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AMD Earnings About To PrintTechnical Analysis NASDAQ:AMD RSI: 🟡 Near overbought but showing strength MACD: 🟢 Bullish crossover in progress Support: $96.84 → $93.64 → $90.00 Resistance: $100.75 → $101.72 → $103.96 Key Level to Watch: $100.75 (immediate resistance) 💰 Earnings Play 🎯 Trade Signal: BUY ✅ Justification Recent uptrend confirmed by bullish MACD crossover with price action above key short-term MAs. Strong momentum heading into earnings with positive sentiment from analysts. ⚠️ Risk Management Stop Loss: $93.64 (-5.2%) Expected Range: $93.64 to $103.96 Best AI Generated Signals. Stay Alpha
NASDAQ:AMD
by AlphaSignals_ai
2
Piraeus Financial Holdings SA Poised for a Potential Rebound -TAPiraeus Financial Holdings SA's recent price movements suggest the stock might be preparing for a positive turnaround, offering an intriguing opportunity for investors. Currently trading around €3.62, the stock finds itself at a critical support level that could act as a strong base for a potential rally. One of the key indicators suggesting a possible rebound is the stock's position relative to the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Holding above this long-term trend line implies that the broader trend remains bullish, despite recent short-term volatility. Additionally, the shorter-term EMAs are showing signs of convergence, often a precursor to a breakout. Volume analysis also paints a promising picture. Recent downtrends have been accompanied by high trading volumes, a sign that suggests strong buyer interest. This accumulation phase could signal that investors are taking advantage of lower prices, setting the stage for an upward movement. Technical indicators further support this optimistic view. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is approaching a potential bullish crossover, hinting at a momentum shift. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 38, nearing oversold territory. A bounce from this level could indicate that selling pressure is fading, paving the way for buyers to step in. Fibonacci retracement levels also show that the stock is navigating key support zones. A rebound from current levels could target the 0.618 and 0.5 retracement levels, providing a clear path to recovery if momentum shifts. Furthermore, pivot points highlight that a move above €3.624 could aim for resistance at €3.987, indicating a potential reversal pattern. Overall, Piraeus Financial Holdings SA seems to be on the cusp of a potential upswing. If current support levels hold and buying interest continues to grow, a bullish shift may be imminent, offering investors a favorable risk-reward scenario in the coming days. Support Levels: The stock is currently at a critical support level around €3.62. If this support holds, it could act as a strong base for a potential rebound. There's a significant Fibonacci support level at the 0.786 retracement level around €3.769, indicating that this price region is a crucial area of interest for buyers. Moving Averages: The stock is still above the 200-day EMA, a strong indication that the long-term trend remains positive. Historically, holding above the 200-day EMA suggests that the overall trend has room to move higher. The convergence of the shorter-term EMAs (20, 50, 100) indicates that a consolidation phase might be ending, potentially leading to a breakout as market forces decide on the next direction. Volume Analysis: There have been a few spikes in volume during downward movements, indicating strong interest from buyers. High volume in this context often means that there is accumulation happening, a positive sign of potential price recovery. MACD Indicator: Although the MACD line is currently below the signal line, it's nearing a potential crossover. This suggests that momentum may soon shift from bearish to bullish, which could spark a rally. A bullish crossover would reinforce the idea that the downtrend might be losing steam, with buyers ready to step in. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is around 38, suggesting that the stock is nearing oversold territory. This is often an indicator that a price reversal is on the horizon, providing a good buying opportunity for traders. Fibonacci Levels: The current price action is trading within important Fibonacci retracement levels, with the potential to move back towards the 0.618 and 0.5 levels if support holds. These levels could act as targets if the stock begins to move upwards, indicating that there's a strong base for recovery. Pivot Points: The stock is close to S2 (€3.624), and if it finds support here, a movement towards the pivot point or even R1 (€3.987) could be feasible. This would represent a bullish reversal pattern if confirmed by upcoming candles. Positive Outlook Summary: If the current support levels hold and there's a bullish crossover in the MACD, along with a bounce from the oversold RSI, there’s a strong chance that the stock may resume its upward trend. Traders could look for confirmation with increased buying volume or a close above the recent resistance levels to affirm a positive shift in market sentiment.
