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Long REKRProbability Calculation for REKR Reaching $2 Estimated Probability: 75-80% Breakdown of Contributing Factors: 1. Technical Analysis Indicators (35-40%) Support Levels: The stock is currently trading near a significant support zone that has held in the past, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or upward movement. RSI Divergence: The presence of a bullish RSI divergence suggests weakening selling momentum and a potential for trend reversal. Trendline Resistance: If the stock breaks above the current downtrend line, it could signal a bullish shift and make $2 a realistic target. 2. Historical Price Movements and Patterns (20-25%) Past Rebounds: Historical data shows that REKR has managed to bounce back from similar technical setups, supporting the probability of an upward move. Price Action: Recent movements indicate that the stock is capable of achieving significant price increases under favorable conditions. 3. Fundamental and Market Information (20-25%) Revenue Growth: The expected 54.2% year-over-year increase in revenue to $14.06 million indicates strong business expansion. Insider Confidence: Insider buying activity and significant contracts secured by Rekor support a positive outlook and suggest insider confidence in the company’s future. 4. Short Interest Data (15-20%) High Short Interest: The current short interest of 15.95 million shares, or 18.02% of outstanding shares, signals significant bearish sentiment but also provides potential for a short squeeze. Days to Cover: With a short interest ratio of 17.8 days, any positive news or upward momentum could lead to a short squeeze, rapidly increasing the stock price as short sellers rush to cover their positions. Increase in Short Interest: The 8.28% increase in short interest over the past month indicates rising skepticism but also raises the potential for a sudden upward movement if market sentiment shifts. Combined Probability Assessment: Technical Analysis and Historical Patterns contribute a solid base estimate of 55-65% probability for reaching $2. Fundamental Strengths, including revenue growth and insider buying, support an additional 20-25%. Short Interest and Potential for a Short Squeeze add 15-20%, reflecting the possibility of a rapid upward move due to short-covering dynamics. Final Estimate: By combining these factors, the overall estimated probability for REKR reaching $2 is 75-80%. This reflects the strong potential based on technical signals, underlying business strengths, and the possibility of a short squeeze, balanced with the risks inherent in the current bearish sentiment and market conditions.
NASDAQ:REKRLong
by TraderShifu
INDIGOPNTS NSE RBC BO SWINGINDIGOPNTS STOCK Analysis TRADE PLAN ENTRY -1525 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 1605 DTF Close SL -1450 TARGET --01-1688 , TGT02--1726 Hold For a 3M or TGT 2 Chart Pattern : STOCK is near to forming a 1Y2M RBC INDICATORS EMA : The Price is Currently Trading above 50EMA, and 20EMa below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in alignment where today an 4.8%+ price rise with Volumes indicating start of a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF. FIBO/E : Currently the price is below 23.6% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Traders Enter above 1525. Volumes: The volumes currently are not very exciting though above the 20VMA on lower Time Frame Keep in your Priority Watch List Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry) and re enter when trend reverses... Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended. MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis DTF -Daily Time Frame WTF-Weekly Time Frame MTF- Monthly Time Frame ATH-All Time High LTH -LifeTime High RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle BO- Breakout Close EMA -Exponential Moving Average FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension SL Stop Loss TBD- To be Decided CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure FVG Fair Value Gap 20VMA -20Volume Moving Average SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
NSE:INDIGOPNTSLong
by billpramod
2
ORIENTAL AROMATICS LTD The global Camphor market size was valued at USD 479.39 million in 2021 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 3.92 (Percent) during the forecast period, reaching USD 603.63 million by 2027. List of Indian TOP Manufactures in Camphor Market are: - ● Kanchi Karpooram ● Camphor and Allied Products ( Oriental Aromatics LTD) ● Mangalam Organics ● Sapthagiri Camphor ( Unlisted) - Among above 3 Listed scripts OAL and KANCHI shortlisted , Since OAL business is diversified its less risky , But Based on funadmentals Kanchi Karpooram is attractive /Cheap to buy. Market Cap ₹ 1,361 Cr. Current Price ₹ 404 Stock P/E 224 Book Value ₹ 186 Dividend Yield 0.14 % ROCE 5.19 % ROE 3.35 % Face Value ₹ 5.00 Promoter holding 74.2 % EPS last year ₹ 6.13 EPS latest quarter ₹ -1.76 Debt ₹ 231 Cr. Pledged percentage 0.00 % Net CF ₹ 3.33 Cr. Price to Cash Flow -64.0 Free Cash Flow ₹ -57.1 Cr. Debt to equity 0.37 OPM last year 6.46 % OPM 5Year 13.9 % Reserves ₹ 610 Cr. Price to book value 2.16 Int Coverage 1.59 PEG Ratio -29.6 Price to Sales 1.68 Market Cap to Sales 1.68 Qtr Profit Var -169 %
