Immediate leap on MSFT! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
$NASDAQ:PLTR Bearish ThesisNote: Testing the Supply and Demand Basis for Trading
Based on the 1-d chart, the recent bullish move following Trump's tweet has not yet broken through the Supply Zone. Expected pullback back to Demand Zone. Reward/Risk Ratio = 2.78 using these zone.
If another bull-run breaks past Supply Zone will close short position and wait until bounce from ATH Supply Zone to re-enter.
ROST is correcting and that's OK - Long at 141.28People get panicky during corrections. Understandably, it can be nerve-wracking watching that stock you were sure was going up, going down. With the short term nature of the trading I'm doing, I don't worry that much, and especially when the corrections are garden variety ones.
ROST is down almost 10% since Dec 5th. That's a normal correction, especially for ROST. It's done that (or more) 4 times in the last 11 months, coming all the way back or more each time. Now I'm not predicting it will this time, too. The whole point of short term trading is not having to worry about earnings, the economy, who we enter a trade war with, etc.
But it is important to keep perspective and zoom out every once in a while. Looking too closely at the last two weeks for this stock could be unnecessarily frightening. 7 down days in the last 8. 4 in a row. Zooming out lets me realize that what's going on here isn't necessarily a crisis. It's (no pun intended) business as usual.
It helps that NASDAQ:ROST is one of my better stocks for trading the way I do. It also helps that there is some support relatively close. It helps that I have over 1100 backtested and real trades in ROST to look back on. When the history of the stock is 1122-2 (the 2 are the last two days), it makes the 10% drop lately seem less worrisome. Data is comforting in times of stress.
And those are lessons for everyone's trading, I think. Look at the big picture before getting nervous about the small one. Collect data on your trades, and let that story of success keep you calm in difficult times. And if it's a story of a lack of success, then at least you can avoid a mess before it happens and work on developing something new.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Time to Buy DELL Technologies ?Looking at the weekly timeframe we can see Dell Technologies is in positive macro uptrend. Price Has respected the channel since the start of given data and continues to do so as well.
We can see price has touched the bottom of the channel once again and has confirmed a weekly green candle indicating heavy demand .
As we can see the most price has fallen In a heavy correction is no more than 56%.
Can we be seeing the beginning of a bottoming and the start of a new bulll trend ?
The Truth About 2nd Retests in Forex, Stocks, and Crypto"Structure protects the trader from their own emotions."
This post is for those traders out there who have been second-guessing themselves when the market pulls back. If you're noticing second retests more frequently in Forex compared to stocks and crypto, you're not imagining things. Let me break it down from experience and research.
🔄 2nd Retests: What Are They?
The "2nd retest" refers to when price:
Breaks through a key level
Pulls back to that level
Then comes back again to retest that zone before the real trend unfolds
💱 Forex: Where Retests Move Fast
Forex has high liquidity and volume. When a level is broken, you often get a quick pullback, then a second retest -- sometimes in the same session. It's common to catch a good entry, see profit, then watch price reverse, hit the zone again, and consolidate with a W or M formation.
This is where most traders start to doubt themselves.
But if you're reading structure and candles properly, you're not wrong -- you're just early.
Remember: Forex is designed to shake you out with speed.
📊 Stocks: Slower and Sentiment-Driven
Stocks don’t move like Forex. They’re based more on fundamentals, earnings, and market sentiment.
2nd retests happen, but they play out over days or weeks
You often see consolidation ranges instead of clean pullback entries
That means unless you’re patient or watching higher time frames, you’ll miss it or get caught in sideways chop.
💿 Crypto: The Middle Ground
Crypto behaves like Forex, but slower. Patterns like W and M retests still appear – but it takes more time. The liquidity isn’t as deep, and reactions are more volatile.
You need strong discipline
You need to trust your zones
Don’t expect instant gratification
🧠 My Strategy: Multi-Timeframe Surfing
I personally surf between multiple timeframes to track how the candle looks and behaves:
Lower timeframes = Reaction + Entry Zones
Higher timeframes = Intent + Trend Bias
When I catch the first breakout and get into profit, I don’t panic if the 2nd retest comes.
I look for structure -- not emotion.
If you're unaware of the candle you're trading on, you'll always feel lost in the retracement.
So instead of jumping ship, I wait. I watch the new candle form. I know where I'm at in the story. That's what keeps me in the trade and out of my feelings.