ATHEX:TPEIRLong
by kgougakis
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06) Summary of Each Model’s Key Points Grok/xAI Report Technicals (5-min & daily): Bullish momentum (price above EMAs, positive MACD, RSI not yet overbought) Sentiment: VIX moderate, upcoming earnings adds uncertainty, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $100 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $3.80 Profit Target: +25%; Stop-Loss: −50% Confidence: 65% Claude/Anthropic Report Technicals: Intraday slightly bearish, daily bullish Sentiment: Earnings risk, mixed signals, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (90% confidence) DeepSeek Report Technicals: Short-term bullish but near resistance, daily MACD bullish Sentiment: Elevated IV, earnings event risk, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence) Trade: No trade Llama/Meta Report Technicals: Moderately bullish across timeframes (price above key EMAs, positive MACD) Sentiment: Earnings caution, max pain at $98 may cap downside, premium high Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $109 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $1.00 Confidence: 70% Gemini/Google Report Technicals: Strong daily bullish, 5-min approaching resistance Sentiment: Muted post-earnings move, max pain at $98, high IV Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (confidence <60%) Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement Mixed signals between intraday and daily timeframes Elevated implied volatility around earnings Max pain at $98 may exert gravitational pull High open interest in both deep OTM puts ($90) and calls ($105–$110) Majority of models favor waiting until after earnings or see no clear edge Disagreement Grok and Llama see a moderately bullish setup and recommend buying calls ($100 and $109 strikes) Claude, DeepSeek, and Gemini advise no trade because of earnings event risk, mixed technicals, and expensive premiums Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Neutral/Unclear Recommended Trade: None – conflicting signals, earnings overhang, and rich weekly premiums make a high-confidence single-leg trade unlikely before post-earnings clarity. Entry Timing: N/A (no trade) Confidence Level: 90% in the decision to sit out this week’s expiration Key Risks and Considerations: Earnings announcement can cause large gap moves Weekly options premiums remain elevated, requiring outsized moves to break even Max pain at $98 may pressure price if post-earnings reaction is muted or negative TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null, "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-06 15:09:34 UTC-04:00" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by quantsignals
Alpha Bank Shows Impressive Performance Alpha Bank Shows Impressive Performance in the First Nine Months of 2024, with Positive Indicators Boosting Investor Confidence and Paving the Way for Upgraded Forecasts for the Rest of the Year. Alpha Bank reported adjusted net profits of €666 million, showing a 16% annual increase, while net profits reached €489 million. The impressive increase in earnings per share to €0.27 highlights the bank's profitability, with a return on equity of 14.4%. Net interest income showed a 2% annual increase, while fee income saw an impressive rise of 11%, reaching €306 million. This growth in fee income reflects the bank’s success in diversifying its revenue streams and expanding into payment and wealth management services. The non-performing exposure (NPE) ratio stands at a low 4.6%, underscoring the resilience of the bank’s portfolio and prudent risk management. Meanwhile, the cost of risk has been significantly reduced to 63 basis points, contributing to the improvement in the bank’s asset quality. The increase in loans by 8% and deposits by 10% reflects strong customer confidence and the continuous strengthening of the bank’s portfolio. Alpha Bank seems to be adapting exceptionally well to the increased market needs, especially in the business loan segment. The bank’s balance sheet is well-structured to withstand interest rate reductions, with strong capital adequacy and a proper asset allocation. This provides stability and protection against potential market fluctuations, with minimal impact on net interest income. The increased demand for business loans is reflected in a 67% rise in corporate loans since 2018, with Alpha Bank outperforming the sector average in loan growth. The positive trend in loan demand is expected to continue, offering further growth opportunities. Alpha Bank holds a leading position in wealth management, with the largest mutual funds under management in Greece. The expected increase in fee income by 2026, particularly in the payments and wealth management sectors, supports the bank's strategy for revenue diversification. The bank is on track for further growth in earnings per share, with an expected return reaching €0.35 by 2026, thanks to continuous improvements in operational efficiency and strong financial performance. Alpha Bank’s capital adequacy is higher than the average of Greek banks, with a CET1 ratio of 15.5%, while over 30% of its market cap is expected to be distributed as dividends by 2026. This strong capital base enables management to reward shareholders while maintaining sufficient capital reserves. Detailed