[$BA] Boeing's black friday?NYSE:BA
Quick-Take
Unfortunately, an accident occured with a Boeing Dreamliner 787 in India.
This triggered a 'small crash' in the stock as well, due to Boeing's (ongoing) raising concerns for quality and safety.
However, we should see it as chance for a potential swing-trade of 7 days.
⭕ Risks
The analysis of the plane crash will take a couple of days and there are even rumors about an 'external factor' being the reason for the plane to fall from the sky.
Eitherway: Volatility is a two-edged sword that we should utilize to our advantage.
🟢 Pros
The Iran/Israel conflict is escalating, that led to a spike for a Defense companies such as NYSE:LMT XETR:RHM . But also NYSE:BA is part of the military-industrial complex that should profit of the bad times in geopolitics.
📏 Position
We position ourselves bullish via options:
-> buy Call-Options (long-call or bull-call-spreads)
-> sell Put-Options (short-put (cc) or bull-put-spreads)
What do you guys think?
ADBE: Fractal Pattern Repeating Again?ADBE has printed a surprisingly consistent technical pattern since 2023:
A rejection from supply, followed by a gap-down, then a gradual but deep decline.
We may now be witnessing the early stage of a fourth repeat.
📘 Historical Pattern
Zone 1: ~$575
• Gap: –5.71%
• Drop after gap: –12.11%
• Duration: 49 days
Zone 2: ~$551
• Gap: –8.85%
• Drop after gap: –18.55%
• Duration: 32 days
Zone 3: ~$458
• Gap: –6.71%
• Drop after gap: –18.21%
• Duration: 25 days
Zone 4: ~$425 (current)
• Gap: –2.53%
• Post-gap = in progress
🧠 All three prior moves began with a gap, followed by a small bounce, and then a larger sell-off.
Each of them dropped between –12% and –18% from the post-gap high.
🔍 Current Structure
• Price just rejected from ~$425 (1D supply)
• New gap-down of –2.53% has just occurred
• Currently sitting on critical DCS support zone: $382–$388
This is a high-stakes inflection area. A close below this support could trigger the next leg lower.
⚙️ Options Setup (Bearish Thesis)
💡 Trade Idea: Bear Put Spread (400 / 350, Jul 18 expiry)
• Defined risk with a 2.2:1 reward/risk ratio
• Breakeven ≈ $384
• Thesis becomes actionable if price breaks below the $382 DCS support
• Invalidation: strong reclaim of ~$425 supply
This setup targets a continuation of Adobe’s repeating structure.
It limits downside exposure while offering meaningful reward if breakdown confirms.
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LMT sky high rocket stock LMT has been experiencing some intense changes in geopolitical conflict for next week. Leading analysts to observe closely LMT price behavior according to avg volume. We’re al expecting LMT to rise just above $520 by next week in order to accommodate some liquidity. Keep buying if not yet more.
$SSP Low volume on Wave 2, momentum risingFirstly, on the line chart is possible to watch the possible targets - blue lines - which one of it is almost as the same level as 2,618.
Fibonacci measured from the breakout to monthly resistance.
res M = monthly resistance
During the Wave 2, the two candles from last two days showed low volume as usual to happen during formation of W2, and it is possible to see that price at the breakout and after it was above average which can be read as high interest from buyers.
Confirming the volume, the EFI even though is decreasing still show strength,OBV follow the price trend but looks like buyers are entering again.
When it comes to momentum is possible to see that RSI did not crossed the equilibrium even after two bearish days, as ROC being a leading indicator which already changed direction . ADX is showing some strength for the trend direction confirmed by as DMI+ is still above DMI-
DTC = 1,36
Cisco’s Charts Are Painting a Conflicting PictureCisco Systems NASDAQ:CSCO lost some ground in recent days even as the tech giant kicked off its Cisco Live 2025 event this week in San Diego, and the stock’s charts are flashing some conflicting signals. Let’s take a look.
Cisco’s Fundamental Analysis
CSCO’s three-day Cisco Live event began Monday and has seen some new-product announcements, but the stock has nonetheless struggled -- not surprising given that shares are trading very close to a key technical level.