🔹 Final Takeaway:
Whether you're trading Forex, Crypto, or Stocks — the market always leaves clues.
But you need:
A solid grasp of structure
Understanding of candle behavior
Patience to let the 2nd retest show its true intent
Stay sharp. Stay grounded. Trust the chart — not the chatter.
Let me know your thoughts below. How often do YOU see these 2nd retests in your trading?
Janover Stock Spike 1100% After Completing First Solana PurchaseJanover (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JNVR ) has invested over $9.6 million into Solana (83,000+ SOL) as part of a new digital asset treasury strategy, with plans to stake its holdings and run validators to generate onchain revenue.
The move follows a $42 million funding round and has triggered a 1,100% surge in Janover’s stock price as the company positions itself as a transparent, publicly traded vehicle for crypto exposure.
The company bought $4.6 million of Solana’s SOL token on Thursday. Earlier this week, Janover announced that it raised $42 million through the private offering of convertible notes and warrants, with plans to acquire SOL.
Janover shares were last higher by more than 64%, after skyrocketing more than 1,100% earlier in the day.
“Our aim is to be the most efficient and transparent vehicle for crypto accumulation in the public markets,” Janover CEO Joseph Onorati said in a statement Thursday. “Executing our first SOL purchase within days of completing our restructuring reflects that commitment.”
Janover, a software company founded in 2018, on Monday announced a new crypto-focused treasury management strategy after a team of former executives from the popular Kraken crypto exchange acquired majority ownership of the firm. It also plans to change its name to DeFi Development Corporation and revise its ticker symbol.
As of the time of writing, the stock is up 13.88% with the RSI at 58.77 there could be room for more bullish campaign. Similarly, the 45 -minute price chart depicts a cup formation with the handle still forming- this is typically identified as a bullish pattern.
Long FAST @ 80.32 - because the odds are in my favorI don't care what your trading strategy is. In the end, if you're going to be successful at trading, it's about putting the odds in your favor. In my case, I like to put the odds WAYYYYYY in my favor.
NASDAQ:FAST is one of my top stocks. Out of over 1,000 trades going back to the month before Black Monday in 1987, it has only produced 3 "losing" trades, and they'd all have been opened in the last 7 days. That's well above
a 99% win rate.
The AVERAGE gain on those trades has been 2.21% (excluding the near zero impact of the 3 current losers) and each took on average, just over 2 weeks to complete. On a per day held basis, that's about 4.5x the average daily return of the S&P 500 and includes periods of trading covering Black Monday, the dot.com crash, the Asian currency crisis, the Financial Crisis/Great Recession of 2007-09, and various other extreme market drawdowns.
You can see that during the most recent 3 month drawdown in the stock, I'd have come out ahead, so I'm not particularly concerned that the last couple of weeks have been rough ones for $FAST. I would consider the potential closing of the "gap" from a few weeks ago as normal and healthy from a technical perspective and offering price support at the level prior to that gap, as well as from the blue uptrend line.
I never have an absolute guarantee that a trade will make money for me, but this stock is about as close as it gets to that. In fact, it was all I could do not to buy a 4x sized lot to cover the 3 trades I could have made that I didn't because I was maxed out on the number of positions in my portfolio or chose stocks with even better risk/return statistics than this one. If it goes down another day, I may just do that. I'll obviously note it here if I do.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add at the close on any day it is still a "buy" and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
$bidu smash or crashNASDAQ:BIDU continues to get bought up at this demand zone that has held for 12 years between $85-$73. One of the most beautiful charts Ive seen on an individual name in a long time. Not the most exciting name around but $70 cash per share on hand and a PE of 9 with as solid of a defined R/R as you can find. I think Trump's delistment threats are just fluff and could serve as a great buying oppurtunity if you're into Chinese stocks. Let me know your thoughts
BlackRock Beats EPS Estimates Despite Revenue Miss in Q1 2025 BlackRock Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:BLK ) reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $11.30 for Q1 2025. This beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.25, marking a 10.24% surprise. In the same quarter last year, EPS was $9.81.
Revenue came in at $5.28 billion, missing the estimate of $5.33 billion by 1%. However, it rose from $4.73 billion a year earlier. The company has surpassed EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters and has topped consensus estimates twice in that span. In the previous quarter, BlackRock posted EPS of $11.93, beating the $11.27 estimate. That represented a surprise of 5.86%.
