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Pltr $151 🧠 Palantir Bull Thesis: $136–$150 Short-Term Target (Post-Earnings) Price Target Range: Base Target: $136 Stretch Target: $150 (if momentum breakout + macro align) Catalyst 1: AI/Defense Earnings Blowout Expected EPS: $0.13 → if actual EPS surprises (e.g., $0.15+), it signals significant operating leverage from AI/Foundry. Recent Government Deals: NATO, U.S. military, and foreign defense contracts bolster revenue visibility. Commercial Growth Spike: Analysts expect over 60% YoY growth in commercial sector revenue — if confirmed, valuation multiple expansion becomes justified. Catalyst 2: Cup & Handle breakout formed over the last 6 weeks Break above $124 (previous high) triggers bullish continuation RSI is resetting from mid-60s — giving room for a momentum ignition Golden cross: 50EMA crossing above 200EMA last week 📊 If earnings gap the stock above $128, short-covering + AI momentum chase can push a rapid breakout to $136–$150. Catalyst 3: Options Flow + IV Crush Setup Implied Volatility > 95% pre-earnings → massive call open interest buildup at $130–$150 Call/Put ratio above 2.3 (bullish skew) If IV collapses post-earnings and the move is directional, market makers will need to hedge deep OTM calls → gamma squeeze potential Catalyst 4: Sentiment + Social/Institutional Attention Palantir trending on Reddit, Twitter, and TikTok Citadel and BlackRock increased positions in Q1 High institutional ownership (~40%) with increasing fund inflows into AI/Defense names Quantum Forecast & AI Narrative Momentum AI stocks (NVDA, SMCI) have led market-wide rallies Palantir being seen as the “AI software layer for government + enterprise” CEO Alex Karp has already hinted at "transformational government contracts" and new AI modules — this creates anticipation buying even before guidance is raised Risk-Reward Snapshot Case Price Range Probability Base Bull Case $136 55% Stretch Case (Gamma Squeeze + Beat + Upgraded Guidance) $150+ 30% Neutral Post-Earnings Drift $118–124 15% Risk Factors: Market-wide risk-off event (Fed, macro surprise) AI rotation cools off EPS beats but guidance disappoints IV crush limits upside unless price gaps violently If Palantir beats EPS by >15%, raises guidance, and gaps over $128 post-earnings, a momentum/gamma squeeze could push it toward $136–$150, fueled by AI mania, defense exposure, and short positioning. Want a matching chart or visual post for this thesis? as always safe Trades
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by JoeWtrades
Donegal (DGICA) Insurance Focus Aligns With Technical StrengthDonegal Group, Inc. (DGICA) is a regional insurance provider offering personal and commercial policies across several U.S. states. The company focuses on delivering dependable service and underwriting discipline in markets that are often underserved by larger national insurers. With a steady customer base and a conservative approach to risk, Donegal continues to expand its footprint through strong agency relationships and operational efficiency. DGICA recently printed a confirmation bar on rising volume and moved above the .236 Fibonacci level, signaling entry into the momentum zone. This technical move suggests buyers are stepping in with confidence. Traders can use the .236 level as a trailing stop reference via the Fibonacci snap tool to manage downside risk while staying positioned for further gains.
NASDAQ:DGICALong
by traderspro_charts
Arm - Positive outlook ahead of earnings - Value to collect?Hi guys we would be looking into our analysis for ARM Holdings before their earnings call! ARM Holdings (ARM) – Positive Outlook Ahead of Earnings ARM Holdings plc, a leading provider of semiconductor intellectual property, is poised to deliver a strong earnings report, driven by robust demand for its advanced chip architectures, continued growth in AI and data center markets, and deepening strategic partnerships across the tech ecosystem. As we approach the upcoming earnings announcement, several key factors support a bullish thesis on ARM's stock. 1. Strong Market Position and Licensing Growth ARM continues to dominate the RISC-based processor architecture market, with its designs powering over 99% of smartphones and making significant inroads into the computing and server space. The company's royalty and licensing model provides a resilient revenue base, which has historically performed well even during industry slowdowns. Recent licensing agreements with leading tech companies, including NVIDIA, Apple, and Amazon, signal continued reliance on ARM's technology. In Q1 2025, analysts expect double-digit year-over-year growth in licensing revenue, reflecting heightened demand for ARMv9 architecture, which powers next-generation AI and machine learning workloads. This growth is being further fueled by increased adoption in automotive and IoT sectors. 2. AI and Data Center Tailwinds The surge in AI demand is transforming the semiconductor landscape. ARM's energy-efficient designs are increasingly being integrated into AI accelerators, edge devices, and cloud data centers. The company's Neoverse platform has been gaining traction, especially as hyperscalers seek alternatives to x86 architectures for power- and cost-efficiency. Amazon Web Services’ Graviton processors, based on ARM, are a prominent example of this trend. As AI infrastructure spending accelerates globally, ARM stands to benefit significantly. Positive forward guidance around AI-related royalties and design wins would further validate this tailwind in the upcoming earnings report. 