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i missed the target before -30% i'd like to offer you The Bottomt's awkward when 'all models are wrong, some are merely useful' when i called 'the fear is in the streets' with a buy action forward. boy was i wrong (and so paid the price for that call) but with -30% additional downside i've been stalking this patiently.. and +/- 5% diff i think This is it a good bottom as any now (you cant ever time them right) but merely highER probability of the bottom Here is why. Overall Price Action • COIN appears to be trading within a broad upward‐sloping channel since last year’s lows, though recent sessions show a pullback from the high‐$300s down to the mid‐$100s. • The stock has been staging multi‐month rallies followed by pronounced corrections, indicating that volatility remains high. Short‐Term (Days to ~2 Weeks) • Current Bias: Bearish/Consolidation - stay cautious Reasoning: Momentum indicators (e.g. the stochastic overlays) are in lower ranges or rolling over from mid‐levels, and the daily timeframe readout references a bearish tilt with relatively weak trend strength (low ADX, sub‐50% probability). Key Levels: • Immediate Support: Around ~150–145 (a break below opens room toward ~130–125). • Short‐Term Upside: A rebound and close above ~165–170 would help neutralize the immediate downtrend and could invite a bounce toward ~180. • Confidence: Moderate (about 50%) given the mixed signals on momentum and the broader market volatility. Near‐Term (2–6 Weeks) • Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish if support holds; risk of deeper pullback if ~145 fails Reasoning: • The purple channel on the chart suggests that price may still be in a rising structure overall. • If COIN defends that lower‐channel region near 130–150 and momentum begins to turn, a bounce toward the mid‐$180s or even low‐$200s is plausible. • Conversely, if broader crypto markets or equities weaken further, the stock could see a retest of the lower trend boundary around the low‐$100s. Key Levels: • Upside Targets: ~185, then ~200–210 as a bigger pivot. • Downside If Support Breaks: ~120–130. • Confidence: Moderate (around 60%) on a bounce scenario, but keep watch for major support to confirm. Long‐Term (6+ Weeks to Multiple Months) Current Bias: Constructive but Volatile Reasoning: • The broader up‐channel hints COIN may be in a longer‐term recovery cycle from 2022 lows, but large swings remain likely due to the stock’s sensitivity to crypto sentiment. • Sustained closes above ~$200–210 would solidify the bullish structure and open the door toward the mid‐$200s, possibly higher if the channel holds. • A breakdown below ~$120 would negate the broader uptrend and suggest a return to deeper support in the double‐digit zone. Key Levels: • Main Resistance: ~250–270 (top portion of the channel if momentum truly resurges). • Deep Support: ~100–120, critical to maintain a longer‐term bullish outlook. • Confidence: Moderate‐Low (roughly 50%) given macro uncertainties; confirmation of trend strength would come from multiple weekly closes above or below these key thresholds. So what do i think? its about Time-in-The-Market, not Timing-The-Market The Bottom Line Short Term : Leaning bearish unless price reclaims ~165–170. Near Term : Watch ~145 and ~130–135 as critical support—if those levels hold, a push toward the high‐$100s is plausible. Long Term : The up‐channel remains in play, but a break below ~120 would undermine the bullish structure. Upside targets could extend into the mid‐$200s if broader momentum and crypto sentiment remain supportive.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by OG_Doge
META Screaming CAUTION!The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price. As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION! Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade. Bulls should take their profits and smile. Bears short as high as possible with the internet to short more should it form a double top. The chart has spoken. Like it or not. Remember I am a macro trader so don't expect tomorrow to play out. My trades take time but have much bigger moves. ;)
NASDAQ:METAShort
by RealMacro
9
New Moon Fade Final Sand for Sqeeze!I like to call this the new moon fade, basically when we are in the new moon the market starts too sell (they use the news to inject fear, they understand that the moon effects are emotions. We are in an area where a lot of investors will sell do to fear. I give the two more weeks before a squeeze due to the critical point we are in. This new moon fade does not occur very often, I would say once or twice a year. Remember to take your some profits. You gotta do what's best for you
NYSE:AMCLong
by Kodiak303
PROCTER & GAMBLE: This volatility implies a major market bottom.Procter & Gamble is neutral on both the 1D (RSI = 47.822, MACD = 0.180, ADX = 17.832) and 1W (RSI = 49.820, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 20.781) technical outlooks as despite last week's rebound and this ones early strong rise, it pulled back and is about to close the 1W candle flat. We are exactly on the 1W MA50, which inside the 2 year Channel Up has always been a fair level to go long. The 1W RSI indicates that last week's low may be the symmetric low to December 11th 2023. This kickstarted a rally that hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we are bullish long term, aiming at just under the new 1.5 Fib (TP = 190.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:PGLong
by InvestingScope
NVDA Major Trend BreakNVDA finally broke down below its major uptrend it has been in since February 2024. It did move below briefly recently during the DeepSeek sell off, but quickly reclaimed. This time it has fallen much farther below so I'd say it's a bit more concerning for bulls. It did bounce and hold right around that low it made the last time it broke, but this looks like a stronger break that has a better chance of staying below. This is mission critical for the broader market and if it can't reclaim quickly, it is likely a signal of a longer term correction for the stock itself and the entire market. It will be very important to watch moving forward. First downside targets are 97.40 (previous double top and ATH) and 90.69 (August 2024 low).
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
The Alternative BKNY AnalysisHere is the alternative analysis for my earlier BK Assessment. Instead of being near the end of a Primary wave 1 in Cycle A of a Supercycle set to last into 2027, we could be in: Wave 3 of C of a corrective wave ---- or ---- Wave 3 of 3 of A of a corrective wave that will completely (waves A-C) finish within a year ---- or ---- Wave 3 of 3 of 1 of A of a large corrective wave that will complete in or after 2027. This stock is currently triggering wave 3 signals which means more near-term downside is highly likely.
NYSE:BKShort
by StockSignaler
TSLA - A false start? UPDATE : Tesla is unfortunately not starting on the right foot. The price action since the low is NOT impulsive to use an Elliot Wave term. So this is very unlikely to be the low. I will be selling my $265 calls near $255 price levels. And then patiently wait to see if we drift down for the true wave 5 down to $187. Additionally, the Murrey Frame 1/8ths line is also down there, as well a the Red dashed P line from the last break out. So..... if this take is wrong, and we manage to leave the channel gate move above $260 I will update. Until then its prayers to offload these longs profitably, and reset lower. Comments always welcome. And remember, trading is hard work, Sometimes we fish for a long time to catch the tastiest fish in the sea. Bona Fortuna!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Urbanmove
AAPL - support & resistant areas for today April 4 2025The key support and resistance levels for AAPL today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by OnePunchMan91
TSLA still bearish like I said. Why you should sue the board.This chart uses an unpublished modified turtle trader indicator / strategy combined with the unpublished TVMV framework using MFT candle sticks (published as separate indicator) and Bollinger bands. The max monthly position size is determined by seasonal probabilities, while the individual trade position sizes are determined by the turtle style volatility sizing based off the former's capital. Nothing has changed about TSLA. It has a work from home CEO who is who disconnected from reality and accountability that the stock will not recover. No amount of government contracts can over come the damage this man has done to the brand. Sales and deliveries are down in every market and the car owners are afraid to drive their cars. This recent pump had no basis. It lacked both fundamental value and technical value. TSLA will break below 222 and may go as far as 109 by EOY if the board of directors does not fulfill their fiduciary obligations to share holder to remove Musk permanently . Shareholders should seriously consider filing a class action law suit against the board of directors in collaboration with NY .
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by livingdracula