WFC Earnings Setup – 07/14/2025 $86C | Exp. July 18 | Betting on
📈 WFC Earnings Setup – 07/14/2025
$86C | Exp. July 18 | Betting on a Bank Bounce
⸻
🔥 EARNINGS HEAT CHECK
💼 WFC reports BMO (07/15)
📊 Historical move avg: ~3–5%
📍 Current price: $82.53
📈 Above 20D/50D MAs → trend intact
⚠️ RSI = 78.07 = overbought 🚨
💥 Expected move: $2.89
⸻
🧠 SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
🔄 Call OI stacked at $86
🔻 Put OI focused at $81
⚖️ Balanced flow → slight bullish tilt
🧾 IV is elevated, so IV crush is coming
⸻
🏦 SECTOR SUPPORT
• Financials showing strength 📈
• No major institutional bias
• VIX @ 16.40 → macro calm = earnings-friendly
⸻
🎯 Trade Plan – IV Exploitation Setup
{
"ticker": "WFC",
"type": "CALL",
"strike": 86,
"exp": "2025-07-18",
"entry": 0.81,
"target": 1.62,
"stop": 0.40,
"size": 1,
"confidence": "70%",
"entry_timing": "pre-earnings close"
}
🔹 Call Entry: $0.81
🎯 Profit Target: $1.62 (+100%)
🛑 Stop: $0.40 (-50%)
📅 Expiry: 07/18/25
📆 Earnings Date: 07/14 (BMO)
📈 Expected Move: ~$2.89
🧠 Confidence: 70%
⸻
⚠️ Key Risks
• IV crush = quick decay if WFC doesn’t move
• Guidance could swing the stock either direction fast
• Overbought = short-term pullback risk even on good earnings
✅ Why $86C?
• Just outside expected move
• High OI = liquidity
• Reasonable premium = good risk/reward
⸻
📣 Model Consensus:
“Moderately Bullish” — strong setup but keep it tight around earnings!
Tag your favorite bank stock trader 🏦👇
Who’s playing WFC earnings this quarter?
#WFC #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOption #BankingStocks #IVCrush #RiskReward #AITrading #
JPM Breakout in Play – Target $295+
🧠 Chart Analysis Summary:
Pattern: Symmetrical triangle breakout has occurred. Momentum is building.
Current Price: $288.58
Breakout Confirmation: Price closed above resistance trendline (pink), signaling potential bullish move.
📊 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $288.50–289.00
Resistance/Targets:
Minor Resistance: $291.87 (red line)
Main Target: $295.54 (green line)
Support Zone:
$284.00–285.00 (white zone, strong base)
🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup):
Entry: $288.60
Target: $295.00–295.50
Stop-Loss: Below $284.00
BK Earnings Trade Setup – 07/14/2025 $97.50C | Exp. July 18 | Ri
📈 BK Earnings Trade Setup – 07/14/2025
$97.50C | Exp. July 18 | Riding the Sector Wave
⸻
🔥 BULLISH EARNINGS SETUP
🏦 BK sits at $93.69, just under its 52W high of $95.10
📈 Strong trend + volume rising pre-earnings
📊 RSI = 76.29 → overbought, but could break out on positive earnings
⸻
🧠 Macro + Sector Check
• Financials are strong across the board 🟢
• Analysts bullish on BK 📣
• VIX at 16.40 = market calm = earnings plays viable
⸻
🎯 Earnings Trade Plan – High OI Strike
{
"ticker": "BK",
"type": "CALL",
"strike": 97.50,
"exp": "2025-07-18",
"entry": 0.90,
"target": 1.80,
"stop": 0.45,
"size": 1,
"confidence": "75%",
"entry_timing": "pre-earnings close"
}
🔹 Call Entry: $0.90
🎯 Target: $1.80 (+100%)
🛑 Stop: $0.45
📆 Expiry: 07/18/2025
📈 Expected Move: ~4%
📅 Earnings Date: 07/15 (BMO)
📊 Confidence: 75%
⸻
📌 Why $97.50C?