BlackRock operates in the Financial - Investment Management industry. The market now awaits management’s outlook for future earnings. This will shape short-term price direction. So far in 2025, BlackRock shares have dropped 16.2%. In comparison, the S&P 500 has declined 10.4%.
Technical Analysis
BlackRock rebounded from a strong support zone near $780. This level aligns with the long-term horizontal support level that has held for over 3 years now. The RSI sits at 41, indicating it is nearly oversold. However, a bullish reversal momentum is forming around the support zone.
If the price continues to rise, resistance and target lie at the $1,084.22 recent high. A break above $950 may trigger a run toward the $1,000–$1,084 range. If the price is rejected, it could revisit the $780 support or possibly the ascending trendline sitting below the horizontal support.
Baidu Wave Analysis – 11 April 2025
- Baidu reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 90.00.
Baidu recently reversed from the support zone between the major long-term support level 78.60 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2022) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support level 78.60 is likely to form the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer (strong buy signal for Baidu).
Given the strength of the support level 78.60 and the clear bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator, Baidu can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 90.00.
Walmart Holds Strong and Ends the Week Up More Than 15%Shares of retail giant Walmart have risen more than 15% over the past five trading sessions, despite growing tensions over reciprocal tariffs between China and the United States. The bullish bias has remained intact, primarily because the company stated this week that it is prepared for scenarios with tariffs of up to 125% on Chinese imports and is currently negotiating with suppliers to secure better pricing in the coming weeks. This has helped preserve investor confidence and positioned Walmart as one of the few stocks that has withstood the volatility of the renewed trade war.
Building Bullish Momentum
This week’s price action showed a sustained upward bias, suggesting the beginning of a new short-term bullish trend. However, Walmart's stock still faces resistance from a key Fibonacci retracement level, which it must overcome to confirm a strong buying momentum and possibly maintain a bullish trend in the coming weeks.
MACD Indicator
The MACD currently favors the bulls, as the histogram has expanded significantly, reinforcing the upward momentum above the zero line in the short term. As long as no divergence emerges between price action and the MACD, there’s little room for meaningful selling corrections in the immediate sessions.
ADX Indicator
The ADX line is beginning to show some indecision, as it gradually descends toward the neutral 20 level, just as the price approaches key resistance zones. If this downward trend continues, the market could shift into a more neutral phase. However, for now, the indicator still supports the idea that the recent upward moves reflect a solid directional bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
$95: Likely the most important nearby resistance, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A decisive move above this area could open the door to a stronger bullish phase.
$104: A long-term resistance, representing the recent highs reached in the past few months. A return to this level could revive the broader bullish trend that had been dominant in the past months.
$85: A key support level, aligned with the 200-period moving average. If price retraces back to this level, it could reactivate the bearish bias seen in previous weeks.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
CrowdStrike: Member of a Small ClubThe broader market has been tumbling for months, but CrowdStrike has stood its ground.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 10 low of $303.79. While the Nasdaq-100 has revisited levels from over a year ago, CRWD has held lows from a month prior. Support at such a recent level may reflect positive sentiment.
Second, Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) made a higher low as the cybersecurity company made a slightly lower low. That positive divergence could also be viewed as a bullish signal.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in November and has stayed there since. Is a longer-term uptrend still in effect?
Speaking of SMAs, CRWD is above its 20- and 200-day SMAs. That puts it in relatively elite clubs: Only 104 members of the S&P 500 are above their 20-day SMAs and just 138 are above their 200-day SMAs, according to TradeStation data.
Those points may also suggest sellers have been less active in the name.
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Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) Reports Strong Q125 ResultsMorgan Stanley (NYSE: NYSE:MS ) Beats Q1 estimates with record Equity Trading Revenue. The bank posted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.60, beating analyst expectations of $2.18. Revenue reached a record $17.74 billion, topping forecasts of $16.44 billion.
The bank's equity trading revenue soared 45% year-over-year. It reached a new high of $4.13 billion as growth came across business lines and regions. Asia showed particularly strong performance. Prime brokerage and derivatives led gains, fueled by high client activity in volatile markets.
Morgan Stanley shares dropped 1% after the earnings release. However, the stock remains up over 20% in the past year. Volatility in global markets helped trading desks outperform.