Financial Data of Alpha Bank for the First Nine Months of 2024 Net Interest Income Net interest income amounted to €1.243 billion for the first nine months of 2024, showing an annual increase of 2%. Despite stable interest income in recent quarters (€410 million in Q3 2024), the bank manages to maintain a steady income in its core area. Fee Income Fee income reached €306 million, up 11% compared to the same period in 2023. This increase confirms the effectiveness of the bank’s strategies to diversify its revenue sources, primarily through payment services and wealth management. Trading and Other Income Trading and other income saw an impressive 81% increase, reaching €95 million. This reflects the bank’s success in seizing opportunities in the markets and other investment activities. Operating Income and Expenses Operating income for the first nine months of 2024 amounted to €1.643 billion, up 6% compared to the previous year. Total operating expenses remained steady at €627 million, with no change, indicating successful cost management despite increased activity. The combination of revenue growth and expense stability demonstrates the bank’s improved efficiency. Pre-Provision Income Pre-provision income increased by 11%, reaching €1.016 billion. This increase is particularly significant as it strengthens the bank’s resilience to potential risks and lays the groundwork for healthy growth. Impairment Losses Impairment losses decreased by 20%, amounting to €173 million. This reduction is very positive, reflecting the improvement in the bank’s portfolio quality and reduced need for provisions against bad loans. Profit Before Tax Profit before tax amounted to €838 million, marking a significant increase of 18% compared to the same period last year. This increase reflects the positive impact of cost management and increased revenues. Net Profit After Tax Net profit after tax amounted to €489 million, showing a slight decrease of 2% compared to 2023. Although this decrease might seem negative, it is offset by the increase in adjusted net profits. Adjusted Net Profit After Tax Adjusted net profit after tax increased by 16%, reaching €666 million. This increase reflects the bank's strong financial performance and positive results without the impact of extraordinary expenses or other adjustments. Alpha Bank Shares Show Several Positive Indicators According to Analysts: Undervalued Market Price: Alpha Bank shares are trading at levels significantly below their estimated fair value, with a 55.5% discount. This means it offers substantial value for investors seeking to benefit from its potential future appreciation. Earnings Growth Forecast: Alpha Bank’s earnings are forecasted to grow at an annual rate of 18.2%, significantly exceeding both the market average and savings rates. Additionally, historical data show a 25.5% annual growth in earnings over the past five years. Analysts’ Consensus for an Upward Trend: Analysts are optimistic and agree that Alpha Bank’s stock price will rise by around 49.2% over the next year. This reflects market confidence in the company’s potential. Valuation Based on Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): The price-to-book ratio for Alpha Bank shares is at 0.5x, indicating that the market values the stock at a very low level compared to its net book value. This suggests the stock could be a good buying opportunity relative to its sector. Strong Financial Health: Alpha Bank shows adequate deposit levels and healthy loan levels, with an appropriate loan-to-deposit ratio of 70%. Although non-performing loans are at 3.8%, this percentage is not high enough to pose a risk, and the company has sufficient provisions for bad loans. Expected Revenue Growth: Although the forecasted annual revenue growth is 7.9%, this rate is positive for the company’s growth prospects, surpassing the market forecast (5.1%). Technical Analysis The technical analysis of Alpha Bank’s stock shows a strong upward trend, supported by various indicators and support and resistance levels. Moving Averages (EMA) The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods indicate an upward trend, with the stock trading above all these levels, signaling strong bullish momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The RSI is at 80.72, indicating that the stock is in the overbought zone. While this suggests high demand and bullish momentum, it also poses a risk for a possible correction. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) The MACD line (0.0359) is above the signal line (0.0278), indicating an upward trend. The positive value of the Histogram (0.0081) further reinforces the bullish trend. Trading Volume Volume is on an upward trend, with a total volume of 1.777 million. The increase in volume supports the upward movement, as it indicates growing investor interest in buying the stock. Fibonacci Levels The Fibonacci levels confirm support and resistance points: 0.618 level at 1.4680 serves as support. Level 1 at 1.4960 also acts as a significant support level. Support and Resistance Levels R1 (Resistance 1): 1.5495, which has been exceeded, with the current stock price slightly above this level. R2 (Resistance 2): 1.5795, which could act as a point of slowing the upward trend. S1 (Support 1): 1.4275, providing fundamental support in case of a correction.