✅ High OI
✅ Matches expected move
✅ Good leverage near key levels
⸻
⚠️ Risk Note:
• RSI is hot 🔥
• If earnings miss → IV crush hits hard
• Not a diamond-hands trade — manage it tight
⸻
💬 Model Take:
“Moderately Bullish” — everything’s aligned, but keep stops tight due to overbought conditions.
Tag your earnings squad 📢 — BK is in play.
#BK #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOption #FinancialSector #BreakoutSetup #
VRTX Tight Triangle Breakout – Watch Closely
🧠 Chart Analysis Summary:
Pattern: A symmetrical triangle is visible, tightening toward the apex with a breakout just forming.
Current Price: $472.47 (breakout near)
Key Levels:
Support Zone: Around $468–470 (white/yellow zone)
Resistance Zone:
First Target: $477.01 (red line)
Major Target: $482.20 (green line)
Volume Confirmation: Suggested to confirm breakout with volume increase.
📊 Trade Idea (Long Setup):
Entry: $472.50–473.00
Target 1: $477.00
Target 2: $482.00
Stop-Loss: Below $468.00
HOOD Weekly Call Option Setup – 07/14/2025 $106C | Exp. July 18
📈 HOOD Weekly Call Option Setup – 07/14/2025
$106C | Exp. July 18 | Breakout Watch Above $100 👀
⸻
🔥 BULLISH MOMENTUM BUILDING
🟢 HOOD is pushing hard into $100 resistance — price riding above 10/50/200 EMAs on all timeframes.
📊 RSI hot (65.6 on 5m / 71.6 daily), but not maxed out — short-term pullback possible, but trend still bullish.
💰 Volume + call flow favor more upside.
⸻
📰 Catalyst:
Positive crypto market sentiment = increased trading activity = good for HOOD’s core business.
VIX at 16.40 = risk-on environment = perfect for high-beta names like this one.
⸻
🎯 Trade Plan – High R/R Call Setup
Clean structure, riding sentiment — but be quick around $100.
{
"ticker": "HOOD",
"type": "CALL",
"strike": 106,
"exp": "2025-07-18",
"entry": 0.92,
"target": 1.38,
"stop": 0.46,
"size": 1,
"confidence": "70%",
"entry_timing": "market open"
}
🔹 Entry: $0.92
🎯 Target: $1.38 (+50%)
🛑 Stop: $0.46 (-50%)
📅 Expiry: 07/18/25
📈 Confidence: 70%
💼 Strategy: Naked Call
⸻
💬 Model Consensus:
“Moderately Bullish” — clean momentum + bullish call flow = good entry.
⚠️ Watch RSI + $100 resistance — quick rejection is possible.
⸻
📌 Why $106C?
🔸 OI building there → potential magnet
🔸 Cheaper than ATM but within reach
🔸 High gamma setup if we break $100 early
⸻
💡 Trade Smart:
🏃 Get in early → fade into strength
🧠 Position size accordingly → don’t get greedy
📢 Tag your trading buddy who’s still ignoring HOOD 😏
#HOOD #OptionsTrading #BreakoutSetup #CryptoMomentum #AITrading #CallOptions #FlowPlay #TradingView #0DTE #
CVNA will falling rates save this darling?VNA (Carvana Co.) shows a strong bullish trend with a breakout setup forming. Here’s a detailed technical analysis:
📈 Trend Analysis: Strong Uptrend
CVNA has been in a clear uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows since March.
The ascending yellow trendline confirms consistent buying interest with each pullback being bought.
This trendline is acting as dynamic support and continues to hold the structure of the uptrend intact.
📊 Consolidation Below Resistance
The stock is currently consolidating just below the horizontal resistance at $75.42.
Multiple candles are pressing against this level without significant rejection, which is a bullish sign of accumulation.
Consolidation under resistance, particularly in an uptrend, often leads to a bullish breakout.
🧱 Key Levels
Resistance: $75.42 – Price has tested this level multiple times, forming a potential bullish breakout level.
