NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)📉 NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)
Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA | Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish
Strategy: Short-Term Swing | Timeframe: ~2 weeks
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Market & Technical Snapshot
• Price: ~$144.67
• Trend: Weekly and M15 uptrend still intact
• RSI (Daily): ~70.63 → Overbought
• MACD: Bearish crossover on Daily
• Options Data:
– Heavy put OI at $140 (14,803 contracts)
– Max pain at $135 → potential pull lower
– High call OI at $145–$150 caps upside
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔼 Grok/xAI (Bullish Swing):
• Calls out strong technicals, 5-min momentum
• Suggests $155C for upside play
🔽 DeepSeek (Bearish Swing – Preferred):
• Overbought daily RSI + bearish MACD
• Strong put volume + options market pressure
• Targets pullback to $138–$140 → PUT @ $140
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $140
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $2.09
🎯 Profit Target: $3.10 (+48%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $1.25 (–40%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Considerations
• Weekly chart still bullish → risk of trend continuation
• Low VIX (17.26) = slower option premium movement
• Positive news surprise could cause upside gap
• Use tight risk controls and monitor intraday structure
💭 NASDAQ:NVDA : Extended or just gearing up for another breakout?
📉 Drop your play below — Put buyers vs. breakout chasers 👇
$SMCI "Buy The Dip" Value AreaSMCI (Super Micro Computer) has weathered the storm from all the negative press and I believe it is poised to go on a big run. This $26-$47 area is the BEST value you are going to get on it. This is probably the last discount before takeoff. We may not see this level again. As NVDA continues to fly, so will SMCI. Always do your own DD.
WULF / 2hAs anticipated, NASDAQ:WULF has continued to decline 8.7% this week. And further decline of 18% lies ahead to complete an impulse (c) as the last subdivision of the ongoing flat correction of wave b(circled).
The anticipated targets >> 3.45 >> 3.20
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
IONQ CEO sells ALL shares owned by his private inv firm.Breaking BEFORE the news play: IONQ CEO sells ENTIRE stock position from founding stock for 100mil.
2597500 shares to be sold on June 11, 2025 (approx date of sale) for $103,224,650.
www.sec.gov
This is a pre-news coverage play in a hyped sector.
Following trading rules
1. NEWS - its not hit the main nets yet, which is wierd considering they covered his sale earlier last week for MUCH less.
2. Quantum sector is big in play currently
3. Stock has technical pattern double top into resistance; it is a cup and handle, which is typically bullish
4. C-suite exec is selling abnormal.amount of stock
5. Too much hype around stock going up, so contrarian play.
Contrarian plays for me tend to be low % hits, but with high returns. Small amount being used for this play, looking for 300% return on it by end of next week, if not then I will be out of the position.
Position X $31 Put 07/25exp; in at 1.45/put
NVIDIA (NVDA) investors should knowHello NVIDIA (NVDA) investors,
Looking at the daily chart below, we see that NVDA briefly broke out of its long‑standing yellow descending channel only to be pulled back in; price is now testing horizontal support in the $100–150 range. In the lower pane, RSI remains negative and has yet to break its downtrend line around the 41 level.
Technical Analysis
Descending Channel:
The stock has been trading inside a long‑term descending channel. Selling pushed it back inside after a false breakout near $137–142. The upper channel line sits around $115—until we see a daily close above that, a true trend reversal is unlikely.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Support: $95-100 (confluence of past lows and the channel’s lower boundary)
Resistance: $147-150 (channel upper line), then $145–150 (early‑April highs)
RSI:
Currently ~41. A break above the RSI downtrend near 45–50 would signal improving momentum; if it fails, we could retest oversold territory.
Fundamental & Macro Factors
Quarterly Results:
NVDA reported strong revenue and margin growth last quarter, driven primarily by AI/data‑center demand.
AI & Data‑Center Demand:
Demand from AI‑focused servers and cloud providers remains very high, and this secular trend is expected to persist.
Trump’s Latest Tariffs:
In early March 2025, an additional %145 tariff on China‑origin semiconductors was announced. This measure may raise NVDA’s export costs to China and exert short‑term margin pressure. It also risks demand swings as Chinese buyers adjust their inventory strategies.
Strategic Recommendations
Stop‑Loss:
Consider a stop‑loss on daily closes below $90 to protect long positions.
Position Sizing:
Scale into longs near support, and take profits incrementally near resistance.
Tariff Watch:
Monitor any further U.S. export restrictions or tariff changes on China—each announcement can drive volatility
-Celil Adıgüzel
CVS LongPrice tested the 200 SMA 2x since May and has since made a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Most recently, we see price close at the confluence of several key levels.
It closed:
1. above the .50 Fibonacci level.
2. At the POC line (ytd)
3. Above the descending weekly trend line (yellow).
In addition, we see D+ crossing D-, indicating that buyers are taking control.
The OBV confirms the trend.
First target: $72.48
Second target: $80.60
Stock Of The Day / 12.06.25 / GME06.12.2025 / NYSE:GME
Fundamentals. Decrease on the news of a $1.75 billion bond issue
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Wide sideways trend.
Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume.