ATHEX:ALPHALong
by kgougakis
1
Potential Setbacks for METLEN LSE Listing and Investor SentimentI am revising my estimate for the performance of METLEN's stock, as information suggests a potential delay in its listing on the LSE . Although the company's nine-month results are particularly positive, this uncertainty may impact future returns. METLEN's turnover increased by 3%, reaching €4,203 million, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) grew by 6% to €763 million. Net profits rose by 4% to €482 million, with earnings per share amounting to €3.49. Despite investments, the net debt ratio remained stable at 2.05x EBITDA. Regarding the rumors of Mr. Mytilineos's potential involvement with Hellenic Petroleum (ELPE), I refer you to the Prime Minister's statement: "It is not patriotic to import natural gas and oil from abroad when we can exploit domestic energy sources." Finally, it is now certain that the government will impose a windfall tax on the excess profits of energy companies, a development expected to negatively affect METLEN's stock performance. While this decision aims to boost public revenues, it creates uncertainty for foreign institutional investors, who may reconsider their positions in the Greek energy market due to exposure to unpredictable tax burdens. This could make attracting substantial investment capital in the energy sector more challenging. TARGET PRICE: 28.26
ATHEX:MYTILShort
by kgougakis
Technical Analysis Confirms Titan’s Bullish TrendTitan continues to attract the interest of both investors and the broader market, showcasing an impressive performance on stock exchanges and reporting strong financial results for the first nine months of 2024. With its stock price closing at €39.80, marking a 2.71% increase, the company confirms its robust momentum. Technical Analysis: Steady Upward Momentum The technical outlook of Titan’s stock highlights a solidifying upward trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) across various timeframes (20, 50, 100, and 200 days) support the positive perspective. The current stock price is notably above these averages (EMA 20: €36.44, EMA 50: €34.68, EMA 100: €33.15, EMA 200: €30.41), indicating strong buying activity. The MACD indicator (12, 26, 9) reinforces this momentum, with a positive divergence between the MACD Line (1.582) and the Signal Line (1.151) and a Histogram value of 0.4312. Pivot Points also indicate the stock approaching the first resistance level (R1: €41.25), with strong potential to breach higher levels (R2: €43.80) if the upward momentum persists. Key Moving Averages (EMAs) The EMA indicators signal a clear upward trend: EMA 20: €36.44 EMA 50: €34.68 EMA 100: €33.15 EMA 200: €30.41 The stock price remains substantially above all these averages, underscoring the strength of its long-term bullish trajectory. MACD (12, 26, 9) The MACD indicator confirms the upward dynamics: MACD Line: 1.582 Signal Line: 1.151 Histogram: 0.4312 This positive divergence suggests sustained buyer interest. Pivot Points and Key Levels Pivot Point calculations outline support and resistance levels as follows: R1: €41.25 R2: €43.80 S1: €34.25 S2: €29.80 The proximity of the price to the first resistance level (R1) signals a potential breakout towards higher levels if the upward momentum continues. Titan Cement’s technical outlook reveals strong upward momentum, supported by moving averages and MACD. The stock’s position relative to Pivot Points suggests increased demand, potentially targeting the €41.25 level. Strong 9-Month Financial Results Titan Group reported positive results for the first nine months of 2024, with all geographic sectors contributing to growth. Sales increased by 4.9% to €1.985 billion, while EBITDA rose by 14.6%, reaching €455 million. Improved selling prices, enhanced operational efficiency, and reduced fuel costs boosted profit margins. Notably, net profits rose by 20% to €238 million, while earnings per share stood at €3.19. S&P’s credit rating upgrade to “BB+” and the reduction of the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 1.1x underscore the company’s financial stability. Strategic Initiatives and Growth The Group continues to invest in strategic initiatives with a focus on sustainable growth. The acquisition of quarries and concrete plants enhances production capacity. Simultaneously, the advancement of the carbon capture project IFESTOS in Greece highlights the Group’s commitment to environmental sustainability. The planned listing of Titan America’s operations on the New York Stock Exchange, expected in Q1 2025, is set to further boost the company’s expansion strategy in the U.S. Outlook: Robust Performance Amid Challenges Despite global economic challenges, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties, Titan Group remains focused on growth. Demand for cement is expected to remain strong, especially in the U.S. and Europe, driven by public infrastructure projects and private investments. In Greece, the economy shows resilience, with private sector investments and EU funds fueling growth. Meanwhile, Balkan countries and Egypt display mixed results, with long-term prospects depending on local economic stability. Titan’s stock appears attractive for investors seeking stable returns in a high-uncertainty environment. With strong technical and fundamental indicators, a potential breakout above €41.25 could pave the way for further gains. The anticipated Wall Street listing and commitment to sustainable development enhance the stock’s long-term value. Titan is poised to continue its growth trajectory, supported by strong performance, green development strategies, and international opportunities. With current dynamics, 2024 is shaping up to be a milestone year for the Group in both sales and profitability.
