Get started
NVDA Consolidation PeriodAs a disclaimer, I am long on SPY with 2 call options for the 600 strike on the December monthly, as well as less than 100 shares of NVDA, NVDY, NVDX, and NVDS. I am expecting a spike in volatility TVC:VIX going into the election. NVDA's technicals show a strong engulfing bullish candle up through the 50ma and the downtrend line and now it has stopped at the 200MA and the next downtrend line. I think we will see it return to the 50MA. consolidate, and then if Trump wins (no politics please, I just expect a Trump victory to be a boom for the crypto space which would in turn boost demand for NVDA products) I would then expect this to continue much higher. It has been finishing some unfinished auctions it left behind in it's last bull run. IV rank has come down to bearish levels according to the VixFix model in ETH on H1. This suggests a move down in the immediate short term.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by StrawberryBlondie2
PLTR: Taking a fresh look. More bullish than before!PLTR chart has been bullish for a while and the recent price action looks very much like a wave 3 of some degree. This made me rethink my previous count that I was tracking as an expanding ending diagonal for wave 5 of c of various degrees of wave 5s to complete intermediate wave 1. But that started to look a bit unrealistic. Wave 5 was getting bigger than the 2x extension of waves 1 and 2. Taking a second look to terminate intermediate wave 1 at the March high. This gives us a very short and shallow intermediate wave 2 correction ending in May. This makes the rest of the price action pretty bullish, even though the minute degree wave 2 of Minor degree wave 1 came in very deep. Let's ignore that situation, as it was very quick correction, and price has moved very quickly and very far without any major dips since. And if this bullish count is correct, then price should not come down to orange line $33.13 until minute degree waves 3, 4 and 5 are complete. Price should hit a few all-time highs to around $60 area before we see a sizable dip. However, that dip should not violate the red line at $20.65. If all goes well, the huge wave 3 of 3 will start that should take the price to the moon. This count is wrong if price goes below $33.13 before the 5-wave minute degree sequence is complete. I will go back to my previous, now somewhat awkward looking count to end intermediate 1 brace for a much bigger wave 2.
NYSE:PLTRLong
by mukit1
Watch Movement Post Earnings. Strong bull for this stock as not only small caps have strength, but this company is rolling out there testosterone therapy and also has a cheap price tag. My targets are listed on the right hand side in bright pink. BUT, big but, if we lose this support there is nothing holding this thing up for a while until we reach previous support lines. I might be looking for a liquidity grab to the down side right after earnings and will watch for reversals. Manage risk please
NASDAQ:LFMDLong
by LeapTrades
Trump Media Stock Update: Short-Term Opportunity?It’s essential to understand that recent volatility in Trump Media’s stock price is driven more by speculation surrounding Donald Trump’s potential election win than by the company’s own financials, reports, or fundamentals. The stock, which once peaked at $175 even without Trump in office, reflects the anticipation tied to his election campaign. Should he win, it could potentially bring even higher valuations. Currently, the stock has tumbled from around $54 to $30, a price that many now consider cheap. This sharp decline of nearly 44% might create a short-term buying opportunity for those who anticipate a rebound.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by Charts_M7M
Betting on $DOCS: A Technical Analysis Forecasting 8% GrowthNYSE:DOCS shows strong performance with a Relative Strength (RS) rating of 98. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) has been rising since October 1st, indicating ongoing buying interest. The stock is forming a bullish base along the trend line, supported by the 10-day and 20-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). I predict an 8% rise in price and have set a stop loss at 3.4% to limit risk. This setup suggests a solid opportunity for growth. Let's proceed with this trade and assess the outcome
NYSE:DOCSLong
by GreenBkk
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant. CEO Satya Nadella stated “Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.” This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant. If you need a quick summary, here are three main points: 1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period. 2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025. 3. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results. Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter. Overview of today’s insights: - New segmentation. - Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview. - Key earnings call highlights. - Future areas to monitor. 1. New Segmentation Revised Business Segments In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management. Summary of the main changes - Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment. -Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising. -Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes. -Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together. Impact of These Changes: Core Segments Overview: In summary: - The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly. - The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue. Products and Services Overview: - M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services. - Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category. Additional Insights: - Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed. Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations. 2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance Financial Summary: -Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger. New Product and Services Segmentation Results - Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y). - M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y). - Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision. - Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y). - LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y). - Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y). - Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y). - Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y). - M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y). Core Business Segments Breakdown: - Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption. - Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth. - More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation. Key Observations: - Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y). - Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth. - Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25. - Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25. - Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter. - Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q). - EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: - Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y). - Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion. Q2 FY25 Outlook: - Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens. - Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%. - More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro. Main Takeaways: - Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost. - Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25. - Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4. - Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points. - Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected. - Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases. Earnings Call Highlights: Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake. AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y. M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly. LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends. Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6 Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth. 4. Future Outlook Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably. Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start. Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry. For further analysis stay tuned
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
PAGS in position for sweet buyAnother classical setup this time with PAGS Young sexy bank from developing Brasillll, good Q-results and good forecasts but with one problem: too many passengers aboard ... What to do? We need a superhero who can get reed of all them. And his name is Jorge Kuri from Morgan Stanley who says the stock is worth 6,5 USD. I personally think he does a great job and I am thankful for his famous opinion that prepared for me as well (as, I suppose, for his bank) a setup to buy into this nice asset.
NYSE:PAGSLong
by vladimirvonhalle
1
DJT doesn't go much higherMODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play. I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price at top or near top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level VBSM is peak positive Price at near Fibonacci level In at $34.27 Target is channel bottom Stop loss is $34.27
NASDAQ:DJTShort
by chancethepug
1
HIMS retraced to .50 FIB MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play. I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price dipped negative of channel (period 52 39 & 26) Price at 0.5 Fibonacci level In at $18.96 Target is $20 or channel top Stop loss is $18
NYSE:HIMSLong
by chancethepug
The Rocket Booster Strategy Boosted Part 2Trying to find a pattern to trade has been a challenge..and so in this video i show you the rocket booster strategy boosted. - First, you need to make sure you do not trade flat markets.. This is a mistake I have made a lot. - Second, you need to increase the amount of volume you are trading because in the stock market the traffic can get stuck. - Third try your best not to trade low-volume stocks this is also something I was very fond of doing Because I was so good at technical analysis I never understand the power of volume - Lastly, you need to create a combination of trading systems That will help you identify the best swing trading Opportunities In this video we are using the following indicators: 1-Volume 2-Rate Of Change 3-Moving Averages Creating a system with a combination of these indicators should help you build a strong trading system - And trading strategy Watch this video to learn more. - Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money wether you like it or not please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
NYSE:MALong
by lubosi
SasanSeifi| Can It Hit the $300 Zone?Hey there, ✌ Examining the 4-day chart for NASDAQ:TSLA , we can see a slight upward movement from the $140 price range. After multiple attempts to break above, the price encountered resistance around $265, resulting in a negative reaction and subsequent correction. Currently, the price hovers around the $248 level. My medium- and long-term outlook remains bullish, with an expectation that the price could rise toward the $300 supply zone and reach targets between $320 and $350. One possible scenario is that, after a consolidation phase, if Tesla holds within the critical support range of $230 to $200, it could see significant growth toward the mentioned targets. Preserving these key support levels is crucial. However, if the price breaks below the $200 level and consolidates there, this scenario would lose validity, possibly leading to further correction. 💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SasanSeifi