On one hand, Cisco used the conference to announce a number of innovations, such as a Hybrid Mesh Firewall and Zero-Trust Network Access. The latter is a service that would simplify policy management for clients, as well as enhance visibility and securely scale while not adding complexity to a security stack.
CSCO also unveiled increased integration of the Splunk platform to unify data across all of the firm's services. That should help security teams automate workflows and respond more quickly to perceived threats.
As for earnings, Cisco will report its fiscal Q4 results some time in August.
The firm unveiled fiscal Q3 numbers last month, beating analyst expectations for both top- and bottom-line performance while growing sales 11.4% on a year-over-year basis.
Wall Street seems to think the current quarter will look good as well. Of the 18 analysts I found that cover Cisco, all of them have revised their fiscal-Q4 earnings projections higher over the past few months.
Cisco’s Technical Analysis
While all of that would typically help a stock, different Cisco charts tell very different tales about the stock’s technical picture.
First, here’s CSCO’s chart going back to January:
This chart appears to show that Cisco has developed a “cup-with-handle” pattern stretching from mid-February into June, as denoted with the purple curving line above. That’s historically a bullish pattern.
Cisco then rallied out of the pattern’s “handle” (the short purple diagonal line at right) until shares hit resistance at a $66 pivot point. (CSCO was trading at $64.70 Friday afternoon.)
But pivots are doors that can swing two ways. They can act as a trend accelerant -- kind of like a slingshot -- or they can stop a trend in its tracks. That's why investors keep an eye on them.
Looking at other technical points in the chart above, Cisco is currently riding above both its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line) and its 50-day SMA (denoted with a blue line). That traditionally helps keep portfolio managers invested in a stock.
Cisco is also well above its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line above). That tends to keep the swing crowd on board.
Meanwhile, Cisco’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) looks very strong but is flirting with a technically overbought condition.
And lastly, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with gold and block lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) looks bullish as well.
The histogram of Cisco’s 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) is above zero, which tends to be bullish. Similarly, the stock’s 12-day EMA (the black line) is above its 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both in positive territory. That set-up is also typically bullish.
But what if Cisco never takes and holds that upside pivot? Then the stock might have a problem.
Take a look at this chart covering the same time period:
Because Cisco’s pivot is located at roughly the same price level as the left-side apex of the cup-with-handle pattern’s cup, this chart shows a potential bearish pattern brewing for the stock.
Should Cisco stop rising from its current levels of about $64, then the cup-with-handle pattern will suddenly look more like a so-called “double-top” pattern of bearish reversal.
This double-top pattern (marked with “Top 1” and “Top 2” boxes above) would have a downside pivot of $52, the low point between the two tops.
The RSI and MACD in this second chart still lean bullish, but the potentially bearish double-top pattern should be a serious consideration for Cisco investors.
Add it all up and some investors might decide to take a wait-and-see attitude here and watch whether Cisco takes out its $66 upside pivot or not.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in CSCO at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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AppLovin - the Shoulders – But Not the Breakdown!🟢 Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish)
* The price action is forming a left shoulder , a higher peak (head) , and a right shoulder .
* This classical pattern often signals a reversal from bullish to bearish.
* The dotted orange neckline marks the potential support – if broken, it could trigger a sharper decline.
📉 Key Technical Zones
* Neckline Support: Around $309 . A breakdown below this level may confirm the pattern.
* Previous Support : In case of a breakdown, next strong support lies near $100–110 (long-term zone).
* Upside Scenario : If neckline holds and bullish momentum resumes, the pattern could be invalidated with a breakout over $400 .
📊 MACD Divergence
* MACD shows a bearish divergence (higher price highs vs. lower MACD highs), signaling momentum weakness .
* The histogram is turning red again – a bearish sign.
* A bearish crossover has already occurred, supporting a possible downtrend.
🔄 Possible Scenarios
* Bearish : If neckline breaks → possible drop toward the $200s or lower.
* Neutral : Consolidation between $310–$380.
* Bullish : If price bounces before neckline and breaks above $400 → invalidates pattern.
ORCL heads up at $212 then 220: Double Golden Fibs may STOP runORCL has been flying off the last Earnings report.
