PALANTIR Channel Up intact. Eyeing $185 on this rally.Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up and is currently on its most recent Bullish Leg following the approach f the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Having also rebounded on its long-term RSI Support Zone, the buying pressure is the strongest we've seen inside this pattern, having recovered all loses in just 4 weeks.
Given that the most usual rally was +183.03%, we expect this Leg to reach at least $185.
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ETERNAL - Eternal Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionETERNAL - Eternal Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.36
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 240
Entry limit ~239 to 237 (Avg. - 238) on May 05, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 247 (+3.78%; +9 points)
2. Target limit ~ 251 (+5.46%; +13 points)
Stop order limit ~ 232.5 (-2.31%; -5.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
StochRSI Daily Swing Strategy – TP/SL 1% | ASX | 90d BackTesterThis is a just for fun Stochastic RSI-based strategy designed for ASX stocks on the Daily chart.
It aims to capture small but consistent swings with a 1% Take-Profit and 1% Stop-Loss.
Ideal for back and forward testing short-horizon trades with tight risk control.
Currently back-tested over 90 days with a 100% win rate (3/3 trades).
Parameters: RSI(15), %K(9), Smooth K(2), D(4).
Hidden Bullish Divergence will play?as mentioned during market
timings, 36.50 was important to
sustain. It could not and hit the
Lower Lock at 36.03
Next Support is around 34.50 - 34.62
Now it is Important to Sustain 36.50 - 36.70
on Weekly basis.
Monthly Support is around 35.
One +ve sign: Hidden bullish divergence has
also appeared.
Uber at the Edge: Technical Signals Flash Warning as Price TestsUber Technologies (UBER) has been consolidating in a broad range and is now testing a major breakout above a significant resistance zone around the $81–$85 level, which historically capped price in early 2024.
1. Resistance Zone
Uber is pressing up against a multi-year resistance zone (~$83–$85).
Last breakout attempt (Feb–Mar 2024) resulted in a sharp rejection, forming a double-top structure.
2. Volume
Volume on this breakout is not significantly higher than previous sessions. Lack of strong volume confirmation is a yellow flag — bullish breakouts need conviction.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index) – 4H: 73.91
Overbought territory (>70).
This is not sustainable for long without a cooling-off.
Bearish divergence alert: If UBER makes a higher high while RSI starts to slope downward, that would be a classic top signal.
4 MACD
MACD line is still rising, but very close to prior highs seen during failed breakouts.
The histogram shows momentum fading — peaks are lower despite price pushing to the high end of the range.
Potential bearish crossover incoming on further weakness.
5. Fibonacci Retracement
From the 2021 high to the 2022 low, the current price is pressing near the 78.6% retracement (~$85 area) — a classic reversal zone for tops.
Also aligns with prior horizontal resistance — confluence adds weight to this level being a potential top.
6. Sentiment
Sentiment around Uber has been improving — profitability inflection point, bullish news, positive guidance.
However, extreme optimism often accompanies tops. If everyone is bullish, who's left to buy?
Conclusion: A Probable Short-Term Top Forming
We now have RSI overbought, MACD momentum fading, no volume confirmation, and price pushing into a multi-year resistance cluster — this screams risk of a reversal.
This is a high-probability short setup for traders, especially if:
Price fails to close above $86.00 convincingly
RSI starts to diverge lower
MACD crosses down
A pullback to $75–78 is very likely on rejection.
PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation | (May 2025)PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation + Hype Exhaustion Risk | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Palantir has been riding the AI hype wave, but valuations are extremely stretched. Despite strong growth, price action shows signs of slowing — making this a "watch closely" rather than "chase blindly" setup.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Watching for short setup — not entering yet
Entry Zone: If price retests $19–20 and stalls again
Stop Loss: Above $121.50 (breakout continuation risk)
TP1 (potential short): $117.00 — minor structure support
TP2: $15.50 — deeper pullback zone
TP3 (optional): $113.90 — if broader correction plays out
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Fundamentals at a Glance:
Revenue: $2.87B | Net Income: ~$460M
Market Cap: $291B (!) — over 10x revenue, signals extreme overvaluation
P/S Ratio: 19x
Price to Cash Flow: 272x — typical range for healthy companies is 20–40
EPS and Book Value: Weak vs market cap (Tangible BV: $2.13)
Beta: 2.45 — very volatile
✅ Business Model:
Palantir builds AI-driven software for government and commercial use. Notably, government revenue and commercial segments both grew ~40% YoY — great performance, but possibly priced in already.
❌ Current Market Behavior:
Everyone's talking about PLTR — hype levels are extremely high
Price currently sitting near previous all-time highs
Technicals show signs of exhaustion — money is slightly flowing out on 30min charts
Daily chart still bullish, but 4H shows price stalling — a correction seems likely
A dip to ~$19 or lower (4–5% pullback) would be normal, even healthy
❌ Short Setup Caution:
Although the chart leans bearish short term, this is a hype-driven stock. Fighting it blindly with a short could be risky. If a correction does set in, it's more likely to be a measured move rather than a full trend reversal — for now.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be watching for a short opportunity if rejection confirms near $20–21. No position for now — observing price behavior closely as hype may still carry it higher in the short term.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
AVN is BullishPrice was in a downtrend consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. However, a bullish divergence on daily timeframe hints the return of bulls, and if previous lower high is broken with good volume then we can expect a bullish breakout as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
MSTR Shortvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very veryvery very very nice short
Bearish Setup???FORD has a hit an historical resistance which was combined with it's 200 EMA(in orange). Key Levels to keep an eye on are the 10.39 price level; bullish activity from there would invalidate the current hypothetical bearish set up; an bearish action to the 10 EMA(blue) and 50 EMA (purple) would validate bearish setup.
