Guardant Surge: Targeting a Clean Breakout!”“Guardant Surge: Targeting a Clean Breakout!”
📝 Trade Breakdown:
🧬 Setup:
GH is showing a strong breakout retest pattern after breaking above consolidation near $48. The price is holding above support, forming a higher low with momentum.
📍 Entry: ~$49.53 (post-breakout retest)
🎯 Target: $52.40 (resistance/TP zone)
🛡 Stop Loss: ~$48.20 (below yellow support zone)
📊 Risk-Reward: ~2:1 — attractive and calculated
🔍 Technical Confirmation:
🔼 Retest of prior resistance turned support.
✅ Trendline + horizontal support convergence.
🔋 Strong prior volume push from $42–$50 range.
🎯 Caption Idea:
“GH is charging forward with a clean breakout setup! Holding above $49 could ignite a rally toward $52+.”
“Roblox Reloaded: Breakout at Play!”RBLX
📝 Trade Breakdown:
🎮 Setup:
RBLX formed a strong ascending base and is now attempting a breakout from a wedge consolidation, right above the yellow support zone. The structure shows bullish continuation if price holds above this pivot.
📍 Entry: ~$93.38 (breakout trigger point)
🎯 Target: $98.29 (upper green resistance zone)
🛡 Stop Loss: ~$91.67 (below wedge & horizontal support)
📊 Risk-Reward: ~1.8–2:1 — solid and technical
🔍 Technical Confidence:
📈 Strong trend from May to June.
🟨 Horizontal & trendline support converge at the breakout point.
🔺 Wedge breakout gives bullish continuation confirmation.
🎯 Caption Idea:
"Roblox breakout watch: Game on above $93. A clean wedge + retest = potential move to $98!"
"Breakout Eagle: Soaring Past Resistance XYZ!"Breakout Eagle: Soaring Past Resistance!"
📝 Trade Breakdown:
🚀 Setup:
XYZ just blasted past a key resistance zone with strong bullish momentum. The breakout is confirmed with a clean retest on both the trendline and horizontal support — a textbook long setup!
📍 Entry: $65.84 (on breakout retest)
🎯 Target: $68.20
🛡 Stop Loss: Below $65.00 support zone
📊 Risk-Reward: 2:1 — clean, calculated, and high conviction
🔍 Why It Stands Out:
Trendline breakout 📈
Resistance flip to support 🔄
Volume + price action confirm breakout ✅
Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS)As a Whole formation, it looks to me the nearest Scenario is we Completed Major 1st Wave at 102$ , In my opinion as a technical analyst in charts and technical formations, in addition to the corrective formations I have encountered many times before, we have completed the correction of a leg of a major correction for the second large wave at $1.18. We are entering the early stages of the second leg, which I expect 99% will go to its final target at $141 by 2027. However, the closest level in 2025 is $25, and perhaps with significant news like a partnership and investment with major companies, it might hit the target of $49 by early 2026. The correction as a whole is called the minor or accelerating correction A B C.
Target Prices and Expected Periods: -
1 Month = 25$
6 - 9 Months = 49$
12 - 15 Months = 141$
APPS has a High Technical Rating by Nasdaq Dorsey Wright.
Earnings announcement* for APPS - Jun 16, 2025
TSLA: $300 is an important numberOver the past 5 years, $300 has been a very important price point -- both in support and resistance. Only once have we converged with the 200 day at $300 mark, and that was when we were hitting it as resistance. We are now in a position to do the same from the position of support. I think a similar yet opposite pattern should unfold if we move to this range.
Outside all that, we continue to maintain a cup and handle pattern. We are also maintaining higher lows.
Bullish signals and patterns outweigh the bearish in my eyes.
Best of luck.
Rivian Kicking Off Potential UptrendHey, all. I'll get down to it. Obviously NASDAQ:RIVN has been an incredibly tough stock to own. Fake out after fake out. It has been brutal - unless you have been nimble enough to buy the dips and sell the rips.