About to hit DUAL Golden fibs at $212.67-220.21
Ultra-High Gravity objects in its price-continuum.
It is PROBABLE to consolidate within the zone.
It is POSSIBLE to reject and dip to a fib below.
It is PLAUSIBLE but unlikely to blow thru them.
.
My last Plot that caught the BreakOut EXACTLY:
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GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) – Powering the Global Energy TransitionCompany Overview:
GE Vernova NYSE:GEV is becoming a cornerstone of the global clean energy shift, providing advanced power generation, transmission, and renewable energy technologies that are now mission-critical for national energy strategies.
Key Catalysts:
Explosive Electrification Growth ⚡
Grid Solutions backlog tripled YoY, driven by demand for modern, resilient, and clean grids.
HVDC & FACTS technologies place GEV at the forefront of a global multi-decade grid overhaul.
Recurring Revenue from Wind Repowering 🌬️
1 GW of upgraded capacity in 2024 under the Repower program.
GEV operates the most widely installed wind platform in the U.S., giving it dominance in the high-margin retrofit market.
Strategic Manufacturing Expansion 🏭
$600M+ in investments across Florida and India expand capacity and de-risk the supply chain.
Supports global demand from infrastructure stimulus and decarbonization mandates.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on GEV above $410.00–$415.00, as clean energy investment accelerates.
Upside Potential: Price target of $600.00–$610.00, backed by order momentum, retrofit leadership, and global energy reform.
🔋 GE Vernova – Electrifying the Future. #GEV #CleanEnergy #GridModernization #WindPower
Spotify: Target Zone AheadSpotify has already come quite close to our turquoise Short Target Zone (coordinates: $725.67–$829.30). In our primary scenario, we continue to expect further upside in the near term, as the projected peak of wave B should materialize within this zone—a range that could present opportunities to lock in long-side gains or initiate short positions. Once the top is in place, we anticipate a more pronounced downward move. The focus then shifts to the magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $452.69–$390.93), which we consider a potential accumulation range for new long positions. That said, we’re also monitoring an alternative path, currently assigned a 36% probability. In that scenario, magenta wave alt.(5) would already be underway—meaning prices would bypass the magenta zone altogether.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CVNA Swing Trade Plan – Bearish Breakdown (June 13, 2025)🛑 CVNA Swing Trade Plan – Bearish Breakdown (June 13, 2025)
📉 Setup Summary:
CVNA is flashing strong bearish momentum across 15-minute and daily charts, confirmed by multiple AI models. Although slightly oversold in the short term, the overall directional thesis remains intact: downside toward $293–$295 seems likely in the coming sessions.
🔍 Multi-Model Technical Consensus
Trend: Bearish across 15-min and daily; weakening on weekly
Momentum: MACD bearish, RSI near oversold but no bullish divergence
Volume: Spike on red candles confirms seller strength
Support/Resistance Zones:
• Resistance: $310–$320
• Support: $292–$295
Max Pain: $320 (may act as a temporary gravitational pull on bounce)
🧠 AI Model Signals
✅ Grok/xAI: $310 PUT — bearish, aligns with max pain retrace
✅ Llama/Meta: $300 PUT — short-term continuation
✅ Gemini/Google: $280 PUT — deep OTM swing toward structural support
✅ DeepSeek: $305 PUT — best balance between liquidity, risk/reward, and chart structure
🧩 Conclusion: Slight preference for the $305 PUT for its technical alignment and capital efficiency.
📈 Trade Recommendation
🔻 Strategy: Buy Naked PUT
Ticker: CVNA
Strike: $305
Expiry: 2025-06-27
Entry: At market open
Target Entry Price: $10.50
Profit Target: $15.75 (+50%)
Stop-Loss: $7.35 (–30%)
Confidence: 75%
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Short-Term Bounce Risk: Extremely oversold 15m RSI might trigger intraday upticks
Macro Reversal: Broader market rally or surprise CVNA news could invalidate the bearish thesis
Premium Sensitivity: CVNA is volatile; strict stop-loss adherence is key
Max Pain Risk: Reversion to $320 could neutralize gains quickly
💬 Swing traders — what’s your play here?
Do you ride the momentum lower, or is this oversold enough to fade?