Technical Analysis
Morgan Stanley bounced sharply from the $95 support zone. Buyers stepped in near the previous breakout level. Volume increased and confirmed renewed interest. This was seen as Trump paused tariffs for the next 90 days as well. Current price action suggests a recovery trend. The RSI stands at 39, hinting at oversold conditions. A potential path points to $142.03, which acts as the immediate resistance level.
If the price breaks $113 cleanly, momentum could carry it to $130 and beyond. If it fails, it is most likely to retest $95 support level. A strong break above recent highs would confirm bullish continuation. For now, Watch out the $113 and $142 levels closely.
Whirlpool of DividendsAm I crazy to be looking at a manufacturing play right now considering the tariff trade wars going on? The stock right now has a forward dividend yield of 8.65% at the current price with a technical setup. There are fundamentals around tariffs to consider but that could only be the "reason" the price has come to a great buy.
I set an alert almost a year ago in April 2024 based on a follower of mine liking the stock NYSE:WHR as a dividend play. I suggested that we set the buy alert for the Volume Profile level going back 20 years ago which also incorporated the 2020 COVID low:
That alert his this week and I did some fundamental research on the company. Back in 2018 Whirlpool took a big hit with the first round of China focused tariffs. However, the company responded by focusing on more U.S.-based manufacturing. Its competitors, LG and Samsung have more tariff exposure. Material costs could still present a challenge.
From a technical standpoint I see a major low with volume support that could hold up price.
sniper dip entry! AMD bears get squeezed.boost and follow for more 🔥 AMD is having a massive bounce from trend support zone, now at its make or break level, if we can break look for continuation back to 100-120 levels short term.
I bought the dip on AMD at 78 yesterday and think we can higher.. see you soon with more charts GLTA!
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Shares Rally Amid AI Sector OptimismShares of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) have gained over 3% on Friday 11th April. The positive results come after U.S. markets rallied on tariff news. President Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs. Reciprocal tariffs for most countries dropped to 10%, sparking investor optimism.
Major U.S. indices rose sharply following the announcement after being under pressure from rising trade tensions. The pause was seen as a welcome shift toward calmer negotiations.
However, Trump excluded China from this relief. Instead, he stated that tariffs on Chinese goods would increase to 125%. This came after China announced new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. The tough stance toward China contrasted with the softened approach to other countries.
Despite the relief, market uncertainty remains. Investors are unsure whether the rally will last. Ongoing trade disputes, especially with China, could disrupt momentum.
Nvidia's price rose to $110.78, gaining $14.99 on Friday's session. The stock reached an intraday high of $111.53 and a low of $107.48. The current resistance sits at $153.13 high.
Technical Analysis
Nvidia bounced sharply off the $92 support zone, highlighted by strong buying pressure. The RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum. A clear resistance lies near $153.13 high. If Nvidia breaks this level, a move toward $180 is likely. If it fails, price may revisit the $92 zone. Two scenarios are possible. The stock could either continue upward to $180 or face rejection and fall back. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation.
ITUB: False Starts & Fateful BreakoutsITUB’s been a tricky one—already gave us a fake breakout from a 5-year-old channel, which usually sets up for a move in the opposite direction. But credit where it’s due, it found support right at the bottom of that channel again. Still not the cleanest pattern setup out there, but one thing’s clear: $6 is the level to watch.
Until we break above $6, everything else is just noise. No targets, no hype—just waiting. But if we do clear that $6 level, it’ll be a major sign that the real breakout is finally on the table. And if that happens, things could escalate fast.
Fingers crossed and hoping for the best! 🤞📈
GEX Analysis & Options “Game Plan”🔶 Short- and longer-term perspective in a high IV, negative GEX environment
🔶 KEY LEVELS & RANGES
Spot: 221
Gamma Flip / Transition: around 250 (the turquoise zone on the chart)
– This zone typically marks a “power shift.” If price decisively breaks above 250 and holds, market makers’ gamma positioning could flip from neutral/negative to positive.
Put Support: 200
– A large negative gamma position has accumulated here, making 200 a strong support level. If it breaks, the downside may accelerate.
Call Resistance: 400
– A major long-term “call wall” where a significant amount of OTM calls are concentrated. It’s more relevant to LEAPS; currently far from spot, so not a realistic short-term target.
Call Resistance #2: 300
– A medium-term bullish objective, still above the 200-day MA. You’d need to be strongly bullish to aim for ~300 by May (e.g., going for a 16-delta OTM call).