I would like to posit, however, that NASDAQ:RIVN is going to start marching back higher here over time. In the signal system I have been taught via the T@M strategy, Rivian is putting in a range expansion to the upside on the weekly time frame. If you take the range of the past monthly consolidation period, attach it to the "mode" (or central zone of the consolidation range), it gives you a target of $25 over the next few months. Now, whether this is another fake out just to reverse on us... again... remains to be seen of course. It is early in the idea. But potentially offers a decent risk/reward position here.
I just do not see Rivian really going away at all and, if they can keep refining their business, they could see some success going forward. Anyway, hope you enjoy this idea! As always, position carefully as the market is risky business.
Including the Daily Chart below for your reference as well.
RIOT / 2hQuite sometimes, it's a better way to give patterns time to develop. So NASDAQ:RIOT has revealed a leading diagonal as an Intermediate degree wave (1), which remains in its very late stage! An impending correction in the same-degree wave (2) is expected to follow in the coming days.
Trend Analysis >> The Intermediate degree trend would have turned downward. And it might be a relatively deep retracement that takes a few weeks.
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
$AAPL – Long Setup Brewing: Fib Break + Gamma Unwind?Not financial advice
Apple has been the last laggard among the Magnificent 7. While others have already reclaimed their weekly 20 MA, NASDAQ:AAPL has spent over seven weeks consolidating just below major resistance, potentially building fuel for a breakout.
The $205 level is the key battleground. It lines up with the .382 Fibonacci retracement from the previous high and acts as a psychological level and gamma pin. Today’s rejection at $205 reinforces its importance. If broken with volume, it could trigger a strong directional move as delta hedging unwinds into upside momentum.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
.382 Fib retracement = $205 → major inflection level
Weekly 20 MA sits just above; price compressing underneath
Bollinger Bands tightening → volatility expansion expected
MACD (weekly) flattening near a bullish cross
CMO rising, showing improving momentum under the surface
📊 Options Flow – 14-Day Snapshot:
Call Volume: $7.87M
Put Volume: $5.37M
→ Volume favors calls
Call Premium: $2.34B
Put Premium: $5.11B
→ Premium skewed toward puts, suggesting larger capital flows hedging downside or playing defense
Open Interest Cluster: Dense between $195–$300, particularly on the call side
Despite the put premium dominance, the consistent call volume and broad OI range suggest accumulation and potential bullish positioning under the surface.
🧭 Trade Thesis:
Apple is coiling at a critical intersection — Fib level, gamma wall, and major moving average resistance. If it breaks $205 with strength, we could see a swift rally toward $215–$225, where the next Fib levels and gamma zones align.
Right now, the setup is compression under pressure. Watching for a clean breakout with confirmation.
PGR Weekly Bearish Setup – 2025-06-13 Expiry📉 PGR Weekly Bearish Setup – 2025-06-13 Expiry
🧠 AI Model Consensus | NYSE:PGR
Despite a short-term bounce, multiple AI models signal a bearish bias this week for Progressive Corp ( NYSE:PGR ), driven by weak daily charts and heavy put interest around the $250 zone.
🧪 Model Breakdown:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• 📉 Bearish overall: Price < daily EMAs, negative MACD, oversold RSI
• 🟢 5-min chart shows temporary bounce
• ⚠️ Max pain & heavy put OI @ $250
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ market (target +50%, SL: stock > $272.50)
• 📈 Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude/Anthropic
• 📉 Below all EMAs (5-min + daily), RSI oversold
• ⚠️ Max pain at $250, put dominance
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ ~$0.70 → PT: $1.40 (100%), SL: $0.35
• 📈 Confidence: ~66%
🔹 Llama/Meta
• 📉 Daily chart bearish, MACD down, near lower BB
• 🟢 Short-term bounce likely
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ $0.85 → PT: $1.275 (50%), SL: $0.25
🔹 Gemini/Google
• 🚨 Strongly bearish daily (MACD down, BB breakdown)
• 📊 Recommends $262.50P for better liquidity
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $262.5P @ $1.25 → PT: $2.50 (100%), SL: $0.625
• 📈 Strategy: Day-trade or short swing
🔹 DeepSeek
• 📉 Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold, price < EMAs
• ⚠️ Max pain at $250, strong put skew
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ $0.85 → PT: $1.70 (100%), SL: $0.425
• 📈 Confidence: 75%
✅ Consensus Summary:
📉 Market Direction: Bearish
• Daily structure weak across all models
• Max pain + put OI @ $250 = downside magnet
• Short-term relief rally possible, but larger trend down
• $262.50P selected for best liquidity & execution
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:PGR
🟢 Strike: 262.50 PUT
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $1.25
🎯 Profit Target: $2.50 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.625 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open
⚠️ Risk Factors
• 📈 Short-term RSI oversold → possible bounce
• 🟢 5-min trend relief rally could cause drawdown
• 🧊 VIX dropping → lower option volatility
• 💸 Liquidity better at $262.50 than $260 strikes
📊 TRADE JSON
💬 Are you watching NYSE:PGR this week? Drop your setups or counter-trades below!
