TSLA-SELL strategy 3D Reg. channelThe share has retraced a bit and restarted its decline. Considering the technical picture of negative impacts and the ongoing statements between the two parties, the case is stronger for a much lower share price. I feel we may see $ 230 or lower breaking below channel support.
Strategy SELL @ $ 290-310 and take profit near $ 195 for now.
Lemonade, Inc. Showing Momentum - Lets Make Lemonade!Hey, everyone. Wanted to get a video out since it has been awhile. Sorry about the rustling in the audio - bear with me as it is not a theme throughout.
I am pretty excited about the momentum that NYSE:LMND is showing. I've been in it with a position for a little bit lately, and was fortunate to catch the previous pump with profit, but I think the momentum has a strong chance to continue here.
I pretty much cover all my thoughts behind the idea in the video, so feel free to scroll through it at your own rate. I will post it as a chart idea as well so that you can hit the play button and track how the idea is actively performing.
Hope you all were able to whether the tariff tantrum and hoping the market can maintain its current positioning, or, better yet, show continued strength.
Enjoy,
Reagen
$META Short Swing - Fractal Repeat Play - Sub $600 Target@everyone 🔻 META Short Swing – Fractal Repeat Play 🔁
Entry Trigger: Week of June 10, 2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:META
Current Price: $697.71
Target Price: $593.66
Estimated Duration: ~3–4 weeks
Conviction: ★★★★★
🧠 Thesis:
This is a nearly perfect fractal repeat of META’s July 2024 top:
Identical weekly candle structure: topping wick into fib + supply zone
Weekly gap fill target lines up exactly again — same 15.5% drop
Wick gap fill = $593.66 (same confluence from 2024)
Bearish fib roadmap from 0.786 → 0.618 → 0.382
Volume and momentum exhausted on the run into $702
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry Range: $690–702 rejection zone
Stop Loss: Weekly close above $705
Primary Target: $593.66
This level completes the wick gap fill and matches 2024’s exact structure
Secondary Target (optional): $580.84 (full fib gap + demand retest)
🛠️ Options to Consider:
6/28 $650P or $640P – standard swing
7/5 $620P – for deeper move toward 0.382 and beyond
🔍 Setup Snapshot:
July 2024: -15.56% in 28 days
June 2025: Targeting -15.53% in 28 days
Same gap, same wick rejection, same fade roadmap
Elon vs. Trump Drama, But the Chart Speaks LouderTesla closed at 300.63 with a strong 5.42% jump, but the rebound looks more technical than solid. RSI is at 43.90, still in bearish territory, and the stock hasn’t recovered from the recent drop from 360. The 305–310 zone is key — if it fails to break above that with volume, it might drop back to 280 or even 260.
On top of that, the growing tension between Trump and Elon Musk could weigh on market sentiment, especially with the upcoming election and possible regulatory concerns.
Bottom line: the move up doesn’t look convincing yet. Watch price action and volume closely in the next few days.
#TSLA #Tesla #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #WallStreet
Palantir UpdateThere is a lot to unpack regarding Palantir based on what has transpired as of late. I have removed the possible smaller degree irregular abc pattern that I was tracking. If you draw fibs for what would be a sub-minuette wave i of (v), you see that our recent top was made right around the 1.236. This is very standard for ED's. Also, when it reversed, it did so with strength which is another trait of ED's.
MACD broke down below the trend line and has come back into the wedge. It appears to be weakening/curling, setting price up for a potential move down again. What I would like to see, is for MACD to remain under the upper trend line while resetting before dropping and pulling price back down with it. This would fit well with the white count. If this happens, then I believe the ensuing price action would reflect close to what I have laid out on white.
The ALT count, which is becoming less and less likely every day, is the yellow pattern. This suggests that we're within a larger degree irregular ABC pattern. If this is the case, then price would likely drop to the $65 area if not lower. I think this pattern is very low probability, but it could still happen so it will stay on the chart for now.
In short, I believe we have topped in an ED with the slim chance of getting one more slight high. If we have topped, we should be headed for the target box in a 3-wave fashion. This would be a great place for longs should the coming price action follow my predicted structure.
HOOD (Robinhood) - Price Above Bollinger Band and Shooting StarsHOOD (Robinhood) stock price has been in an uptrend since May 2025.
Recent fundamentals such as corporate earnings, EPS, Revenue, Acquisitions have been good in Q2 2025.
However currently, HOOD price has printed 2 shooting stars above the upper bollinger band and linear regression lines (blue arrow).
Potential selling and profit-taking could occur, especially if there is a significant bearish catalyst or news in the stock market.
A -4% or -8% move selloff could occur over time if the price gaps up to an overextended level too fast, such as $80 to $85.
Both the weekly and daily charts are starting to show bearish divergence so I am watching both the technicals and fundamentals this month.