Support: $67.87 – A key horizontal level from a prior breakout area. Also roughly aligns with the ascending trendline, giving this support more significance.
🔊 Volume Analysis
Volume has been steady but slightly rising as price approaches the resistance.
Watch for a volume spike on the breakout above $75.42, which would add strong confirmation of buying interest and trigger potential upside follow-through.
📍 Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
A clean close above $75.42 could ignite a breakout move.
Potential target zones:
$80–82 short term, based on the height of the previous consolidation.
Higher if momentum builds, given the strength of the current trend.
⚠️ Bearish Pullback
If price fails to break out and drops below the trendline, it could trigger a short-term correction.
First support test would be $67.87; a break below this could shift sentiment bearish in the short term.
🧠 Summary
CVNA is showing classic bullish continuation signals: strong uptrend, consolidation below resistance, and rising support. This ascending triangle pattern often resolves to the upside. Traders should watch for a breakout above $75.42 with volume for a potential entry, while maintaining awareness of support at $67.87 for risk management.
AAPL PREPARING FOR A LARGER MOVEAAPL clearly shows a descending channel pattern, marked by two parallel downward-sloping yellow trendlines. Within that broader structure, the price is currently consolidating in a narrow range between two horizontal yellow lines:
Resistance around $210.98
Support around $207.46
🔍 Current Technical Setup
Consolidation Range
AAPL is moving sideways in a tight range between $207.46 and $210.98. This narrow trading zone within a broader descending channel is typical of compression before a breakout.
Descending Channel Context
The channel suggests a longer-term downtrend bias, but the compression at these levels can lead to a breakout in either direction, especially when volume starts to increase.
Support Zone ($207.46)
This level has been tested and held, making it a key line to watch. A breakdown below this support would likely trigger a sharper selloff toward the lower channel boundary, near $203–$204.
Resistance Zone ($210.98)
This level lines up with the upper boundary of the current consolidation and the midline of the descending channel. A breakout above would invalidate the local downtrend and could send price to test the top of the channel (~$214+).
Volume Clues
Volume is relatively low during this sideways movement, which often precedes a high-volume breakout as indecision resolves.
📈 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Breakout
Above $210.98 and the descending trendline.
Likely target: $214–$216
Confirmation: Volume spike + strong bullish candle
Bearish Breakdown
Below $207.46 support.
Target: $203 or lower, testing channel support.
Confirmation: Increasing red volume + bearish momentum
🧠 Summary
AAPL is in a compressed state, with a tight horizontal range forming inside a broader downward-sloping channel. This often sets the stage for a powerful directional move. Traders should closely monitor breaks of $210.98 or $207.46 to catch the next leg — either a reversal toward higher levels or continuation of the downtrend.
GE Weekly Options Trade Setup – 07/14/2025 $290C | Exp. July 18
📈 GE Weekly Options Trade Setup – 07/14/2025
$290C | Exp. July 18 | Bullish Catalyst In Play
⸻
🔥 BULLISH MOMENTUM CONFIRMED
✅ All 5 major AI models (Grok, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek) agree:
GE just broke out — strong momentum, price above MAs, MACD bullish.
📰 Catalyst: Citigroup Upgrade 💥
Low implied volatility + analyst boost = ideal environment for calls.
⚠️ Caution: RSI is overbought, signaling possible short-term pullback. This is a fast trade, not a swing.
⸻
🎯 Trade Plan – High Conviction Setup
Entry at open, ride breakout continuation 🚀
{
"ticker": "GE",
"type": "CALL",
"strike": 290,
"exp": "2025-07-18",
"entry": 0.89,
"target": 1.78,
"stop": 0.45,
"size": 1,
"confidence": "70%",
"entry_timing": "market open"
}
🔹 Entry: $0.89
🎯 Target: $1.78 (+100%)
🛑 Stop: $0.45 (-50%)
📅 Expiry: 07/18/25
📈 Confidence: 70%
💼 Strategy: Naked Call
⸻
📌 Why $290C?
High strike = low cost, great R/R. High OI, and supported by breakout levels from DeepSeek & Grok models.