Short-Term / Intermediate GEX Levels:
– There are gamma clusters around 220–230 and 250–260 . These areas often see higher volatility, possible bounces, or stalls (chop) due to hedging flows.
🔶 WHATEVER SCENARIO – SHORT TERM (0–30 DAYS)
A) Upside Continuation / Rebound
– If TSLA closes above 225–230 , the next target is 240–250 (transition / gamma flip).
– If it breaks above 250 and holds (e.g., successful retest), market makers may shift to “long gamma,” fueling a quicker move to 260–270 .
– Resistance: 250, 300, with an extreme LEAPS-level at 400.
B) Downside Move / Bearish Break
– If price dips below ~220 and sustains, the next targets are 210–200 (major put wall / negative gamma).
– If 200 fails, negative gamma may magnify the sell-off. It’s an extreme scenario but still on the table given high IV and macro/geopolitical risks.
– Support: 210, 200 — likely stronger buying interest near 200, possibly a short-term bounce.
– The options chain suggests near-term hedging via puts for this scenario.
C) Chop / Sideways
– If TSLA stays in 210–230 , market makers (short options) might benefit from high IV/time decay.
– Negative GEX, however, can trigger sudden moves in either direction; caution is advised.
🔶 LONGER-TERM FOCUS (6–12 MONTHS, LEAPS)
NET GEX = -61.97M (negative territory) suggests longer-dated positioning is also put-heavy or carries notable negative gamma.
HVL / pTrans = 250 is a key pivot; cTrans+ = 400 is distant call resistance. Between these levels, there’s a mix of put/call dominance.
If Tesla undergoes a fresh growth phase (AI, robotaxi, energy storage, etc.) and clears 250/300 , 400 could become the next significant call wall — but that’s more of a multi-month horizon.
🔶 STRATEGY IDEAS (High IV Environment)
1. Short-Term Bearish
– If you’re bearish and expecting TSLA to test 220–210, consider a bear put spread or net credit put butterfly (lower debit) to leverage high IV.
– Targeting 200, but keep in mind negative gamma may accelerate downside movement.
2. Medium-Term “Contra” Bullish (bounce to 250)
– If GEX suggests a bounce off 210–220, consider a bull call spread (e.g., 220/240) or a net debit call butterfly (220/240/250).
– Be mindful of sudden swings, as we remain in negative gamma territory.
3. Longer-Term Bullish (>3–6 months)
– A call butterfly with upper strikes around 300–350 offers capped debit and higher potential payoff if a bigger rally materializes.
– A diagonal spread (selling nearer-dated calls, buying further-out calls) exploits elevated front-end IV.
4. Neutral / Range-Bound
– If TSLA stays in 200–250 , you could use Iron Condors (e.g., 200/260) to benefit from time decay and any IV collapse.
– Exercise caution: negative gamma can generate abrupt, directional moves, making a neutral stance riskier than usual.
🔶 ADDITIONAL NOTES & “BIG PICTURE”
High IV & Negative GEX: TSLA has a track record of large swings. Negative GEX can intensify sell-offs, while forced hedging might trigger rapid rebounds.
Preferred Structures: With expensive premiums, spreads (vertical, diagonal) and butterfly configurations generally fare better than plain long options (less vulnerable to time decay).
Potential Catalysts: AI announcements, Autopilot breakthroughs, new product lines, and macro changes can swiftly alter market dynamics. Keep tracking GEX updates and news flow; TSLA tends to respond dramatically to fresh developments.
🔶 Bottom line: From 221 spot, watch 210–200 on the downside and 240–250 on the upside short term. Medium-term bullish target = 300 , while 400 remains a far LEAPS scenario. High IV + negative gamma = fast, potentially volatile moves — so risk management and spread-based approaches are crucial.
SLB: Bounce Loading or Basement Dive?After tagging my target around $60, SLB (Schlumberger) has been chillin’ in consolidation mode for a while now. We’re sitting on a solid support zone, and honestly, the odds of a bounce look better than a full-on dump here. Textbook vibes too—Fibo 0.618 lands right around $31, which lines up perfectly if this is where it decides to base out.
If we do get the bounce, next stop could be in the $90–$95 range. 🚀 On the flip side though… if this thing keeps bleeding, we might not see a floor until the $20–$22 area.
I’ve got a position, so here’s to hoping we take the high road! 🤞Good luck out there!