Tesla UpdateTesla has had quite a rough go at it lately. For those of you on trading view that follow me, you may not have had the daily updates as those on my website, but you should've known too by my posts that a decent drop was coming. Just so I am as clear as I can be, this is just the beginning of this consolidation lower. We might not even be done with this current drop for the minuette a wave either. As annotated by the turquoise label and the turquoise fibs, another low is very possible, and I would go so far as to say very probable. The reason why I think it is probable, is the structure that was created on the move lower. It appears like the move higher that started on 05 June is a miniscule wave 4 with 5 yet to come.
Now, another move lower isn't required by any means. We could easily continue higher from here for minuette wave b. That is why I have drawn some blue retracement fibs. If we have in fact bottomed in (a), then we would be targeting the $328-$350 area for (b).
In short, we either make another low from here to the $263 area finishing (a), or we continue higher for wave (b). MACD/structure seems to be indicating the turquoise count will come to pass. Either way we should head higher again soon. If we can make another low towards the 2.618 then I will likely take a small long position to ride out (b).
Niagen Breaks Out: Eyes on $15–17 as Momentum TargetsNiagen Bioscience ( NASDAQ:NAGE ) is in vertical price discovery mode, pushing into new highs with strong trend momentum, but with RSI at 78.66 and a flattening MACD histogram, it’s nearing a classic short-term exhaustion zone
Technical Breakdown
1. Price Action – Parabolic Advance
Price is climbing in a near-vertical channel from the $5–6 range in March to now $12.95 — a 2x+ move in just a few months. No clear resistance above = price discovery, but these steep climbs often invite sharp mean reversion when momentum fades. No signs of topping yet, but late buyers risk being exit liquidity if volume dries up.
2. RSI – Deep Overbought
RSI is at 78.66, right near the extreme threshold (>80) where pullbacks are common. Note the last RSI spike above 80 in April led to a sharp correction. If RSI rolls while price makes new highs, that’s bearish divergence risk — an early signal of topping.
3. MACD – Still Positive, But Slowing
MACD lines are bullishly stacked, but the histogram is flattening — a signal that momentum is stalling. A bearish MACD crossover here would confirm that this rally leg is losing energy.
4. Volume – Watch Closely
Volume data is light on this chart, but recent candles don’t show a volume climax — suggesting this may not be euphoric yet, but it’s close. One high-volume reversal candle near the top could flip sentiment fast.
Fibonacci Extension Setup
We'll anchor the extension to the March 2025 low and the recent pre-breakout high, using the most relevant and aggressive up-leg:
Swing low: ~$5.00 (March 2025)
Swing high: ~$11.50 (May 2025)
Pullback low: ~$9.00 (early May dip before this new breakout)
Extension Targets
1.0x $11.50 Already cleared (prior high)
1.272 $13.25–13.50 Short-term upside target, within reach
1.618 $15.00–15.25 Primary extension / high-conviction zone
2.0 $17.00 Stretch target in euphoric continuation
These levels line up well with psychological round numbers and the measured strength of the rally.
What Would Validate These Targets?
RSI stays above 65–70 (healthy overbought, not divergent)
MACD avoids bearish crossover and histogram turns back up
Breakout continuation above $13.25 with volume
What Would Invalidate?
Sharp rejection from $13.25 or $14 with divergence
RSI dropping below 65 while price stalls
Bearish MACD crossover + red candle volume spike
CRM Long Setup: High R:R Opportunity Off Support ZoneSalesforce (CRM) is setting up for a compelling long opportunity based on a combination of Ichimoku cloud structure, pivot level confluence, and a strong risk/reward ratio. After a recent pullback from the $290s, CRM has entered a consolidation range just above the Ichimoku cloud. With a defined stop and a clear breakout target, the long case offers an R/R of 3.57, which is notable in this current market environment.
🔍 Entry & Trade Details
Entry: $263.52
Stop Loss: $255.00 (approx. 3.23%)
Target: $293.50 (approx. 11.52%)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.57
Position Size: 100 shares (~$21,000 exposure)
This long position is targeting a return to the previous high around the $293.50 mark, which aligns closely with the key pivot resistance (R1 zone) and the upper boundary of the recent trading range. The tight stop loss just below the cloud and recent support ensures limited downside while leaving room for CRM to climb with momentum.
☁️ Ichimoku Structure Analysis
CRM is currently sitting inside the Ichimoku cloud, a zone of equilibrium where price tends to consolidate before a larger move. The key observation is that the conversion line (Tenkan-sen) is flat and the lagging span (Chikou) is attempting to cross above prior price action—both are early signals of bullish intent.
If CRM can decisively clear the upper cloud boundary, it opens the door for a move back to the psychological $290–$295 zone.
📊 MACD Momentum Shift
Below the chart, the MACD histogram has flipped negative recently, but that’s not unusual in a consolidation phase. More important is whether we see a re-acceleration in histogram bars along with a bullish MACD crossover, which would be a strong continuation signal.
With the histogram declining but price holding, we’re watching for a momentum divergence setup—bullish if confirmed by volume.
🔄 Volume & Previous Structure
CRM saw strong buying interest in mid-May, driving it above the pivot point ($277.75). Since then, price has retraced back toward support, shaking out weak hands and retesting the structure. Volume on the pullback has been controlled, suggesting this may be a healthy base before the next leg up.
