Positive Rate of Change M2 in a Fed cutting period = GOLD higher A Positive Rate of Change in M2 during a Fed cutting period = GOLD higher.Longby WazDaz0
SPX direction after first and last FED rate cutsThis chart compares FED rate cuts to SPX chart. The last 3 times after the first rate cuts there was a slight upward rally of the SP500 of about 5-10%, before going on a bearish retrace of about -40%, -50% & -20%, and then bottoming out only AFTER the final rate cut. Based on this, if history reShortby strip0
Yield Curve Reversion Trade 2024The yield curve reversion is when the US10Y Treasury Yield becomes greater than the US2Y Treasury Yield and has a track record for signalling recession. I've been tracking the reversion for the past two years for any hint of sense of whether the US FED would cut FEDFUNDS rates or if bond traders wouLongby pb03160
The 3-way of Economic Nightmares.I recently had a discussion on X, with regard to the Forecasting ability of High Yield Spreads. I was making the claim they do possess Leading Indicator qualities, while a gentleman took the other side of this debate. To illustrate my views, I've put together a chart of FedFunds Rate, Unemployment by mrjones20200
PIMCO Warning on Fed's First Cut in 4 Years next week The only event that matters next week is the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which could result in its first rate cut in over four years PIMCO analysts, in a fresh note, outlined what could be in store for the U.S. dollar as the Fed embarks on its rate-cutting cycle. Historically, the by BlackBull_Markets3
$EUINTR -ECB Cuts Interest Rates for 2nd Time - The European Central Bank cut the key deposit interest rate by 25bps to 3.5% as expected, after a similar reduction in June, and a pause in July, reflecting an updated inflation outlook and better transmission of policy. At the same time, the interest rates on the main refinancing operations andby Mr_J__fx3
Inflation, 2yr-bond yield, fund rate, unemployment, recessions The chart illustrates how five key economic indicators—Inflation, 2-Year Bond Yield, Federal Funds Rate, Unemployment Rate, and Recessions—compare across different time periods or economic conditions. 1. Inflation: This line or bar typically shows the rate at which prices for goods and services risby creengrack0
Unemployment & RecessionsWhen #unemployment starts rising like it is doing now, I have not found another time where is suddenly reverse & turns down. Oh, yeah, #recessions are then very often seen to appear. This opens up opportunities in sectors that track this misfortune: #gold & #silver #miners.by Badcharts226
One Chart to Rule them All ~ 10Y/2Y and 10Y/3M Yield Spreads10Y/2Y and 10Y/3M Yield Spread One chart to rule them all. I have combined the 10Y/2Y Yield Spread (purple line) and the 10Y/3M Yield Spread (blue line) onto one chart. You can get updated readings on it at anytime on my TradingView page (link in bio above) I have measured the historic timefraby PukaCharts337