PVH | Long | Value Rebound | (May 2025)PVH | Long | Value Rebound + Seasonal Strength | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
PVH is a legacy fashion company showing potential for a seasonal recovery and value-driven upside. After months of consolidation, money is starting to flow in again.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Based on 4H structure and money inflow seen on the 30-min chart
Stop Loss: Below the recent range low, ideally under $68 (to be confirmed on LTFs)
TP1: $77 — Near 4H VWAP and recent high
TP2: $89 — Previous resistance zone
TP3: $108 — Long-term value target
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Fundamentals:
Revenue: $8.6B | Net Income: ~$600M
Market Cap: $3.7B (cheap compared to earnings)
Free Cash Flow: $582M | Cash: $748M
Debt: $3.4B (manageable vs FCF and cash)
Dividend Yield: 0.21%
Tangible Book Value: -$2.64 (intangible-heavy biz, normal for fashion)
Price to Cash Flow: ~5.2x (value territory)
P/S ratio: ~0.45 — very low, points to undervaluation
✅ Seasonality & Timing:
Since 2020, PVH often consolidates until November, then rallies — 2021 being the exception.
Entering Q2–Q3, it's approaching the usual setup for accumulation before a potential Q4 breakout.
✅ Business Overview:
PVH owns Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, operating in both North America and International markets. The brand strength and global reach remain strong despite macro challenges.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
This idea will be updated if the price reacts strongly near TP1 or shows reversal patterns at major levels.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Equity Research Report – Polycab India Ltd.✅ Buy Levels
Buy Above: ₹5,800 (post breakout confirmation)
Ideal Entry on Dip: ₹5,765–₹5,785
🎯 Targets
Timeframe Target 1 Target 2 Target 3
15-min ₹5,870 ₹5,950 ₹6,070
1-hour ₹6,070 ₹6,220 ₹6,427 (Fib 61.8%)
🔻 Stop Loss
Intraday SL: ₹5,720
Positional SL: ₹5,650 (below trendline support and 20 EMA)
For Education purposes only
Microsoft (MSFT) Becomes the World’s Most Valuable CompanyMicrosoft (MSFT) Becomes the World’s Most Valuable Company
According to financial data, Microsoft’s market capitalisation currently stands at approximately $3.24 trillion, while the valuations of Apple and Nvidia — second and third on the list respectively — remain below $3 trillion.
This follows a sharp surge in Microsoft’s share price (MSFT), which has risen by over 26% from its April low.
Why has Microsoft’s share price risen?
The main driver behind the MSFT stock rally was last week’s quarterly report, which outperformed analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $3.46, forecast = $3.22;
→ Revenue: actual = $70 billion, forecast = $68.4 billion.
As reported in the media, investors responded positively to a notable increase in revenue from Azure cloud services.
Technical Analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) Shares
A wide bullish gap — over 7% — pushed the price above a key support line that had underpinned the 2024 uptrend in Microsoft stock.
However, following the report’s release, the price stabilised just below a resistance line drawn through previous key highs.
This provides grounds to interpret the current setup as a symmetrical triangle pattern with an axis around the $427 mark, suggesting short-term price consolidation within the defined boundaries.
Going forward, further key news related to Microsoft — a company less exposed to trade war impacts than Apple — could:
→ help maintain its status as the world’s most valuable firm;
→ support a potential bullish breakout through the resistance line and a continuation of the 2024 uptrend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Apple Shares (AAPL) Drop Below $200Apple Shares (AAPL) Drop Below $200
Late last week, Apple released a quarterly report that beat analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.65, forecast = $1.63
→ Revenue: actual = $95.36bn, forecast = $94.5bn
However, today AAPL stock price is below the psychological $200 mark, over 7% lower than last week’s high (point E).
Why did AAPL shares fall?
According to media reports, investors were concerned about weaker-than-expected services revenue and disappointing sales in China. These factors have renewed fears that the ongoing US–China trade tensions could have a deeper impact on Apple going forward.
Bearish sentiment may also have been amplified by Warren Buffett’s decision to step down as head of Berkshire Hathaway — as we noted yesterday — since his company is one of Apple’s major shareholders.
Technical Analysis of Apple Shares (AAPL)
Key AAPL price action patterns (marked) show a sequence of lower highs and lows, forming the basis for a downward channel. Fibonacci ratios reinforce bearish characteristics in price movements:
→ The rise from B to C is approximately 50% of the decline from A to B
→ The rise from D to E is around 50% of the decline from A to D
This technical picture suggests a potential bear market, where rallies may be corrective rebounds following impulsive drops. This strengthens the scenario in which AAPL shares could continue falling within the established descending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.