Recovering and making a move upAfter consolidation, this company still has a good earnings profile and was sold off for no reason (weak guidance) that is still positive.
Opening (IRA): FCX July 18th 25/March 21st 39 Long Call Diagonal... for an 11.02 debit.
Comments: Taking a directional shot post-earnings on weakness, buying the back month 90 delta call and selling the front month 30 delta that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long, resulting in a break even that is slightly below where the underlying is currently trading.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 11.02
Break Even: 36.02/share
Max Profit: 2.98
ROC at Max: 27.04%
With these, I generally look to take profit at 110% of what I put them on for and/or look to roll out the short call to reduce my cost basis/downside break even should that not be hit.
Discounts just arrived for NVDA stock Yesterday, NVDA shares closed down nearly 17% because of... Deep seek making a model which uses NVDA gpus more efficiently? Ultimately in the long run, with the 500 billion investment going into AI, NVDA is still going to make a killing, and this crash is certainly an overreaction
Uber: ConsolidationThe rally that began at the turn of the year has recently transitioned into a phase of consolidation, leaving our primary outlook unchanged for now. During the magenta wave , we anticipate another pullback toward the support at $53.26, where the subsequent wave should begin. This wave should eventually propel the price beyond the resistance at $87, where we also expect the high of the broader turquoise wave 3. A premature breakout is also conceivable, given the extent of the current pullback. However, for this 30% likely alternative scenario to be confirmed, the stock would need to decisively breach the $87 mark.
STIM to the moon?STIM brokeout of bull flag, there's a greater uptrend channel it could break into, good news catalyst recently as company promising FCF. only have a small position but it looks promising. I'm a rough TA hobbyist. Do your own analysis, NFA.
Uptrend in Regions Financial?Regions Financial leaped to new record highs after Donald Trump was reelected as U.S. President. Now, following a pullback, some traders may think its uptrend remains in effect.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price range between $23 and $24. RF tested and held the bottom of this channel in the second half of December and again in the first half of January. The stock leaped above $24 on January 15 and has remained there since. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That may reflect a longer-term bullish trend.
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Both of those signals may indicate bulls are taking charge over the shorter term.
Finally, the current price area is near previous highs from 2022 and 2023. Further gains from here could be viewed as a long-term breakout.
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Bearish PennantBearish Pennant pattern, dropping support. Expect a downward move within the next month. Also, movies have been terrible lately, and many families are switching to streaming from home.
Analysing the Impact of Nvidia's Stock Price DropWhile the sharp decline in Nvidia's stock price made headlines yesterday, let’s assess the actual technical damage caused by the move.
Attached is a weekly chart, displayed with logarithmic scaling. This scaling method is used because Nvidia's share price has grown exponentially over the past few years, making percentage-based changes more meaningful for analysis. On a logarithmic scale, vertical spacing represents percentage changes, ensuring a consistent visual representation of relative movements.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Break Confirmation
The first notable point is that Nvidia's uptrend, which began in 2022, was broken not yesterday but several weeks ago. This predated the recent sell-off, indicating the potential for weakness had already emerged.
2. Critical Support Levels
The sell-off now approaches two significant technical levels:
o The 55-week moving average (MA) at 112.46.
o The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 98.52.
These levels are worth monitoring closely as potential support zones.
Questioning the Trend
The pressing question is whether this marks the end of the bull run or merely an aggressive correction within an ongoing uptrend. For now, I lean towards the latter interpretation, as there isn't sufficient evidence to declare a full trend reversal. A single day of sharp decline doesn’t necessarily confirm the onset of a bear market—at least not yet.
Final Thought
One down day, while significant, doesn't define a bear market. It’s important to watch how the price action unfolds around the aforementioned support levels to gain clarity on the longer-term trajectory. Not investment advice
________________________________________
About Logarithmic Scaling
Logarithmic, or "percentage," scaling ensures that equal vertical distances represent equal percentage changes. For example, the vertical distance between 10 and 20 (a 100% increase) is the same as the distance between 50 and 100. This scaling is particularly useful for analysing stocks with large price growth over time.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Double top by the wayThe price fails to reach a new ATH and starts a strong correction towards the green support area.
The breakdown of the support will result in the completion of the double top with the first target at the weekly SMA50, which also coincides with the medium-term support trendline (blue).
If the support holds, there will be a third attempt for an ATH.
$PSTG triple digits?Hiii. $100 target EOY. Could be a lot sooner. A lot of growth from this company and great customer use and satisfaction. Looks to be testing a supply and support zone from it's highs. I like this long term leaps. $100c 2026 and/or 2027.
