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How far will it eventually fall SMCI?During such a general crisis, things are very complicated for all stocks and everything depends. The fundamentals are key here and any decision by Trump can change things in a second and that is why we say how far, not how far will it fall. Given the possible further decline of the SP500 to around $5360-5400 and based on the 4-hour chart, it is clearly seen that the dynamic support line from the accumulated volume lies at around $29.5 and $30.5. The reversal signals are clear (the green triangles below). Therefore, it is very unlikely that we will see a drop below $30 . This is a very good entry point, but I do not advise anyone to trade until April 2, although I think things will become clear later today or tomorrow.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by kometata
Technicals on SFM if you are planning to short.SFM broke its uptrend line from July 2024 during the week of March 3, 2025. Over the last three weeks, price climbed back toward that broken trendline, testing the underside of the and signaling resistance and potential confirmation of the breakdown. This type of retest and rejection setup is often a classic reversal signal. On the weekly chart, a potential head and shoulders pattern is taking shape, suggesting price may roll over further in the coming weeks. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias) SFM is rolling over after rejecting the underside of the broken uptrend line. Potential entry point: break of 10/20EMA on Daily If that breaks, price could pause around 139, then drop into the 120–130 area, a broader demand zone with historical support. The move may find a floor around 122, where the rising 200-day SMA and a second uptrend line from January 2024 converge. 🎯 Bearish Targets: 139 → 130 → 122 And just for objectivity: 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Reclaim Required) Bulls would need to reclaim the broken July 2024 uptrend line. That would require a move above ~153–155, clearing both the trendline and current resistance levels. If reclaimed, it may open the door to retesting prior highs near 178. 🎯 Bullish Targets: 154 → 164 → 178 ⚪️ Neutral Scenario Price remains caught between 140 and 155, grinding sideways. Multiple EMAs and broken trendlines overhead could act as resistance, while the daily 10/20EMAs and minor horizontal supports provide footing below. This could be a consolidation phase before a more decisive move unfolds.
NASDAQ:SFMShort
by emanuelaelias
GameStop’s Bitcoin Bet Fails to Wow Traders. Can It Copy MSTR?GameStop NYSE:GME wants to jam Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD into its treasury. But isn’t that a risky move that threatens to derail the video-game retailer’s finances? With $1.3 billion on the line, GameStop’s pivot to Bitcoin in efforts to revive its flagging share price may make things even worse. Let’s talk about that. Desperate times call for desperate measures. After a couple months of speculation, traders’ suspicions turned out correct — GameStop is indeed adding Bitcoin on its balance sheet . The company confirmed the plan in its quarterly earnings update released last week. That was all good — shares jumped 8% on the news and closed the cash session higher by 12%. But these solid gains were not only wiped out — traders doubled down on the selling pressure when the shares crashed 23% a day later because GameStop unveiled a scary figure. To make Bitcoin a treasury reserve asset, GameStop said it is seeking to sell $1.3 billion of convertible bonds , which will be used “for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of Bitcoin in a manner consistent with GameStop’s Investment Policy.” What do these convertible bonds do? They’re essentially papers that certify you’ve given the company a loan. Usually, they come bearing some nice guaranteed yield, but in this case, the yield is exactly 0.00%. Another string attached to GameStop's bonds is that they are due in 2030 and you can choose to convert them into shares, each with a price tag of $28.46, or you can take them out in cash. That’s one reason why the stock tanked last week — not too favorable conditions. Another one, and perhaps a bigger worry for investors, is that GameStop’s net income will no longer be as secure as it’s been until now. More precisely, GameStop generates around $220 million in interest each year thanks to its holding of Treasury bills. With Bitcoin getting in the mix of factors contributing to the bottom-line figure, things may spin out of ordinary. True, Bitcoin may go up in price and lift GameStop’s net income but it could also decide to nosedive for no reason and eat into GameStop’s profits. Judging by the votes of the traders last week (if the stock market is a voting machine in the short term), they seem to believe in the latter. At least for now. But that's not a concern to the OG meme stock . Where it hopes Bitcoin will make a difference is the long run. Just look at MicroStrategy MSTR . Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy , is the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder. Even more, it’s a Bitcoin hoarder, sitting on more than 506,000 Bitcoin, according to BTC-tracking platform Bitcoin Treasuries . Strategy has been issuing debt to buy Bitcoin since 2020 and that’s the exact same thing that GameStop is doing. But there’s a key difference. Strategy has largely strapped its share price to the performance of Bitcoin. So much so that the market has been feverishly buying the stock as a way to get exposure to Bitcoin (on steroids). For GameStop, it’s too late for that. Shares of Strategy are trading at less than 2x the value of its Bitcoin holdings. GameStop, in contrast, has appealed to investors for its stack of cash (besides the speculative bonanza) with $4.8 billion in dry powder ready to be deployed. The stock is trading at more than 2x its cash holdings and the cash-to-Bitcoin conversion is likely to dent that performance and trigger some outflows. And that’s how the company puts its premium at risk. So is it safe to say that GameStop is looking to spark a share-price rally by following MicroStrategy’s lead? Maybe. But the exposure to Bitcoin also comes at a perilous time for the cryptocurrency industry. Bitcoin is down 10% on the year and more than 25% from its all-time high of $109,000 to hover around $84,000 a pop. Can the Bitcoin philosophy reel GameStop out of the slump? Or will it drag the bottom line and chip away at whatever’s left of the bruised valuation under $10 billion? You be the judge — share your thoughts in the comment section!
NYSE:GME
by TradingView
11
Trade the Yellow Level​The Yellow Level of 21.37 acts as a key inflection point for GME since 2022.In May 2024, GME's stock experienced significant volatility (The Hiccup), closing the month at $23,14 - close to the Yellow Level. Similarly: June 2024 closing price: 24,69; July 2024 closing price: 22,67; August 2024 closing price: 23,42; September 2024: this is where things get interesting. On September 11th, the price was hammered below the critical support level of 21,37 - and spent 7 trading days below that level, then immediately reclaimed it on September 20th. This level was lost on 7th of October, an attempt to breakout was made in between 14th and 18th of October, and the price got hammered again. Another breakout was attempted on 25th of October and confirmed on 4th of November. It's been over that level until 27th of March, when a short ladder attack happened. The level held firm, briefly falling under 21,37. The Yellow Level is crucial for GME: 1) The stock has tested The Yellow Level previously, making it a potential demand zone where buyers might step in. If it holds, a reversal upwards could be on the table. 2) If GME bounces off 21,37, it could trigger bullish momentum, pushing it toward 34,20 and higher; 3) If GME breaks below 21,37 and confirms it as resistance, it could go as low as 18,66 4) Trading volume always spikes around this level, it confirms that market participants view it as meaningful support. Check volume on March 27th. The Yellow Level isn’t just a number—it’s been a decision point since at least 2022. How GME reacts here will determine the next wave of momentum, so watching for price action and volume is crucial now.
NYSE:GMELong
by Neuromeat
3
Go Long on Meta: Navigating Tech's Resilience - Key Insights: Meta demonstrates resilience amidst tech sector volatility. With key support levels holding, it presents a potential opportunity for bullish positions driven by sector recovery expectations and macroeconomic conditions. Pay attention to regulatory impacts and earnings reports which could sway investor sentiment. - Price Targets: For a long position, aim for T1 at $600 and T2 at $630, maintaining stops at S1 of $550 and S2 at $540 for risk management. These levels align with market sentiment and technical analysis, offering a pathway for potential gains. - Recent Performance: Meta has maintained its structural support despite broader market challenges affecting the tech sector. While facing downturn pressures alongside large-cap tech stocks, it shows robust technical setups and the ability to hold critical support levels. - Expert Analysis: Experts highlight Meta's sensitivity to macroeconomic factors and sector-specific challenges. Attention is on its technical levels, especially around the 200 SMA, ensuring momentum is preserved. Regulatory developments in the social media space and ByteDance's strategic moves could influence Meta. - News Impact: Upcoming earnings reports and regulatory issues surrounding TikTok may affect Meta's market dynamics significantly. These events are poised to shift investor focus, potentially impacting privacy and geopolitical sentiments within the tech sector. Meta's upcoming earnings have the potential to either affirm or shake up bullish sentiment further based on financial health and growth prospects.