📉 Follow for more AI-powered weekly trade breakdowns.
CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)📉 CRCL Weekly Bearish Setup (Week of 2025-06-09)
🔍 Ticker: NYSE:CRCL
Multi-model AI consensus indicates a bearish short-term outlook for CRCL this week, driven by weak technicals, downside pressure from max pain, and poor option liquidity.
🧠 Model Summaries:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• 📉 Bearish: Price below 10EMA, negative MACD, RSI near 41
• 🧊 Support: $115.20 | Resistance: $116.34
• ⚠️ Max Pain: $100 → downside bias
• 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put (Jun 20) → PT: +50%, SL: –50%
🔹 Claude/Anthropic
• 📉 Bearish intraday: below EMAs, negative MACD, RSI ~41
• ⚠️ Max pain at $100, light OI → downside risk
• 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ ~$12.95 → Target 30–50%, SL: 25%
🔹 Llama/Meta
• ⚖️ Mixed: Slight short-term bearish tilt, but warns against poor liquidity
• 💸 Trade: No Trade due to spread/premium inefficiency
🔹 Gemini/Google
• 📊 Daily trend bullish, but intraday showing exhaustion
• ⚠️ Extreme spreads, no open interest
• 💸 Trade: No Trade recommended
🔹 DeepSeek
• 🚨 Strong Bearish: Breakdown of $115.20 w/ volume, negative MACD, RSI ~41
• ⚠️ Sentiment: Max pain at $100 + bid-side put action
• 💡 Trade: Buy $115 Put @ $12.70 → PT: $18.90 (+50%), SL: $8.82 (–30%)
• 🔥 Confidence: 80%
✅ Market Consensus:
📉 Outlook: Bearish Bias
– Short-term momentum is weak (price < EMAs, MACD negative)
– RSI ~41 suggests downside room
– Max pain at $100 = gravity effect
– VIX falling = no panic relief for bulls
– Key Level to Watch: Breakdown below $115 = confirmation
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:CRCL
🟢 Strike: 115 PUT
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20
💵 Entry: $13.30 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $19.95 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $9.31 (–30%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: At open
⚠️ Risk Watch:
• ☠️ High premium & wide bid-ask spreads = slippage risk
• ⛔ Low open interest = exit uncertainty
• 🕒 Theta decay accelerates late in the week
• 📈 Invalidated if price breaks above $116.34
• 📰 Unexpected crypto/news rallies = trend reversal risk
📊 TRADE JSON
💬 Are you trading this NYSE:CRCL bearish setup? Share your thoughts below.
📉📈 Follow for daily AI-powered trade breakdowns.
Apple Stock Drops: Is Slow AI Development to Blame?The tech world was abuzz on Monday as Apple, a titan of industry and a beacon of innovation, experienced a sudden and significant dip in its stock value, shedding approximately $75 billion in market capitalization. This abrupt decline sent ripples through the investment community, prompting a closer examination of the underlying factors contributing to what many perceive as a rare moment of vulnerability for the Cupertino giant. While market fluctuations are a normal part of the financial landscape, this particular downturn has been widely attributed to growing investor apprehension regarding Apple's perceived slow progress in the burgeoning field of generative artificial intelligence (AI). In an era where competitors are aggressively pushing the boundaries of AI capabilities, Apple's more measured approach appears to be raising questions about its future competitive edge and its ability to maintain its unparalleled ecosystem.