ATHEX:TITCLong
by kgougakis
1
Eurobank Holdings: Technically Weak with Pressure on Stock PriceEurobank Holdings' stock presents a negative technical picture as it hovers near recent lows, showing signs of weakening. The stock price stands at €2.496, recording a marginal decline (-0.28%), while technical data indicates limited chances of recovery. Technical Analysis Overview Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200) suggest a stabilizing trend with downward prospects. EMA 20 is at €2.492, EMA 50 at €2.500, and EMA 100 at €2.500, forming a strong resistance level that prevents upward movement. EMA 200 at €2.491 is being heavily tested as a support level. Technical Indicators: MACD is negative (-0.0058), confirming weak stock momentum. RSI at 47.47 indicates neutrality, with a lack of strength to surpass the critical 50-level. Fibonacci Levels & Resistance-Support Points: The stock fails to hold above the 0.236 Fibonacci level (€2.496), with the next support at €2.470. The Pivot Point resistance (€2.512) has been tested but not successfully surpassed. Volume Analysis: Trading volume stands at 14.12 million shares, with increased selling pressure on downward moves, reflecting investor caution. If selling pressure persists, a potential drop to S1 (€2.452) cannot be ruled out. Key Technical Weaknesses Price Weakness & Lack of Recovery Potential: The stock price is currently at €2.492, down -0.20%. Despite previous recovery attempts, it has failed to sustain higher levels and now moves near its daily lows. Moving Averages Indicate Downward Bias: EMA 20 (€2.492) closely aligns with the current price, signaling weak short-term bullish momentum. EMA 50 and EMA 100 (€2.500) act as resistance, indicating potential failure to move higher. EMA 200 (€2.491) provides temporary support, but the price seems likely to break below it. MACD Shows Negative Momentum: MACD at -0.0058, below its signal (-0.0082), suggests continued downward pressure. The positive histogram is minimal (0.0024), reflecting weak buying interest. RSI Indicates Weak Upward Momentum: RSI at 47.47, below the neutral 50-level, shows sellers still dominate. The RSI-based MA (39.14) suggests the stock was recently in oversold territory but lacks strong upside movement. Fibonacci & Key Support-Resistance Levels: The stock failed to maintain the 0.236 Fibonacci level (€2.496), showing an inability to recover. Key support at €2.470, with a possible decline to lower levels if selling pressure persists. Pivot Point resistance at €2.512 remains challenging to break. Volume Confirms Selling Pressure: Trading volume of 14.12M suggests increased selling on downward movements, indicating that sellers are in control. Bearish Technical Outlook Eurobank Holdings' technical outlook remains weak, with the price moving below significant resistance levels and indicators suggesting limited upside potential. The stock's inability to break above €2.500 and persistent pressure below moving averages signal a potential continuation of the downward trend, especially if it breaks below €2.470.
