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Narayana Hrudayalaya - Strong Fundamental & TechnicalFundamental plus Technical Analysis on a Financially Strong Company: Narayana Hrudalaya Ltd is engaged in providing economical healthcare services. It has a network of multispecialty and super specialty hospitals spread across multiple locations. Focus Company plans to add 700 plus beds for the next 3-4 years at Bangalore Health City. It intends to invest upto Rs. 1,000 Cr in the West Bengal for setting up a superspecialty hospital. Capex Plan Company has planned a total capex of 1136 Cr for FY24 and till Q3 FY24 it has spent 477 Cr. Stock P/E - 31.7 Industry PE - 56.3 EPS growth 5Years - 67.8 % Buy Score - 4.56 (Buy Score above 0 for me, is considered very good and above 1, excellent.) ROCE 5Yr - 19.6 % Please note that this idea is meant to spread awareness and should NOT be considered a buy recommendation. Do your own research before making any financial commitments.
NSE:NHLong
by Gaurav_Singh_5705
Shemaroo Breakout Watch | Near 200-DMA ResistanceShemaroo Entertainment (NSE: SHEMAROO) is showing strong bullish momentum and has recovered sharply from ₹88 levels to ₹126.84. The stock is now testing the 200-Day Moving Average resistance. 📊 Technical Analysis: • Trading near long-term 200-DMA (trend decider) • RSI is strong but not overbought yet • Volume increasing — suggests accumulation 🔹 Key Levels: • Resistance: ₹128–₹132 • Breakout Above: ₹132 • Support Zone: ₹118–₹120 🎯 Targets post-breakout: • Target 1: ₹145 • Target 2: ₹160 🚫 Stoploss: ₹117 ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is shared only for educational and informational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment.
NSE:SHEMAROOLong
by ELEARNSTOCKTRADER
NVIDA still bouncing in the channel but could 158 be....Let's analyze NVIDIA (NVDA) stock with a focus on your specified parallel channel from November 2023 lows to April 2025, and its current position relative to the channel's middle line. As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 10:18:37 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of NVDA: **Current Price & Performance:** * **Last Price:** $157.75 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Today's Change:** Up $2.66 (1.71%) * **Previous Close:** $155.09 * **Today's Range:** $155.255 - $158.71 (intraday) * **52-Week Range:** $86.63 - $158.71 (Today's high is the 52-week high, indicating a strong recent upward push and reaching new all-time highs.) --- ### **Parallel Channel Analysis (Nov 2023 Lows to April 2025)** A parallel channel is formed by two parallel trendlines that encompass the majority of price action. * **Uptrend Channel:** Both lines slope upwards. * **Middle Line:** Often drawn equidistant between the two channel lines, serving as a dynamic support/resistance level. **Constructing the Channel (Conceptual):** * **Bottom Line:** Drawn from a significant low in November 2023 (NVDA's 52-week low is $86.63, likely from around that timeframe or slightly later in 2024). This line would connect subsequent higher lows. * **Top Line:** Drawn parallel to the bottom line, touching the significant highs experienced during the uptrend, extending through April 2025. **NVIDIA's Trajectory in the Channel:** NVIDIA has been in a **parabolic uptrend** since late 2023, driven by massive demand for its AI chips. This kind of explosive growth is highly conducive to parallel channel formations, where the price continually moves higher within defined boundaries. * **From Nov 2023 Lows to April 2025:** NVIDIA experienced a massive rally during this period. The price would have largely stayed contained within a relatively wide, upward-sloping parallel channel. * It would have likely bounced off the bottom trendline (support) and moved towards the top trendline (resistance) multiple times. * The middle line would have acted as a pivot point, with the price oscillating above and below it. **Current Position: "Price is now above the middle line."** * **Interpretation:** The fact that the price ($157.75) is currently *above* the middle line of this parallel channel (which spanned from Nov 2023 to April 2025) is a **bullish sign**. * When the price is in the upper half of an upward-sloping parallel channel, it indicates **stronger bullish momentum** within the established trend. * It suggests that buyers are in control and the stock is likely heading towards the **upper trendline of the channel**, or even attempting a breakout above it, especially given its recent push to new all-time highs. * The middle line, having been crossed to the upside, now acts as a **dynamic support level**. --- ### **Implied Trend and Next Steps (based on the channel):** * **Continued Upside:** Being above the middle line suggests a continuation of the upward trajectory within the channel. * **Targeting Upper Band:** The next logical target for NVDA, within the context of this channel, would be its **upper trendline**. Given NVDA's history of consistently pushing boundaries, it might even test or break above this upper trendline, potentially signaling an acceleration of the trend or a "blow-off top" (though this is not guaranteed). * **Support:** The middle line of the channel now becomes a key support to watch on any pullbacks. A move back below it would suggest a weakening of immediate momentum or a move back to the lower half of the channel. --- ### **Overall Outlook for NVDA:** NVIDIA is trading at **all-time highs**, which itself is a testament to its strong bullish trend. The parallel channel analysis reinforces this: * The fact that the price is **above the middle line** of a multi-month parallel channel (Nov 2023 to April 2025) indicates **significant bullish strength and control by buyers**. * This suggests **continued upside potential** within the channel, with the upper trendline acting as the next likely resistance/target. * NVIDIA's fundamentals (AI dominance, strong earnings, innovation) continue to fuel this technical strength. **Important Note:** While parallel channels are powerful tools, extreme parabolic moves can sometimes lead to channel breaks or sharp corrections. Always combine technical analysis with fundamental understanding, risk management, and your own due diligence. Given NVDA's recent surge, it's also important to consider if the stock is becoming overextended in the short term, even within a strong uptrend.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CheeseburgerLover
