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WISE PLC - SUPPORT LEVEL - SELLING OPPORTUNITYWise had experienced a surge in share price as the company had collaboration with Standard Chartered banks and Morgan Stanley on using Wise's infrastructure for foreign currency remittance. The share price had been met with selling pressure when the US stock faced faces a dip. Right now the price broke through the support level at 973. The selling pressure in the US market had not subside. The momentum will continue. Estimated target price at 717.
LSE:WISEShort
by Shinlu
Long Upland Resources for a potential 75% + increase n my considered estimation, we stand on the precipice of a potentially transformative announcement from Upland Resources, with the temporal horizon suggesting mere days until the dissemination of favorable tidings. Should the company unveil substantive developments pertaining to its prospective ventures within the geopolitically significant domains of Brunei and/or Sarawak, the financial implications could be profound. Such disclosures, particularly if they illuminate advancements in exploration or production initiatives, might catalyze a robust revaluation of the company’s equity valuation—a phenomenon colloquially termed a “re-rate” in market parlance. The intricate interplay of regional energy dynamics and Upland’s strategic positioning in Southeast Asia amplifies the potential for such news to serve as a fulcrum for share price appreciation. Investors, attuned to the nuances of upstream oil and gas prospects, may perceive any concrete progress—be it in the form of production-sharing contracts, joint ventures, or technical milestones—as a signal to recalibrate their risk-reward calculus. This, in turn, could precipitate a surge in market sentiment, driving a virtuous cycle of capital inflows and upward price momentum, thereby rewarding those with the prescience to anticipate this inflection point in Upland Resources’ corporate narrative.
LSE:UPLLong
by henrymcivor
A Bearish Case for Diageo: Breaking Critical Support LevelsThe descending triangle pattern on Diageo’s weekly chart presents a strong bearish signal, suggesting that the stock may be poised for a deeper decline. Historically, descending triangles indicate mounting selling pressure, and with price action nearing critical support levels, the risk of a breakdown is significantly high. Currently, Diageo is approaching key lows last seen in 2020, around 2050, a level that previously acted as a strong support zone. However, the confluence of technical factors suggests this support may not hold: 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Confluence – Just below 2050, the 2026 level aligns with a key long-term Fibonacci retracement. While this could act as a temporary support zone, the broader technical setup suggests further weakness. 2️⃣ The Psychological 2000 Level – Round numbers often serve as psychological barriers in the market, but with a descending triangle breakdown, this level may fail to provide meaningful support. 3️⃣ Measured Move Target: 1875 – When analysing the height of the descending triangle pattern, its projected move suggests a breakdown well beyond the above-mentioned support levels. A clean breach of 2050 could see a swift move lower, with 1885 emerging as the next major target. With the weight of these technical indicators aligning, the path of least resistance appears to be downward. Unless Diageo finds an unexpected catalyst for recovery, breaking these key levels could trigger further selling momentum, forcing the stock into deeper correction territory. Traders and investors should approach this setup with caution, as the evidence strongly favours a bearish continuation. 🚨📉 N.B. Understanding the Descending Triangle Pattern A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern that forms when the price action is characterized by a series of lower highs converging towards a horizontal support level. This pattern signals increasing selling pressure, as buyers fail to push prices higher while sellers continuously drive prices downward. Key Features of a Descending Triangle 1️⃣ Horizontal Support Line – The price consistently finds support at a particular level, creating a flat base. 2️⃣ Lower Highs – Price fails to reach previous highs, forming a descending trendline. 