Trading session: The initial impulse from the opening of the session was stopped at 22.90. Then there was an attempt to reverse the downtrend, but it was unsuccessful and the price tested the 22.90 level at 10:30 a.m. After that, the price continued to smoothly tighten to the level, forming pullbacks, each of which was smaller than the previous one. Please note that after 11:00 a.m. the pullbacks become very weak, which indicates the strength of sellers. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement.
Trading scenario: #breakdown (#break of the base) of level 22.90
Entry: 22.87 aggressive entry when the candle closes below the level. Breaking the base is usually accompanied by a strong impulse movement, so we do not expect a retest.
Stop: 23.01 we hide it behind the high of the last pullback
Exit: We observe an impulse non-pullback movement. Cover part of the position when RR 1/3 is reached, cover the remaining part of the position when the stop is moved to RR 1/3
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
Long Setup: Home Depot ($HD) | Bullish Continuation Above Cloud 📈 Technical Setup:
Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ) is setting up for a potential bullish continuation after retesting the top of the Ichimoku Cloud and holding key support.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is consolidating above the Kumo, with the Conversion Line (Tenkan) and Base Line (Kijun) flatlining — signaling potential momentum build.
Fractals: Recent higher low confirmed above cloud support.
Quarterly Pivots:
Support: Held above S1 (331.28)
Current level: Testing pivot (P) zone at 376.08
Target: R1 at 409.03 aligns with the 10% upside move.
CM_Ult_MacD_MTF: Bearish histogram easing, potential shift incoming.
Williams %R: Rebounding from oversold territory (~ -70), signaling bullish potential.
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Entry: ~$367.33
Target: $405.15 (+10.3%)
Stop Loss: $361.15 (-1.68%)
Risk/Reward: 6.12R — excellent setup for swing or trend continuation
🔍 Thesis:
HD has formed a solid base above the cloud and is showing signs of reaccumulation. With macroeconomic resilience in home improvement spending and technical confluence lining up (cloud support + pivot + fractal structure), this setup offers a high R/R swing opportunity into Q3.
Safe Entry Zone AURStock Price at 4h Green Zone which acts as Strongest Support Level for the Stock.
Only thing We Are Waiting is Stronger Buyers To Step-in.
Each Take Profit Line acts as Line to secure profits.
Each P.Low or P.High (Previous Low or Previous High) Acts as Strong Support Levels and Resistance Level you May lower Chart TF for better details.
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
ISRG Daily Chart: Anticipating a Bounce from Key Demand Zone Overview:
ISRG has been in a recovery phase since its lows in early April, establishing an upward trend. However, after hitting significant resistance in May, the stock has entered a corrective pullback. This chart outlines a potential long setup, waiting for a strategic entry at a confluent demand zone.
Key Observations & Levels:
1. Post-April Recovery: Following a sharp decline, ISRG initiated a strong recovery in early April, demonstrating clear higher highs and higher lows (represented by the initial green zig-zag line).
2. Supply/Resistance Zones (Red Boxes):
o Upper Resistance (600 - 620): This zone represents a significant overhead supply from previous highs in February/March. It is the primary target for any significant bullish move. The chart specifically highlights "Target 600" (601.23).
o Intermediate Resistance (550 - 570): This zone acted as strong resistance in May/early June, leading to the current pullback. Price failed to sustain above this level, signaling a need for a deeper correction before a sustained push higher.
3. Demand/Support Zone (Green Box: ~480 - 500):
o This is the critical "buy zone" highlighted on the chart. It aligns with previous support levels and a potential area where strong buying interest emerged. The chart specifies an entry point around 488.77. This is where we anticipate buyers to step in and reverse the current short-term bearish momentum.
4. Current Price Action & Potential Path (Dotted Line):
o ISRG is currently trading around 512.82, in a clear pullback from the intermediate resistance. The dotted line indicates a possible path where the price might consolidate or even attempt a small bounce before ultimately heading lower to tag the key demand zone. This suggests a patient approach, waiting for the price to reach the optimal entry area.
Trade Plan:
This setup is based on the anticipation of a strong bounce from the defined demand zone:
• Entry Zone: Wait for price to enter the 480 - 500 demand zone. The chart's proposed entry is precisely at 488.77.
• Stop-Loss: A tight stop-loss is placed below the demand zone at 457.71. This level represents a clear invalidation point for the bullish thesis, as a break below it would indicate further downside pressure.
• Target: The primary target for this long setup is the 600 - 620 overhead resistance zone, specifically marked at 601.23. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Scenario:
The most probable scenario outlined is that ISRG will continue its current correction, potentially with some minor bounces, until it reaches the strong demand zone between $480 and $500. From there, we anticipate a significant rebound, aiming to challenge the $600 target.
Invalidation:
A sustained daily close below $457.71 would invalidate this bullish setup, suggesting that the current downtrend is stronger than anticipated and could lead to further significant declines.
Conclusion:
ISRG presents a compelling long opportunity if it continues its pullback to the robust demand zone around
480−500. Patience is key to capturing this potential reversal for a move towards the $600 target. Always manage your risk accordingly.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NVO Soaring Towards TargetsOur NVO call debit spreads and LEAPS options soaring towards targets at the 233 EMA here.
Beautiful thing when fundamentals, valuations and technicals align.
Impulse move from the bottom gave us a hat trick - triple green tags (white circles) for bullish A+ momentum signals into a consolidation period in which we built our position and added on the consolidation breakout