Relief Rally likely, but if the gossip is true ...Let's perform a technical analysis of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) stock, incorporating the SMAs, MACD (8,13), and the provided support and target levels. As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 10:04:56 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of UNH: **Current Price & Performance:** * **Last Price:** $308.62 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Today's Change:** Up $6.00 (+1.99%) * **Previous Close:** $302.62 * **Today's Range:** $302.20 - $310.45 * **52-Week Range:** $248.88 - $630.73 (Note the significant drop from its 52-week high, indicating a strong downtrend over the past year). --- ### **Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): 200, 100, 86, 50, 21** Moving Averages are lagging indicators, and their relationship to price and each other helps identify trends. For UNH, the picture is quite different from GOOGL. * **200-Day SMA:** This is a long-term trend indicator. * Current: **Around $494.42 - $495.79** * **Interpretation:** The current price of $308.62 is **significantly BELOW** the 200-day SMA. This clearly signals a **long-term bearish trend**. This is a major red flag for long-term investors. * **100-Day SMA:** A medium-to-long-term trend indicator. * Current: **Around $433.21 - $429.49** * **Interpretation:** The price is **significantly BELOW** the 100-day SMA, reinforcing the bearish sentiment on a medium-term basis. * **86-Day SMA:** A custom or less common moving average. * *Exact 86-day SMA not commonly reported, but given the trend of the 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs, it will also be well above the current price.* * **Interpretation:** The price would be well below its 86-day SMA, confirming the bearish pressure across this timeframe as well. * **50-Day SMA:** A medium-term trend indicator. * Current: **Around $359.86 - $345.03** * **Interpretation:** The price is **well BELOW** the 50-day SMA. This is a **bearish signal**, indicating that the medium-term trend is down. The price needs to reclaim and hold above this SMA to suggest a shift in sentiment. * **21-Day SMA:** A short-term trend indicator. * Current: **Around $302.51 - $305.13** (This is the most relevant in the immediate term.) * **Interpretation:** The current price ($308.62) is **just above or fluctuating around its 21-day SMA**. Some sources indicate the price is above it (suggesting a short-term "Buy" signal for this specific MA), while others still show a "Sell" for longer periods. This suggests that while there might be a very recent, tentative bounce or consolidation, the short-term trend is still very weak or fighting for direction. **Overall SMA Assessment:** In stark contrast to Google, UnitedHealth's SMAs paint a **predominantly bearish picture**. The longer-term SMAs (200, 100, 50) are all significantly above the current price, indicating a strong downtrend. The shorter-term 21-day SMA shows the price is trying to consolidate or bounce slightly, but it's still operating within a broader bearish context. The "stack" of SMAs is inverted (shorter-term below longer-term, with the price at the very bottom), confirming the bearish outlook. --- ### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) (8,13)** * **MACD Line:** (8-period EMA of Close - 13-period EMA of Close) * **Signal Line:** 9-period EMA of the MACD Line * **MACD Histogram:** MACD Line - Signal Line **Current UNH MACD (8,13) State:** Some sources indicate that the standard MACD (12,26,9) for UNH is currently **negative (e.g., -12.31)**, suggesting a "Sell" signal. However, some recent updates also indicate a "buy signal from the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)" and that the MACD value "suggests UNH has a positive trend, although the MACD value is declining." This presents a mixed signal for the standard MACD, suggesting a potential bullish divergence or a very recent, weak bullish crossover from extreme oversold conditions. Given the price is just above its 21-day SMA after a significant drop, the custom MACD (8,13) would be more sensitive and might show: * **Recent Crossover:** It's plausible that the MACD (8,13) line has recently performed a **bullish crossover above its signal line**, or is about to, from deeply negative territory. This would reflect the very short-term bounce observed. * **Histogram:** The histogram might be turning less negative or even positive, indicating a potential, albeit weak, shift in immediate momentum. **Interpretation:** While a bullish MACD crossover would be a positive sign, for a stock in a strong downtrend like UNH, such a signal would be viewed with caution. It might indicate a short-term relief rally within a larger downtrend rather than a sustained reversal, especially if the MACD values remain relatively low compared to previous bullish phases. --- ### **Strong Support at $147** * **Analysis:** If we consider the 52-week range of $248.88 - $630.73, the $147 support level is significantly below the current 52-week low. This suggests that $147 might be a *very long-term* or *historical* support level (e.g., from pre-2023 prices) that is not immediately relevant to the current trading range. * **Current Relevance:** Currently trading at $308.62, UNH has more immediate support levels to consider, for example, its 52-week low of $248.88, or the various pivot point supports provided by technical aggregators around **$300.37, $298.12, and $294.95**. If $147 is indeed a strong support you're tracking, it implies a *very significant further downside risk* if current support levels fail, as it would represent a break below its recent 52-week low and a continuation of its downtrend to levels not seen in over a year. --- ### **Target Levels: $206 and Higher Target of $244** * **Analysis:** These targets are **below the current price** of $308.62. This seems to indicate these are *bearish price targets* or targets in a *downward-trending context*, perhaps for a short position, or a mistake in the prompt as they are *lower* than the current price. * If these are indeed "targets" as in *bearish price targets*, then it implies an expectation of further significant decline from the current levels. * **$206 Target:** This would represent a further drop of approximately $102.62 from the current price, pushing UNH even lower than its 52-week low. * **$244 Higher Target (if this means a less severe bearish target):** This would still be a drop of approximately $64.62 from the current price, indicating a belief that the stock is heading lower. Given the context of the previous UNH analysis found in the search results, UNH has been in a significant downtrend (down ~36-40% over the last year and YTD), and analysts have a wide range of targets from $270 (min) to $440 (max). **Assuming these are indeed *downside* targets based on previous trends:** * The bearish trend indicated by the SMAs supports the possibility of further downside. * The $244 level would be above its 52-week low ($248.88) but still a significant drop. * The $206 level would represent a break below its 52-week low, indicating an acceleration of the downtrend. --- ### **Overall Outlook for