DIS: Does it deserve its 26x valuation?We’re in what feels like a bear market, where stock ownership demands sharper scrutiny. Valuations are under the microscope, and I want the companies I invest my hard-earned money in to take actions that boost earnings. My investments need to outpace inflation, not lag behind.
Disney’s current P/E ratio is around 27, based on a share price of $83 and trailing twelve-month EPS of $3. I question whether an entertainment company, struggling with money-losing content—contrary to what an entertainment giant should do—merits such a premium. A business with declining margins, stagnant growth, and unprofitable projects doesn’t scream “27x multiple” to me.
Looking back, Disney’s P/E was as low as 12-13 in March 2019, with a share price of $111 and EPS of $9. Over the past decade, Disney’s multiple has inflated while earnings growth has lagged. A P/E of 27 today feels rich compared to its 10-year median of ~23 especially given weaker fundamentals.
If sentiment sours further, I can see Disney’s share price sliding below $80, potentially to $55 (implying a P/E of ~19, assuming EPS holds) or even $45 (P/E of ~13). These levels would align better with a company facing headwinds.
That said, nothing is set in stone. Businesses pivot, and markets shift. Disney could course-correct with sharper strategies or cost discipline. However, after a decade of trading in this range with little earnings progress, I’d be cautious. As a shareholder, I’d consider looking elsewhere for better opportunities.
No trade advice.