ATHEX:EUROBShort
by kgougakis
Novo Nordisk (NVO) – Oversold Reversal + Earnings CatalystNovo Nordisk (NVO) has declined 61.13% from its all-time high of $148 (June 2024), finding support at $57.55. Over the past two weeks, the stock has rebounded over 15%, currently trading around $66.30, with strong reversal signals just ahead of earnings. This setup presents a compelling opportunity, both technically and fundamentally, for a tactical trade or a longer-term position. Simply Wall St 🔍 Technical Highlights: ✅ Rebound from long-term ascending trendline (~$57–58 zone) ✅ RSI rising from oversold levels (28 → 32 and climbing) ✅ MACD approaching a bullish crossover, indicating momentum shift ✅ Two consecutive green weekly Heikin Ashi candles post-bottom ✅ Defined risk with invalidation below $57 support 📈 Trade Setup: 🟢 Entry Zone: $66–68 (current price range) 🔴 Stop Loss: Below $57.00 (break of structure and breakout base) MarketWatch +6 StockAnalysis +6 Simply Wall St +6 ✅ TP1: $78 – previous support zone ✅ TP2: $90 – February 2025 high before the selloff ✅ TP3: $110 – around December 2024’s local top 🗓️ Earnings – May 7, 2025 🔹 Analysts project ~19.7% YoY revenue growth 🔹 Continued strong demand for Ozempic and Wegovy 🔹 Forward P/E ratio at 16.33, below industry average 🔹 Robust margins and high institutional ownership 🔹 Significant free cash flow and a promising innovation pipeline StockAnalysis 📌 This appears to be a high-quality oversold bounce with a well-defined risk/reward structure ahead of a significant earnings catalyst. Whether you're considering a swing trade or building a core position, this setup aligns both technical and fundamental factors. Let’s monitor how this unfolds. 📊🔬 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice – just sharing my perspective. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
NYSE:NVOLong
by ValchevFinance
2
OPAP: A Safe Bet in Uncertain MarketsOPAP: A Safe Bet in Uncertain Markets - OPAP Delivers Stability, Dividends, and Buybacks By Konstantinos Gougakis – April 8, 2025, 09:47 When international markets swing to the rhythm of uncertainty, geopolitical instability, and interest rates going up and down like an elevator, investors stop looking for the next unicorn. They look for stocks that offer stability, transparency, dividends, and solid prospects. They look for “corner store” stocks—established, reliable players. And one of the most prominent examples on the Greek market is, without a doubt, OPAP. OPAP has consistently shown it can perform even in times of crisis. It has strong liquidity, solid operating performance, investments that pay off, a digital transformation well underway, and—most importantly—a strategy that doesn’t shift with the wind. Now, it’s adding another key strength to its arsenal: a new two-year share buyback program. The program covers up to 5% of its share capital, with a proposed buyback range between €0.30 and €25 per share. That gives OPAP a flexible tool it can activate only when the Board of Directors sees it as the best available value move. This isn’t for show—it’s a deliberate, targeted action to benefit shareholders. To put it simply: when a company buys back its own shares, fewer shares remain in the market. So, for those holding on, the value of each share goes up. It’s a clear sign of confidence in the business and a “thank you” to long-term investors. In uncertain times, moves like this matter. And OPAP isn’t stopping there. Its 2024 financials exceeded expectations: Net operating profits of €828 million Profit margin of 36% 11.5% GGR growth in Q4 Citi called the results “outstanding,” while J.P. Morgan and AXIA Ventures raised their price targets and issued new buy recommendations. OPAP is also making steady digital progress. Its online platform accounts for 31% of GGR, and the Opap Store app saw average spend per visit grow from €27 to €35 in a year. Joker is hitting record numbers, Eurojackpot made history with over 1 million players, and scratch card revenue now makes up 12.2% of the lottery portfolio. The company is also refinancing €390 million in loans, securing stability through 2032. With €490 million in cash reserves by the end of 2024, OPAP is well-positioned to invest and continue supporting both dividends and share buybacks. The new dividend of €0.80 per share (4.7% yield) will be paid in May, while a €150 million buyback has already been completed, aimed at canceling shares. The new buyback is another part of OPAP’s value-return strategy—not flashy, just effective. And the market is responding: three top international firms have upgraded their forecasts, calling OPAP attractively priced with strong upside potential. With an EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.1x for 2026, OPAP is seen as a solid, low-risk investment with dependable returns. Bottom line: OPAP doesn’t make promises—it delivers. In stormy seas, some look for lighthouses. Like it or not, OPAP has become one of them.