NSE:OALLong
by madhu2811
AMD scenarioToday we are in a distinctly upward trend, we set a high and now we are correcting in a corrective way to the 0.5 areas of the trend (Fibonacci) + to interesting liquidity areas. In my opinion, we will receive a continuation of declines according to the scenario I drew - in my estimation, the distribution of dividends at the beginning of 2025 will bring in smart money - we will receive a decline into buying and then we will begin to build long-term positions up to an all-time high.
NASDAQ:AMD
by David_capital
Handmade ProfitsEtsy is gaining bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $50.00 level. A break above the $58.00 resistance would signal further strength, positioning the stock to reach the $67.50 weekly resistance. With an attractive risk-to-reward setup, this trade offers a favorable opportunity, while a $45.00 stop-loss effectively manages downside risk. In the longer term, ETSY has the potential to reach $89.59, driven by strong fundamentals. As a leader in the online marketplace for unique and handmade goods, Etsy is well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of e-commerce. With a loyal customer base and innovative platform features, Etsy is poised to capture an expanding market share, supporting both near-term momentum and longer-term growth. This combination of technical momentum and strong market fundamentals supports a bullish push toward $67.50, with $89.59 as an achievable longer-term target. NASDAQ:ETSY
NASDAQ:ETSY
by The_Trading_Mechanic
ASML: A Key Moment to Take Advantage of Bearish SentimentCurrent Context ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ: ASML) is at a critical juncture. Recently, its share price has fallen nearly 24%, driven by a downward revision to its 2025 sales projections largely because +20% of its sales were being generated by China and now the country has seen competitors replace its best-selling technologies. Sales are now expected to range between 30 and 35 billion euros, compared to the previous forecast of 30 to 40 billion. This revision is due to a slower recovery in its traditional markets, especially in logic chip production and limited production capacity in the memory sector. Operational Analysis Despite this pessimistic review, ASML's growth prospects remain robust. The company maintains a dominant position thanks to its monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography technology, crucial at a time when demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment is on the rise, driven by artificial intelligence, 5G and digital transformation. Although relations with China have weakened thanks to European interventionist policies, ASML anticipates that growth in segments outside China will offset this decline. The growing need for advanced semiconductors is expected to continue to support its growth in the medium term. Valuation Analysis From a valuation standpoint, ASML presents itself as an attractive opportunity. It currently has an EV/sales ratio of 9.5, which is 18.9% below its five-year average. It is estimated that the company's value could increase 30% in the next 12 months, reaching approximately $360 billion, based on revenue projections of $36 billion by 2025. Furthermore, with a non-GAAP P/E of 34.5, which is also below its historical average, ASML appears undervalued compared to other industry players. Technical Analysis From a technical point of view the stock has been losing value since July 11. The last strong downward movement occurred on October 15, subsequently the downward pressure has kept the stock during the whole month and the beginning of November down. A bearish delta channel is visible and clearly marked by the POC price around €627 per share. This price retracement has caused the stock to reach December 2023 prices, prior to the Christmas rally. At the moment RSI is oversold at 32.49% so it is not strange if the firm's share price recovers value towards €753 which is the last delta pressure zone indicated in the next trading area. Risks to Consider However, not everything is positive. Geopolitical tensions between the US and China could significantly impact ASML's valuation. China accounts for more than 20% of the country's sales and it is a very high risk for the company to lose this major market because it is the market that can be a competitor with global suppliers and government support. The emergence of Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment (SMEE), which receives subsidies from the Chinese government, represents a long-term challenge. While these concerns may seem distant, it is essential not to underestimate their potential effect on the market. Conclusion Despite the risks, the combination of ASML's current valuation and its monopoly in EUV technology suggests that it is an appropriate time for investors to consider a position in this stock. With a solid growth outlook and favorable investment conditions, ASML is positioned as a strategic buy in a well-managed portfolio. Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EURONEXT:ASMLLong