3️⃣ Breakout Expectation – A descending triangle typically breaks downward once sellers overwhelm buyers at the support level. 4️⃣ Volume Decline & Expansion – Volume usually declines as the pattern develops and increases significantly at the breakout. ________________________________________ How to Measure the Descending Triangle To predict a potential price target, traders measure the height of the triangle and project it downward from the breakout point. ✅ Step 1: Identify the Pattern • Find the flat support level where price repeatedly bounces. • Draw a descending trendline connecting the lower highs. ✅ Step 2: Measure the Height • Take the distance from the highest point of the triangle (initial peak before lower highs start forming) to the horizontal support level. • Example: If the high of the triangle is 2675 and the support level is 2275, the height is 400 points. ✅ Step 3: Project the Breakdown Target • Once price breaks below the support level, subtract the measured height from the breakdown point. • Example: If the breakdown occurs at 2275, then: o 2275 - 400 = 1875 (expected price target). ________________________________________ Confirming the Breakout 📉 Bearish Confirmation: • A daily or weekly close below support, ideally with an increase in volume. • Retests of the broken support level that now act as resistance. ⚠️ False Breakouts: • Sometimes, price may briefly dip below support and reverse higher. • Confirmation is key before entering trades based on the descending triangle pattern. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts A descending triangle is a powerful bearish signal, particularly when seen in downtrends. Traders use it to identify potential breakdown opportunities and set realistic price targets. Risk management is crucial, as false breakouts can occur, and waiting for confirmation increases the probability of a successful trade. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
LSE:DGEShort
by The_STA
Mercia Asset Management NAV >54pBased on their balance sheet (FCF) their NAV is around 54p. They have a diversified investment portfolio and a strong management team. I bid for monies from them once with a spin -out company in the medical technology space, they are savvy investors in my opinion and invest where there is tangible evidence of a forward order book and sales growth, not cash burn. There has been a significant accumulation of the shares over the last 5 days, some are accumulating a position from 27.5p +
LSE:MERCLong
by NaelUK
Swatch stock is considered a contrarian story for a few key reasSwatch stock could be considered a contrarian investment due to a combination of factors suggesting it's currently undervalued and facing headwinds, while also possessing inherent strengths that could lead to a future turnaround. Here's a breakdown of why: Negative Sentiment & Challenges: Contrarian Investment Thesis (Potential Upsides): Contrarian Classification: Stockopedia classifies Swatch as a "Contrarian" stock based on a composite score of fundamental and technical measures. This suggests that the stock exhibits characteristics that are out of favor but potentially offer value. Undervalued: Swatch is currently undervalued. Strong Financial Health: Despite challenges, InvestingPro data indicates Swatch maintains a "GOOD" financial health score with positive indicators. The company has impressive gross profit margins and a strong current ratio, indicating operational efficiency and liquidity. Solid Balance Sheet: Swatch has a strong balance sheet with substantial cash and equivalents, and significant property value, with very little financial debt. Dividend Yield: Swatch offers a dividend yield of around 3.92%, providing some return for investors even during a downturn. Experienced Management & Family Ownership: The Hayek family's partial ownership suggests management is invested in the long-term success of the company. Potential for Recovery: Swatch itself suggests 2025 "promises positive momentum worldwide," although they acknowledge continued restraint in Chinese demand. Brands & Market Position: Swatch owns well-known brands across different price segments, giving it a broad market reach.