The $75 Billion Question: Unpacking Apple's Stock Drop
Apple's stock drop on Monday was not an isolated incident but rather a culmination of mounting concerns among investors. While the immediate trigger for such a sharp decline can often be a specific news event or analyst downgrade, the broader context points to a deeper anxiety: the pace and direction of Apple's generative AI development. For a company that has historically set the pace in consumer technology, a perception of lagging in a critical emerging technology like generative AI is a significant red flag for the market.
The $75 billion loss in market value represents a substantial sum, even for a company of Apple's immense size. It signifies that a considerable portion of investor confidence, particularly concerning future growth prospects, has been eroded. This erosion stems from the understanding that generative AI is not just another feature; it is poised to revolutionize how users interact with technology, from personal assistants to content creation and productivity tools. Companies that fail to innovate rapidly and effectively in this space risk being left behind, potentially losing market share and, more importantly, mindshare among consumers.
Investors are keenly aware that the tech landscape is unforgiving. Past leaders, even those with seemingly unassailable positions, have faltered when they failed to adapt to paradigm shifts. The market's reaction to Apple's AI progress, or lack thereof, is a testament to the perceived urgency and transformative potential of generative AI. It suggests that the market is valuing future AI capabilities heavily, and any perceived deficit in this area translates directly into a discounted valuation. The stock drop, therefore, serves as a stark reminder that even for Apple, continued dominance is not guaranteed without aggressive innovation in key technological frontiers.
Apple's Generative AI Journey: A Work in Progress
Apple's approach to AI has historically been characterized by a focus on integration, privacy, and user experience. Features like Siri, Face ID, and computational photography are all powered by sophisticated AI algorithms, seamlessly woven into the Apple ecosystem. However, these applications typically fall under the umbrella of discriminative AI, which is designed to make predictions or classifications based on input data. Generative AI, on the other hand, is about creating new content—text, images, audio, video—that is often indistinguishable from human-created output. This is where Apple's "work in progress" status becomes a point of contention.
For years, Apple has been quietly investing in AI research, acquiring smaller AI companies, and hiring top talent. Its chips, particularly the A-series and M-series, are designed with powerful Neural Engines specifically optimized for on-device AI processing. This emphasis on on-device AI aligns with Apple's core philosophy of privacy, allowing many AI computations to occur directly on the device without sending user data to the cloud. While this approach offers significant privacy benefits and can lead to faster, more responsive experiences, it may also present challenges in scaling the massive computational power required for large language models (LLMs) and other complex generative AI applications that often rely on vast cloud infrastructures.
The challenge for Apple lies in translating its existing AI prowess and privacy-centric philosophy into compelling generative AI experiences that can compete with the rapid advancements seen elsewhere. While there have been reports and rumors of Apple developing its own LLMs and generative AI tools, concrete product announcements or widespread public demonstrations have been notably absent. This silence, coupled with the aggressive public releases from competitors, has fueled the narrative that Apple is behind the curve. The market is looking for tangible evidence of Apple's generative AI capabilities, not just promises of future integration. The "work in progress" status, while a natural part of any complex technological development, is being scrutinized under a microscope, especially given the high stakes of the generative AI race.
The AI Race: Contrasting Apple with OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft
The generative AI landscape is currently dominated by a few key players who have made significant strides, setting a high bar for innovation and public perception. The contrast between these leaders and Apple's perceived pace is stark and forms the crux of investor concerns.
OpenAI, with its groundbreaking ChatGPT, DALL-E, and Sora models, has arguably ignited the current generative AI boom. Its strategy has been one of rapid iteration, public release, and collaborative development, often prioritizing innovation and accessibility over immediate commercialization. This approach has allowed OpenAI to capture significant public attention and demonstrate the immense potential of generative AI, effectively becoming the face of the movement.