🧠 Model Sentiment:
“Moderately Bullish” – All point to upside, but suggest smart risk management due to hot RSI.
⸻
💡 Quick Notes
⚠️ Overbought ≠ reversal — just be quick.
📊 Citigroup news is driving flows — but don’t hold into chop.
💬 Tag someone who’s been sleeping on GE 👇
#GE #OptionsTrading #BreakoutPlay #CallOption #AITrading #WeeklySetup #FlowWatch #0DTE #tradingview
WULF / 3hNASDAQ:WULF
According to the bearish alternative in my weekly frame (not the chart below and not posted recently), the entire countertrend rally, which has developed in an ABC zigzag sequence as anticipated in the analysis which I posted on May 12, may have reached a very late stage where an adjusted expanding diagonal as the thorough Minor degree wave C remains at the start point of a final advance as its 5th subdivision. It will conclude the entire correction upward since April 9.
NASDAQ:WULF 's Bearish Alternative :
Wave Analysis >> As depicted on this 3h-frame above, the structure of the entire countertrend advance, which has developed since April 9, may be considered in a thorough ABC zigzag correction, in which Minor degree wave C should have diagonally reached its very late stage now. It would likely achieve its expansion target >> 5.55.
And it would be a 170% gain of a countertrend rally at the end!!
Now, 8.6% of the advance remains to complete a possible ending expanding diagonal upward as the Minor degree wave C.
Trend Analysis >> The countertrend upward as Intermediate degree wave (B) will probably change to decline in the same degree wave (C) very soon!! And it'll likely last until the end of the year.
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:WULF CRYPTOCAP:BTC MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
LDOS LONG🚀 NYSE:LDOS – Breakout Setup After Months of Accumulation
NYSE:LDOS is showing a high-conviction breakout setup after six months of tight accumulation. Here's what I'm seeing:
🔹 Flagging on the 8EMA with low volume – classic bullish continuation
🔹 Clean structure with higher lows and controlled pullbacks
🔹 Volume drying up during the recent consolidation = potential energy building
🔹 Breakout in progress with RSI staying strong but not overbought
🔹 Accumulation range forming a solid launchpad
📈 With earnings due Aug 5 (BMO) and strong fundamental backing, I expect volume to come in soon and fuel the next leg higher.
🟢 Targets:
$184 short-term
$211 by year-end
🔴 Stop:
$159 – below the accumulation base and prior support zone
Why I Like It:
✅ EPS growth +325% YoY
✅ Forward P/E only 14.1
✅ Strong ROE (31%) + institutional accumulation
✅ Momentum without overextension
✅ Positioned in a defensive-growth sector with macro tailwinds (defense, cybersecurity, AI)
📊 Looks like smart money has been accumulating – and it's almost time to move.
MRK Wave Analysis – 14 July 2025- MRK reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 85.00
MRK recently reversed up from the support zone surrounding the long-term support level 73.45 (which has been reversing the price from the start of 2020, as can be seen from the weekly MRK chart below).
The upward reversal from the support level 73.45 started the active long-term impulse wave III.
MRK can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 85.00 (former top of wave (4) from May) – from where the price is likely to correct down.
IDN Bullish Pennant FlagNASDAQ:IDN has had a huge run up in the last two month and a Bullish Pennant flag is starting to form with support at 5.16. Below this we saw some support at 4.80. Using a Stop Loss just below this level and a target set at the next resistance level established in 2022 yields a R:R of 1:3.5.