LSIN:0QJV
by StockBlog
THE DIAMOND MARKET: TRADITION MEETS INNOVATION💎 THE DIAMOND MARKET: TRADITION MEETS INNOVATION Sector Analysis | February 8, 2025 By: @dcalphaofficial Introduction The diamond sector in 2025 stands at a crossroads between tradition and innovation. Natural diamond markets are under siege, with revenue declines and shifting consumer preferences, while lab-grown diamonds 🧪 continue to gain market share. In this analysis, we break down the financial performance, key players, market trends, and strategic investment opportunities shaping the sector's future. 1. Market Size and Performance 📊 Natural Diamonds: Valued at $94.19 billion in 2023, projected to reach $128.18 billion by 2032 (CAGR: 4.5%). Recent volatility 📉: Chinese demand has dropped by 50% since pre-pandemic levels, leading to oversupply. Lab-Grown Diamonds: Expected to hit $38.86 billion by 2029 (CAGR: 8.3%). Market share is rising 📈 due to ethical sourcing 🌱 and affordability 💲, especially for engagement rings. 2. Key Players in the Sector 🏆 Natural Diamond Companies: De Beers LSE:AAL : Revenue fell to $4.3 billion in 2024; strategic restructuring is underway. Alrosa PJSC: Holding 30% of global supply despite Western sanctions; maintaining alternative sales channels. Petra Diamonds ( LSE:PDL ) & Gem Diamonds ( CBOE:GEMD ): Focused on high-value rare stones to mitigate pressure. Lab-Grown Diamond Companies: Diamond Foundry: Producing high-quality diamonds for jewelry and industrial use. Lightbox: De Beers’ venture; initially aimed at budget-conscious buyers but now faces fierce competition. ABD Diamonds & Clean Origin: Direct-to-consumer leaders with a strong ethical appeal. 3. Financial Analysis 💰 Natural diamonds: Revenue down 21% 📉 due to inventory buildup and low demand. Lab-grown firms: Experiencing production growth 📈, with volumes doubling in key markets. Profitability: Natural diamond companies are under pressure, while lab-grown firms enjoy higher margins 💲—but face pricing pressures. Valuation Metrics: P/E Ratios: Negative for many natural diamond firms, reflecting concerns. P/S Ratios: Low for natural diamonds, possibly indicating undervaluation 🤔, while lab-grown firms' ratios remain high due to growth expectations. 4. Market Trends and Challenges 📈🔍 Consumer Trends: Younger demographics favor lab-grown diamonds 🌱 due to ethical and financial reasons. Supply & Demand: Oversupply of natural diamonds is suppressing prices 📉, while lab-grown production continues to grow steadily. Technological Innovation: Advances in lab-grown diamond tech have democratized access, raising saturation concerns. Regulatory Environment: Sanctions on Russian diamonds 🇷🇺. Evolving regulations around certification and marketing for lab-grown diamonds. 5. Investment Thesis 💡 Natural Diamonds: Undervaluation Potential: Companies like Anglo American (De Beers' parent) may offer value if market recovery succeeds. Risks: High volatility 📉, geopolitical risks 🌍, and competition from lab-grown diamonds 🧪. Lab-Grown Diamonds: Growth Opportunity: Strong case for firms scaling production while keeping quality high. Challenges: Market saturation ⚠️, pricing pressures, and need for brand differentiation. 6. Strategic Recommendations 📊💼 Diversification: Look for companies offering both natural and lab-grown diamonds, or those with strong commodity portfolios 🛢️. Innovation Focus: Target firms leveraging industrial applications for lab-grown diamonds, which could support long-term growth. Market Timing: Monitor for signs of market recovery in natural diamonds or major strategic shifts 🔄 (e.g., De Beers' restructuring). Conclusion 🏁 The diamond market’s future depends on adaptation to consumer trends and embracing innovation. Natural diamond companies face the challenge of revitalizing demand, while lab-grown firms need to manage growth and pricing pressures. Both offer investment opportunities but require careful strategic navigation. 💬 What’s your take on the diamond market's future? Will natural diamonds make a comeback, or will lab-grown diamonds dominate the market?