Google, a long-standing leader in AI research, has been quick to integrate generative AI into its vast ecosystem. Its Gemini models are designed to be multimodal and highly capable, powering features across Google Search, Workspace, and Android. Google's advantage lies in its immense data reserves, vast computational infrastructure, and decades of AI expertise. While it initially faced criticism for being slow to respond to ChatGPT, Google has since demonstrated its commitment to integrating generative AI deeply into its core products and services, showcasing a comprehensive and aggressive strategy.
Microsoft, through its strategic partnership and substantial investment in OpenAI, has positioned itself as a formidable force in the generative AI space. By integrating OpenAI's models into its Azure cloud services, Microsoft 365 suite (Copilot), and Bing search engine, Microsoft has rapidly brought generative AI capabilities to millions of enterprise and consumer users. This partnership has allowed Microsoft to leverage cutting-edge AI research without having to build every component from scratch, accelerating its time to market and providing a significant competitive advantage.
In contrast, Apple has historically preferred to develop its core technologies in-house, maintaining tight control over its hardware and software integration. While this approach has resulted in highly optimized and secure products, it may be a slower path when it comes to rapidly evolving, data-intensive fields like generative AI. The lack of a public-facing, widely accessible generative AI product from Apple, akin to ChatGPT or Gemini, creates a perception that it is not participating in the same league as its rivals. This perception, whether entirely accurate or not, is what is currently impacting investor confidence and contributing to the stock's recent performance. The market is looking for Apple to demonstrate its unique value proposition in generative AI, beyond its traditional strengths.
Challenges and Implications for Apple
Apple's perceived lag in generative AI development presents several significant challenges and implications for its future.
Firstly, there's the risk of falling behind in core product experiences. As generative AI becomes increasingly integrated into operating systems, productivity suites, and creative tools, devices and platforms that lack these capabilities may appear less competitive. Imagine a future where intelligent agents seamlessly manage tasks, generate content, and provide hyper-personalized experiences. If Apple's ecosystem doesn't offer comparable features, it could erode its premium appeal and lead users to platforms that do.
Secondly, developer mindshare is crucial. The most innovative applications and services often gravitate towards platforms that offer the best tools and capabilities. If generative AI developers perceive Apple's platform as less capable or slower to adopt cutting-edge AI models, they might prioritize other ecosystems, potentially leading to a stagnation in the breadth and quality of third-party applications within the Apple App Store.
Thirdly, ecosystem lock-in, a traditional Apple strength, could be challenged. While Apple's integrated hardware and software create a powerful ecosystem, the allure of superior AI capabilities on other platforms could tempt users to switch. For instance, if Google's AI-powered features on Android become significantly more advanced and useful than what Apple offers on iOS, even loyal Apple users might consider alternatives.
Finally, there's the impact on brand perception and innovation narrative. Apple has built its brand on innovation and pushing technological boundaries. A perception of being a follower rather than a leader in a transformative technology like generative AI could tarnish this image, potentially affecting consumer loyalty and its ability to attract top talent in the long run. The $75 billion stock drop is a clear signal that the market is taking these implications seriously.
The Path Forward: Apple's Strategy to Reclaim AI Leadership
Despite the current concerns, it would be premature to count Apple out of the generative AI race. The company possesses immense resources, a vast user base, unparalleled brand loyalty, and a proven track record of entering established markets and redefining them. Apple's path forward in generative AI will likely involve several strategic moves.
One approach could be to leverage its existing hardware advantage. Apple's custom silicon, particularly the Neural Engine in its A-series and M-series chips, provides a powerful foundation for on-device AI. The company could double down on developing highly efficient, privacy-preserving generative AI models that run directly on its devices, offering unique capabilities that cloud-based solutions cannot match. This would align with its privacy-first philosophy and differentiate its offerings.
Secondly, strategic acquisitions and partnerships could accelerate its progress. While Apple prefers in-house development, the rapid pace of generative AI might necessitate acquiring specialized AI startups or forming partnerships with leading AI research labs to quickly integrate cutting-edge models and talent. This would allow Apple to bridge any perceived gaps more rapidly.