UNH:** UnitedHealth Group (UNH) is currently in a **clear long-term and medium-term downtrend**, as evidenced by its price being significantly below its 200-day, 100-day, and 50-day SMAs. The Williams Alligator would likely be showing a **"mouth open downwards"** (Blue > Red > Green) on the longer timeframes, confirming this bearish strength. While there might be very recent, short-term bullish signals from the 21-day SMA and a potential recent MACD (8,13) bullish crossover, these are likely indicative of a **short-term relief rally or consolidation within a larger bearish trend**. The support level at $147 seems to be a very distant, historical level, implying a much larger downside if current levels fail. The targets of $206 and $244, being **below the current price**, strongly suggest a **bearish outlook and expectation of further declines**. This aligns with the overall negative sentiment indicated by the longer-term moving averages. **Crucially, given the discrepancy between the current price and your stated targets ($206, $244) which are *lower* than the current price, it is highly probable that these are either bearish targets or that the context of "target" implies a move *down* to those levels.** **Important Note:** This analysis is based on your provided indicators and targets, combined with current market data. UNH has been subject to specific company news (e.g., Q1 financial results falling below expectations, DOJ investigation into Medicare, rising health costs) that have contributed to its recent significant decline. Always conduct your own thorough fundamental and technical research, consider all relevant news, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:UNHLong
by CheeseburgerLover
1
Google has upside potential expecially with adoption of GeminiAs of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:48:11 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of GOOGL: Current Price & Performance: Last Price (GOOGL Class A): $173.54 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) Today's Change: Up $2.86 (1.68%) Previous Close: $170.68 Today's Range: $171.73 - $178.68 (Note: This range seems to conflict slightly with the last price, indicating potential after-hours or specific class A vs C differences. I'll use the $173.54 as the primary reference point). 52-Week Range: $140.53 - $207.05 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): 200, 100, 86, 50, 21 Moving Averages are lagging indicators that smooth out price data to identify trends. Their relative positions and the price's position relative to them provide signals. 200-Day SMA: This is a long-term trend indicator. Current: Around $171.69 - $171.52 Interpretation: The current price of $173.54 is above the 200-day SMA. This generally signals a long-term bullish trend for GOOGL. A strong stock in an uptrend tends to stay above its 200-day SMA. 100-Day SMA: A medium-to-long-term trend indicator. Current: Around $167.46 - $173.53 (There's a slight discrepancy in reported values, but both are below the current price). Interpretation: The price is above the 100-day SMA, reinforcing the bullish sentiment on a medium-term basis. 86-Day SMA: A custom or less common moving average, but can be used for specific cycle analysis. Exact 86-day SMA not commonly reported; will infer general trend. Interpretation: Given the current price is above 50-day and 100-day SMAs, it's highly probable the price is also above its 86-day SMA, suggesting continued bullish momentum for this specific timeframe. 50-Day SMA: A medium-term trend indicator, often watched by swing traders. Current: Around $165.14 - $170.50 Interpretation: The price is above the 50-day SMA. This is a bullish signal, indicating that the medium-term trend is up. A break below the 50-day SMA can be a warning sign. 21-Day SMA: A short-term trend indicator. Current: Around $171.93 - $172.33 Interpretation: The current price ($173.54) is above the 21-day SMA. This confirms short-term bullish momentum. When the price is consistently above its 21-day SMA, it indicates strength in the immediate trend. Overall SMA Assessment: All key SMAs (200, 100, 50, 21) are currently positioned below the current price, and are generally in a bullish "stack" (shorter-term SMAs above longer-term ones), indicating a strong overall bullish trend for GOOGL across multiple timeframes. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) (8,13) You've requested custom MACD settings (8,13) instead of the common (12,26). This typically makes the MACD more sensitive to recent price changes. MACD Line: (8-period EMA of Close - 13-period EMA of Close) Signal Line: 9-period EMA of the MACD Line MACD Histogram: MACD Line - Signal Line Interpretation of MACD: MACD Line above Signal Line: Bullish momentum. MACD Histogram positive and increasing: Strengthening bullish momentum. MACD Line below Signal Line: Bearish momentum. MACD Histogram negative and decreasing: Strengthening bearish momentum. Current GOOGL MACD (8,13) State: While specific values for the 8,13 MACD aren't readily available without a real-time chart, the overall strong performance and the price being above its short-term SMAs strongly suggest: The MACD Line (8,13) is likely above its Signal Line. The MACD Histogram is likely positive and potentially increasing, or at least remaining positive after recent gains. This indicates bullish momentum for Google. The shorter periods (8,13) would capture the recent upward movement more acutely than the standard settings. Strong Support at $147 Analysis: A strong support level at $147 suggests that historically, buyers have stepped in aggressively at this price point, preventing further declines. Looking at the 52-week range of $140.53 - $207.05, $147 falls closer to the 52-week low. Current Relevance: With GOOGL currently trading around $173.54, $147 is a significant downside support level. This means that if there's a substantial pullback, this level could act as a crucial psychological and technical floor. It's a key level to watch for potential rebounds if the price declines, or as a "stop-loss" area for long positions. Target Levels: $206 and Higher Target of $244 $206 Target: This target is very close to GOOGL's 52-week high of $207.05. Analysis: Given the current price of $173.54 and the strong bullish signals from the SMAs and MACD, a move towards $206 is a plausible and immediate target. Breaking the 52-week high around $207.05 would indicate significant strength and open the door for further upside. $244 Higher Target: Analysis: A target of $244 represents a new all-time high for GOOGL (considering its previous high was around $207.05). This is a more ambitious target, suggesting significant continued bullish momentum beyond its current range. Achievability: For GOOGL to reach $244, it would likely require: Sustained positive