3. Financial Strength and Margin Expansion Analysts anticipate revenue growth of 20-25% YoY in the upcoming report, accompanied by improved gross and operating margins. ARM’s high-margin royalty revenue stream contributes significantly to profitability, and recent cost controls have enhanced operational efficiency. The IPO in 2023 provided a strong capital base, enabling increased R&D investment while maintaining financial flexibility. Shareholder sentiment has been buoyed by ARM's prudent capital allocation and expanding free cash flow profile. 4. Ecosystem Momentum and Strategic Partnerships ARM’s ecosystem-first approach—collaborating with chipmakers, software developers, and system integrators—has become a key competitive advantage. The company's recent partnerships in the automotive and industrial sectors highlight growing non-smartphone revenue streams. Additionally, ARM is collaborating closely with AI chip startups and hyperscalers, reinforcing its central role in the evolving semiconductor landscape. Investors should also watch for updates on ARM’s role in emerging verticals such as AR/VR, smart cities, and secure edge computing, all of which could significantly boost its long-term growth narrative. 5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators From a technical standpoint, ARM stock has shown resilience, trading above key moving averages and gaining momentum in recent weeks. Options activity suggests bullish sentiment, with increased call buying ahead of earnings. If the company delivers a beat-and-raise quarter, it could catalyze a breakout to new highs. 📌 Trade Plan 📈 Entry: 121 ✅ Target: 144 Below the strong resistance ❌ SL: 95 - Above the strong support
NASDAQ:ARMLong
by DG55Capital
Long at 115.61 for a quick flipTTAN is a stock that just went public in December, so take the results below with a grain of salt - these are not likely typical (magnitude-wise). That said, I'm using the same entry rule I've used for many other trades lately with good results. While this is the first time I've actually traded it, the trades I'd have taken on this ticker are shown by the yellow arrows. They would all have been profitable, ranging in magnitude from +0.34% to +15.39%. The average gain was 4.91% and the average length was 10 trading days. The pullback recently is still above support from the previous December highs, which is a positive. I will periodically add to the position (potentially, anyway), based on re-triggering of the entry signal. I will set an automatic sell order at the level of the upper band of the 20d ATR. As the trade progresses, if the automatic sell isn't triggered, exit will be based on a sell signal from my algorithm. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:TTANLong
by redwingcoach
2
PLTR NEVER disappoints Market Context NASDAQ:PLTR | Current Price: $120.28 1-Month Move: +50.83% (from $82.30) 1-Year Move: +449.91% (from $22.60) Options Data IV Rank: 77.2 (juicy premiums ) Put/Call Ratio: 0.90 (slightly bullish tilt ) Max Pain: $115.00 High OI: $125 calls , $110 puts Trade Setup Strategy: Single-leg, naked call (bullish, defined risk) Instrument: PLTR Direction: CALL Strike: $130.00 (premium $0.85, fits $0.50–$1.00 band) Expiry: 2025-05-09 (first weekly post-earnings) Entry Price: $0.85 Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-05-05) Profit Target: $1.70 (~100% gain ) Stop Loss: $0.43 (~50% loss ) See you after earnings. BEST Ai Signals on the market :)
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by AlphaSignals_ai
1
MICROSTRATEGY: Big 1W MA50 rebound targeting $845 at worst.MicroStrategy is on excellent bullish technicals on its 1D outlook (RSI = 67.412, MACD = 25.350, ADX = 58.097), capitalizing on the double bottom rebound on the 1W MA50 four weeks ago. Technically that was also a HL bottom on the 2 year Channel Up. The minimum rise it delivered on a bullish wave was +263.38%. Based on that, the trade is long, TP = $845. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by InvestingScope
1
NVDA UP -MY MVP SYSTEM- Momentum: NVDA has been moving in a down sloping pattern; it is now breaking out to the upside Volume: vol spike when price dipped below the downtrend line (looks like a Wykoff spring); some overall inc vol lately Price: it is <200ma, so caution is warranted; can’t rule out this downward channel as a possible bull flag; it’s a pretty clean move *I don’t trade NVDA. I use it as a major market indicator. Over the past 1-2wks, my alerts went off for ES, NQ, and RTY - all to the upside. It would be nice to see gold move down for more confirmation that big $ is shifting into indices. *The RSI is still around 50 and could definitely fake to the upside & then slice all the way down through the triangle. *Weekly & Monthly charts still show a major break in the indices. This move up does not look like a resumption of a bull trend. A lot of repair would be needed on the long term charts for that.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Lingamfelter