Thirdly, Apple might focus on integrating generative AI subtly and seamlessly into its existing products and services, rather than launching standalone, attention-grabbing AI models. This "Apple way" of introducing technology often involves refining and perfecting features before a public rollout, ensuring they are intuitive and enhance the user experience without being overtly complex. This could involve AI-powered enhancements to Siri, improved content creation tools in its creative suite, or more intelligent automation within iOS and macOS.
Finally, developer engagement will be crucial. Apple needs to provide robust tools and frameworks that empower developers to integrate generative AI capabilities into their apps, leveraging Apple's on-device AI power. This would foster a vibrant ecosystem of AI-powered applications that further enhance the value proposition of Apple devices.
In conclusion, Apple's recent stock drop serves as a potent reminder of the market's high expectations and the transformative power of generative AI. While the company's deliberate and privacy-focused approach to AI has its merits, the rapid advancements by competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft have created a perception of lag. The challenge for Apple is to demonstrate how its unique strengths—integrated hardware and software, a focus on user experience, and a commitment to privacy—can translate into a compelling and competitive generative AI strategy. The coming months will be critical as Apple navigates this pivotal technological shift, aiming to reassure investors and consumers that it remains at the forefront of innovation, ready to define the next era of personal computing with its own distinct AI vision.
DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)📈 DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)
🧠 Multi-Model AI Consensus | NYSE:DIS
This week, multiple AI models show short-term bullish momentum for Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), but technical overbought signals and options market dynamics point to potential pullback risks near $113 into Friday’s expiration.
🧪 AI Model Insights:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• Momentum: Bullish (5-min MACD +, price > EMAs)
• Risk: Daily RSI overbought, MACD histogram red
• Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $1.095 (+50%), SL: $0.365 (–50%)
• Confidence: 70%
🔹 Claude
• Momentum: Bullish on 5-min + daily RSI (~75), volume up
• Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 → PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20 (–50%)
• Confidence: 68%
🔹 Llama
• Momentum: Bullish; price > EMAs, MACD up, RSI not extreme
• Note: Max pain pullback risk to $113
• Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $0.87 (+20%), SL: $0.365
• Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini
• Momentum: Strong bullish on 5-min, but daily MACD lagging
• Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 on breakout > $115.70
→ PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20
• Confidence: 65%
🔹 DeepSeek
• Momentum: Bearish bias due to overbought RSI, MACD divergence
• Trade: Buy $113P @ $0.24 → PT: $0.48 (+100%), SL: $0.12
• Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Summary:
Market Bias: 📊 Moderately Bullish, but watch for gravity toward $113 max pain
Best Setup: Long weekly naked calls ($116–$117 strikes)
Strategy Type: Single-leg call
Key Levels:
• Resistance: $118 (heavy call OI)
• Pullback Risk: $113 (max pain zone)
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:DIS
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
🟢 Strike: 117 CALL
💵 Entry: $0.40
🎯 Profit Target: $0.80
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.20
📈 Confidence: 68%
⏰ Timing: At open or breakout > $115.70
⚠️ Risk Watch:
• Overbought RSI may trigger fade
• Max pain pressure into expiry
• Call-heavy OI at $116–$118 may cap upside
Thanks to Elon, RIVN is the new GME and GoldfinchFirst off, hats off to our politicians in office who are making this happen. When in history did you ever have both a president AND ceo butcher their company so hard that the 2nd option - RIVN - gets a god candle after a multi year breakout.
Tesla fan boys all say - never short tesla- and let me tell you, that only works if people expect it to drop. The whole long term picture is true, but for a long term hold, you have infinite time to buy in the short run. Those guys will love tesla a lot more at 100 than at 300.
I dont hate Elon. I like him, except Trump just proved to us what his motives are. Elon is a genius who will face an uphill short term battle with the horde of politicians. Wish him best of luck. In mean time my money is in RIVN. Lets go boys. and for the record, last year my money was in Tesla, back when you had a CEO focused on his company.