Drop your take 👇 and follow for daily AI-backed trade setups.
IBM Strong uptrend and may see target at 302NYSE:IBM uptrend remain strong and we have been holding on to it since our last report sharing
Price action shows a clear uptick above the 123.6% Fibonacci extension level and with that, we see a strong potential bullish upside as there is not strong bearish reversal at 123.6%.
Hence, we are reinitiating a buy on IBM witha target at 302.00
GoPro | GPRO | Long at $1.35NASDAQ:GPRO is a strong brand name, but with a dying userbase / lack of growth. The company has no major turnaround planned, but the chart is interesting. The stock seems to be currently consolidating as the historical simple moving average (white line) is working its way down toward the price - which often leads to a jump. Another candidate for the Santa Claus rally? Or, will the "value" lead to an acquisition? Nothing is guaranteed, but something may be brewing. While not a long-term "buy and hold" candidate for me (personally, unless the business changes or growth seems relevant), it looks very intriguing from a technical analysis perspective. Thus, at $1.35, NASDAQ:GPRO is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1: $1.70
Target #2: $2.00
Target #3: $2.50
Target #4: $2.88 (if some good news emerges...)
Nucor | NUE | Long at $120.17Nucor NYSE:NUE , a US manufacture of steel and steel products, will likely capitalize on reduced foreign competition as tariffs become reality. The CEO also recently stated that the steelmaker's order backlog is the largest in its history and is increasing prices. So, while there is a potential for short-term downside as tariff "unknowns" are negotiated, the longer-term upside may be there for those who are patient... but time will tell.
Basic Fundamentals:
Current P/E: 21x
Forward P/E: 15-16x
Earnings are forecast to grow 29.6% per year
Projected Revenue in 2025: $32.3 billion
[*} Projected Revenue in 2028: $39.4 billion
Debt-to-Equity: 0.4x (healthy)
Dividend Yield: 1.8%
Technical Analysis:
Riding below the historical simple moving average and there is risk the daily price gap near $109 will close before moving higher. If there is a "crash" in price, $70s is absolutely possible which will be a "steel" if fundamentals do not change.
Targets in 2027:
$142.00 (+18.2%)
$187.00 (+55.6%)
MSFT Weekly Chart Signals a $100 Move — Don’t Miss This BreakoutMicrosoft continues to show strong bullish behavior on the weekly chart. Historically, the stock has respected a well-defined upward channel, and the recent price action has further reinforced this trend. Notably, MSFT has broken through a key resistance level that had previously capped its upside for months. This breakout is significant as it suggests a shift in market structure, from consolidation to a potential new leg up.
The breakout area around $474–$479 has now turned into a short-term support zone. This region will play a critical role in maintaining bullish sentiment; any successful retest that holds above this zone confirms strength and invites further accumulation. The chart highlights a projected move toward $580, which lies near the upper red trendline—this aligns well with the historical resistance trajectory.
A bullish trade setup can be considered from the current levels around $478, with a stop-loss just below the $447–$435 zone. This range marks a previous congestion area and aligns with the lower side of the risk-reward box illustrated on the chart. The potential upside move is about 20.99%, offering a solid risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.27, assuming the price continues to hold above the breakout level.
While the trend remains firmly bullish, a weekly close below $447.50 would warrant caution. It could indicate a deeper retracement, potentially back into the broader green trend channel extending toward $400 or below. However, current momentum favors continuation to the upside, especially after clearing such a pivotal resistance.
In conclusion, Microsoft’s long-term chart structure, combined with the recent breakout and favorable price action, supports a bullish outlook. If price action remains above $474–$479, the stock is well-positioned to challenge the $580 resistance level in the coming weeks.
TMC (TMC) Powers EVs with Sustainable Metal SupplyTMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) is focused on deep-sea mining, aiming to supply critical metals like nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese needed for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy storage. By harvesting polymetallic nodules from the ocean floor, TMC offers a lower environmental footprint compared to traditional mining. The company’s growth is driven by rising global demand for EVs, clean energy, and the growing need for sustainable sources of battery metals.