NASDAQ:METALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Go Long on TSLA: Targeting a Bullish Rebound Next Week - Key Insights: Tesla's stock is presently experiencing heightened volatility, influenced by delivery figures, significant corporate updates, and economic conditions. The anticipation around Tesla's delivery report and advancements in AI and autonomous vehicles suggests possible bullish movements if current trends hold. - Price Targets: Next week’s price target ranges for a long position are set between $274 (T1) and $282 (T2). Stop levels are strategically placed below current market sentiment impacts, with S1 at $252 and S2 at $250 to manage downside risks. - Recent Performance: Tesla's recent market activity reflects significant fluctuations tied to delivery data and broader tech sector challenges. The stock's price has hovered around key resistance and support levels, indicating potential readiness for an upward movement should positive catalysts emerge. - Expert Analysis: Influential figures like Cathie Wood maintain a positive outlook on Tesla, driven by the company's AI advancements and potential in the autonomous vehicle sector. Analysts have pointed out that Tesla's exposure to international tariffs is relatively moderate compared to its competitors, possibly positioning it advantageously within the automotive market. - News Impact: Key upcoming reports, particularly Tesla's delivery announcement on April 2nd, could dramatically affect stock perception and investor sentiment. Advancements in AI, particularly the potential launch of Robo taxis, are seen as game-changers for Tesla's market valuation. Meanwhile, operational and regulatory challenges remain, including the uncertain impact of geopolitical moves such as tariff implementations.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Consider a Long Position on AMZN Amid Market Volatility -Key Insights: With the current market trend showing increased volatility highlighted by broad index declines, investors should consider focusing on Amazon's support levels for strategic entry points. Despite not having a specific current market price available, the historic support levels at $190, $180, $170, and $150 provide critical zones to watch. These levels suggest possible stabilization points where buying interest might converge, potentially offering compelling entry opportunities should the price approach within these ranges. -Price Targets: For the upcoming week, consider a long position with realistic targets and stops: - Target 1 (T1): $195 - Target 2 (T2): $205 - Stop Level 1 (S1): $175 - Stop Level 2 (S2): $165 -Recent Performance: In light of recent 2% drops across major indices and tech sectors, including tech-heavy stocks like Tesla, Amazon is likely facing similar pressures. This environment of heightened volatility has contributed significantly to cautious investor sentiment around Amazon and its big tech peers. -Expert Analysis: Expert consensus advises a defensive approach, emphasizing monitoring key support levels and considering historical trading patterns in anticipation of market corrections or rebounds. This strategic perspective helps position investors to take advantage of any downturns for potential longer-term gains. -News Impact: Though no specific current news events affecting Amazon were identified, it is crucial for investors to stay informed about general market conditions and the impact of broader tech performance. Understanding these dynamics will assist investors in navigating through current uncertainty, enabling a more informed trading strategy. By aligning trading actions with these insights and ensuring a keen eye on both broader market signals and Amazon's key support levels, investors can effectively position themselves to potentially capitalize on AMZN's pricing movements in the week ahead.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Consider Short Position as PayPal Faces Bearish Trends - Key Insights: PayPal's stock is under bearish pressure. The share price has broken past its 200-day moving average, typically signaling a downward trend. Current options trading behavior reflects this caution, with adjustments being made to manage losses. A key observation is the strategic options trade involving a $66 strike call, suggesting a limited upside is anticipated. The market shows weak upward momentum, while a failure to maintain support levels has increased caution. - Price Targets: Given the bearish sentiment, consider shorting PayPal. - Short-term target (T1): $63.00 - Further target (T2): $60.00 - Stop Level 1 (S1): $71.00 - Stop Level 2 (S2): $74.00 - Recent Performance: PayPal's stock has been trading between $65 and $70, breaking its 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend. Strategic options trades with a $66 strike call highlight an attempt to capture a marginal upside if the stock rises to $68. However, bearish signals below $77 suggest further downside potential as previous support levels have been breached. - Expert Analysis: Market experts suggest a cautious stance on PayPal. The management of call options and reevaluation of positions underscores the lack of bullish momentum. Traders are selling calls to close positions and opting for lower strike options to mitigate losses, reflecting an overall conservative approach amid unclear market conditions. - News Impact: PayPal's achievement of reaching a $30 billion benchmark in lending underscores its influence in financial technology. While significant, this milestone hasn't directly affected the current options strategy but highlights its potential for future growth. In parallel, noteworthy developments in technology by companies like Nvidia may hint at future fintech integrations that PayPal could explore, though this remains separate from its immediate stock performance challenges.