market sentiment towards tech and AI. Strong fundamental performance (earnings beats, cloud growth, AI monetization). A confirmed breakout above its all-time high resistance (around $207-$210). Continued positive technical indicators, with SMAs fanning out further and MACD remaining strongly bullish. Overall Outlook for GOOGL: Google (GOOGL) currently exhibits a strong bullish technical picture based on the analysis of its Simple Moving Averages and MACD (8,13). All relevant SMAs are showing the price in an uptrend across short, medium, and long terms, and the MACD suggests ongoing bullish momentum. The specified strong support at $147 provides a clear downside risk management level. The targets of $206 and $244 represent logical progression: The $206 target aligns closely with the previous 52-week high and is an immediate, achievable objective if the current bullish momentum continues. The $244 target represents a significant new high, indicating a powerful continuation of the uptrend that would require breaching previous resistance and maintaining strong fundamental performance. Important Note: Technical analysis is a tool for understanding probabilities, not certainties. Market conditions can change rapidly due to news, economic factors, or unexpected events. Always conduct your own comprehensive research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by CheeseburgerLover
Time to make a move. Microstrategy upside forecast could be 80%Let's perform a technical analysis of MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, focusing on Time-based Fibonacci analysis, the potential for a Cup and Handle pattern with a 50% upside target, and briefly touching on Williams Alligator strength. As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:36:57 PM PDT, here's an analysis of MSTR: **Current Price & Performance:** * **Last Price:** $383.88 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Today's Change:** Down $2.75 (-0.71%) * **After-hours price:** $384.45 (up 0.14% as of 7:59 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Previous Close:** $386.63 * **Today's Range:** $383.41 - $397.99 * **52-Week Range:** $102.40 - $543.00 (Note: MSTR reached its all-time high on Nov 20, 2024, at $543.00) --- ### **Time-Based Fibonacci Analysis** Time-based Fibonacci analysis (also known as Fibonacci Time Zones or Time Extensions) aims to predict future points in time where significant price reversals or changes in trend *might* occur. Unlike price-based Fibonacci retracements/extensions, which focus on price levels, time-based Fibs are vertical lines drawn on the chart at specific intervals (Fibonacci numbers like 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, etc.) from a significant swing high or low. **How to apply (Conceptually):** 1. **Identify Key Swing Points:** You would select two significant swing points (e.g., a major low and a subsequent high, or vice versa) on the daily chart. 2. **Draw the Zones:** The charting software then draws vertical lines at time intervals corresponding to Fibonacci numbers from that starting point. **Interpretation for MSTR (Conceptual):** Given MSTR's highly volatile nature and strong correlation to Bitcoin, applying time-based Fibonacci is more speculative than price-based methods. However, if we were to apply it: * **Starting Point:** A logical starting point could be a significant low where a new uptrend began (e.g., the 52-week low of $102.40 from July 2024). Another key point could be a major turning point, like the all-time high of $543.00 in November 2024. * **Potential Relevance:** The vertical lines at Fibonacci intervals after these points *could* indicate periods where MSTR's momentum might shift, or a new leg of a trend might begin/end. * **Current State:** Without knowing the exact start points used, it's hard to pinpoint specific upcoming time targets. However, if MSTR is currently in a consolidation phase (as suggested by the Cup and Handle discussion), a time-based Fibonacci analysis might highlight a potential *date range* when this consolidation could end, and a new trending move might initiate. It's often said that "something" is likely to happen "at" or "near" these time points, whether a reversal, acceleration, or consolidation. **Important Note on Time-Based Fibs:** They are often considered more subjective and less precise than price-based Fibonaccis. They are best used as a confluence tool with other indicators. --- ### **Cup and Handle Forming for 50% Upside** A "Cup and Handle" is a bullish continuation pattern that signals a period of consolidation followed by a potential breakout. * **The "Cup":** A "U" shaped formation where the price declines, bottoms out, and then rises back to approximately the original level. The cup's formation can range from 1 to 6 months. * **The "Handle":** A smaller, shorter consolidation pattern (often a flag or pennant) that forms on the right side of the cup, typically with a slight downward drift. The handle typically lasts 1 to 4 weeks and should form in the top half of the cup. * **Breakout:** A decisive move above the resistance level created by the top of the cup and handle, on increased volume, confirms the pattern. **MSTR - Is a Cup and Handle Forming?** Recent analysis has indeed highlighted the potential for a Cup and Handle formation on MSTR's chart. This implies: * **The "Cup":** MSTR saw a significant run-up to its all-time high of $543.00 in November 2024, followed by a pullback and then a recovery, potentially forming the "U" shape of a large cup. The stock's journey from its 52-week low of $102.40 to its high and subsequent retracement/recovery could be outlining this larger cup. The duration of this "cup" would be several months. * **The "Handle":** The current price action (around $383.88) comes after MSTR has seen a recovery from its lows, but is still significantly below its all-time high. The consolidation MSTR has been experiencing in recent weeks/months after its peak (e.g., trading between roughly $300 and $400 or higher) could be forming the "handle" of this larger pattern. **50% Upside Target:** The upside target for a Cup and Handle pattern is typically measured by the *depth of the cup* projected upwards from the breakout point. * **Depth of the Cup:** If we consider the peak of the cup around $543 and a significant low point (perhaps the bottom of the "U" around $300-$350), the depth could be substantial (e.g., $543 - $300 = $243). * **Breakout Level:** The breakout level would be the previous high of the "cup" (around $543.00). * **Projected Target:** If we use a depth of, say, $243, and add it to the breakout level of $543, that would imply a target around $786. This figure is significantly higher than the current price of $383.88. A 50% upside from the current price of $383.88 would put the target at approximately **$575.82**. This target is plausible within the context of a Cup and Handle breakout, especially if the cup's depth and the breakout confirm such a move. Reaching $575.82 would also put MSTR above its previous all-time high, indicating a new phase of price discovery. **Confirmation:** For this pattern to be confirmed, MSTR would need to: 1. Continue forming a clear "handle" consolidation without breaking down significantly. 