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Economy

This is a Chart of the M1SL/BTCUSD up is goodThis chart is a Chart taking the US $ money supply (M1) and / it by the BTCUSD price. The trend that this chart is showing is i think the reason why we need to go down. because the fear value per BTC is low the 15k$ i think. - Take a look at the Gold, Crude OIL and DXY. (Need to go up for stable market) - Take a look at BTC on long term holders chain fees (Need to go above 75 per day Last seen sinds may 2021) low Average Coin Dormancy (Need to go up above 30 on chart for stable/bull market Last seen sinds aug 2021) ---> studio.glassnode.com The BTC Total Supply Last Active 6m-12m and Total Supply Last Active 2y-3y needs to turn up again ---> studio.glassnode.com ---> studio.glassnode.com
FRED:M1SLShort
by SPACEMEN99
Inflation in the USWhen it comes to inflation in the US, some will say that it has become entrenched, others that it has come to a halt. The FED has over stimulated the economy and is late in the process of raising interest rates. It may be some time before you see the effect of an interest rate hike e.g. the bankers are supposed to warn interest rate hike etc., but now the FED is impatient to get price stability. It can end with a ketchup effect. When the FED raises interest rates, it will strengthen the USD and it will have an inflationary effect on other economies. After all, they are going to pay more in their currency for goods traded in USD. The interest rate curve is inverted, but unlike previously it is attributed to the fact that the economy has been over stimulated (artificially low interest rate and QE = money printing) (1). Putting the money press in motion produces empirical inflation. Although GDP has been negative for two quarters, it does not resemble a recession in American society, see for example unemployment, PMI and consumer confidence (2). The S&P 500 index is back in a declining trend in the medium term and will remain so until proven otherwise. On the 5 year chart there is a support around 3400. Now Q3 will get some attention and it can go up or down a bit. Q3 may well surprise positively (3), but after that macroeconomics will take over. Markets are volatile and trying to find a bottom. The peaks of the VIX are steadily declining (4). It indicates that we are getting closer to the bottom. Geopolitically, Ukraine in particular, but also Taiwan, is important. Russia is using energy supplies to Europe as a means of pressure in connection with its assault on Ukraine. Energy prices will be high and this will have an inflationary effect. One should diversify and not depend on totalitarian systems such as Russia and China. I found it relatively easy to get out and in of the stock market in the big V-shaped correction in February-March 2020. Since the stock market then peaked and began to fall, the trend has been insidious. If you sell out, do you come out at the bottom? I have mostly chosen to sit still, but I want to buy a little when I think the price is low and preferably not sell anything unless there is a good reason. The stock market is coming back up. That's how I see it and not a call for specific dispositions. (1) www.nordnet.no (2) da.tradingeconomics.com (3) www.nordnet.dk (4)
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by scorpiris
Inflation is here to stay?Many believe that inflation is here to stay. IMO inflation has peaked, it just take some times for things to cool off and show on the CPI print...when deflation kicks in, it will be fast, according to past experiences. Another interesting metric not many are paying attention to is the China PPI vs US CPI, the chart is self explanatory. The latest divergence is giving a big hint on where US CPI is going...deflation will kick in? Or inflation will stay because of "decoupling"? I believe in deflation.
ECONOMICS:CNPPIYY
by timhku
Inflation Canada well I am continuing these charts till we hit my stop loss and go down--- if you look at my indicators you will see inflation is at 2% in canada right now and will continue being 2 percent for a while---I dont think it will do a uturn for a while I think we are stabilized at this point for a while. thanks for reading - if your policitians get this to the right people please inflation isnt real-- it takes a 5 or 10 million trade to make 160 trillion on here lol----
ECONOMICS:CAEDShort
by mooncrest-holdings-ltd
Inflation not going to slow down for the US until 2028In the short term - like today! 8:30 EST 13 Oct 2022 If the CPI (measures inflation) comes out at above 8.2% this could lead to a market crash as the Fed would likely raise interest rates by another 100 bps on 2 November to curb inflation. If the CPI comes out below 8.2 this could spark a market rally as they will believe inflation is starting to cool down. In the long term. Price broke out of the W Formation and is showing major upside to come for Inflation. This could go on until 2028... If this happens, there is a potential Depression that could kick in world wide. This depression would then last for another 10 - 20 years (if they can get it under control). We need a government and quantitative reset... Sorry for the doom and gloom but it's not looking good technically.
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by Timonrosso
ASSETS /INFLATION DEFLATION JUST STARTED Since 1971 ALL ASSETS have inflated based on the start of M2 and the start of money velocity . it is just starting down housing BUBBLE is about 5 x of 2007 as is the pension system . when it is over it will be a very DARK TIME and a NEW System . FIXED money . CASH AND T BILLS ARE THE ONLY SAFE HAVEN !! I HAVE WARNED OF MAJOR CIVIL ARREST and having a good 1 yr of dry goods something to protect you and you family . and move as far away from any city or state thats BLUE
ECONOMICS:USCPIShort
by wavetimer
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