NASDAQ:PYPLShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
ASML - Nailed our short trade! How, Why, and What now?If you watched my video on why I was shorting ASML last week, you'd be quite pleased with the subsequent dump. This wasn't luck - this was understanding the algorithms, the basics of market dynamics and supply and demand, and doing what we do best - sniping a good entry to allow the HTF algorithms to be in control. Let's keep this momentum up as the market and individual equities continue to offer us excellent trade opportunities! If you haven't watched my SPY video that I just posted, please check it out as it's extremely important to keep an eye on the broader markets as a gauge as to when these liquidity builds might be happening and to understand if the market's movements are just that, liquidity building, or continuation. Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:ASMLShort
by ReigningTrades
4
Tencent invests €1.2 billion in Ubisoft spin-offsChinese giant Tencent(HKG:0700) (Ticker AT: TMC.US) has gone further in its expansion in the digital gaming industry by extending its interest in the Ubisoft (EPA:UBI)(Ticker AT:UBI.FR) Spin-Off with a whopping €1.2 billion, in a company currently valued at €4 billion. With this deal, Tencent acquires a 25% stake, while Ubisoft retains control, trying to sustain its position in a particularly difficult year. The French developer is still in free fall: its shares have lost 33% in the last 12 months , revenues are down by more than a third, and its market capitalization barely reaches €1.7 billion. Not even the expected launch of a new Assassin's Creed has managed to reverse the situation, due to its conflicting use of characters of different races in a historical context that has nothing to do has generated image problems for being considered by the gamer public as excessively unattached to the historical reality of that time. This financial crisis is compounded by reputational problems. Ubisoft is still embroiled in a legal scandal related to allegations of harassment at the top of its board of directors, which has scared off private investors. In this context, Tencent's capital injection comes as a strategic lifeline, strengthening its position in the sector while taking advantage of the weakness of one of the most iconic European companies in international gaming. The move reaffirms Tencent's appetite for the video game industry, where it already has stakes in Riot Games, Epic Games and Activision Blizzard , consolidating its dominance in an increasingly competitive market. On the technical side: As we commented, the firm has not lost the downtrend of the last 12 months, realizing a loss of 33%, reducing its market capitalization to €1.7 billion. Currently, the stock is trading in a range between €10.480 and €10.610 per share, showing a clear downward trend, which for the moment even Tencent has not been able to undo. On Friday, Ubisoft experienced a price rally, closing the day with a red candle with a very long wick, indicating profit-taking after the rally. It is worth noting the volume of 3.93 million for that session, an exceptional figure considering that during the quarter, trading volume has barely exceeded 1 million in most sessions. What is worth noting is that the 100-day average has fallen above the 50-day average and the 200-day average is still touching the candle we have indicated, so it is very likely that this trend is reversing. Since the second week of February, the share price has been recovering around 12.4 euros per share. The current price has started the session with a green candle, so we could see a new attempt to extend this downward correction around 12.19 euros per share. If we look at the 4-hour chart, the bullish volume came after the Tencent news, and subsequently the price did not hold and many traders liquidated positions. We will have to see if the news is accompanied with further economic results from the firm to lift the price above the downtrend channel. The RSI indicates 42.36% with a slight oversold level. After correcting in the previous session. We will have to see the evolution in the coming sessions to see if it advances in positive. A current situation in which it seems that the company seems to have touched a price floor and could be a time to enter longs with the new momentum of strong investors leading the Board of Directors of the firm. The move reaffirms Tencent's appetite for the video game industry, where it already has stakes in Riot Games, Epic Games and Activision Blizzard, consolidating its dominance in an increasingly competitive market. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EURONEXT:UBILong
by ActivTrades