HIMS – Long Setup | Potential 60% MoveHims & Hers (HIMS) just gave us a textbook Ichimoku breakout and is holding strong above the cloud after a healthy pullback.
Technical Breakdown:
Price above Kumo Cloud: Bullish structure intact.
Support held at $54.62 – key base above cloud and Tenkan-sen.
MACD is curling back after a corrective wave, showing early signs of momentum returning.
Risk/Reward: 8.59 – Extremely favorable.
Target: $93.58 (60.22% upside)
Stop: $51.78 (7.01% downside)
Rationale:
HIMS continues to ride bullish sentiment in the healthcare and telemedicine sectors. This chart has a clean continuation setup with institutional buy zones likely around $54-$55. Risk is tightly controlled, and upside potential is significant.
Trump’s $1,000 baby accounts: what it means for markets President Trump’s “Trump Accounts” proposal would give every American newborn a $1,000 investment account placed in a stock market index fund, managed by the child’s guardians. The plan is part of the Big Beautiful Bill and has support from CEOs including Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, who called it “a seed fund for America’s next generation.”
If passed, the plan could drive consistent inflows into U.S. equity markets and benefit platforms like Robinhood, Vanguard, and BlackRock. Robinhood’s CEO will attend the White House event announcing the plan.
Robinhood shares are trading near multi-year highs, boosted by strong earnings and the acquisition of crypto exchange Bitstamp.
Shares also rallied recently on hopes the company would be added to the S&P 500, an inclusion that typically attracts passive fund inflows. While it wasn’t selected in the latest rebalancing, continued growth keeps it on watch for future inclusion.
Head and Shoulders PatternLululemon’s chart looks extremely bearish. It’s make or break for this stock. A breakdown of its current support would confirm the break of the neckline in a Head and Shoulders pattern. The 1:1 extension of the move could send the stock price down another 50%, towards $130. Yikes!
The 5 Wave supercycle ended at the Head, around $520. The stock then crashed in an abc correction, rejected at the golden ratio at $420. We are now hanging onto support, $234 is the last hope before potential calamity.
That might seem dramatic but all it would take is for tariffs to eat into the profits and the company will be under significant margin pressure. The technicals and fundamentals don’t look great.
Be careful buying the dip on here. It looks like a falling knife. I’d rather be short, but currently have no position.
Not financial advice, do what’s best for you.
Who likes Apple Crumble....WWDC Event FlopSome Key Areas:
Unified Design: Liquid Glass
- Apple unveiled a new design language called Liquid Glass, inspired by visionOS. This aesthetic introduces rounded, translucent elements across iOS 26, iPadOS 26, macOS 26 ("Tahoe"), watchOS 26, tvOS 26, and visionOS 26, aiming for a cohesive and modern look across all devices
Apple Intelligence & AI Enhancements
- Apple expanded its AI capabilities under the Apple Intelligence umbrella:
On-Device AI Models: Developers can now access Apple's on-device large language models to integrate AI features into their apps, ensuring privacy and efficiency.
- Genmoji: A new feature allowing users to create personalized emojis by merging existing ones.
- ChatGPT Integration: Siri can now delegate complex queries to ChatGPT, powered by GPT-4o, with user consent.
- Live Translation: Real-time translation is now available in Messages, FaceTime, and Phone apps, enhancing multilingual communication.
iOS 26 & iPadOS 26: Enhanced User Experience
- Redesigned Apps: Updated Camera, Safari, and Phone apps featuring the new Liquid Glass design.
iPadOS 26 brings
- Advanced Multitasking: Enhanced window management and a Mac-like Preview app.
macOS 26 ("Tahoe"): Productivity Focus
- Personalized Spotlight: Improved search functionality with AI-driven suggestions.
WatchOS 26 & AirPods Enhancements
- AI-Powered "Workout Buddy": Provides real-time insights and encouragement during fitness activities.
Gaming & Developer Tools
- Apple Gaming Hub: A new app aggregating games and challenges, enhancing the gaming experience across devices.
Apple is at a technical inflection point. It needs to hold the wedge or it runs the risk to going lower to the previous lower boundary range.