Wall Street Loser
Breaking: La Rosa Cancel $2.4M Warrants & Signals Expansion 2025In what came as a shocker, On Tuesday, La Rosa Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: LRHC) announced the full redemption and cancellation of $2.4M worth of outstanding warrants, signalling a bold move toward simplifying its capital structure and driving shareholder value.
The cloud-based, technology-driven real estate holding company, announced the complete redemption and cancellation of all its outstanding warrants.
These warrants, previously issued to an institutional accredited investor, were exercisable for 2,446,634 shares of the company's common stock.
According to the Warrant Redemption and Cancellation Agreement signed on January 22, 2025, the warrants have been fully extinguished and are no longer exercisable.
This decision demonstrates La Rosa's strategic attempt to streamline its capital structure and increase shareholder value. The warrants were initially issued pursuant to securities purchase agreements dated April 1 and July 16, 2024, as disclosed in Form 8-K filings with the SEC on April 5 and July 19, 2024.
CEO Joe La Rosa commented on the development,
"This milestone marks a significant step in our mission to streamline our capital structure and enhance shareholder value. By fully redeeming and extinguishing these Warrants, we are reinforcing our commitment to building a solid foundation for the company's sustained growth and long-term success. We believe there is a significant disconnect between the market valuation and the true value of the company."
"As we focus on eliminating debt and strengthening our balance sheet, we remain dedicated to achieving profitability in 2025 by acquiring additional real estate brokerage firms, growing our agent network, and expanding into new markets," concluded Rosa.
In another news release, La Rosa Holdings announced a preliminary 2024 revenue estimate of $65 million, a 104% increase from the prior year, driven by strategic acquisitions and a growing agent network.
For 2025, the company plans to acquire a brokerage firm with $19 million in 2023 revenue and over 950 agents, expand into new states, grow its agent base, and enhance its technology, underscoring its commitment to sustained growth and innovation.
Market Reaction
LRHC shares are up premarket at $0.44 (+5.77%), showing signs of build-up momentum. With RSI at 30, the stock is positioned for a potential breakout above $1.18, the resistance point of a symmetrical triangle pattern. A successful breakout could signal a 100% surge, solidifying bullish momentum for La Rosa.
Time analysis for MARA. BTC, WULF. Where is crypto headed?Wanted to share time analysis with MARA. Looked at BTC and WULF 1/28/2025
Mr.Million | Why I am Bearish on NVDA Near TermNVDA appears to have completed Wave (3) and could drop to ~$100.
A potential ending diagonal forming + DOUBLE bearish divergence. 🚨
NVDA feels heavy. Unlike the past two breakouts that blasted through resistance like a 🚀, the latest breakout at ~$141 feels like it’s stuck in the mud! 😞
So, where would I go long?
🔥~$100 = Very Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
Remember: if NVDA falls, so will Nasdaq (and BTC)! I am holding lots of cash! 💰💰
Target around 270-260This is what I see and I am thinking this will go down. Cup and handle, inverted of course. However, it can break out of the sequence, but I do like the downside right now.
$PL | SMASH Over $5.15NYSE:PL
Breakout Trade Targeting Reversion to the Golden Mean (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement)
Entry: Over $5.15
Targets🎯: $7, $8
LOW Monthly broke out of prior ATH levelLOW has broken the prior All time high level (made in Dec 2021). As long as 260 holds, expecting to see 280 to 300 levels in coming days
Stop loss - loss of 260 on daily closing basis
T1 - 280
T2 - 300
If no current position then either wait for 270 break or wait for a retest of 264 level to see if we hold or not.
Alternatively, you can sell 260 puts a month out to capture the premium.
Chose what works for you
NVIDIA is DONE? Or it is a good entry point? NVIDIA: Analyzing the Recent Price Drop and Long-Term Prospects
Greetings, this is Ronin. Today, we’ll dive into what happened yesterday with NVIDIA’s stock and why market panic is no reason to surrender. Let’s break down the situation step by step to understand the real drivers behind this decline.
What Happened?
Yesterday, the market was shaken by news from China: the development of a new artificial intelligence (AI) system that is cheaper to build and requires fewer computational resources. In response, NVIDIA’s stock plummeted, triggering concern among investors.
The key issue fueling the sell-off was fear of an AI sector revaluation. After NVIDIA’s meteoric rise of +200–300% over the past two years, even the slightest doubt can cause significant price fluctuations.
However, let’s not view the market through a lens of panic. Drops like this are temporary corrections, and here’s why NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in its industry.