MicroStrategy's Breakdown Looms: A Warning for BTC Bulls? Despite MicroStrategy's latest Bitcoin accumulation and bullish US crypto policy shifts, price action tells a different story that could spell trouble for BTC if key technical levels give way. 📉 MicroStrategy's Struggle: Bullish Accumulation vs Bearish Structure MicroStrategy (MSTR) ended Q1 2025 with a deeply concerning price structure that signals the bulls are losing momentum despite an environment rich with crypto-positive headlines. From regulatory optimism to corporate adoption and even MicroStrategy's own record-breaking Bitcoin accumulation, the narrative seems bullish on the surface. Between March 17 and March 23, MicroStrategy purchased an additional 6,911 BTC for $584.1 million, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to over 500,000 BTC, valued at roughly $44 billion. Yet, instead of rallying, the stock plunged over 10% on Friday, March 28, closing just above the critical $288.20 support zone—a level highlighted in our March 10 analysis as a make-or-break point. This divergence between news and price action is precisely why technical structure matters more than headlines. As MSTR continues to mirror Bitcoin's moves, failing to hold $288.20 could trigger a cascade of selling that reaches beyond equities and into the crypto market itself. 📊 Technical Setup: The Last Stand at $288.20 On the daily chart, a symmetrical triangle has formed, tightening price action and pointing toward an imminent breakout or breakdown. For now, pressure is building to the downside. Failed breakout attempt at $342.97 confirms short-term weakness Critical support: $288.20 (three-month major level) Immediate downside targets: $264 → $248 Bearish continuation targets: $208 → $168 → $135 To avoid this bearish progression, bulls must defend $288.20 with conviction. If they can reclaim and hold above $327, it may revive short-term optimism and re-establish the recovery narrative. But the longer the price stalls below $300, the more vulnerable MicroStrategy—and, by extension, Bitcoin—becomes. 🔗 The MSTR–Bitcoin Connection: Deeply Intertwined The relationship between MicroStrategy and Bitcoin is unlike any other corporate-stock pairing in modern finance. With over half a million BTC on its balance sheet, MSTR doesn't just reflect Bitcoin's value—it amplifies it, functioning like a leveraged BTC ETF in the eyes of the market. This is why Bitcoin's rejection at $87,355 last week happened almost in lockstep with MSTR's price failure at $342.97. BTC bounced from $78,540 to $87,355, only to reverse. As of writing, Bitcoin trades at around $82,194 after testing key support at $81,934. Just like MSTR, Bitcoin is sitting on fragile ground. 📉 Bitcoin Levels to Watch: Support: $81,934 (short-term) → $78,540 (major) Breakdown zone: Below $78,540 → opens the path to $71,974 Upside trigger: Reclaim $87,355 → could push toward $91,000 The concern now is whether the bulls can sustain this support, or it's only a matter of time before Bitcoin follows MicroStrategy lower. 🧾 Fundamental Forces: Optimism vs. Reality This pullback is happening despite favourable macro and crypto-specific developments, adding another caution layer. ✅ Positive Developments: MicroStrategy's aggressive BTC accumulation US administration signalling support for crypto reserves Corporate adoption stories (GameStop exploring Bitcoin, growing ETF inflows) 🚨 But Price Action Isn't Responding: Risk markets are stalling, with equities pausing near highs Yields remain sticky, providing no support for risk-off demand in Bitcoin The Dollar (DXY) remains in a fragile position, yet BTC hasn't capitalized on it As we've said before: "What you need to know is usually revealed on the chart—before the news." This disconnect between headlines and price is a red flag. 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: Rebound or Breakdown? 📉 Bearish Scenario: MSTR loses $288.20, BTC loses $81,934 Price accelerates to $264 for MSTR and $78,540 for BTC Breakdown opens the door to deeper selloffs: $135 for MSTR, $71,974 for BTC 📈 Bullish Scenario: MSTR reclaims $327, BTC reclaims $87,355 Momentum could rebuild toward $342.97 and $91,000, respectively Macro tailwinds, such as Fed clarity or risk rally, would be required to sustain it ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Bulls Are Running Out of Room While MicroStrategy's aggressive Bitcoin strategy has made it a flagship of corporate crypto adoption, the market doesn't trade headlines—it trades structure. And right now, that structure is deteriorating. Unless bulls step in to defend $288.20 for MSTR and $81,934 for BTC, the risk of a breakdown grows sharply. Bitcoin and MicroStrategy may continue to move together, but if one fails, the other is unlikely to stand alone.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Rotuma