On the chart, we see a confirmation bar with rising volume, showing strong buying pressure. The price has entered the momentum zone by breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. Traders can use the Fibonacci snap tool to set a trailing stop just below the .236 level to lock in profits while allowing for more upside potential.
$FANG Trade Setup – June 2025Watching a potential Ichimoku breakout forming on the daily chart for $FANG. Price has reclaimed the Kijun-sen and is flirting with the top of the cloud (Senkou Span A). If we see confirmation above the cloud, this could trigger a mid-term bullish leg.
🔹 Entry: ~$137.73
🔹 Target: $157.12 (+14.04%)
🔹 Stop Loss: $132.26 (-3.97%)
🔹 R:R Ratio: ~3.5:1
Key Technicals:
✅ Price approaching a flat Kumo resistance.
✅ MACD still bearish but flattening, possible crossover setup.
✅ Williams %R at -60.95, rising out of oversold zone.
🔁 Fractal support near the entry level.
📉 Volume slightly increasing on green days.
Bias: Bullish continuation if price clears the cloud with volume. Watching for confirmation candle above $139.
GE Weekly Options Trade – Bearish Setup After Breakdown (2025-0📉 GE Weekly Options Trade – Bearish Setup After Breakdown (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NYSE:GE | Strategy: 🔻 Naked PUT (Short Bias)
Bias: Moderately to Strongly Bearish
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 13, 2025 (Weekly)
🔍 Technical & Options Snapshot
• Trend:
– Daily: Bearish (below 10-EMA and Bollinger midline)
– 5-Min: Short-term bounce, but still under key EMAs
• MACD (Daily): Bearish
• Sector Catalyst: Negative headlines related to Boeing engine issues
• Max Pain: $242.50 → could slow full downside but not reverse bias
• OI Hotspot: $237.50 PUTs — strong volume + liquidity
🧠 Model Agreement Summary
✅ All 4 AI Models (Grok, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek):
• Agree on bearish direction
• All favor puts at or around the $237.50 strike
• Daily breakdown confirmed; news pressure adds downside weight
⚠️ Gemini suggests: more aggressive $235 PUT → but $237.50 strike has better liquidity and balance of risk/reward
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $237.50
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.83 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.25 (+50–65%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.42 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risks to Watch
• 🔁 Bounce risk: Short-term rally may challenge entry
• 📰 Unexpected good news could reverse momentum
• 💸 Bid/ask spreads may widen at open — use limit orders when possible
• 🎯 Max pain magnet at $242.50 could suppress full downside extension
📉 GE downside continuation or oversold bounce incoming?
💬 What’s your take — buying puts, calls, or staying flat? Drop your thoughts ⬇
📲 Follow for daily AI-backed trade signals and market breakdowns.
DOCU Swing Setup – Bearish Momentum Below Key Support (2025-06-1📉 DOCU Swing Setup – Bearish Momentum Below Key Support (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NASDAQ:DOCU | Strategy: 🔻 Naked PUT Swing Trade
Bias: Moderately Bearish | Confidence: 80%
Timeframe: Short-term | Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Technical Overview
• Price: Near mid-$70s
• Trend: Trading below EMAs on all key timeframes
• MACD: Bearish
• RSI (Daily): Oversold, but no clear reversal
• Bollinger Band: Near lower band = downward momentum
• Max Pain: $77.00 → magnetic level
• OI Hotspot: $75 PUT strike → strong open interest
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Both Grok/xAI & DeepSeek agree:
• Bearish structure across timeframes
• Near-term downside likely with limited support
• Preferred trade: buying puts
Strike Debate:
• Grok: $74 PUT – for lower cost entry
• DeepSeek: $75 PUT – for better liquidity & R:R
→ Consensus pick = $75 PUT
✅ Trade Setup (Based on DeepSeek's Framework)
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $75
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $1.30 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.95 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.65 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 80%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Notes
• ⚡ An oversold bounce could break the bearish thesis
• 🔁 Broader market rally or sector recovery could cap downside
• ⌛ Swing window limited → manage time decay actively
• 📊 If price breaks above $77.50 = exit trigger
📉 DOCU: Breakdown or bounce?
💬 Are you swinging puts or watching from the sidelines? Drop your plan 👇
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