📌 Trade Thesis
This is a technical long trade betting on:
A bounce off Ichimoku support
Bullish re-engagement of buyers near cloud edge
Clean target at former highs ($293.50)
Favorable risk/reward setup
The broader market conditions remain mixed, but CRM’s positioning in the enterprise software sector, combined with recent revenue growth and forward guidance, provide a solid fundamental backdrop.
📅 What to Watch
A daily close above the Ichimoku cloud
A green MACD histogram bar
Increased buy volume near $265–$270
💬 Final Thoughts
Salesforce is offering a high-probability, high-reward long setup here. Tight stop, clear target, and bullish structure make this worth watching. Be patient on confirmation—but once momentum returns, this could move fast.
Monster Breakout brewing for ASTS🔍 NASDAQ:ASTS Weekly Chart Analysis (Accurate)
Pattern: Massive bull flag / consolidation wedge after a parabolic run.
Current Price: ~$31.20, sitting near the midpoint of the descending channel.
Structure:
Price is compressing between lower highs and higher lows.
Volume spikes on up moves, low volume on pullbacks = bullish accumulation.
Testing upper trendline of the flag — breakout could trigger a new wave.
✅ Favorable Path:
Break and weekly close above ~$34.00 (channel resistance) confirms breakout. That opens up a measured move targeting $50–55 short-term, and possibly $70+ if momentum accelerates.
🎯 Measured Move Target:
Pole base ~$6 → Flag peak ~$36 = ~$30 range
Breakout above $34 → Target = $34 + 30 = $64
⚠️ Invalidation:
A breakdown below $24–25 zone would invalidate the flag and suggest distribution instead of continuation.
🔑 Summary:
Setup: Weekly bull flag after a parabolic leg
Bias: Strongly bullish with breakout potential
Trigger: Weekly close above $34.00
Short-term target: $50–55
Full measured move target: ~$64
Invalidation zone: Below $24
Smart money appears to be loading the dips. Breakout traders should watch $34 like a hawk.
TOST getting toastyTOST Technical Analysis (Breakout Setup):
Current Pattern: Bull flag forming after a strong breakout from the $40.50 zone with increasing volume.
Resistance: $44.33 – key level to break for momentum continuation.
Support levels:
$42.00 (top of previous consolidation zone)
$40.55 (bull flag base and breakout pivot)
Ideal Breakout Play:
Watch for breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, ideally clearing $44.33 with volume.
A daily close above $44.33 confirms continuation — target $47–48 short-term, with potential run to $50 psychological.
Invalidation:
Break below $40.55 on volume negates the setup, suggesting failed breakout.
Favorable Path:
Consolidate slightly → Break flag above $44.33 → Ride momentum to $47–48. Risk/reward favors long bias above $44.33.
💡 This is a textbook bull flag following a high-volume breakout — high probability if volume confirms the breakout.
Doji on top of the hillDoji on top of the hill — on the daily chart, we observe a doji candle printed at the top of a strong uptrend, situated in a heavily overbought zone, as confirmed by both RSI and Stochastic RSI. This suggests potential for a pullback. If price moves below $73.21 with strong volume and conviction, the decline may extend to $72.07 (structural CHoCH) and possibly to the $68 support area. On the other hand, if price breaks above $78 with strong bullish momentum, we could see continuation toward the $84 resistance zone. Traders should remain cautious and watch for fakeouts, especially within this tight range and at key breakout levels."
TSLA cup and handle INVALIDATEDThe TSLA cup and handle breakout case has been invalidated as of Thursday June 5th of this past week. The start of the week showed lack of conviction in the follow through to and over the 360 price level, where sellers stepped up. This indicated a slowdown in bullish momentum and a weakening trend early in the week. The ultimate catalyst that caused the breakdown for TSLA was, of course, the public breakup of Musk and DJT over social media platforms. This caused a "waterfall effect" of intense selling pressure through low volume zones from ~330 to the high volume node and put wall at the 280 level. Price ended up overshooting 280 but ended up reclaiming that level by the end of the session and bounced higher the following day. At this point, the weekly and daily charts are showing a short term wedge formation that may take some weeks to play out. There has not been signs of big institutional buying at the these levels as of now, and as such I suspect that there may be a bit more downside these coming weeks. My current idea is a short/put position under 293.5 to about 273, with a maximum target of 250. If price ends up at or near 250 levels, I would look to start a long position for a play back up to the 300 level.
Bullish on RDDT - Can it clear 130 and hold this time?Key levels to watch
Support: 108–110. This zone held on the most recent pullback and aligns with prior structure.
Short-term target: 125–126. If price breaks and holds above this level, it suggests momentum is building.
Overhead Resistance: 130. Clearing and holding above this level is what would turn this from a bounce into something with more swing potential.
Upside potential: 155–166, if price can build a base above 130
While the structure is building constructively, and a decline from here isn't my first pick, it is possible that we just continue to chop. But, for now I am bullish on RDDT for the next few weeks, and I will continue to update you here as it plays out.