2. Break out convincingly above the resistance level (the rim of the cup, potentially around the $500-$540 range) on strong volume. --- ### **Williams Alligator Strength (Daily Chart)** The Williams Alligator consists of three smoothed moving averages: Lips (Green, 5-period), Teeth (Red, 8-period), and Jaw (Blue, 13-period). **MSTR's Alligator State:** * MSTR has experienced significant volatility and swings. After its all-time high in November 2024, it saw a substantial correction, meaning the Alligator's mouth would have likely been open downwards (Blue > Red > Green). * More recently, MSTR has been in a recovery/consolidation phase. * **Current State:** Given today's slight down day (-0.71%), and the general consolidation, the Alligator's lines are likely **converging or intertwined ("sleeping")**. This indicates a non-trending period or sideways movement, where the price is consolidating its recent gains or losses. * **Strength:** When the Alligator is "sleeping," it signals a lack of strong directional conviction. The strength is neutral or weakening from a previous trend. For a strong uptrend to resume (and for the Cup and Handle to break out), the Alligator's mouth would need to "awaken" and open upwards (Green > Red > Blue) on increasing volume. --- ### **Overall Conclusion for MSTR:** MicroStrategy is a highly unique stock due to its significant Bitcoin holdings, which heavily influence its price action. * **Cup and Handle:** There is a compelling argument for a large **Cup and Handle pattern forming** on the daily chart. The implied 50% upside target from the current price, which would take it beyond its previous all-time high, makes this a very interesting setup. Confirmation of this pattern will require a clear breakout above the cup's resistance on strong volume. * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** While more subjective, time-based Fibonacci could provide insight into potential *timing* of trend changes or the end of the current consolidation, which would be crucial for a Cup and Handle breakout. * **Williams Alligator:** The Alligator is likely in a **"sleeping" or consolidating phase**, indicating current indecision or sideways movement. For the bullish Cup and Handle to materialize, the Alligator would need to "awaken" and confirm the new upward trend. **Important Considerations:** * **Bitcoin Correlation:** MSTR's price is highly correlated to Bitcoin's performance. Any significant moves in Bitcoin will heavily impact MSTR. * **Volatility:** MSTR is a highly volatile stock. * **Risk Management:** Always exercise prudent risk management and consider your investment goals. This analysis provides a technical perspective; it is not financial advice. Always conduct your own comprehensive research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by CheeseburgerLover
COIN Pullback or will lose steam ? Watch the levels for bouncesLet's dive into a technical analysis of Coinbase (COIN) stock with your requested indicators and patterns on a daily chart, as of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:27:54 PM PDT. **Current Price & Performance:** * **Last Price:** $353.297 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Today's Change:** Down $15.779999 (-4.27399%) * **Previous Close:** $369.21 * **Today's Range:** $346.66 - $372.50 * **52-Week Range:** $142.58 - $382.00 COIN has seen a significant run-up recently, up 44% in June, and was added to the S&P 500 in May, which has likely contributed to buying pressure from index funds. Today's session saw a notable pullback. --- ### **Bull Flag Analysis: Played Out & Potentially Forming** A "bull flag" is a bullish continuation pattern that forms during an uptrend. It consists of: 1. **Flagpole:** A strong, sharp price increase (the "pole"). 2. **Flag:** A period of consolidation, often a rectangular or parallelogram shape, with a slight downward or sideways slope, characterized by decreasing volume. **The Bull Flag that Played Out:** COIN has been in a strong uptrend in recent weeks and months, particularly in June. This sustained upward movement would have created multiple "flagpoles." As the stock consolidates after these sharp moves before continuing higher, those consolidation phases would represent the "flags." Given COIN's significant increase of 44% in June and reaching near its 52-week high, it's highly probable that **a series of bull flags have played out** during its ascent. Each time COIN had a strong upward leg, followed by a brief period of sideways or slightly downward consolidation (the flag), it then broke out to the upside, continuing the overall bullish trend. This pattern aligns with its recent performance. **Another One Potentially Forming:** Today's 4.27% drop, coming after COIN hit multi-month highs, could be the *start* of a new "flag" formation. * **New Flagpole:** The sharp run-up through June to the recent high of $382 can be considered the latest "flagpole." * **Potential Flag:** The current pullback to $353.297 (and intraday low of $346.66) could be the initial phase of consolidation that forms the "flag." For this to be a classic bull flag, we would expect: * **Consolidation:** The price to trade within a relatively tight, slightly downward-sloping or sideways channel for a few days or weeks. * **Decreasing Volume:** Volume to typically decrease during this consolidation phase. * **Breakout:** A subsequent breakout above the upper trendline of this consolidating channel, ideally on increasing volume, to signal the continuation of the previous uptrend. **Right now, the pattern is very nascent.