push not to over 15K
-Affect from investment in RAM. SH's cost 28.2 current price is 23
KS TP 23.80 Fct EPS 1.58 PE 15
MOS 20% @ 19.04
MOS 25% @ 17.85
MOS 30% @ 16.66
SET BBGI Plan 1 Oct 16 AUG 24
Breakout 6.10 Consider buy next bar. Resistance is high = high profit
BBGI trand follow SET trend, precaution of falling following SET index.
5 SEP 24
Trend still beautiful.
Sideway up to upper frame between 6.75 - 7.35
big resistance at 7.35.
TP goal at 7.35
1 Oct 2024
Still follow same plan.
Price is still higher than 6.75.
TIDLOR: Trend and Trading1 Oct 2024
CP 18.30
-End EW 5th wave -> wait retracement back to around 61.8% (16.5)- 50% (15.7)
-Indicators (STOCH/RSI/MACD/SmartMCDX/ADX & DI/MFI) all show downward trend
Y24 TP21
MOS 20%@ 16.80
MOS 25%@ 15.75
MOS 30%@ 14.70
Analysis on DOHOME.BK: Worth keeping eyes onDear all
This dohome consolidate by the big donwtrend line for so longgggggggggg.
And the momentum is coming today.
If you want to bet, now its the time !!.
remember stop loss is your best friends.
if it is not your setup, just wait !!
this is not financial advice, just random guy wanted to share his view.
Best Regards,
TraderPP
BANPU | TFW Target Downtrend C.5-wave - Breakout Buy TP+80%BANPU wave analysis - target downtrend C.5-wave 4.50 - 4.00 zone
Entry: Buy on breakout downtrend line - ma20w dynamic resistance 3 breakout after bullish divergence often a real reversal.
Target: Key resistance @ 8.00 zone +60-80% profit
Support Indicator: MACD TFW doubled bullish divergence golden cross
CKP Fct 3/4Q2422 Sept 2024
Current Price 3.78
-Price Pattern shows symmetrical triangle -> wait till break trend line -> up or down
-Fct 3Q24 core profit ~ 800-900 THB (+QoQ -YoY)
Headwind
-Fct 3Q24 OP is not good due to XPCL site (contribute 32% of total CKP's capacity) shut down (2 times) -> over flow water from China
-La Nina will take less impact -> low supply -> NP drop
Tailwind
-FED cut int rate 50 bps (every 25bps affect 80-90M) -> 3/4QY24 NP improve ~ 180MTHB but cannot subside shutdown/lower output from XPCL
-THB appreciate -> Hedging -> Capital Gain
-LPBL construction progress ~ 30 and does not get affect from flooding
TP 4THB
MOS 20%@ 3.2
MOS 25%@ 3.0
MOS 30%@ 2.8
SCB Bank of thailand up side trends The financial situation in Thailand is waiting for a big economic stimulus from this government and the tendency to have a policy interest rate from the Bank of Thailand, causing the banking group to rise again even though the price has increased by 10% before and there are still opportunities ahead.
WHA plan 16 Aug 202416 AUG still using same plan
6 AUG 2204
1. support 4.9 - 5.00
2. techincal shows triangulation support-resistance
3. monitor if the price crossing up 5.15-5.20 then follow buy
if not monitor if the price drop down the strand line and standing
4. if crossing down 4.9 then cut and wait