Market Volatility: A Natural Phenomenon
Imagine a river encountering a sudden boulder. The current becomes turbulent, water splashes and roars, but eventually, the river finds its way forward. Similarly, in the market, fundamental news about technological breakthroughs can stir things up, but capital always flows back to strong, stable assets.
Looking at NVIDIA’s chart, we can identify several local support levels where prices have repeatedly rebounded during past periods of market turbulence. These levels indicate that the current panic is not a collapse but rather a pullback within a long-term trend.
Why NVIDIA Remains Strong
Beyond Artificial Intelligence
NVIDIA’s products are not limited to AI development; they are integral to numerous high-tech sectors:
GPUs that are the gold standard in the gaming industry.
Solutions for data centers, automotive industries, and cloud computing.
Trump’s AI Investments
Former President Donald Trump recently announced a $500 billion investment in the U.S. AI sector. This substantial funding will bolster domestic demand for NVIDIA’s products.
Technological Leadership
NVIDIA produces processors unmatched in performance. Even if Chinese AI outperforms in certain areas, no country will completely dethrone NVIDIA. Competition? Yes. Dominance? Unlikely.
Long-Term Forecast
Short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market cycles. When news sparks panic, assets that previously showed enormous growth inevitably experience corrections. However, this does not negate long-term potential.
Key Figures:
2-Year Growth: +200–300%.
Current Correction: -12% in a day.
Long-Term Growth Outlook: NVIDIA’s annual revenue growth is still expected at 30–40%, according to analysts.
NVIDIA’s stock drop is a temporary event driven by short-term revaluation. Once liquidity returns and the panic subsides, the stock is poised to resume its upward trajectory.
Conclusion
The market has always been a stage for emotions to play out. But a true trader knows: when everyone is panicking, it’s time to act.
Chinese AI? It’s just another player entering the vast technological field. NVIDIA, on the other hand, remains a titan that sets the standard.
Panic comes and goes, but trends endure. With NVIDIA, we’ll witness many more peaks. This is Ronin. See you at the top of the charts! 📈💎
APPLE Strong buy on the 1D MA200 targeting $260.Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and the recent correction since the December 26 All Time High (ATH) is its technical Bearish Leg. The price posted a strong rebound yesterday following a test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the first such contact since May 08 2024.
With the 1D RSI touching the oversold barrier (30.000) and rebounding, this is technically a strong buy opportunity at least for the medium-term, as it's not a direct Higher Low of the Channel Up.
Since December already completed a +59% rise from the April 19 2024 Low, we might be having technically a medium-term rebound similar to the October 26 2023 one that re-tested the High's Resistance (at the time). As you can see both corrections have hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
As a result, we treat this as a solid buy opportunity to target $260.
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Visa ABC pattern incomming on the macro? Visa ABC pattern incomming on the macro? Debt crushing the consumer now, lets see what happens
NVIDIA (NVDA): DeepSeek’s AI Shakeup Sends Nvidia PlummetingNvidia is down an astonishing 15% in just a few hours. The primary driver? Fundamentally, the announcement of Chinese startup DeepSeek has sent shockwaves through the market. This previously unknown company reportedly holds a significant number of Nvidia chips and claims to have developed an AI superior to ChatGPT with just a $6 million investment. This disrupts the entire tech landscape, as companies like Google and others are pouring billions into AI research and development. The news casts doubt on the competitive edge of industry giants, and Nvidia is caught in the crossfire, given its strong ties to AI development and chip demand.
From a technical perspective, Nvidia recently respected the upper boundary of its volume profile but failed to break above it—a likely factor contributing to this sell-off, though the DeepSeek announcement remains the major catalyst. The price has now dropped back to the Point of Control (POC) at $120, leaving a significant gap behind.
While a complete gap fill would be surprising in the short term, it’s not out of the question. However, we’re not looking to catch a falling knife here. Given the uncertainty around potential developments with DeepSeek, caution is important.
Our current plan is as follows: We are keeping the stop-loss for our first position at $114.50 to limit risk. A second entry is being considered in the range between $111 and $106.70, as this aligns well with both the wave ((ii)) structure and the volume profile.
This plan is not yet finalised, as we’re closely monitoring how the situation unfolds. For now, patience is key, given the volatility and the ongoing uncertainty.
Is DeepSeek really a threat to Nvidia?There are so many opinions circulating the internet right now, that it is difficult to get our heads around. Here is our opinion on what could happen with NASDAQ:NVDA stock in the near future.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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