by ActivTrades
Buy 0883.hk CNOOC LIMITED @ HK $18.1Buy CNOOC here due to the following technical and fundamental reasons: Technical -50% Retracement of the last move up - Support at 50 Day moving average at about $18.00 Fundamental - 2014 Forward PE ratio of 5.5 - Growth in South China sea fields. - Recent China govt policy support of the stock market - Highly supportive dividend yield of 8% - Strong balance sheet - Still a very solid production growth outlook Risks - Extreme geopolitical tension may cause foreigners to be blocked out of trading Chinese equities, even if listed in Hong Kong (Like happened with Gazprom) Target: HK $28 within 1 year Stop: HK$ 15.00 Risk / Reward: 1:3
HKEX:883Long
by kavijh
Warren Buffett Moves to CashWarren Buffett Moves to Cash On August 30, when the price of Berkshire Hathaway's Class B shares (BRK.B) surpassed $465, we noted that: → the stock was forming an ascending channel (shown in blue); → as the price neared $475, the likelihood of a slowdown in the bullish trend increased. Since then (indicated by the arrow): → the price hit the upper channel boundary, → reversed downward after briefly exceeding $475, → and dropped to around $455 by November 1, when Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway reported Q3 earnings. Analyst forecasts were close to the report’s actual figures: → Earnings per share: forecast = $4.9, actual = $4.7. → Revenue: forecast = $92.2 billion, actual = $92.9 billion. → Berkshire Hathaway’s investment income more than doubled year-over-year, reaching $3.5 billion for the quarter. Meanwhile, some noteworthy news includes: → Berkshire significantly reduced its Apple (AAPL) holdings and refrained from new investments, even as stock indexes hover near historical highs. → Cash reserves reached a record $325 billion. This has led to speculation that Buffett may believe: → stock prices are overvalued; → a market correction could be imminent. Interestingly, Berkshire Hathaway is also holding off on buybacks—could Buffett be expecting a further price drop? Technical analysis of the BRK.B chart suggests: → The price has fallen into the lower half of the blue channel, which remains relevant. → It’s possible that after a bearish reversal from $475 at the upper channel boundary, the stock has been in a correction phase since September (indicated by red lines), resembling the period from February 26 to July 10. Traders may want to watch for demand around: → $445 (previous resistance in July), → the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BRK.B
by FXOpen
1
Nu Holdings (NU) AnalysisCompany Overview: Nu Holdings NYSE:NU , a leading digital bank in Latin America, is rapidly expanding its footprint across the region, leveraging innovative fintech solutions to drive growth in underbanked markets. With a mission to offer simple and accessible financial services, Nu Holdings continues to strengthen its presence, especially in key markets like Mexico and Colombia. Key Developments: Expansion in Latin America: Nu has successfully launched checking accounts in Mexico and Colombia, showcasing strong customer demand. The company has attracted $3.3 billion in deposits in Mexico and $220 million in Colombia, underscoring its ability to effectively penetrate new markets. This expansion opens up significant growth potential for Nu, as the digital banking revolution in Latin America continues to gather momentum. Strong Customer Engagement: Nu's active user base continues to grow, with an impressive record-high activity rate of 83%, marking the 11th consecutive increase in user engagement. This high level of customer activity demonstrates Nu's ability to retain and engage its users, a crucial factor for long-term profitability in the fintech sector. Accelerating Revenue & Profitability: In addition to customer growth, Nu has shown consistent acceleration in revenue and profitability, solidifying its position as a top contender in the fintech space. The company's unique combination of digital banking services, credit offerings, and low-cost structure sets it apart from traditional banks and other fintech competitors. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NU above the $13.50-$14.00 range, driven by its successful market expansion, strong customer engagement, and accelerating financial performance. Upside Potential: Our price target for Nu Holdings is set at $23.00-$24.00, reflecting its potential for continued regional growth and increasing profitability as it scales operations across Latin America. 🚀 NU—Transforming Banking Across Latin America! #FintechGrowth #LatAmBanking #DigitalRevolution
