US Gov Spending to Tax Revenues & Debt to GDPUS government spending is exceeding tax revenues by over 2:1, reaching extreme levels compared to historical norms and worsening rapidly
More alarmingly, unlike past decades, the US government's total debt-to-GDP ratio is also rising sharply with no end in sight, accelerating in the wrong direction
Economy
The week's fundamental highlightsThe financial markets are currently under the influence of a conjunction of themes of fundamental concern, the most important of which are :
- the trade war and the current phase of trade diplomacy
- the current phase of disinflation in the West, which could be threatened by tariffs
- the intransi
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (April/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 3.6%
April/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- Japan's annual inflation rate stood at 3.6% in April 2025,
unchanged from March while remaining at its lowest print since December.
Food prices rose the least in four months (6.5% vs 7.4% in March) even as
European fiscal opportunityThe major European economies have tied up too much money in welfare spending and social policies making them unable to benefit from the renewed interest in European fiscal stimulus or more accurately unable to provide fiscal stimulus.
However a few of Europes economies are in a healthy fiscal situ
Wood Raw Material Price Outlook & Its Impact on Pellet Prices🔍 Chart Highlights:
Historical pellet price references:
2000: €200/ton
2014: €273/ton
2016: €217/ton
Recent upward trend since COVID-19 dip, known as the “Coronadip”, reflects increasing demand and market correction.
Forecasted pellet price levels based on raw material trends:
Minimum projecti
JAPAN IS DOOMED!It's been 30 years since the Central Bank of Japan has maintained ECONOMICS:JPINTR near or even below 0% - WTF!
In combination with weak (or negative) GDP growth rates in the same period, the Japanese Government seems to be in a debt death spiral which will likely come to an end soon. See ECONOM
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