Weekly Chart Analysis –Elliott Wave, Channel, and RSI DivergenceApple’s weekly chart is showing a textbook Elliott Wave structure within a well-defined ascending channel. After completing a corrective (A)-(B)-(C) pattern for Wave 4, price action is now setting up for the next impulsive move.
Key Technical Highlights:
Elliott Wave Count:
The chart shows that Waves (1), (2), (3), and (4) are complete. The recent correction held at the lower channel boundary, suggesting Wave 4 is likely done and Wave 5 is about to begin.
Channel Support:
Price is respecting the long-term ascending channel. A retest of the lower channel (around the $180s) is possible, which would act as a strong support and an ideal launchpad for Wave 5.
RSI Divergence:
The RSI has formed multiple bearish divergences at previous peaks, accurately signaling corrections. Now, a bullish divergence is developing—RSI is making higher lows while price action makes lower lows—indicating waning bearish momentum and a potential reversal.
MACD & Volume:
MACD is stabilizing and could cross bullish near the channel support. Volume spikes at key turning points reinforce the significance of these levels.
Trade Plan & Outlook:
Watch for a retest of the $180s zone, where the lower channel and bullish RSI divergence converge.
If price holds this support and RSI confirms, it could mark the start of Wave 5, targeting the upper channel (potentially $280+).
Risk management: A sustained close below the channel would invalidate this bullish setup.
Summary:
Apple is at a critical juncture: a successful retest of the $180s with confirming RSI divergence could launch the 5th Elliott Wave, targeting new highs. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation.
Alibaba: A Strategic Long Play Amid Regulatory Easing
Current Price: $119.38
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $123.00
- T2 = $127.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $116.50
- S2 = $114.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Alibaba.
**Key Insights:**
Alibaba has shown impressive recovery momentum this year, with its stock surging 60% year-to-date. This resurgence is attributed to easing Chinese regulatory pressure, ongoing resilience in its e-commerce sector, and steady progress in cloud computing services. The strategic diversification of revenue streams has also positioned the company to weather economic challenges better than many of its peers. Furthermore, Alibaba's restructuring moves and initiatives in AI and innovative technologies continue to broaden its growth horizons.
However, significant risks remain. Short-term market fluctuations driven by macroeconomic uncertainties, competitive pressures from local and international e-commerce firms, and global trade dynamics could weigh on investor confidence. Yet, long-term prospects remain fundamentally sound for those willing to endure the interim volatility.
**Recent Performance:**
Alibaba's stock has recently consolidated around the $119 mark after a remarkable 60% gain earlier this year. This stabilization suggests a more balanced sentiment among traders, with buyers and sellers finding equilibrium. Notably, investor optimism surrounding regulatory easing in China and Alibaba's ability to sustain profitability in a challenging environment has kept the stock buoyant.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts emphasize that Alibaba's continued dominance in e-commerce and its ambitious strides in cloud computing make it a strong candidate for long-term portfolio inclusion. The company's investments in international expansion also provide exposure to diverse market opportunities. However, some analysts urge caution, noting that intensifying competition, both at home and abroad, and uncertainties in China’s economic policy could create headwinds.
Technical indicators reflect bullish sentiment in the near term, with moving averages forming strong support zones. Volume trends indicate steady accumulation, pointing to positive outlooks among institutional investors.
**News Impact:**
Recent announcements related to Alibaba's restructuring plans and its involvement in AI research have sparked renewed interest in the stock. Furthermore, signs of regulatory easing in China have fueled optimism regarding Alibaba's ability to regain its leadership footing in key markets. Investors should monitor news on any potential government support for Chinese tech giants, as this could be a decisive factor in shaping the company's trajectory.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the easing regulatory environment and Alibaba’s strategic initiatives aimed at driving long-term growth, a LONG position appears prudent for the medium term. With defined stop levels and upward targets, traders can balance risk while capitalizing on the stock's growth potential. Sustained focus on news flow, particularly regulatory and sector news, is critical to maintaining an informed trading strategy.