ATHEX:OPAPLong
by kgougakis
Bullish Momentum with Overbought SignΤechnical Analysis Report: Bullish Momentum with Overbought Signals JUMBO: Shareholder Update on Q1 2025 Sales Performance The JUMBO Group, staying true to its commitment to investors and consumers, is releasing today the latest figures regarding March sales and overall performance for the first quarter of 2025. The recent global trade turbulence, sparked by a new wave of tariff conflicts, is reshaping international commerce, creating an unpredictable environment and heightening mid-term uncertainty. Sales Overview JUMBO Group's sales for March 2025 decreased by approximately -2% compared to the same month last year. This decline is largely attributed to seasonality in Greece and Cyprus, as Carnival was celebrated on March 2 this year, versus March 17 in 2024. In contrast, total Q1 2025 sales for the Group increased by approximately +8% year-on-year. Additionally, sales during the first 15 days of April suggest a rebound in growth pace, following the temporary disruption in March caused by earlier seasonal demand for Carnival-related products. Key Context The Group highlights to its shareholders that the current volatility in global trade makes it nearly impossible to reliably plan for costs and inventory—especially for businesses with significant import/export operations. One of the few short-term positives is the favorable exchange rate trends and the notable drop in global oil prices. More detailed information—and potentially a first management outlook on the Group’s 2025 financials—will be shared in the annual financial results for FY 2024, scheduled for release on April 28, 2025. Sales by Country Greece In March 2025, net sales of the parent company (excluding intercompany transactions) fell by about -7% year-on-year. For Q1 2025 overall, net sales rose approximately +10% compared to the same period last year. Cyprus Sales in Cyprus stores declined -8% in March 2025 compared to the previous year. However, Q1 2025 sales were up around +6% year-on-year. Bulgaria Sales in Bulgaria were up by about +4% in March 2025 year-on-year. Overall Q1 sales in the country increased by approximately +2%. Romania Sales from both physical stores and the e-shop rose by roughly +12% in March 2025. Q1 sales in Romania were up by about +6% compared to the same period last year. Store Network As of March 31, 2025, the JUMBO Group operated 89 stores: 53 in Greece 6 in Cyprus 10 in Bulgaria 20 in Romania The Group also operates e-shops in Greece, Cyprus, and Romania. Through partnerships, JUMBO-branded stores are present in 7 additional countries—Albania, Kosovo, Serbia, North Macedonia, Bosnia, Montenegro, and Israel—with a total of 40 partner-operated stores. Notably, the Group opened its third large-format JUMBO store in Israel in early April. Technical Analysis Report As of the latest trading session, the stock is showing strong bullish momentum, with multiple technical indicators supporting the continuation of the uptrend. 🔹 Price Action The stock is currently trading at €26.08, having formed a strong recovery from the recent low of €23.06. The price has now surpassed previous resistance levels, nearing the recent high at €25.86, which may act as a short-term resistance. 🔹 Fibonacci Retracement Levels A Fibonacci retracement applied from the low of €23.06 to the high of €25.86 highlights key support zones: 23.6% level: €25.20 38.2% level: €24.80 50.0% level: €24.46 61.8% level: €24.13 78.6% level: €23.66 These levels serve as potential support in case of a pullback. 🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) The stock is trading above all major EMAs, which is a clear bullish signal: EMA 20: €25.65 EMA 50: €25.25 EMA 100: €25.10 EMA 200: €25.35 This crossover pattern confirms strong upward momentum and a likely trend continuation. 🔹 MACD Indicator MACD Line: 0.2102 Signal Line: 0.2064 Histogram: 0.0039 The MACD is slightly above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum, though the small histogram suggests this strength is moderate. 🔹 Relative Strength Index (RSI) Current RSI: 72.12 RSI Moving Average: 64.38 The RSI is currently above 70, placing the stock in overbought territory. This could indicate a potential short-term consolidation or correction, though not necessarily a trend reversal. The technical indicators collectively suggest a bullish outlook. However, with the RSI entering overbought levels, traders should be cautious of a possible pullback toward support zones at €25.20 or €24.80. A breakout above €25.86 could signal further upside potential.
ATHEX:BELALong
by kgougakis