LSE:AAL
by DCAChampion
1
$AAL ANGLO AMERICAN: ROCK SOLID OR CRACKING UNDER PRESSURE?💥 ANGLO AMERICAN: ROCK SOLID OR CRACKING UNDER PRESSURE? Is Anglo American ( LSE:AAL ) a hidden gem 💎 or just another miner struggling with the weight of falling revenues and shaky markets? Let’s break it down with real data and fresh insight! 👇 1/ Revenue collapse? Yep. FY 2024 revenue plummeted 📉 12.72% from £35.12B to £30.65B. Net income: Crashed 93.73%, from £4.51B to a measly £283M. 💸 EPS tanked 93.70%, but Q4 production of copper and iron ore beat expectations. 📊 2/ What’s Anglo’s Plan? 🤔 They're reshaping their portfolio with a $4.9B growth strategy. Restructuring, asset sales, and potential Amplats spinoffs are on the table. The big question: Can these moves revive profitability? 🔄 3/ Undervalued or just stuck in the mud? 💲 Price today: 2,548.00p Analyst target: 2,629.29p—modest upside, but deeper models say 32% undervaluation based on recovery potential. 📈 What would you do? Buy the dip, or wait it out? 🤔 4/ How’s it doing vs. competitors? 🏆 Compared to BHP, Rio Tinto, and Glencore: Anglo shows mixed performance—some production wins, but revenue and earnings are lagging. Competitors have been quicker to capitalize on demand for metals like iron ore and copper. 5/ The Risk Factor ☠️: Commodity price swings: When metals drop, so does Anglo. 💣 Operational risks: Labor shortages and regulatory headaches, especially in South Africa 🇿🇦 and Brazil 🇧🇷. Environmental scrutiny: Mining faces rising costs tied to sustainability 🌱 and compliance. 6/ SWOT Analysis 💡 Strengths: ✅ Diversified portfolio (metals crucial to green tech) ✅ Global reach and strong infrastructure Weaknesses: ⚠️ Earnings decline, revenue underperformance ⚠️ Vulnerability to commodity volatility 7/ Opportunities vs. Threats: Opportunities: 🚀 Metals demand will grow with green energy transitions—think electric vehicles and renewables. 🚀 Strategic asset divestitures could unlock value. Threats: 🌍 Political instability in major regions 🌍 Tightening environmental regulations (higher costs ahead) 8/ Investment Thesis: Anglo is in a tough spot. Undervalued? Maybe. But recovery depends on commodity prices and restructuring success. 🛠️ If they nail their strategy, there’s upside potential—but risk is high in today’s market. 📉 9/ What’s next? 🔮 Keep an eye on restructuring news—asset sales could shift market sentiment. Monitor production trends in copper and iron ore. Look out for green tech demand driving metals growth over the long term. 🌱 10/ What do YOU think? 📈 Bullish: It’s gonna recover. 🔄 Hold: Let’s wait for more signs. 🚫 Bearish: Nope, this one’s toast.
LSE:AALLong
by DCAChampion
1
USD/CAD got absolutely 'hammered' on MondayTrump's trade negotiations provided USD/CAD with its most volatile daily range since the height of the Pandemic. Yet the surprise announcement that Trump is pausing Canada's tariffs for 30 days saw prices reverse sharply lower, to close the day with an elongated bearish hammer. Does that pave the way for an immediate reversal lower? Not necessarily. Using price action and market position, I explain why. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
LSE:CAD
by CityIndex
IBSTOCK PLC Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # IBSTOCK PLC Stock Quote - Double Formation * 165.00 GBX | Area Of Value | Subdivision 1 * (Reversal Argument)) | Resistance Measurement - Triple Formation * 1st Numbered Retracement | Entry Area | Subdivision 2 * 2nd Numbered Retracement | Neutral Feature | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
TURQUOISE:IBSTL
by TradePolitics
800% extension for Pharos Energy?** risky, small market cap ** On the above 6 week chart price action has corrected 98% since 2007. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. 2) Support on past resistance following a 4 year accumulation period. 3) No stock splits since 330. 4) Market resistance sits between 100 and 180. Is it possible price action falls further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: Seriously small position size Timeframe for long: This week Return: 3-7x Stoploss: N/A
LSE:PHARLong
by without_worries
2
Nano market cap RC365 Holding to explode 10,000% / 100x ???** high risk, tiny market cap ** On the above 4 day chart price action has corrected 99% since mid 2023. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. 2) Support on past resistance since October last. 3) Strong positive divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action. 4) Should the monthly candle close as is (below), then a rapid move to the 20 Pounds area followed by a move to 126 should be observed. 5) The forecast to 140 is taken from the top and lower wedge touch points. Is it possible price action falls further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: Seriously small position size Timeframe for long: This month Return: 100x Stoploss: N/A Monthly chart
LSE:RCGHLong
by without_worries
TSCO - 4 months CUP & HANDLE══════════════════════════════ Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading opportunities based solely on the development of CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS 🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝 ══════════════════════════════ Hello Traders ✌ After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that: - it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment; - since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant; - the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts; For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart. Thank you all for your support 🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER "A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist" ═════════════════════════════ ⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠ Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk. ═════════════════════════════
LSE:TSCOLong
by TheArtOfCharting