** It's too early to confirm a new bull flag, but the recent strong rise followed by a pullback fits the initial characteristics. Traders would be watching for the consolidation and then a clear breakout. --- ### **Williams Alligator Strength (Daily Chart)** The Williams Alligator indicator uses three smoothed moving averages: * **Lips (Green Line):** 5-period SMMA, shifted 3 bars forward. * **Teeth (Red Line):** 8-period SMMA, shifted 5 bars forward. * **Jaw (Blue Line):** 13-period SMMA, shifted 8 bars forward. **Interpretation:** * **Strong Trend ("Eating"):** When the lines are fanning out and ordered (Green > Red > Blue for an uptrend, or Blue > Red > Green for a downtrend), the Alligator is "eating" and the trend is strong. * **Consolidation ("Sleeping"):** When the lines are intertwined or very close together, the Alligator is "sleeping," indicating a non-trending market. **COIN's Alligator State:** Given COIN's powerful rally through June, the Williams Alligator was undoubtedly in an **"eating" phase, with its mouth wide open upwards (Green line above Red, Red above Blue)**. This signifies strong bullish momentum. Today's significant pullback (-4.27%) likely caused the **Lips (green line) to cross below the Teeth (red line)** or at least move very close to it. This indicates the Alligator is beginning to "sate" itself or move towards a "sleeping" phase. * **Strength:** While the *overall* trend, as indicated by the wider separation of the Teeth and Jaw, might still be considered bullish on a slightly longer timeframe, the *immediate strength* as signaled by the Lips is weakening. The Alligator is likely no longer as aggressively "eating" upwards as it was. * **Weakening Momentum:** The crossover of the Lips below the Teeth is a short-term bearish signal, suggesting a loss of immediate upward thrust. If the Red line also crosses below the Blue, it would confirm a more significant shift to a neutral or bearish trend. --- ### **Confluence of Two Fibonacci Retracements from Different Top/Bottoms** Fibonacci retracement levels are typically drawn between a significant price high and a significant price low (or vice versa) to identify potential support and resistance levels. For confluence, we look for areas where different Fibonacci levels from *different* swings align, creating stronger price zones. Let's consider two potential significant swings for COIN based on its recent price action and 52-week range: **1. Recent Major Swing:** From 52-Week Low to Recent High * **Low:** Approximately $142.58 (52-week low) * **High:** Approximately $382.00 (recent high) Applying Fibonacci retracement to this major upward swing: * **23.6% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 142.58) * 0.236 + 142.58 = \$199.14$ * **38.2% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 142.58) * 0.382 + 142.58 = \$233.15$ * **50.0% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 142.58) * 0.500 + 142.58 = \$259.98$ * **61.8% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 142.58) * 0.618 + 142.58 = \$286.82$ **2. More Recent, Shorter-Term Swing:** From a recent consolidation low to the recent high Let's consider a recent short-term low before the final push to the recent high. One source points to a swing low of **$294.56$ (June 23) to a high of $382$ (June 26).** Applying Fibonacci retracement to this shorter-term swing: * **23.6% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 294.56) * 0.236 + 294.56 = \$315.21$ * **38.2% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 294.56) * 0.382 + 294.56 = \mathbf{\$327.97}$ * **50.0% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 294.56) * 0.500 + 294.56 = \mathbf{\$338.28}$ * **61.8% Retracement:** $(382.00 - 294.56) * 0.618 + 294.56 = \mathbf{\$348.60}$ **Confluence:** The current price of COIN is $353.297. Looking at the second, shorter-term Fibonacci retracement, the **61.8% level at $348.60$ is very close to today's intraday low of $346.66$.** This indicates that this specific Fibonacci level acted as a significant support level today. While there isn't a direct "confluence" where a 38.2% from one swing aligns perfectly with a 50% from another right at the current price, the fact that the **61.8% retracement from the most recent significant upward impulse ($294.56 to $382.00) provided strong support today** is a key observation. **Significance:** * **Recent Support:** The price tested and rebounded from the 61.8% retracement level of its most recent significant rally, which is often considered a strong reversal point for a healthy pullback within an uptrend. * **Confirmation for Potential Flag:** If this level holds, it reinforces the idea that the current pullback is a "flag" in formation rather than a full trend reversal. --- ### **Overall Summary for COIN:** * **Bull Flag:** COIN has experienced and completed several bull flags during its ascent. The current pullback from the $382 high could be the formation of **another bull flag**. For confirmation, watch for consolidation within a defined range and a subsequent breakout. * **Williams Alligator:** The Alligator, which was "eating" aggressively during the recent rally, is now likely showing signs of **sating or sleeping** as the Lips (green line) cross below the Teeth (red line) due to today's pullback. This indicates a weakening of immediate bullish momentum and a potential period of consolidation or correction. * **Fibonacci Confluence:** The price found strong support at the **61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ($348.60) of its most recent significant swing ($294.56 to $382.00).** This is a critical level for bulls to defend if the overall uptrend is to continue. **Outlook:** COIN is currently undergoing a healthy pullback after a strong run. The bullish underlying trend remains, supported by its S&P 500 inclusion and analyst optimism. However, the technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation or further retracement is likely. The $348.60 Fibonacci level will be crucial. If it holds, it increases the likelihood of the current pattern being a bull flag for another leg up. A break below it could lead to deeper retracements. As always, remember that technical analysis provides probabilities, not certainties. Combining this with fundamental analysis and managing risk is crucial for any investment decision.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by CheeseburgerLover
PUT a little PLTR - $100 ? ok, let's buy there too?As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:19:58 PM PDT, here's an analysis of PLTR: Current Price & Performance: Last Price: $130.74 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) Today's Change: Down $15.57 (-10.64%) After-hours price: $134.52 (up 2.89% as of 7:59 PM ET on June 27, 2025) Previous Close: $146.31 Today's Range: $130.54 - $144.97 52-Week Range: $21.23 - $148.22 Williams Alligator Analysis (Daily Chart): The Williams Alligator indicator uses three smoothed moving averages, often referred to as the Jaw (blue line), Teeth (red line), and Lips (green line), with specific periods and shifts. The common default settings are: Lips (Green Line): 5-period Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA), shifted 3 bars into the future. Teeth (Red Line): 8-period SMMA, shifted 5 bars into the future. Jaw (Blue Line): 13-period SMMA, shifted 8 bars into the future. Interpreting the Alligator: "Sleeping" Alligator: When the three lines are intertwined or very close together, it indicates a non-trending or consolidating market. This is often a period to avoid trading or to take profits. "Awakening" Alligator: When the lines start to diverge, with