KHC – Momentum Reversal with Volume Surge & Tactical Exit Plan📈 Ticker: NASDAQ:KHC (The Kraft Heinz Company – NASDAQ)
📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
💵 Current Price: $27.80
📊 Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout + Volume & RSI Divergence
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Our Entry: $26.60
⛔ Stop-Loss: Below $24.80
🔰 Confirmation Signals:
Bullish volume divergence: Selling pressure diminished while price made lower lows
Explosive green volume bar on breakout — strongest in 12+ months
RSI breakout above 60, confirming strong momentum and trend shift
💰 Profit-Taking Strategy:
📍Sell Zone Price Level % of Position Rationale
🥇 Sell 1 $28.48 50% Pre-earnings resistance – lock early profit
🥈 Sell 2 $30.71 30% Next strong resistance area
🥉 Sell 3 $31.62 10% Long-term descending trendline — potential reversal point
🔄 Remaining 10%: Optional trail with stop-loss raised, if momentum continues
📊 Technical Confidence & Probabilities:
🧠 Pattern: Falling Wedge
Bulkowski probability of breakout upward: ~68%
Average gain post-breakout: ~38%, though current targets are more conservative (15–19%)
📈 Volume breakout + prior divergence = strong institutional signal
📉 Risk clearly defined with stop at $24.80
📈 Target Gains vs Entry ($26.60):
🎯 Target Price Gain from Entry
Target 1 $28.48 +7.06%
Target 2 $30.71 +15.47%
Target 3 $31.62 +18.89%
🧾 Summary:
This is a high-probability breakout play, combining:
✅ Bulkowski-validated falling wedge
✅ Volume-based confirmation
✅ Clear stop and tiered exit strategy
✅ Strong risk/reward profile
“Our Entry Price: $26.60 – Breakout Backed by Big Money”
#KHC #TargetTraders #VolumeSpike #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #Bulkowski #StockMarket #Investing
TSM eyes on $194: Major Resistance to Break-n-Run or Dip-to-Buy TSM has been recovering with the chip sector.
Currently testing a Major Resistance zone.
Look for a Dip-to-Buy or Break-n-Retest entry.
$193.92-195.18 is the exact zone of concern.
$177.83-178.31 is the first major support.
$203.68-204.56 is the first resistance above.
========================================
.
APPLE Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 211.08 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 206.69
Recommended Stop Loss - 213.91
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Downward Parallel StructureWe need a break of the downward parallel structure and the 50EMA 6.89, for the Bulls take charge. Buyers did a good job raising the price from the 6.45 closing price from Friday, but the bulls need to finish the job and make a HLs and HHs through the 50 EMA. If not Bears going to cycle the price back down.
AXON watch $681-696: Proven resistance around ATH for a REASON AXON testing it All Time High resistance zone again.
This time it launched off a Golden Genesis below.
So it should have enough energy this time to break it.
$681.69-696.45 is the exact zone of interest.
$732.49-735.17 is first target then dip for retest
$660.41 then 616.01 are key supports below if dips.
==============================================
.
Netflix Faces Rising Volatility and Bearish Technicals Ahead of Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) will announce its results after the close of trading in New York on Thursday, 17 July. Analysts forecast the NASDAQ-listed streaming media company to report second-quarter earnings growth of 45%, reaching $7.08 per share, while revenue is expected to increase by 15.6%, amounting to $11.1 billion. Net subscriber additions are predicted to decrease by 42.9%, falling to 4.6 million.
For the third quarter, analysts forecast guidance for revenue of $11.3 billion, up 14.7%, and earnings of $6.68 per share, reflecting growth of 23.6%. The options market is pricing in a 6.4% move, either up or down, in Netflix shares following the earnings report.
The significant expected move in the stock is driven by implied volatility levels for options expiring on 18 July, which were high at nearly 70% as of the 13 July close and are likely to increase further as results approach. Options positioning in Netflix also appears notably bullish, with call delta values surpassing put delta values. This indicates that once the company reports its results and options begin to decrease in value due to the decay of implied volatility, market makers might find themselves overly hedged on the long side, potentially forcing them to sell shares. This scenario could exert downward pressure on the stock if it fails to breach the $1,300 level, which acts as the gamma call wall.
Additionally, technical analysis shows a downside risk for the shares both before and after the results. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Netflix has been trending lower and recently dropped below 50, signalling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. Furthermore, the stock has broken down from a rising broadening wedge pattern, which is traditionally seen as a bearish reversal signal, indicating a possible decline back towards the pattern’s origin, around $1,100.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
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