NYSE:NULong
by Richtv_official
Coinbase (COIN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN is one of the largest and most recognized cryptocurrency exchanges globally, offering a wide range of services, from retail trading to institutional crypto solutions. The company has focused on strengthening its position in the crypto ecosystem by targeting both retail and institutional investors. Key Developments: Institutional Adoption & BlackRock Partnership: Coinbase’s strategic partnership with BlackRock allows Aladdin clients to access cryptocurrency trading and custody services via Coinbase Prime, which caters to institutional investors. This partnership has the potential to drive significant institutional capital into the platform, thereby increasing transaction volumes and boosting revenue. Diversification Efforts: Coinbase has successfully reduced its dependence on trading fees by growing its subscription and services revenue, which saw a 34% year-over-year increase in Q2 2023. This revenue diversification helps mitigate the impact of the volatile trading environment often seen in the cryptocurrency space. Regulatory Compliance: With regulatory scrutiny tightening across the crypto industry, Coinbase’s strong focus on compliance gives it a competitive advantage. As regulatory hurdles increase, the company is likely to capture market share from less compliant competitors, positioning itself as a trusted platform in an evolving regulatory landscape. Product Innovation: Coinbase continues to innovate with new offerings like the Ethereum layer-2 network and enhanced staking services. These product launches not only enhance Coinbase’s competitive edge but also position the company well for future growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) and staking markets. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on COIN above the $180.00-$185.00 range, driven by institutional adoption, diversification of revenue streams, and strong regulatory positioning. Upside Potential: Our price target for Coinbase is set at $370.00-$375.00, reflecting its potential to capture more institutional market share and sustain growth through innovative product offerings. 🚀 COIN—Leading the Way in Institutional Crypto Adoption! #CryptoInnovation #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoCompliance
NASDAQ:COINLong
by Richtv_official
Is This the Final Chapter in Buffett's Tech Journey?Warren Buffett’s once unshakeable partnership with Apple seems to be reaching a critical juncture, leaving market watchers with more questions than answers. For years, Buffett and his Berkshire Hathaway embraced Apple, with Buffett even calling it “the greatest trade of all time.” Yet, with Berkshire’s recent decision to reduce its stake by a staggering 67%, the dynamic is shifting. While initial statements attributed the sales to tax planning, the sheer scale hints at a deeper strategy. This raises the question: is this a calculated portfolio rebalancing or the beginning of a more profound shift in Buffett’s investment philosophy? The timing of these sales isn’t random. Apple now faces several hurdles, from slower growth projections in a competitive smartphone market to increasing regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe. The conglomerate’s move coincides with Apple's potential weaknesses, suggesting Berkshire is not immune to the broader industry concerns, such as competition in China and challenges in artificial intelligence—a field where Apple appears to be lagging. Interestingly, some experts speculate that the recent passing of Charlie Munger may have influenced Buffett’s decision. Munger, who historically favored Apple, played a pivotal role in Berkshire’s tech investments, balancing Buffett’s more cautious stance on technology. Now, Berkshire’s shift could signal a strategic return to its foundational values, preferring stability over tech’s unpredictable currents. As Berkshire Hathaway maneuvers through these adjustments, Apple remains its largest equity holding, hinting that Buffett hasn’t fully turned his back on the tech giant. But with record cash reserves and a keen eye on emerging opportunities, the next steps Berkshire takes could redefine not just its portfolio but perhaps even broader investment trends in the years to come.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by signalmastermind