the Lips (green) crossing the Teeth (red) and Jaw (blue), it signals a potential new trend forming. Green crossing above Red and Blue: Suggests a bullish awakening. Green crossing below Red and Blue: Suggests a bearish awakening. "Eating" Alligator (Mouth Wide Open): When the lines are fanning out and moving in a clear direction (e.g., Green > Red > Blue for an uptrend, or Blue > Red > Green for a downtrend), it indicates a strong trending market. Current PLTR Alligator State (Based on recent price action): Palantir experienced a significant pullback today (-10.64%), which followed a period of strong upward movement and nearing its 52-week high. Recent Trend: Prior to today's drop, PLTR was in a strong uptrend, likely characterized by the Alligator's mouth being "open" upwards (Green above Red, Red above Blue). Today's Action: A sharp drop like today's could cause the Lips (green line) to cross below the Teeth (red line), and potentially even the Jaw (blue line), or at least begin to converge. This would indicate: Potential "Sating" or "Sleeping": The sharp drop suggests the Alligator might be moving from an "eating" phase (uptrend) towards a "sated" or "sleeping" phase, where the trend is losing momentum or consolidating. Bearish Crossover (Possible): If the green line has crossed below the red and blue lines, it would be a bearish signal, indicating a potential reversal or the start of a downtrend. It's crucial to see the actual chart to confirm the precise line positioning. However, a 10%+ drop from a recent high strongly implies such a shift. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) (8,13): The MACD uses two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify momentum and potential trend changes. The standard MACD settings are typically 12-period EMA, 26-period EMA, and a 9-period Signal Line. You've requested (8,13) which means: MACD Line: (8-period EMA of Close - 13-period EMA of Close) Signal Line: 9-period EMA of the MACD Line MACD Histogram: MACD Line - Signal Line Interpreting MACD: MACD Line crossing above Signal Line: Bullish crossover, suggests upward momentum. MACD Line crossing below Signal Line: Bearish crossover, suggests downward momentum. MACD Histogram: Positive and increasing indicates strengthening bullish momentum. Negative and decreasing indicates strengthening bearish momentum. Current PLTR MACD (8,13) State: While specific MACD (8,13) values aren't readily available without a real-time chart for today's close, we can infer based on the significant price drop: Prior to Today: Given PLTR's recent upward trend, the MACD (8,13) was likely positive, with the MACD line above its signal line, and a positive histogram. Today's Action: A sharp 10%+ decline would almost certainly cause a bearish crossover on the MACD (8,13). This means the MACD line would have likely crossed below its signal line, and the MACD histogram would have turned negative and started to decrease, indicating strong bearish momentum and a potential shift in the short-term trend. Combined Analysis for PLTR: Today's significant drop in Palantir's stock price strongly suggests a shift from a bullish trend to a more bearish or consolidating phase. Williams Alligator: The "mouth" of the Alligator, which was likely open upwards, has probably begun to close or even reverse, with the green Lips line potentially crossing below the red Teeth line, signaling a weakening or reversal of the uptrend. The Alligator is likely moving towards a "sated" or "sleeping" state. MACD (8,13): A bearish MACD crossover is highly probable, with the MACD line falling below its signal line and the histogram turning negative, confirming the strong downward momentum. Conclusion: Based on the daily chart analysis using Williams Alligator and MACD (8,13) indicators, Palantir's current price action indicates a significant loss of bullish momentum and a potential short-term reversal or consolidation. Both indicators likely point to a bearish shift following today's sharp decline. Important Disclaimer: This analysis is based on available data and general interpretations of these indicators. Technical analysis is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis and other forms of research. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by CheeseburgerLover
Amazon further upside 10% if no bad newsAs of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:09:56 PM PDT, here's an analysis of AMZN: Current Price & Performance: Last Price: $223.30 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) Today's Change: Up $6.18 (2.85%) Previous Close: $217.12 Today's Range: Not explicitly available for today's high/low, but recent trading has been within the range of $211.045 to $223.30. 52-Week Range: $144.05 - $228.88 Bollinger Bands (21-Day Timeframe): To apply Bollinger Bands correctly, we need three components: 21-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the middle band. Upper Bollinger Band: 21-Day SMA + (2 * 21-Day Standard Deviation) Lower Bollinger Band: 21-Day SMA - (2 * 21-Day Standard Deviation) Based on available data (which provides a 20-day moving average, often a close proxy for 21-day in such analyses, and general band behavior): 21-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) / Middle Band: The 20-day moving average is around $212.30. Assuming the 21-day SMA is very similar, this will be our median. Current Price Position: Amazon's current price of $223.30 is above the 21-day SMA/middle band ($212.30). Where are we - between the median and the upper band or lower band? Given that the current price ($223.30) is significantly higher than the 21-day SMA/middle band ($212.30), and considering its recent upward momentum, it's highly likely that AMZN is currently trading between the median (21-day SMA) and the upper Bollinger Band. Interpretation of Bollinger Bands for AMZN: Price above the middle band: This generally suggests bullish momentum, indicating that the stock is performing stronger than its recent average. Moving towards the upper band: When the price approaches or touches the upper band, it can sometimes signal that the stock is becoming overbought in the short term, potentially indicating a pullback or consolidation. However, in a strong uptrend, prices can "walk the band" along the upper limit for an extended period. Bandwidth: While we don't have the exact standard deviation to calculate the precise upper and lower bands, the fact that the price is moving higher and staying above the middle band suggests that volatility might be increasing, and the bands could be expanding. Recent News & Outlook: Amazon recently surged by 6.75% in the five trading days ending June 8, 2025, reaching approximately $211.50 per share. (This was a few weeks ago, and the price has continued to climb since). Analyst consensus targets are generally optimistic, with a median price target around $240.81. Strong Q1 2025 results with significant revenue and net income growth underscore operational resilience. Major investments in cloud infrastructure (AWS) and AI development continue to be key growth drivers. The stock's upward movement is also being influenced by broader market optimism and positive developments like U.S.-China trade talks (from early June). In summary, based on the 21-day timeframe and the current price action, AMZN is exhibiting strong bullish momentum and is trading within the upper half of its Bollinger Bands. Important Considerations for Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are lagging indicators, meaning they reflect past price action. They are best used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis. "Walking the band" can occur during strong trends, so touching the upper band doesn't always immediately mean a reversal. It's important to consider the overall trend and market context. Remember, this analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by CheeseburgerLover
Cup and Handle - 67% Upside if we get the CUTS As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:01:38 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI) stock: Current Price & Performance: Last Price: $17.18 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) Today's Change: Up $0.41 (2.44%) After-hours price: $17.22 (up 0.23% as of 8:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) Previous Close: $16.77 Today's Range: $16.84 - $17.52 52-Week Range: $6.01 - $18.42 Key Financials (as of March 31, 2025, Fiscal Q1 2025 reported April 29, 2025): Market Cap: Approximately $18.99 billion Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.06 (reported), which beat the expected $0.031. Revenue: $770.72 million (reported), which beat the expected $738.91 million. Net Income: $71.12 million Analyst Sentiment & Forecasts: Consensus Rating: "Hold" based on 39 analysts. 13 Buy ratings 19 Hold ratings 7 Sell ratings Median Price Target: $9.87 (This is lower than the current price, indicating some analysts believe it is currently overvalued based on their targets.) High Estimate: $20.00 Low Estimate: $3.00 Recent News & Outlook: SoFi recently reported strong Q1 2025 results, with revenue growing 20% year-over-year. While net income decreased 19% year-over-year, it was still significantly ahead of guidance. The company is focused on expanding its financial product offerings and has seen strong growth in its user base. Some analysts suggest that SoFi is establishing itself as a leader in the evolving digital banking landscape and could benefit from long-term trends as more young people transition into adulthood and begin their banking journey. There are some potential concerns about economic issues and the elevated default risk associated with higher-risk loans compared to more established banks. Recent news indicates SoFi's crypto plans now include stablecoins. Important Note: Stock analysis involves inherent risks and predictions can be volatile. It's always recommended to conduct your own thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by CheeseburgerLover
1
HNST: When honesty turns into a breakout formationOn the weekly chart, The Honest Company (HNST) is shaping a textbook broadening formation. Four waves are already in place, and the fifth is unfolding. The recent bounce came exactly after a retest of the long-term trendline at point (4), pushing the price above the critical $4.97 resistance (0.236 Fibo) — a clear signal that buyers are reclaiming control. Volume is steadily rising, and the golden cross (MA50 crossing above MA200) further confirms a mid-term trend shift. The volume profile above current prices is nearly empty — indicating minimal resistance. Immediate targets are $6.33 and $6.94 (0.5 and 0.618 Fibo), while the full breakout projection lands at $8.91, $10.31, and even $12.09 (based on 1.0, 1.272, and 1.618 expansions). Fundamentals (as of June 28, 2025): — Market Cap: ~$460M — Revenue (TTM): ~$344M — YoY Revenue Growth: +7.6% — EPS: –0.18 (loss narrowing) — Cash on hand: ~$24M — Debt: under $10M — P/S ratio: 1.34 Despite being unprofitable, HNST is showing strong signs of operational improvement — rising gross margins, controlled costs, and increasing leverage. Growth in both online and retail sales adds further support. With institutional buying picking up, the market may be slowly re-rating this small-cap FMCG player. Trade Plan: — Entry: by market — Targets: $6.33 → $8.91 → up to $12.09 When even an "honest" stock starts drawing broadening patterns and volume’s rising — it’s not a hint, it’s a launch sequence. And the bears? Might want to take a seat in the back.
NASDAQ:HNSTLong
by TotoshkaTrades
1
Vys longPotential long buying opportunity on Vys. Fourth push up looking to breakout of the wedge consolidation pattern, short term Ema all converging and volume starting to increase into what should hopefully be a strong 2h earnings report. There has been strong buying from its recent low of 0.34c qll the way up to 0.48c and holding at 0.45c. RSI sitting at around 50 has it sitting currently neutral if it starts to pick up hopefully that will confirm the breakout. Buying at 0.45c with a stop loss at 0.42c with a target of 0.52c offers a 3:1 risk reward.
ASX:VYSLong
by Ian_hopping
Bearish potential detected for BAPEntry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:BAP along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and (ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $4.82 (close of 18th June). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the high of the recent swing high once the trade is activated (currently $4.92 from the high of 19th June), or (ii) above the prior resistance zone of $4.87 from 8th November 2024, depending on risk tolerance.
ASX:BAPShort
by Ivory_Wolf
Lululemon Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 062725Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 225/61.80% Chart time frame:D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:LULU
by fibonacci6180
WULF / 2hAs anticipated in the prior analysis, NASDAQ:WULF started to retrace downward today after a 33% counter-trend rally of the week as the correction in wave (b) of Minute degree b(circled). Wave Analysis >> As illustrated on the 2h-frame above, the correction in wave b(circled) may have remained in progress. After an impulsive counter-trend rally of 15.5% yesterday, the second subdivision in wave (b) unfolded into a three-wave sequence. A final decline as the last subdivision in wave (c) has started since the last-day high at 4.53 to complete the entire correction of wave b(circled) in a zigzag formation. The retracement targets >> 3.36 >> 3.28 >> 3.05 #CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:WULF
by ElliottChart